Estimation of the Lifetime Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) Lost Due to Syphilis Acquired in the United States in 2018

Molecular Detection and Typing of Treponema pallidum in Non-Ocular Samples from Patients with Ocular Syphilis

INTRODUCTION

Ocular syphilis is a rare but potentially sight-threatening manifestation of infection with the spirochete Treponema pallidum subspecies pallidum. Molecular strain typing of clinical specimens obtained from patients with syphilis can provide useful epidemiological and clinical information. In this study, we assess the utility of non-ocular clinical samples in strain typing for patients with diagnosed ocular syphilis.

METHODS

We collected samples of excess blood, serum, and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) from 6 patients with ocular syphilis treated in 2013-2016. DNA was extracted, purified, and then analyzed using an enhanced molecular typing method including sequence analysis of tp0548, number of repeats in the arp gene, and restriction fragment length polymorphism of the tpr gene.

RESULTS

Molecular strain typing based on tp0548 gene sequence analysis revealed two cases of type F and two cases of type G in 3 of 6 (50%) cases with CSF samples, 1 of which was obtained after starting antibiotics. In a patient with 2 distinct episodes, the same tp0548 type (type G) was identified in both episodes using different sample types (CSF, whole blood). Serum samples were available in 6 cases, but none were successfully typed with any of the methods. Amplification of the tpr and arp genes was unsuccessful in all cases. Overall, strain types were identified in 4 of the 7 episodes.

CONCLUSION

Treponema pallidum strain types F and G were detected in CSF or whole blood in 4 of 7 episodes in this series. We demonstrate moderate sensitivity of strain typing in ocular syphilis using non-ocular clinical specimens.

Congenital Syphilis in Live Births: Adverse Outcomes, Hospital Length of Stay, and Costs

OBJECTIVE

To examine temporal trends and risk factors for congenital syphilis in newborn hospitalizations and to evaluate the association between adverse outcomes and congenital syphilis and health care utilization for newborn hospitalizations complicated by congenital syphilis.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective, cross-sectional study using data from the National Inpatient Sample to identify newborn hospitalizations in the United States between 2016 and 2020. Newborns with congenital syphilis were identified with International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Adverse outcomes, hospital length of stay, and hospital costs were examined. The annual percent change was calculated to assess congenital syphilis trend. A multivariable Poisson regression model with robust error variance was used to examine the association between congenital syphilis and adverse outcomes. Adjusted relative risks (RRs) with 95% CIs were calculated. A multivariable generalized linear regression model was used to examine the association between congenital syphilis and hospital length of stay and hospital costs. Adjusted mean ratios with 95% CIs were calculated.

RESULTS

Of 18,119,871 newborn hospitalizations in the United States between 2016 and 2020, the rate of congenital syphilis increased over time (annual percent change 24.6%, 95% CI, 13.0-37.3). Newborn race and ethnicity, insurance, household income, year of admission, and hospital characteristics were associated with congenital syphilis. In multivariable models, congenital syphilis was associated with preterm birth before 37 weeks of gestation (adjusted RR 2.22, 95% CI, 2.02-2.44) and preterm birth before 34 weeks of gestation (adjusted RR 2.39, 95% CI, 2.01-2.84); however, there was no association with low birth weight or neonatal in-hospital death. Compared with newborns without congenital syphilis, hospital length of stay (adjusted mean ratio 3.53, 95% CI, 3.38-3.68) and hospital costs (adjusted mean ratio 4.93, 95% CI, 4.57-5.32) were higher among those with congenital syphilis.

CONCLUSION

Among newborn hospitalizations in the United States, the rate of congenital syphilis increased from 2016 to 2020. Congenital syphilis was associated with preterm birth, longer hospital length of stay, and higher hospital costs.

The care status and factors affecting antiretroviral therapy timing for people living with HIV: a retrospective cohort study in Shandong Province, China

This study described the care status of People Living with HIV (PLWH) including antiretroviral therapy (ART) and viral suppression from 2018 to 2020. We recognized that immediate ART was associated with improved viral suppression. Therefore, we also aimed to explore the factors affecting the early initiation of ART. We initiated a retrospective cohort study to evaluate the care status of people living with HIV in Shandong Province. From 2018 to 2020, patients infected by homosexual transmission in particular had a higher ART rate (78.82%, 79.69%, and 87.72%, respectively). Of PLWH who received ART, 79.57%, 77.63%, and 67.71% achieved viral suppression, respectively. However, COVID-19 may affect the rate of ART and viral suppression, which we need to explore in our research. From 2018 to 2020, the proportion of immediate antiretroviral therapy within 30 days of diagnosis increased from 48.12% to 65.42%. Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that patients with junior college degree or above (OR, 1.39 [95%CI, 1.12-1.73]) and key population or medical institutions (OR, 3.62 [95%CI, 2.18-6.16]; OR, 3.88 [95%CI, 2.33-6.59]) were substantially likely to receive ART immediately, while patients outside the province (OR, 0.60 [95%CI, 0.50-0.73]) were less likely to receive ART immediately.

A network suspected infectious disease model for the development of syphilis transmission from 2015 to 2021 in Hubei province, China

AIMS

Understanding the transmission mode of syphilis is essential to prevent and predict its future prevalence and to develop effective control measures. This study aimed to develop a network suspected infectious disease model to simulate the syphilis transmission.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The number of syphilis cases in Wuhan's Fourth Hospital, Hubei province, China, from October 2015 to July 2021 was collected. The simulation was carried out by interpersonal network-SI (suspected infectious) model based on temporal exponential family random graph models. Late latent syphilis and tertiary syphilis are predicted by December 2025. The validity of simulated value and real data was tested, including determination coefficient (R2), root means square error (RMSE), and means relative error (MRE). Moreover, we developed an online app that can more easily predict the number of syphilis infections in different scenarios by setting different parameters. Results showed that R2, RMSE, and MRE were 0.995, 36.19, and 6.31, respectively. Speed from latent infection to primary syphilis, primary syphilis to secondary syphilis, and susceptible group to latent infection decreased rapidly. The speed of transformation from secondary syphilis to early incubation period and early latent to late latent experienced a process from increase to decreased. Late latent to tertiary syphilis patients increased steadily. The number of late latent patients, early latent, invisible infection, primary syphilis, and secondary syphilis all increased at first and turn to decreased. However, tertiary syphilis continuously kept rising in the whole process. To better make use of the transmission model, an online application was developed (https://alanwu.shinyapps.io/MD-shiny/).

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the simulation that late latent and tertiary syphilis were steadily increasing, the prevention and treatment for syphilis were imperative.

Factors associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes of maternal syphilis in Henan, China, 2016-2022

Maternal syphilis not only seriously affects the quality of life of pregnant women themselves but also may cause various adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs). This study aimed to analyse the association between the related factors and APOs in maternal syphilis. 7,030 pregnant women infected with syphilis in Henan Province between January 2016 and December 2022 were selected as participants. Information on their demographic and clinical characteristics, treatment status, and pregnancy outcomes was collected. Multivariate logistic regression models and chi-squared automatic interaction detector (CHAID) decision tree models were used to analyse the factors associated with APOs. The multivariate logistic regression results showed that the syphilis infection history (OR = 1.207, 95% CI, 1.035-1.409), the occurrence of abnormality during pregnancy (OR = 5.001, 95% CI, 4.203-5.951), not receiving standard treatment (OR = 1.370, 95% CI, 1.095-1.716), not receiving any treatment (OR = 1.313, 95% CI, 1.105-1.559), and a titre ≥1:8 at diagnosis (OR = 1.350, 95%CI, 1.079-1.690) and before delivery (OR = 1.985, 95%CI, 1.463-2.694) were risk factors. A total of six influencing factors of APOs in syphilis-infected women were screened using the CHAID decision tree model. Integrated prevention measures such as early screening, scientific eugenics assessment, and standard syphilis treatment are of great significance in reducing the incidence of APOs for pregnant women infected with syphilis.

Advancements in the development of nucleic acid vaccines for syphilis prevention and control

Syphilis, a chronic systemic sexually transmitted disease, is caused by the bacterium Treponema pallidum (T. pallidum). Currently, syphilis remains a widespread infectious disease with significant disease burden in many countries. Despite the absence of identified penicillin-resistant strains, challenges in syphilis treatment persist due to penicillin allergies, supply issues, and the emergence of macrolide-resistant strains. Vaccines represent the most cost-effective strategy to prevent and control the syphilis epidemic. In light of the ongoing global coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, nucleic acid vaccines have gained prominence in the field of vaccine research and development, owing to their superior efficiency compared to traditional vaccines. This review summarizes the current state of the syphilis epidemic and the preliminary findings in T. pallidum nucleic acid vaccine research, discusses the challenges associated with the development of T. pallidum nucleic acid vaccines, and proposes strategies and measures for future T. pallidum vaccine development.

Lifetime quality-adjusted life years lost due to genital herpes acquired in the United States in 2018: a mathematical modeling study

Background

Genital herpes (GH), caused by herpes simplex virus type 1 and type 2 (HSV-1, HSV-2), is a common sexually transmitted disease associated with adverse health outcomes. Symptoms associated with GH outbreaks can be reduced by antiviral medications, but the infection is incurable and lifelong. In this study, we estimate the long-term health impacts of GH in the United States using quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) lost.

Methods

We used probability trees to model the natural history of GH secondary to infection with HSV-1 and HSV-2 among people aged 18-49 years. We modelled the following outcomes to quantify the major causes of health losses following infection: symptomatic herpes outbreaks, psychosocial impacts associated with diagnosis and recurrences, urinary retention caused by sacral radiculitis, aseptic meningitis, Mollaret's meningitis, and neonatal herpes. The model was parameterized based on published literature on the natural history of GH. We summarized losses of health by computing the lifetime number of QALYs lost per genital HSV-1 and HSV-2 infection, and we combined this information with incidence estimates to compute the total lifetime number of QALYs lost due to infections acquired in 2018 in the United States.

Findings

We estimated 0.05 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 0.02-0.08) lifetime QALYs lost per incident GH infection acquired in 2018, equivalent to losing 0.05 years or about 18 days of life for one person with perfect health. The average number of QALYs lost per GH infection due to genital HSV-1 and HSV-2 was 0.01 (95% UI 0.01-0.02) and 0.05 (95% UI 0.02-0.09), respectively. The burden of genital HSV-1 is higher among women, while the burden of HSV-2 is higher among men. QALYs lost per neonatal herpes infection was estimated to be 7.93 (95% UI 6.63-9.19). At the population level, the total estimated lifetime QALYs lost as a result of GH infections acquired in 2018 was 33,100 (95% UI 12,600-67,900) due to GH in adults and 3,140 (95% UI 2,260-4,140) due to neonatal herpes. Results were most sensitive to assumptions on the magnitude of the disutility associated with post-diagnosis psychosocial distress and symptomatic recurrences.

Interpretation

GH is associated with substantial health losses in the United States. Results from this study can be used to compare the burden of GH to other diseases, and it provides inputs that may be used in studies on the health impact and cost-effectiveness of interventions that aim to reduce the burden of GH.

Funding

The Center for Disease Control and Prevention.