Quantifying the transmission dynamics of MRSA in the community and healthcare settings in a low-prevalence country

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), traditionally associated with hospitals, is increasingly circulating in the community. This imposes, in turn, a potential burden on hospital infection control due to a more frequent hospitalization of colonized patients. We developed an individual-based model, reproducing community and healthcare settings, to understand the epidemiological drivers of MRSA and the connections between the society and the healthcare institutions. We show that in Norway, a low-prevalence country, the rise of infections is driven by an increasing inflow of cases from abroad rather than by an ongoing epidemic. We demonstrate the major role played by households in transmitting MRSA and show that the burden on hospitals from the growing community circulation is still limited thanks to aggressive infection-control protocols.

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is a primarily nosocomial pathogen that, in recent years, has increasingly spread to the general population. The rising prevalence of MRSA in the community implies more frequent introductions in healthcare settings that could jeopardize the effectiveness of infection-control procedures. To investigate the epidemiological dynamics of MRSA in a low-prevalence country, we developed an individual-based model (IBM) reproducing the population’s sociodemography, explicitly representing households, hospitals, and nursing homes. The model was calibrated to surveillance data from the Norwegian national registry (2008–2015) and to published household prevalence data. We estimated an effective reproductive number of 0.68 (95% CI 0.47–0.90), suggesting that the observed rise in MRSA infections is not due to an ongoing epidemic but driven by more frequent acquisitions abroad. As a result of MRSA importations, an almost twofold increase in the prevalence of carriage was estimated over the study period, in 2015 reaching a value of 0.37% (0.25–0.54%) in the community and 1.11% (0.79–1.59%) in hospitalized patients. Household transmission accounted for half of new MRSA acquisitions, indicating this setting as a potential target for preventive strategies. However, nosocomial acquisition was still the primary source of symptomatic disease, which reinforces the importance of hospital-based transmission control. Although our results indicate little reason for concern about MRSA transmission in low-prevalence settings in the immediate future, the increases in importation and global circulation highlight the need for coordinated initiatives to reduce the spread of antibiotic resistance worldwide.

Life After USA300: The Rise and Fall of a Superbug

The community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (CA-MRSA) epidemic in the United States is largely attributable to the meteoric rise of a single clone, referred to as USA300. This strain not only spread across the United States in just a few years to become the predominant cause of staphylococcal disease, but it also appears to have increased the overall number of skin and soft-tissue infections (SSTIs), increasing the overall disease burden. While USA300 still constitutes a major public health burden, its prevalence may be decreasing in some parts of the United States. Other than an epidemic in South America due to a closely related strain, USA300 also seems to have been largely unable to establish itself as an endemic infection in other geographic locations. While there have been several hypotheses put forward to explain the enormous success of USA300, the reasons for its failures and its potential fall remain obscure. Far from being unique to USA300, the rise and fall of specific clones of S. aureus in human populations seems to be a common process that has occurred multiple times and in multiple locations. This review charts the rise of USA300 and the evidence that suggests that it may be in decline, and it considers how best to understand the future spread, containment, and possible extinction of CA-MRSA.

Architecture of a Species: Phylogenomics of Staphylococcus aureus

A deluge of whole-genome sequencing has begun to give insights into the patterns and processes of microbial evolution, but genome sequences have accrued in a haphazard manner, with biased sampling of natural variation that is driven largely by medical and epidemiological priorities. For instance, there is a strong bias for sequencing epidemic lineages of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) over sensitive isolates (methicillin-sensitive S. aureus: MSSA). As more diverse genomes are sequenced the emerging picture is of a highly subdivided species with a handful of relatively clonal groups (complexes) that, at any given moment, dominate in particular geographical regions. The establishment of hegemony of particular clones appears to be a dynamic process of successive waves of replacement of the previously dominant clone. Here we review the phylogenomic structure of a diverse range of S. aureus, including both MRSA and MSSA. We consider the utility of the concept of the 'core' genome and the impact of recombination and horizontal transfer. We argue that whole-genome surveillance of S. aureus populations could lead to better forecasting of antibiotic resistance and virulence of emerging clones, and a better understanding of the elusive biological factors that determine repeated strain replacement.

Impact of colonization pressure and strain type on methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus transmission in children

We studied the transmissibility of community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (CA-MRSA) and healthcare-associated methicillin-resistant S. aureus (HA-MRSA) strains and the association of MRSA colonization pressure and MRSA transmission in critically ill children. Importantly, we found that in hospitalized children MRSA colonization pressure above 10% increases the risk of MRSA transmission 3-fold, and CA-MRSA and HA-MRSA strains have similar transmission dynamics.