Application of machine learning methods to guide patient management by predicting the risk of malignancy of Bethesda III-V thyroid nodules

Serum cholesterol levels are inversely associated with the risk of malignancy in subjects with Bethesda category IV thyroid nodules

INTRODUCTION

Some epidemiological data suggest that there may be an inverse relationship between cholesterol levels and the risk of thyroid cancer in the overall population. The present study was aimed to evaluate the lipid profile specifically in subjects with Bethesda category IV thyroid nodules, and compare whether there were any differences between those with benign and malignant nodules.

METHODS

Single-centre, retrospective study on 204 subjects treated by partial or total thyroidectomy for excision of a Bethesda category IV thyroid nodule, who had undergone a blood lipid profile test in the 12 months prior to surgery. In addition to lipid measures, other demographic, clinical, biochemical and ultrasound data were collected.

RESULTS

Seventy-five subjects (36.8%) were diagnosed with thyroid carcinoma in the definitive histopathological examination. Patients with thyroid cancer had lower levels of total cholesterol, LDL-cholesterol and non-HDL-cholesterol than subjects with benign thyroid diseases. There were no differences in HDL-cholesterol, triglycerides or total cholesterol/HDL-cholesterol ratio. There were no differences either between groups in other clinical, biochemical and ultrasound variables, including the use of lipid-lowering drugs. In multivariate analysis, only LDL-cholesterol was independently associated with malignancy. Subjects with follicular carcinoma showed the lowest cholesterol levels, while those with papillary carcinoma had intermediate values between the group with follicular carcinoma and the group with benign thyroid diseases.

CONCLUSIONS

In subjects with cytologically indeterminate Bethesda category IV thyroid nodules, levels of total cholesterol, non-HDL-cholesterol and, particularly, LDL-cholesterol are lower among those with malignant nodules.

Diagnostic models for predicting malignancy in thyroid nodules classified as Bethesda Category III in an endemic region

BACKGROUND

This study aims to develop a diagnostic model to help physicians determine whether thyroid nodules categorized as atypia of undetermined significance (AUS) in category III of the Bethesda system are benign or malignant preoperatively. To create a diagnostic model for predicting thyroid nodules' benign or malignant with AUS cytology based on clinical, ultrasonographic, and cytopathological findings.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study involving patients (>19) at risk of thyroid cancer who had thyroidectomy after an AUS cytology. The dataset consists of 53 variables 204 nodules from 183 patients. Binary logistic regression and factor analysis methods were used to identify risk factors for malignancy. Finally, four prediction models were developed using different approaches, based on clinical, pathological clinical + pathological, and the factors.

RESULTS

A total of 88 (48.1%) of 183 patients diagnosed with AUS were benign and 95 (51.9%) the malignant. After determining risk factors, four prediction models were developed based on different approaches to assist physicians in deciding to detect AUS nodules early. It was seen that bilaterality was found to be a risk factor for malignancy in the clinical model (pbilaterality  = .03) and it was also seen that the pathological variables pale chromatin and irregular contours in the oncocyte variables were risk factors for malignancy (ppalechromatin  = .02, pirregularcontoursintheoncocyte  = .04). The best model obtained sensitivity and specificity values are 73% and 87% based on clinical and pathological variables.

CONCLUSION

This comprehensive study may provide a more in-depth understanding of AUS and make a notable contribution to healthcare professionals before surgery.

Recent Advances in the Surgical Management of Thyroid Cancer

A growing incidence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) has been reported in most developed countries, corresponding mainly to incidentally discovered small papillary thyroid carcinomas. Given the excellent prognosis of most patients with DTC, optimal therapeutic management, minimizing complications, and preserving patient quality of life are essential. Thyroid surgery has a central role in both the diagnosis, staging, and treatment of patients with DTC. Thyroid surgery should be integrated into the global and multidisciplinary management of patients with DTC. However, the optimal surgical management of DTC patients is still controversial. In this review article, we discuss the recent advances and current debates in DTC surgery, including preoperative molecular testing, risk stratification, the extent of thyroid surgery, innovative surgical tools, and new surgical approaches.