Risk factors and prediction nomogram model for 1-year readmission for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with STEMI after PCI

To identify risk factors and develop a risk-prediction nomogram model for 1-year readmission due to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). This was a single-center, retrospective cohort study. A total of 526 eligible participants were enrolled, which included 456 non-readmitted and 70 readmitted patients. Multivariate logistical regressions were performed to identify the independent risk factors for readmission, and a prediction nomogram model was developed based on the results of the regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram. Female (OR = 2.426; 95% CI: 1.395-4.218), hypertension (OR = 1.898; 95% CI: 1.100-3.275), 3-vessel disease (OR = 2.632; 95% CI: 1.332-5.201), in-hospital Ventricular arrhythmias (VA) (OR = 3.143; 95% CI: 1.305-7.574), peak cTnI (OR = 1.003; 95% CI: 1.001-1.004) and baseline NT-proBNP (OR = 1.001; 95% CI: 1.000-1.002) were independent risk factors for readmission (all P < 0.05). The nomogram exhibited good discrimination with the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.723, calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test; χ2 = 15.396, P = 0.052), and clinical usefulness. Female gender, hypertension, in-hospital VA, 3-vessel disease, baseline NT-proBNP, and peak cTnI were independent risk factors for readmission. The nomogram helped clinicians to identify the patients at risk of readmission before their hospital discharge, which may help reduce readmission rates.

NT pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels are related to microvascular reperfusion in patients undergoing direct percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty for anterior ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to describe the time course of NT pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT pro-BNP) levels in patients with large anterior ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) treated with primary angioplasty (PPCI) and to investigate the relationship between these values and both microvascular reperfusion and left ventricular (LV) function.

BACKGROUND

The clinical efficacy of PPCI is largely dependent on the achievement of microvascular reperfusion. Myocardial blush is an angiographic method to evaluate the presence of effective reperfusion after PPCI. NT pro-BNP is a biomarker of LV stress whose levels are also related to clinical outcome in STEMI.

METHODS

We studied 84 patients with large anterior STEMI treated with PPCI. NT pro-BNP was measured at baseline, after 2 days (day 2) and 7 days (day 7). Echocardiographic LV ejection fraction (LVEF) was measured at baseline, day 7 and after 6 months. Myocardial blush was graded immediately after PPCI.

RESULTS

NT pro-BNP increased from admission to day 2 and decreased from day 2 to day 7 in patients with significant myocardial blush (grade 2-3) as well as in patients with 0-1 myocardial blush. However, in the latter group median NT pro-BNP levels globally increased from admission to day 7, whereas they decreased in patients with significant myocardial blush. Moreover, in such patients LVEF was higher at all time points than in patients with a grade 0-1 myocardial blush.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that the time course of NT pro-BNP in the first week after an anterior STEMI is dependent on the effectiveness of microvascular reperfusion assessed after PPCI and reflects the evolution of LVEF over time.

Plasma N-terminal fragment of the prohormone B-type natriuretic peptide concentrations in relation to time to treatment and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) flow: a substudy of the Assessment of the Safety and Efficacy of a New Treatment Strategy with Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (ASSENT IV-PCI) trial

BACKGROUND

We investigated the prognostic significance of plasma N-terminal fragment of the prohormone B-type natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) concentrations in addition to time to reperfusion and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) flow before and after coronary intervention in patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) from the database of the Assessment of the Safety and Efficacy of a New Treatment Strategy with Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (ASSENT IV-PCI) trial.

METHODS

Plasma Nt-proBNP was available in 1,037 patients with STEMI. Patients were randomized either to primary (p-PCI) or to full-dose tenecteplase before PCI (f-PCI).The study end point was the composite of death, cardiogenic shock, or congestive heart failure at 90 days.

RESULTS

According to classification tree analysis, patients with Nt-proBNP levels >694 pg/mL had the highest primary end point rates (33.8% vs 11%, P < .001). In Cox regression analysis, Nt-proBNP >694 pg/mL strongly predicted 90-day survival even among patients with short treatment delay (f-PCI < or =3 hours: hazard ratio [HR] 2.63, P = .002 and p-PCI < or =3 hours: HR 4.87, P < .001, respectively). Patients with TIMI 3 flow after coronary intervention were at significantly higher risk of the primary end point if admission Nt-proBNP exceeded 694 pg/mL (f-PCI: HR 2.88, P < .001 and p-PCI: HR 3.84, P < .001, respectively). In multivariable analysis, Nt-proBNP >694 pg/mL significantly (P = .001) predicted 90-day survival in addition to age (P < .001), TIMI flow after PCI (P < .001), body mass index (P = .026), anterior wall infarction (P = .035), and systolic blood pressure at randomization (P = .036), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Elevated plasma concentrations of Nt-proBNP in the early phase of STEMI determine in-hospital and 90-day outcome after infarction irrespective of time to treatment and pre- or postinterventional TIMI flow.