Prognostic relevance of lymph node regression on survival in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Lymph-node ratio as a risk factor for recurrence following neoadjuvant docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil therapy for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

It remains unclear whether the lymph-node ratio (LNR) is a relevant factor for the risk of recurrence following neoadjuvant chemotherapy (nCT) with docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil (DCF), which is a new standard of care for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in Japan. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical utility of LNR as a risk factor for recurrence.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 75 patients who underwent nCT-DCF followed by curative surgery for resectable ESCC. The cut-off for the LNR was determined using receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis for recurrence.

RESULTS

A higher LNR was observed in 34 (45.3%) patients. At a median follow-up of 19.2 months, the median disease-free survival (DFS)/recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate was not reached in patients with a lower LNR and was 8.0 months in those with a higher LNR (P < 0.01). The estimated 1-year DFS/RFS rate was 47.8% and 100% for patients with a higher LNR and lower LNR, respectively. LNR remained a risk factor, even when stratified by non-pathological complete response, the presence of positive ypN, or ypStage III. In those with a higher LNR, the median DFS/RFS was 18.3 versus 8.0 months with and without adjuvant nivolumab treatment, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher LNR indicates a more aggressive phenotype with worse DFS/RFS rates and increased recurrence following nCT-DCF treatment and curative surgery for ESCC.

Nodal Downstaging of Esophageal Cancer After Neoadjuvant Therapy: A Cohort Study and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

In esophageal cancer, the ypN0 status after induction therapy could be categorized into two primary groups: "natural N0" (cN0/ypN0) and "down-staged N0" (cN+/ypN0). The assessment of cN status is typically based on clinical imagination or pathological regression. However, there is no standardized method for evaluating cN/ypN status. This study aims to investigate the prognosis of patients with cN+/ypN0 using both assessment methods through a cohort study and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A prospectively maintained database encompassing esophageal cancer patients undergoing induction therapy followed by radical esophagectomy was comprehensively reviewed. The prognostic significance of cN+/ypN0 across two evaluation methods was quantified. Additionally, a meta-analysis using data from previous studies was conducted.

RESULTS

578 patients were identified from the cohort analysis, with 342 classified as ypN0 and 236 as ypN+. When evaluated with clinical imagination, patients with cN+/ypN0 had survival outcomes comparable to those with natural N0 but significantly better than those with ypN+ (p < 0.001). Using pathological nodal regression, cN+/ypN0 patients showed superior overall survival compared to ypN+ patients (p = 0.0043), although their disease-free survival was notably inferior to that of natural N0 patients (p = 0.0088). A meta-analysis of 20 previous studies confirmed the prognostic value of cN+/ypN0 status in both clinical imagination and pathological regression.

CONCLUSIONS

For esophageal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant, cN+/ypN0 status, assessed through both clinical imagination and pathological regression, serves as a significant prognostic factor. It holds precedence over ypN+ yet falls short of the natural N0. The pre-treatment categorizations warrant recognition as a novel and pertinent staging metric.

Comparison of machine learning methods for Predicting 3-Year survival in elderly esophageal squamous cancer patients based on oxidative stress

BACKGROUND

Oxidative stress process plays a key role in aging and cancer; however, currently, there is paucity of machine-learning model studies investigating the relationship between oxidative stress and prognosis of elderly patients with esophageal squamous cancer (ESCC).

METHODS

This study included elderly patients with ESCC who underwent curative ESCC resection surgery continuously from January 2013 to December 2020 and were stratified into the training and external validation cohorts. Using Cox stepwise regression analysis based on Akaike information criterion, the relationship between oxidative stress biomarkers and prognosis was explored, and a geriatric ESCC-related oxidative stress score (OSS) was constructed. To construct a predictive model for 3-year overall survival (OS), machine-learning strategies including decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM) were employed. These machine-learning strategies play a key role in data mining and pattern recognition tasks. Each model was tested in the external validation cohort through 1000 resampling iterations. Validation was conducted using receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) and calibration plots.

RESULTS

The training cohort and validation cohort consisted of 340 and 145 patients, respectively. In the training cohort, the 3-year OS rate for patients was 59.2%. We constructed the OSS based on systemic oxidative stress biomarkers using the training cohort. The study found that pathological N stage, pathological T stage, tumor histological type, lymphovascular invasion, CEA, OSS, CA 19 - 9, and the amount of bleeding were the most important factors influencing the 3-year OS. These eight important features were included in training the RF, DT, and SVM and trained on the training cohort and validated cohort, respectively. In the training cohort, the RF model demonstrated the highest predictive performance with an AUC of 0.975 (0.962-0.987), while the DT model is 0.784 (0.739-0.830) and the SVM is 0.879 (0.843-0.916). In the external validation cohort, the RF model again exhibited the highest performance with an AUC of 0.791 (0.717-0.864), compared to the DT model with an AUC of 0.717 (0.640-0.794) and 0.779 (0.702-0.856) in SVM.

CONCLUSIONS

The random forest clinical prediction model constructed based on OSS can effectively predict the prognosis of elderly patients with ESCC after curative surgery.

Lymph node ratio is a prognostic indicator for locally advanced gastric cancer after neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy

OBJECTIVE

The efficacy of lymph node ratio (LNR) as a prognostic indicator in locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) patients underwent radical resection after neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NICT) remains to be demonstrated. The objective of the current retrospective study is to investigate the relationship between LNR and survival in patients with LAGC who underwent radical resection after NICT.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on 121 cases of LAGC in patients underwent radical resection after NICT between July 2020 and October 2023. The LNR values of the patients were divided into two groups using X-tile software. The first group, designated the low LNR group, comprised patients with LNR values of ≤ 33%. The second group, designated the high LNR group, comprised patients with LNR values of > 33%. The correlation between patient survival rates and a range of clinical and pathological variables was examined.

RESULTS

Overall, 121 patients were enrolled: 108 with low-LNR (LNR ≤ 33%) and 13 with high-LNR (LNR > 33%). A better 2-year overall survival (OS) (88.5% vs. 32.6%; p < 0.001) and progression-free survival (PFS) (80.2% vs. 23.5%; p < 0.001) were observed in patients with low LNR. A similar result was also found in those with non-pathological complete response group (non-pCR), where the 2-year OS was 87.2% vs. 32.6% (p < 0.001), and the 2-year PFS was 77.7% vs. 23.5% (p < 0.001). Compared to the pathologic lymph nodes staging (ypN), LNR exhibited similar prognostic capabilities for OS and PFS. Multivariate analysis indicated that LNR was an independent prognostic factor for both OS (HR 6.258, 95% CI 1.798-21.778; p = 0.004) and PFS (HR 3.431, 95% CI 1.341-8.780; p = 0.010), but not ypN.

CONCLUSIONS

LNR may serve as a viable indicator for prognostication in LAGC patients treated with NICT.

Prognostic role of lymph node regression in patients with esophageal cancer undergoing neoadjuvant therapy

Purpose

To clarify the prognostic value of lymph node regression (LNR) status including the lymph node regression grade (LNRG) and N downstaging in patients with esophageal cancer receiving neoadjuvant therapy based on available evidence.

Methods

Several databases were searched up to 25 March 2024. The main outcomes included overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were combined. Subgroup analyses based on the neoadjuvant therapy and pathological type were also conducted.

Results

In total, 14 retrospective studies with 3,212 participants were included. Nine and five studies explored the relationship between LNRG and N downstaging and survival, respectively. Pooled results indicated that complete LNR predicted significantly improved OS (HR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.41-0.55, P < 0.001) and DFS (HR = 0.42, 95% CI: 0.32-0.55, P < 0.001) and subgroup analysis based on neoadjuvant therapy and pathological type manifested similar results. Besides, N downstaging was also significantly related to improved OS (HR = 0.40, 95% CI: 0.21-0.77, P = 0.006) and CSS (HR = 0.27, 95% CI: 0.12-0.60, P < 0.001).

Conclusion

LNR could serve as a novel and reliable prognostic factor in patients with esophageal cancer receiving neoadjuvant therapy and complete LNR and N downstaging predict better survival.

Impact of bulky loco-regional lymphadenopathy in esophageal adenocarcinoma on survival: a retrospective single center analysis

The relationship between 'bulky' locoregional lymphadenopathy and survival has not been investigated in the setting of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). This study aimed to explore whether bulky regional lymphadenopathy at diagnosis affected survival outcomes in patients with EAC treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and en bloc resection. A single-center retrospective review of a prospectively maintained upper GI cancer surgical database was performed between January 2012 and December 2019. Patients with locally advanced EAC (cT2-3, N+, M0) treated with neoadjuvant docetaxel-based chemotherapy and transthoracic en bloc esophagogastrectomy were identified. Computed tomography scans from before the initiation of treatment were reviewed, and patients were stratified according to whether bulky loco-regional lymph nodes were present. This was defined as lymphadenopathy >2 cm in any axis. Overall survival was compared, and a Cox multivariate regression model was calculated. Two hundred twenty-five of the eight hundred seventy patients identified met the inclusion criteria. Forty-eight (21%) had bulky lymphadenopathy, leaving 177 allocated to the control group. More patients with bulky lymphadenopathy had ypN3 disease (18/48, 38% vs. 39/177, 20%, P = 0.025). Among patients with bulky lymphadenopathy, overall survival was generally worse (32.6 vs. 59.1 months, P = 0.012). However, among the 9/48 (19%) patients with bulky lymphadenopathy who achieved ypN- status survival outcomes were similar to those with non-bulky lymphadenopathy who also achieved lymph node sterilization. Poor differentiation (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.0-2.9, P = 0.034), ypN+ (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.1-3.6, P = 0.032), and bulky lymphadenopathy were independently associated with an increased risk of death (HR 1.7, 1.0-2.9, P = 0.048). Bulky regional lymphadenopathy is associated with a poor prognosis. Efforts to identify the ideal treatment regimen for these patients are urgently required.

Lymph node regression after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer

AIMS

Lymph node metastases (LNM) are one of the most important prognostic indicators in solid tumours and a major component of cancer staging. Neoadjuvant therapy might influence nodal status by induction of regression. Our aim is to determine the prevalence and role of regression of LNM on outcomes in patients with rectal cancer.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Four independent study populations of rectal cancer patients treated with similar regimens of chemoradiotherapy were pooled together to obtain a total cohort of 469 patients. Post-treatment nodal status (ypN) and signs of tumour regression (Reg) were incorporated to form three-tiered (ypN- Reg+, ypN- Reg- and ypN+) and four-tiered (ypN- Reg+, ypN- Reg-, ypN+ Reg+ and ypN+ Reg-) classifications. In our cohort, 31% of patients presented with ypN+ rectal cancer. As expected, we found significantly worse overall survival (OS) in ypN+ patients compared to ypN- patients (P = 0.002). The percentage of ypN- patients with lymph nodes with complete regression was 20% in our cohort. While node-negative patients with and without regression had similar OS (P = 0.09), disease-free survival (DFS) was significantly better in node-negative patients with regression (P = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

Regression in lymph nodes is frequent, and node-negative patients with evidence of lymph node regression have better DFS compared to node-negative patients without such evidence.

Prognostic value of Mandard score and nodal status for recurrence patterns and survival after multimodal treatment of oesophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

This study evaluated the association of pathological tumour response (tumour regression grade, TRG) and a novel scoring system, combining both TRG and nodal status (TRG-ypN score; TRG1-ypN0, TRG>1-ypN0, TRG1-ypN+ and TRG>1-ypN+), with recurrence patterns and survival after multimodal treatment of oesophageal adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

This Dutch nationwide cohort study included patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by oesophagectomy for distal oesophageal or gastro-oesophageal junctional adenocarcinoma between 2007 and 2016. The primary endpoint was the association of Mandard score and TRG-ypN score with recurrence patterns (rate, location, and time to recurrence). The secondary endpoint was overall survival.

RESULTS

Among 2746 inclusions, recurrence rates increased with higher Mandard scores (TRG1 30.6%, TRG2 44.9%, TRG3 52.9%, TRG4 61.4%, TRG5 58.2%; P < 0.001). Among patients with recurrent disease, the distribution (locoregional versus distant) was the same for the different TRG groups. Patients with TRG1 developed more brain recurrences (17.7 versus 9.8%; P = 0.001) and had a longer mean overall survival (44 versus 35 months; P < 0.001) than those with TRG>1. The TRG>1-ypN+ group had the highest recurrence rate (64.9%) and worst overall survival (mean 27 months). Compared with the TRG>1-ypN0 group, patients with TRG1-ypN+ had a higher risk of recurrence (51.9 versus 39.6%; P < 0.001) and worse mean overall survival (33 versus 41 months; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Improved tumour response to neoadjuvant therapy was associated with lower recurrence rates and higher overall survival rates. Among patients with recurrent disease, TRG1 was associated with a higher incidence of brain recurrence than TRG>1. Residual nodal disease influenced prognosis more negatively than residual disease at the primary tumour site.

Lymph node ratio is a prognostic indicator for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy

The lymph node ratio (LNR) is regarded as a prognostic indicator in esophageal cancer (EC), but its applicability to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NICT) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) remains unexplored. This retrospective study, conducted between 2019 and 2021, analyzed ESCC patients who underwent radical esophagectomy following NICT. Patients were divided into two groups based on their LNR values according to the X-tile software: Low-LNR group (LNR 0-10%) and High-LNR group (LNR 10-100%). The association between LNR and clinical outcomes in ESCC after NICT were analyzed. A total of 212 ESCC patients who underwent surgery after NICT were included in this study, among which, 169 (79.7%) and 43 (20.3%) cases were allocated to the Low- and High-LNR groups, respectively. Pathologic complete response (PCR) was observed in 28.3% (60/212) of the overall cohort. Patients in the Low-LNR group demonstrated a significantly improved 3-year overall survival (OS) (81.7% vs 55.3%; P < 0.001) and disease-free survival (DFS) (79.9% vs 37.4%; P < 0.001). These findings were consistent among those with non-PCR (3-year DFS was 73.7% vs 37.4%; P < 0.001, and the 3-year OS was 78.9% vs 55.3%; P < 0.001, respectively). High LNR was associated with a 4.013-fold increased risk of relapse and a 7.026-fold elevated risk of death. Compared to the post-neoadjuvant therapy pathologic lymph nodes staging (ypN), LNR exhibited similar prognostic capabilities for DFS and OS. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to investigate the prognostic value of LNR in ESCC after NICT, suggesting that LNR may serve as a viable alternative to the ypN stage for prognostication in ESCC patients treated with NICT.

Total neoadjuvant therapy in oesophageal and gastro-oesophageal junctional adenocarcinoma

Adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus and gastro-oesophageal junction represent a large burden of cancer death in the Western World with an increasing incidence. In the past two decades, the overall survival of patients on a potentially curative treatment pathway has more than doubled due to the addition of perioperative oncological therapies to surgery. However, patients often fail to respond to oncological treatment or struggle to complete their treatment after surgery. In this review, we discuss the current evidence for total neoadjuvant therapy and options for assessment of treatment response.

Combined regression score predicts outcome after neoadjuvant treatment of oesophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Histopathologic regression following neoadjuvant treatment (NT) of oesophageal cancer is a prognostic factor of survival, but the nodal status is not considered. Here, a score combining both to improve prediction of survival after neoadjuvant therapy is developed.

METHODS

Seven hundred and fifteen patients with oesophageal squamous cell (SCC) or adenocarcinoma (AC) undergoing NT and esophagectomy were analysed. Histopathologic response was classified according to percentage of vital residual tumour cells (VRTC): complete response (CR) without VRTC, major response with <10% VRTC, minor response with >10% VRTC. Nodal stage was classified as ypN0 and ypN+. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression were used for survival analysis.

RESULTS

Survival analysis identified three groups with significantly different mortality risks: (1) low-risk group for CR (ypT0N0) with 72% 5-year overall survival (5y-OS), (2) intermediate-risk group for minor/major responders and ypN0 with 59% 5y-OS, and (3) high-risk group for minor/major responders and ypN+ with 20% 5y-OS (p < 0.001). Median survival in AC and SCC cohorts were comparable (3.8 (CI 95%: 3.1, 5.3) vs. 4.6 years (CI 95%: 3.3, not reached), p = 0.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Histopathologic regression and nodal status should be combined for estimating AC and SCC prognosis. Poor survival in the high-risk group highlights need for adjuvant therapy.

Neoadjuvant Therapy for Extrahepatic Biliary Tract Cancer: A Propensity Score-Matched Survival Analysis

Background: Although surgery is the mainstay of curative-intent treatment for extrahepatic biliary tract cancer (EBTC), recurrence following surgery can be high and prognosis poor. The impact of neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) relative to upfront surgery (US) among patients with EBTC remains unclear. Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) databases was utilized to identify patients who underwent surgery from 2006 to 2017 for EBTC, including gallbladder cancer (GBC) and extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ECC). Trends in NAT utilization were investigated, and the impact of NAT on prognosis was compared with US using a propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis. Results: Among 6582 EBTC patients (GBC, n = 4467, ECC, n = 2215), 1.6% received NAT; the utilization of NAT for EBTC increased over time (Ptrend = 0.03). Among patients with lymph node metastasis, the lymph node ratio was lower among patients with NAT (0.18 vs. 0.40, p < 0.01). After PSM, there was no difference in overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) among patients treated with NAT versus US (5-year OS: 24.0% vs. 24.6%, p = 0.14, 5-year CSS: 38.0% vs. 36.1%, p = 0.21). A subgroup analysis revealed that NAT was associated with improved OS and CSS among patients with stages III-IVA of the disease (OS: HR 0.65, 95%CI 0.46-0.92, p = 0.02, CSS: HR 0.62, 95%CI 0.41-0.92, p = 0.01). Conclusions: While NAT did not provide an overall benefit to patients undergoing surgery for EBTC, individuals with advanced-stage disease had improved OS and CSS with NAT. An individualized approach to NAT use among patients with EBTC may provide a survival benefit.

Development and validation of nodal staging score in pN0 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A population study from the SEER database and a single-institution cohort

BACKGROUND

Patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) with lymph node metastasis may be misclassified as pN0 due to an insufficient number of lymph nodes examined (LNE). The purpose of this study was to confirm that patients with ESCC are indeed pN0 and to propose an adequate number for the correct nodal stage using the nodal staging score (NSS) developed by the beta-binomial model.

METHODS

A total of 1249 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2000 and 2017, and 1404 patients diagnosed with ESCC in our database between 2005 and 2018 were included. The NSS was developed to assess the probability of pN0 status based on both databases. The effectiveness of NSS was verified using survival analysis, including Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox models.

RESULTS

Many patients were misclassified as pN0 based on our algorithm due to insufficient LNE. As the number of LNE increased, false-negative findings dropped; accordingly, the NSS increased. In addition, NSS was an independent prognostic indicator for pN0 in patients with ESCC in the SEER database (hazard ratio [HR] 0.182, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.046-0.730, p = 0.016) and our database (HR 0.215, 95% CI 0.055-0.842, p = 0.027). A certain number of nodes must be examined to achieve 90% of the NSS.

CONCLUSIONS

NSS could determine the probability of true pN0 status for patients, and it was sufficient in predicting survival and obtaining adequate numbers for lymphadenectomy.

Nodal downstaging to ypN0 after neoadjuvant chemotherapy positively impacts on survival of cT4N+ GC/GEJ patients

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of histomorphologic regression in primary gastric and gastroesophageal cancers (GC/GEJ) has been previously established, however, the impact of lymph node (LN) regression on survival still remains unclear.

METHODS

A prospectively maintained database was reviewed to identify cT4N+ gastric and gastroesophageal cancers (GC/GEJ) after NAC (neoadjuvant chemotherapy). Patients were categorized into two groups based on LN status: cN+/ypN0 (downstaged N0) and cN+/ypN+ (persistent N+), long-term survival were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.

RESULTS

In total, 125 patients with cT4N+ GC/GEJ underwent NAC followed by surgery were enrolled. A total of 39 patients (31.2%) had cN+/ypN0 (ypN0) disease, 86 patients (68.8%) had cN+/ypN+ (ypN+) disease. Prognosis in ypN+ patients was significantly worse than those in ypN0 group for 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) (p < 0.05). The 3-year OS was 83%, 44% in ypN0 and ypN+ group, respectively. The 5-year OS was 75%, 35% in ypN0 and ypN+ group, respectively. Multivariable analysis suggested that multivisceral resection (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.33, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.14-0.76, p = 0.009), and ypN+ (HR = 3.42, 95% CI: 1.15-10.13, p =0.027) were independent prognostic factors for OS.

CONCLUSION

Nodal downstaging is an important hallmark representing the effectiveness of NAC for GC/GEJ, and it positively impacts on survival of these patients.

Impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on nodal regression and survival in oesophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of lymph node regression (LNR) following neoadjuvant chemotherapy (nCT) for oesophageal and gastro-oeosphageal adenocarcinoma remains unclear. This study aimed to characterise the long-term survival outcomes of LNR in patients having resectional surgery after nCT.

METHODS

This study included patients undergoing oesophagectomy or extended total gastrectomy for oesophageal and junctional tumours (Siewert types 1,2,3) at the Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham from 2012 to 2018. Lymph nodes retrieved at surgery were examined for evidence of a response to chemotherapy. Patients were classified as lymph node-negative (either negative nodes with no evidence of previous tumour involvement or negative with evidence of complete regression) or positive with either partial or no response.

RESULTS

This study identified 183 patients who received nCT, of which 71% (130/183) had positive lymph nodes. Of these 130 patients, 44% (57/130) had a lymph node response and 56% (73/130) did not. The remaining 53 patients (29.0%) had negative lymph nodes with no evidence of tumour. Lymph node responders had a significant survival benefit compared to patients without lymph node response, but shorter than those with negative lymph nodes (median: 27 vs 18 vs NR months, p < 0·001). On multivariable analysis, lymph node responders had an improved overall (Hazard ratio (HR): 0.86, 95% CI: 0.80-0.92, p < 0.001) and recurrence-free (HR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.82-0.98, p = 0.030) survival.

CONCLUSION

Lymph node regression is an important prognostic factor, warranting closer evaluation over primary tumour response to help with planning further adjuvant therapy in these patients.