Clinical utility and prognostic implications of the novel 4S-AF scheme to characterize and evaluate patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from ESC-EHRA EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry

Intelligent assessment of atrial fibrillation gradation based on sinus rhythm electrocardiogram and baseline information

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a progressive arrhythmia that significantly affects a patient's quality of life. The 4S-AF scheme is clinically recommended for AF management; however, the evaluation process is complex and time-consuming. This renders its promotion in primary medical institutions challenging. This retrospective study aimed to simplify the evaluation process and present an objective assessment model for AF gradation.

METHODS

In total, 189 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings from 64 patients were included in this study. The data were annotated into two groups (mild and severe) according to the 4S-AF scheme. Using a preprocessed ECG during the sinus rhythm (SR), we obtained a synthesized vectorcardiogram (VCG). Subsequently, various features were calculated from both signals, and age, sex, and medical history were included as baseline characteristics. Different machine learning models, including support vector machines, random forests (RF), and logistic regression, were finally tested with a combination of feature selection techniques.

RESULTS

The proposed method demonstrated excellent performance in the classification of AF gradation. With an optimized feature set of VCG and baseline features, the RF model achieved accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 83.02 %, 80.56 %, and 88.24 %, respectively, under the inter-patient paradigm.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrate the value of physiological signals in AF gradation evaluation, and VCG signals were effective in identifying mild and severe AF. Considering its low computational complexity and high assessment performance, the proposed model is expected to serve as a useful prognostic tool for clinical AF management.

Atrial fibrillation: stroke prevention

Stroke prevention is central to the management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) which has moved towards a more holistic or integrative care approach. The published evidence suggests that management of AF patients following such a holistic approach based on the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway is associated with a lower risk of stroke and adverse events. Risk assessment, re-assessment and use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are important for stroke prevention in AF. The stroke and bleeding risks of AF patients are not static and should be re-assessed regularly. Bleeding risk assessment is to address and mitigate modifiable bleeding risk factors, and to identify high bleeding risk patients for early review and follow-up. Well-controlled comorbidities and healthy lifestyles also play an important role to achieve a better clinical outcome. Digital health solutions are increasingly relevant in the diagnosis and management of patients with AF, with the potential to improve stroke prevention. In this review, we provide an update on stroke prevention in AF, including importance of holistic management, risk assessment/re-assessment, and stroke prevention for special AF populations. Evidence-based and structured management of AF patients would reduce the risk of stroke and other adverse events.

Anticoagulation in Patients with Atrial High-rate Episodes Detected by Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices

Atrial high-rate episodes (AHRE) are atrial tachyarrhythmias that are identified by the use of continuous rhythm monitoring devices such as pacemakers, defibrillators, or implantable cardiac monitors. Nevertheless, the therapeutic implications of these rhythm disturbances remain uncertain. The presence of AHRE is associated with an increased risk of stroke as compared to patients who do not exhibit AHRE. The utilisation of oral anticoagulation has the ability to mitigate the likelihood of stroke occurrence in patients with AHRE. However, it is important to note that this treatment approach is also linked to a severe bleeding rate of approximately 2% per year. The stroke rate among individuals diagnosed with AHRE appears to be comparatively lower when compared to patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation. The efficacy and safety of anticoagulation in patients with AHRE have yet to be definitively established. Further research is required to provide a comprehensive understanding of the effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulation in individuals with AHRE.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention: 25 years of research at EP Europace journal

Stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is one pillar of the management of this common arrhythmia. Substantial advances in the epidemiology and associated pathophysiology underlying AF-related stroke and thrombo-embolism are evident. Furthermore, the introduction of the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (also called direct oral anticoagulants) has clearly changed our approach to stroke prevention in AF, such that the default should be to offer oral anticoagulation for stroke prevention, unless the patient is at low risk. A strategy of early rhythm control is also beneficial in reducing strokes in selected patients with recent onset AF, when compared to rate control. Cardiovascular risk factor management, with optimization of comorbidities and attention to lifestyle factors, and the patient's psychological morbidity are also essential. Finally, in selected patients with absolute contraindications to long-term oral anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion or exclusion may be considered. The aim of this state-of-the-art review article is to provide an overview of the current status of AF-related stroke and prevention strategies. A holistic or integrated care approach to AF management is recommended to minimize the risk of stroke in patients with AF, based on the evidence-based Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway, as follows: A: Avoid stroke with Anticoagulation; B: Better patient-centred, symptom-directed decisions on rate or rhythm control; C: Cardiovascular risk factor and comorbidity optimization, including lifestyle changes.

Prognostic implications of the 4S-AF scheme to characterize new-onset atrial fibrillation after myocardial infarction

AIMS

The 4S-AF scheme (Stroke risk [St], Symptom severity [Sy], Severity of atrial fibrillation burden [Sb], Substrate [Su]) is a novel approach for the holistic characterization of AF. We aimed to investigate the prognostic implications of the 4S-AF scheme score in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF).

METHODS

We included 262 patients with post-MI NOAF who had complete data for the 4S-AF scheme evaluation between February 2014 and March 2018. The 4S-AF scheme score was calculated as a sum of each domain with a maximum of 9. The primary outcome was all-cause death.

RESULTS

Of 262 patients (66.0% males, mean age 74.5 ± 10.4 years) were analyzed. The mean 4S-AF scheme score was 5.0 ± 1.6. There were 62 (27.3%) all-cause deaths within a median follow-up of 2.6 years. According to multivariable Cox regression models, each 1-point increase in the 4S-AF scheme score was significantly associated with 39% increased all-cause mortality (HR: 1.39, 95% CI: 1.16-1.67, P<0.001), which was mainly driven by the Sb (HR: 1.43, 95%CI: 1.05-1.95, P = 0.025) and Su (HR: 1.53, 95%CI: 1.17-2.02, P = 0.002) domains. Adding the 4S-AF scheme score on top of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events score could significantly improve its discriminative capability (C-index from 0.713 to 0.761, P = 0.039) and reclassification performance (continuous net reclassification improvement: 41.0% [95%CI: 12.5-69.6]; integrated discrimination improvement: 5.1% [95%CI: 2.2-8.1]) for all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Characterization of NOAF using the 4S-AF scheme aids in the risk stratification of AMI patients with NOAF.

Managing high-risk atrial fibrillation patients with multiple comorbidities

Atrial fibrillation (AF) patients are often high risk being elderly and having multiple comorbidities. Many risk factors are established to be associated with new onset incident AF, as well as AF-related complications such as stroke and hospitalisations. Multimorbidity AF patients are high risk and require a holistic approach to care, which should be proactively managing with an integrated care or holistic approach as per the ABC (atrial fibrillation better care) pathway.

Contemporary management of atrial fibrillation and the predicted vs. absolute risk of ischaemic stroke despite treatment: a report from ESC-EHRA EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is important to facilitate guideline-directed therapies. The Calculator of Absolute Stroke Risk (CARS) scheme enables an individualized estimation of 1-year absolute risk of stroke in AF. We aimed to investigate the predicted and absolute risks of ischaemic stroke, and evaluate whether CARS (and CHA2DS2-VASc score) may be useful for identifying high risk patients with AF despite contemporary treatment.

METHODS

We utilized the EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry which prospectively enrolled patients with AF from 250 centres across 27 participating European countries. Patients with sufficient data to determine CARS and CHA2DS2-VASc score, and reported outcomes of ischaemic stroke were included in this analysis. The primary outcome of ischaemic stroke was recorded over a 2-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

A total of 9444 patients were included (mean age 69.1 [±11.4] years; 3776 [40.0%] females). There was a high uptake (87.9%) of anticoagulation therapy, predominantly with vitamin K antagonist (50.0%). Over a mean follow-up period of 24 months, there were a total of 101 (1.1%) ischaemic stroke events. In the entire cohort, the median CARS and absolute annual risks of ischaemic stroke were 2.60 (IQR 1.60-4.00) and 0.53% (95%CI 0.43-0.64%), respectively. There was no statistical difference between the predictive performance of CARS and CHA2DS2-VASc score (0.621 [95%CI 0.563-0.678] vs. 0.626 [95%CI 0.573-0.680], P = 0.725).

CONCLUSION

Contemporary management of AF was associated with a low risk of ischaemic stroke. CARS and CHA2DS2-VASc score may be useful to identify high risk patients despite treatment who may benefit from more aggressive treatment and follow-up.

Clinical utility and prognostic implications of the 4S-AF scheme: Report from Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society Atrial Fibrillation Registry

BACKGROUND

The 4S-AF classification scheme comprises of four domains (stroke risk [St], symptoms [Sy], severity of atrial fibrillation (AF) burden [Sb] and substrate [Su]), which has been recommended in the 2020 ESC guidelines to characterize and evaluate patients with AF.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to determine whether the 4S-AF scheme would be useful for AF characterization and provides prognostic information in a large contemporary prospective Asian registry conducted by the Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS).

METHODS

Among 4666 patients enrolled in APHRS registry, 3586 of them whose data about left atrial (LA) dimension and European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) symptom score were available have constituted as the study population. The 4S-AF score was calculated as the sum of each domain with a maximum score of 9. The clinical endpoint was defined as the 1-year composite risk of any thromboembolic event, ischaemic stroke, heart failure, acute coronary syndrome, significant coronary artery disease requiring coronary intervention and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Based on the 4S-AF domains, 86.7% were 'non-low risk' for stroke; 94.3% had EHRA Class I-II, 48.5% were newly diagnosed or paroxysmal AF; and only 8.4% had no cardiovascular risk factors or LA enlargement. The risk of clinical events was higher in patients who were 'non-low risk' for stroke (aOR 2.175, 95% CI 1.060-4.461), with permanent AF (aOR 1.579, 95% CI 1.106-2.225) and increasing points for substrate (aORs 2.376-4.968 from score 2 to 4). When compared to the first tertile of 4S-AF score (0-3 points), patients in the second tertile (4-5 points) had approximately 2.5-fold increase in adverse events (OR 2.478, 95% CI 1.678-3.661, p < .001), while those in the third tertile (6-9 points), had a 3.5-fold increase (OR 3.484, 95% CI 2.322-5.226, p < .001), both without significant differences between the 5 participating countries (p for interaction > .05). If all 4S-AF domains were appropriately treated, this was associated with a lower risk of composite clinical outcomes (aOR 0.384, p < .001; p for interaction for different countries = .234).

CONCLUSIONS

Categorization according to the 4S-AF scheme can be related to the risk of the composite adverse event rate in Asian AF patients, and appropriate treatments based on the 4S-AF scheme resulted in better clinical outcomes. These observations support the characterization and management according to the 4S-AF scheme in Asian patients.

Impact of Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation on Quality of Life

Atrial fibrillation is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia in adults. It is a complex arrhythmia leading to increased morbidity and mortality requiring thorough assessment and classification to guide therapy and to assess whether to pursue rate or rhythm control therapy. To obtain rhythm control, several strategies are available with different advantages and disadvantages concerning success rate and safety. Apart from antiarrhythmic drugs, catheter ablation is a well-established invasive therapy to treat atrial fibrillation. As quality of life is a very important factor to pursue rhythm control, several studies investigated on the specific impact of catheter ablation on quality of life. Catheter ablation shows a beneficial effect on quality of life in paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation independent of the timepoint and strategy of catheter ablation.