Utility of a Simple Scoring System in Differentiating Bacterial Infections in Cases of Fever of Unknown Origin

An MRI-based scoring system for pretreatment risk stratification in locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Accurately assessing the risk of recurrence in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) before treatment is important for the development of treatment strategies. The purpose of this study is to develop an MRI-based scoring system to predict the risk of recurrence in patients with LARC.

METHODS

This was a multicenter observational study that enrolled participants who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. To evaluate the risk of recurrence in these patients, we developed the mrDEC scoring system and assessed inter-reader agreement. Additionally, we plotted Kaplan-Meier curves to compare the 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates among patients with different mrDEC scores.

RESULTS

A total of 1287 patients with LARC were included in this study. We observed substantial inter-reader agreement for mrDEC. Based on the mrDEC scores ranging from 0 to 3, the patients were categorized into four groups. The 3-year DFS rates for the groups were 91.0%, 79.5%, 65.5%, and 44.0% (P < 0.0001), respectively, and the 5-year OS rates were 92.9%, 87.1%, 74.8%, and 44.5%, respectively (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The mrDEC scoring system proved to be an effective tool for predicting the prognosis of patients with LARC and can assist clinicians in clinical decision-making.

Normoferremia in Patients with Acute Bacterial Infections-A Hitherto Unexplored Field of the Dichotomy between CRP and Ferritin Expression in Patients with Hyper Inflammation and Failure to Increase Ferritin

Ferritin is an acute phase response protein, which may not rise as expected in acute bacterial infections. This could be due to the time required for its production or to a lack of response of ferritin to the bacterial inflammatory process. Medical records of hospitalized patients with acute hyper inflammation were retrieved and studied, looking closely at two acute phase proteins: C-reactive protein (CRP) and ferritin. The estimated time between symptom onset and the procurement of blood tests was also measured. 225 patients had a median ferritin level of 109.9 ng/mL [IQR 85.1, 131.7] and a median CRP level of 248.4 mg/L [IQR 221, 277.5]. An infectious inflammatory process was identified in 195 patients. Ferritin levels were relatively low in comparison with the CRP in each group, divided according to time from symptom onset until the procurement of blood tests. The discrepancy between high CRP and low ferritin suggests that these two acute phase response proteins utilize different pathways, resulting in a failure to increase ferritin concentrations in a documented state of hyperinflammation. A new entity of normoferremic inflammation accounts for a significant percentage of patients with acute bacterial infections, which enables bacteria to better survive the inflammation and serves as a new "inflammatory stamp".

Development of a risk prediction model for bloodstream infection in patients with fever of unknown origin

BACKGROUND

Bloodstream infection (BSI) is a significant cause of mortality among patients with fever of unknown origin (FUO). Inappropriate empiric antimicrobial therapy increases difficulty in BSI diagnosis and treatment. Knowing the risk of BSI at early stage may help improve clinical outcomes and reduce antibiotic overuse.

METHODS

We constructed a multivariate prediction model based on clinical features and serum inflammatory markers using a cohort of FUO patients over a 5-year period by Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among 712 FUO patients, BSI was confirmed in 55 patients. Five independent predictors available within 24 h after admission for BSI were identified: presence of diabetes mellitus, chills, C-reactive protein level of 50-100 mg/L, procalcitonin > 0.3 ng/mL, neutrophil percentage > 75%. A predictive score incorporating these 5 variables has adequate concordance with an area under the curve of 0.85. The model showed low positive predictive value (22.6%), but excellent negative predictive value (97.4%) for predicting the risk of BSI. The risk of BSI reduced to 2.0% in FUO patients if score < 1.5.

CONCLUSIONS

A simple tool based on 5 variables is useful for timely ruling out the individuals at low risk of BSI in FUO population.

Diagnostic models for fever of unknown origin based on 18F-FDG PET/CT: a prospective study in China

Background

This study aims to analyze the 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) characteristics of different causes of fever of unknown origin (FUO) and identify independent predictors to develop a suitable diagnostic model for distinguishing between these causes. A total of 524 patients with classical FUO who underwent standard diagnostic procedures and PET/CT were prospectively studied. The diagnostic performance of PET/CT imaging was analyzed, and relevant clinical parameters that could improve diagnostic efficacy were identified. The model was established using the data of 369 patients and the other 155 patients comprised the validation cohort for verifying the diagnostic performance of the model.

Results

The metabolic characteristics of the “hottest” lesion, the spleen, bone marrow, and lymph nodes varied for various causes. PET/CT combined with clinical parameters achieved better discrimination in the differential diagnosis of FUO. The etiological diagnostic models included the following factors: multisite metabolic characteristics, blood cell counts, inflammatory indicators (erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein, serum ferritin, and lactate dehydrogenase), immunological indicators (interferon gamma release assay, antinuclear antibody, and anti-neutrophil cytoplasm antibody), specific signs (weight loss, rash, and splenomegaly), and age. In the testing cohort, the AUCs of the infection prediction model, the malignancy diagnostic model, and the noninfectious inflammatory disease prediction model were 0.89 (95% CI 0.86–0.92), 0.94 (95% CI 0.92–0.97), and 0.95 (95% CI 0.93–0.97), respectively. The corresponding AUCs for the validation cohort were 0.88 (95% CI 0.82–0.93), 0.93 (95% CI 0.89–0.98), and 0.95 (95% CI 0.92–0.99), respectively.

Conclusions

18F-FDG PET/CT has a certain level of sensitivity and accuracy in diagnosing FUO, which can be further improved by combining it with clinical parameters. Diagnostic models based on PET/CT show excellent performance and can be used as reliable tools to discriminate the cause of FUO.

Trial registration This study (a two-step method apparently improved the physicians’ level of diagnosis decision-making for adult patients with FUO) was registered on the website http://www.clinical-trials.gov on January 14, 2014, with registration number NCT02035670.

Geographic Upon Noninfectious Diseases Accounting for Fever of Unknown Origin (FUO): A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Background

Diagnostic outcomes for fever of unknown origin (FUO) remain with notable numbers of undiagnosed cases. A recent systemic review and meta-analysis of studies reported geographic variation in FUO-related infectious diseases. Whether geography influences types of FUO noninfectious diagnoses deserves examination.

Methods

Medline (PubMed), Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science databases were searched systematically using medical subject headings published from January 1, 1997, to March 31, 2021. Prospective clinical studies investigating participants meeting adult FUO defining criteria were selected if they assessed final diagnoses. Meta-analyses were based on the random-effects model according to World Health Organization (WHO) geographical regions.

Results

Nineteen studies with significant heterogeneity were analyzed, totaling 2,667 participants. Noninfectious inflammatory disorders had a pooled estimate at 20.0% (95%CI: 17.0-23.0%). Undiagnosed illness had a pooled estimate of 20.0% (95%CI: 14.0-26.0%). The pooled estimate for cancer was 15.0% (95%CI: 12.0-18.0%). Miscellaneous conditions had a pooled estimate of 6.0% (95%CI: 4.0-8.0%). Noninfectious inflammatory disorders and miscellaneous conditions were most prevalent in the Western Pacific region with a 27.0% pooled estimate (95%CI: 20.0-34.0%) and 9.0% (95%CI: 7.0-11.0%), respectively. The highest pooled estimated for cancer was in the Eastern Mediterranean region at 25.0% (95%CI: 18.0-32.0%). Adult-onset Still’s disease (114 [58.5%]), systemic lupus (52 [26.7%]), and giant-cell arteritis (40 [68.9%]) predominated among the noninfectious inflammatory group. Lymphoma (164 [70.1%]) was the most common diagnosis in the cancer group.

Conclusions

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, noninfectious disease diagnostic outcomes varied among WHO-defined geographies. Evaluation of FUO should consider local variations in disease prevalence.

Rheumatic disorders among patients with fever of unknown origin: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To conduct a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to estimate the proportion of fever of unknown origin (FUO) and inflammation of unknown origin (IUO) cases that are due to rheumatic disorders and the relative frequency of specific entities associated with FUO/IUO.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and EMBASE between January 1, 2002, and December 31, 2021, for studies with ≥50 patients reporting on causes of FUO/IUO. The primary outcome was the proportion of FUO/IUO patients with rheumatic disease. Secondary outcomes include the association between study and patient characteristics and the proportion of rheumatic disease in addition to the relative frequency of rheumatic disorders within this group. Proportion estimates were calculated using random-effects models.

RESULTS

The included studies represented 16884 patients with FUO/IUO. Rheumatic disease explained 22.2% (95%CI 19.6 - 25.0%) of cases. Adult-onset Still's disease (22.8% [95%CI 18.4-27.9%]), giant cell arteritis (11.4% [95%CI 8.0-16.3%]), and systemic lupus erythematosus (11.1% [95%CI 9.0-13.8%]) were the most frequent disorders. The proportion of rheumatic disorders was significantly higher in high-income countries (25.9% [95%CI 21.5 - 30.8%]) versus middle-income countries (19.5% [95%CI 16.7 - 22.7%]) and in prospective studies (27.0% [95%CI 21.9-32.8%]) versus retrospective studies (20.6% [95%CI 18.1-24.0%]). Multivariable meta-regression analysis demonstrated that rheumatic disease was associated with the fever duration (0.011 [95%CI 0.003-0.021]; P=0.01) and with the fraction of patients with IUO (1.05 [95%CI 0.41-1.68]; P=0.002).

CONCLUSION

Rheumatic disorders are a common cause of FUO/IUO. The care of patients with FUO/IUO should involve physicians who are familiar with the diagnostic workup of rheumatic disease.

Prospective Studies Comparing Structured vs Nonstructured Diagnostic Protocol Evaluations Among Patients With Fever of Unknown Origin: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Patients meeting the criteria for fever of unknown origin (FUO) can be evaluated with structured or nonstructured approaches, but the optimal diagnostic method is unresolved.

Objective

To analyze differences in diagnostic outcomes among patients undergoing structured or nonstructured diagnostic methods applied to prospective clinical studies.

Data Sources

PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science databases with librarian-generated query strings for FUO, PUO, fever or pyrexia of unknown origin, clinical trial, and prospective studies identified from January 1, 1997, to March 31, 2021.

Study Selection

Prospective studies meeting any adult FUO definition were included. Articles were excluded if patients did not precisely fit any existing adult FUO definition or studies were not classified as prospective.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Abstracted data included years of publication and study period, country, setting (eg, university vs community hospital), defining criteria and category outcome, structured or nonstructured diagnostic protocol evaluation, sex, temperature threshold and measurement, duration of fever and hospitalization before final diagnoses, and contribution of potential diagnostic clues, biochemical and immunological serologic studies, microbiology cultures, histologic analysis, and imaging studies. Structured protocols compared with nonstructured diagnostic methods were analyzed using regression models.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Overall diagnostic yield was the primary outcome.

Results

Among the 19 prospective trials with 2627 unique patients included in the analysis (range of patient ages, 10-94 years; 21.0%-55.3% female), diagnoses among FUO series varied across and within World Health Organization (WHO) geographic regions. Use of a structured diagnostic protocol was not significantly associated with higher odds of yielding a diagnosis compared with nonstructured protocols in aggregate (odds ratio [OR], 0.98; 95% CI, 0.65-1.49) or between Western Europe (Belgium, France, the Netherlands, and Spain) (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.49-1.86) and Eastern Europe (Turkey and Romania) (OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.41-1.69). Despite the limited number of studies in some regions, analyses based on the 6 WHO geographic areas found differences in the diagnostic yield. Western European studies had the lowest percentage of achieving a diagnosis. Southeast Asia led with infections at 49.0%. Noninfectious inflammatory conditions were most prevalent in the Western Pacific region (34.0%), whereas the Eastern Mediterranean region had the highest proportion of oncologic explanations (24.0%).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, diagnostic yield varied among WHO regions. Available evidence from prospective studies did not support that structured diagnostic protocols had a significantly better rate of achieving a diagnosis than nonstructured protocols. Clinicians worldwide should incorporate geographical disease prevalence in their evaluation of patients with FUO.

Geographic Variation of Infectious Disease Diagnoses Among Patients with Fever of Unknown Origin (FUO) – A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Background

Fever of unknown origin (FUO) investigations yield a substantial number of patients with infectious diseases. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to quantify more common FUO infectious diseases etiologies and to underscore geographic variation.

Methods

Four databases (PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science) were searched for prospective studies reporting FUO rates among adult patients from 1 January 1997 to 31 March 2021. The pooled proportion for infectious diseases etiology was estimated using the random-effects meta-analysis model.

Results

Nineteen prospective studies were included with 2667 total cases. No studies were available for Africa or the Americas. Overall, 37.0% (95.0% confidence interval [CI], 30.0%–44.0%) of FUO patients had an infectious disease etiology. Infections were more likely from Southeastern Asia (pooled proportion, 0.49 [95% CI, .43–.55]) than from Europe (pooled proportion, 0.31 [95% CI, .22–.41]). Among specifically reported infectious diseases (n = 832), Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex predominated across all geographic regions (n = 285 [34.3%]), followed by brucellosis (n = 81 [9.7%]), endocarditis (n = 62 [7.5%]), abscesses (n = 61 [7.3%]), herpesvirus (eg, cytomegalovirus and Epstein-Barr virus) infections (n = 60 [7.2%]), pneumonia (n = 54 [6.5%]), urinary tract infections (n = 54 [6.5%]), and enteric fever (n = 40 [4.8%]).

Conclusions

FUO patients from Southeastern Asia were more likely to have an infectious diseases etiology when compared to other regions. The predominant factor for this finding appears to be differences in disease prevalence among various geographical locations or other factors such as access to timely care and diagnosis. Noting epidemiological disease factors in FUO investigations could improve diagnostic yields and clinical outcomes.