Antral follicle count and anti-Müllerian hormone to classify low-prognosis women under the POSEIDON criteria: a classification agreement study of over 9000 patients

Clinical factors associated with unexpected poor or suboptimal response in Poseidon criteria patients

RESEARCH QUESTION

What clinical factors are associated with 'unexpected' poor or suboptimal responses to IVF ovarian stimulation per POSEIDON's criteria, and which AMH and AFC threshold values distinguish this population?

DESIGN

Tri-centre retrospective cohort study (2015-2017) involving first-time IVF and ICSI cycles with conventional ovarian stimulation (≥150 IU/day of FSH). Eligibility criteria included sufficient ovarian reserve markers according to POSEIDON's classification (AMH ≥1.2 ng/ml; AFC ≥5). Ovarian response categories were poor (<4 oocytes), suboptimal (4-9 oocytes) and normal (≥9 oocytes). Primary outcomes included clinical factors associated with an unexpected poor or suboptimal response to conventional ovarian stimulation using logistic regression analyses, and the threshold values of AMH and AFC predicting increased risk of such responses using ROC curves.

RESULTS

A total of 7625 patients met the inclusion criteria: 204 (9.3%) were poor and 1998 (90.7%) were suboptimal responders. Logistic regression identified significant clinical predictors for a poor or suboptimal response, including AFC, AMH, total gonadotrophin dose, gonadotrophin type and trigger type (P ≤ 0.02). The ROC curves indicated that AMH 2.87 ng/ml (AUC 0.740) and AFC 12 (AUC 0.826) were the threshold values predicting a poor or suboptimal response; AMH 2.17 ng/ml (AUC 0.741) and AFC 9 (AUC 0.835) predicted a poor response; and AMH 2.97 ng/ml (AUC 0.722) and AFC 12 (AUC 0.801) predicted a suboptimal response.

CONCLUSIONS

The threshold values of AMH and AFC predicting 'unexpected' poor or suboptimal response were higher than expected. These findings have critical implications for tailoring IVF stimulation regimens and dosages.

What is the optimal number of embryos to transfer for POSEIDON group 1 and group 2? A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The 2016 Patient-Oriented Strategy Encompassing IndividualizeD Oocyte Number (POSEIDON) criteria redefined the poor responders as low prognosis patients. The embryo transfer strategy for POSEIDON patients remained to be addressed. This study aimed to investigate the optimized number of embryos to transfer for unexpected low-prognosis patients (POSEIDON Group 1 and Group 2) with blastocyst transfer in their first frozen cycle.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of 2970 patients who underwent frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) between January 2018 and December 2021. Patients from POSEIDON Group 1 (N = 219) and Group 2 (N = 135) who underwent blastocyst transfer in their first FET cycles were included and divided into the elective single embryo transfer (eSET) group and the double embryo transfer (DET) group.

RESULTS

For POSEIDON Group 1, the live birth rate per embryo transfer of the DET group was slightly higher than the eSET group (52.17% vs 46.15%, OR 0.786, 95% CI 0.462-1.337, P = 0.374; adjusted OR (aOR) 0.622, 95% CI 0.340-1.140, P = 0.124), while a significant increase of 20.00% in the multiple birth rate was shown. For Group 2, higher live birth rates were observed in the DET group compared to the eSET group (38.46% vs 20.48%, OR 0.412, 95% CI 0.190-0.892, P = 0.024; aOR 0.358, 95% CI 0.155-0.828, P = 0.016). The difference in the multiple birth rate was 20.00% without statistical significance. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that age (OR 0.759, 95% CI .624-0.922, P = 0.006 and OR 0.751, 95% CI 0.605-0.932, P = 0.009) and the number of transferred embryos (OR 0.412, 95% CI 0.190-0.892, P = 0.024 and OR 0.367, 95% CI 0.161-0.840, P = 0.018) were significant variables for the live birth rate in POSEIDON Group 2.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings in the present study showed that eSET was preferred in the first frozen cycle for POSEIDON Group 1 to avoid unnecessary risks. Double embryo transfer strategy could be considered to improve the success rate for POSEIDON Group 2 with caution. Further stratification by age is needed for a more scientific discussion about the embryo transfer strategy for POSEIDON patients.

Comparison of miscarriage rates in low prognosis patients according to the POSEIDON criteria

OBJECTIVE

The POSEIDON criteria stratified patients with poor ovarian response into four subgroups with exclusive characteristics and assisted reproductive technology success rates. However, limited studies focused on miscarriage in the POSEIDON population. This study aimed to explore whether the miscarriage rate different among low prognosis patients according to POSEIDON criteria.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective observational study. All clinical pregnancies achieved after in vitro fertilization or intracytoplasmic sperm injection treatment between January 1998 and April 2021 were analyzed. The primary outcome was miscarriage, defined as the pregnancy loss before 20 weeks of gestation age. Miscarriage rate was estimated per clinical pregnancy and gestational sac.

RESULTS

A total of 1222 clinical pregnancies from 1088 POSEIDON patients met the inclusion criteria. The miscarriage rates per clinical pregnancy in each POSEIDON subgroup were as follows: Group 1: 11.7 %, Group 2: 26.5 %, Group 3: 20.9 %, and Group 4: 37.5 %. The miscarriage rate per gestational sac showed a similar trend as the clinical miscarriage rate. Multivariate regression analysis showed that advanced maternal age is an independent factor for miscarriage (Group 2 vs. 1: OR 2.476; Group 4 vs. 3: OR 2.252). Patients with diminished ovarian reserve (DOR) have higher miscarriage risks but without significance (Group 3 vs. 1: OR 1.322; Group 4 vs. 2: OR 1.202).

CONCLUSION

Miscarriage rates differed among low prognosis patients according to the POSEIDON criteria. Age remains a determined risk for miscarriage. DOR might be a potential factor for miscarriage, but it didn't account for a significant impact in POSEIDON patients.

Association of 'normal' early follicular FSH concentrations with unexpected poor or suboptimal response when ovarian reserve markers are reassuring: a retrospective cohort study

RESEARCH QUESTION

Are basal FSH measurements, when elevated within its normal range, useful for assessing overall ovarian response and predicting unexpected poor or suboptimal ovarian response?

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study of ovarian stimulation cycles.

RESULTS

A total of 1058 ovarian stimulation cycles (891 first, 167 repeated) were included. Anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) values were categorized into four (0 to ≤0.6, >0.6 to ≤1.2, >1.2 to ≤3.0, >3.0 to ≤6.25 ng/ml) and basal FSH levels into four groups (<25th percentile: >3.5 to 6.1 IU/ml; 25-75th percentile: >6.1 to ≤8.5 IU/ml; >75-90th percentile: >8.5 to ≤9.9 IU/ml; >90th percentile: >9.9 to ≤12.5 IU/ml). Including only first cycles, a significant independent effect of basal FSH on retrieved cumulus-oocyte complex (COC) count was seen for all basal FSH categories (>90th, >75 to ≤90th, >25 to ≤75th compared with ≤25th percentile, P < 0.001, P = 0.001 and P = 0.007, respectively), when adjusted for age, body mass index (BMI), AMH, antral follicle count (AFC), starting dose and gonadotrophin type. Including only first cycles, patients aged 35 years or older with AFC of 5 or above and AMH 1.2 ng/ml or above, showed significantly higher odds of unexpected poor or suboptimal response if they had higher basal FSH values. Most prominently in the above 90th percentile group (OR 8.64, 95% CI 2.84 to 28.47 compared with <25th percentile) but lower categories (>25th to ≤75th percentile: OR 3.04, 95% CI 1.42 t 6.99; >75th to ≤90th percentile: OR 3.47, 95% CI 1.28 to 9.83 compared with ≤25th percentile) also showed a significant association after adjusting for age, AMH, BMI, AFC, dose, and gonadotrophin type. In patients with a second cycle, an increase in FSH levels in the second round compared with the first was associated with fewer retrieved COCs (estimate: -0.44, 95% CI -0.44 to -0.05, P = 0.027). This effect was adjusted for changes in age, FSH, AFC, starting dose, stimulation duration and change in medication type.

CONCLUSIONS

Basal FSH is independently associated with overall ovarian response. Moreover, it is associated with unexpected poor or suboptimal response in patients, who would fulfill POSEIDON group 2 criteria after oocyte retrieval.

Significance of serum AMH and antral follicle count discrepancy for the prediction of ovarian stimulation response in Poseidon criteria patients

PURPOSE

To determine the risk of not being a poor responder in ovarian stimulation (OS) for in vitro fertilization (IVF) when ovarian reserve markers are discordant-one falling within Poseidon's criteria normal range (e.g., anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) ≥ 1.2 ng/mL or antral follicle count (AFC) ≥ 5), and the other in the poor ovarian reserve range.

METHODS

A tri-center retrospective cohort study (2015-2017) involving women with discordant AMH and AFC values undergoing their first IVF/ICSI cycle using conventional OS (cOS, ≥ 150 IU/day of follicle-stimulating hormone). Discordant serum AMH and AFC values were defined according to Poseidon's criteria (AMH < 1.2 ng/mL and AFC ≥ 5 or AMH ≥ 1.2 ng/mL and AFC < 5). Poor ovarian response (POR) was < 4 retrieved oocytes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine AMH and AFC cut-offs for non-POR. Logistic regression analysis evaluated factors associated with non-POR.

RESULTS

Out of 8797 patients who underwent assessment with both AMH and AFC, 1172 (13.3%) exhibited discordant values. Of these, 854 (72.9%) had ≥ 4 oocytes retrieved. Within this group, 726 (85.0%) had "low" AMH values, whereas 128 (15.0%) had "low" AFCs. An AFC of 6 had 77% sensitivity and 52% specificity (AUC = 0.700), while AMH of 1.19 ng/mL had 31% sensitivity and 85% specificity (AUC = 0.492) for non-POR. AFC and the use of recombinant gonadotropins were positive predictors of non-POR.

CONCLUSIONS

When serum AMH is < 1.19 ng/mL, but AFC is ≥ 6, there is a moderate likelihood of a non-POR during stimulation. Conversely, if AFC is < 5 but serum AMH is ≥ 1.19 ng/mL, the chances of non-POR are low. Among patients with discordant markers, AFC emerges as the primary predictor of oocyte yield.

Thyroid hormones and ovarian reserve: a comprehensive study of women seeking infertility care

BACKGROUND

Ovarian reserve is the number of oocytes remaining in the ovary and is one of the most important aspects of a woman's reproductive potential. Research on the association between thyroid dysfunction and ovarian reserve has yielded controversial results. In our study, we aimed to investigate the relationship between thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels and ovarian reserve markers.

METHODS

From 1443 women seeking infertility care, the data of 1396 women aged between 20-45 years old who had a body mass index between 18-30 kg/m2 were recruited for this retrospective study. The anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) and TSH relationship was analyzed with generalized linear and polynomial regression.

RESULTS

Median age, follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH), AMH, and TSH levels were 36.79 years, 9.55 IU/L, 3.57 pmol/L, and 1.80 mIU/L, respectively. Differences between TSH groups were statistically significant in terms of AMH level, antral follicle count (AFC), and age (p = 0.007 and p = 0.038, respectively). A generalized linear regression model could not explain age-matched TSH levels concerning AMH levels (p > 0.05). TSH levels were utilized in polynomial regression models of AMH, and the 2nd degree was found to have the best fit. The inflection point of the model was 2.88 mIU/L.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows a correlation between TSH and AMH values in a population of infertile women. Our results are as follows: a TSH value of 2.88 mIU/L yields the highest AMH result. It was also found that AMH and AFC were positively correlated, while AMH and FSH were negatively correlated.

Bologna vs. POSEIDON criteria as predictors of the likelihood of obtaining at least one euploid embryo in poor ovarian response: an analysis of 6,889 cycles

OBJECTIVE

To study the likelihood of obtaining at least 1 euploid embryo for transfer in poor ovarian response (POR) diagnosed per Bologna and Patient-Oriented Strategies Encompassing IndividualizeD Oocyte Number (POSEIDON) criteria, and compare it between groups and with patients without POR.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

PATIENTS

Women undergoing an ovarian stimulation cycle with intention to pursue preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy.

INTERVENTIONS

Bologna criteria and the POSEIDON classification system were applied to characterize each stimulation cycle as POR or not. Cycles identified as POR by POSEIDON were subdivided into groups I, II, III, and IV as defined by this classification system.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The proportion of cycles resulting in at least 1 euploid blastocyst. Other outcome measures included cycle yields (metaphase II oocytes, fertilized oocytes, blastocysts, and euploid blastocysts), and euploidy rate per embryo cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 6,889 cycles were included, of which 3,653 (53.0%) were classified as POR per POSEIDON criteria: 1.5% (100/6,889) in group I, 3.2% (222/6,889) in II, 11.9% (817/6,889) in III, and 36.5% (2,514/6,889) in IV. Per Bologna criteria, 23.4% (1,612/6,889) of cycles were classified as POR. Group I had similar likelihood of obtaining at least 1 euploid embryo (97.0%; 95% confidence interval, 91.5%-99.2%) as cycles not deemed POR (91.9%; 95% confidence interval, 90.9%-2.8%), whereas this decreased significantly with each subsequent POSEIDON group (II: 77.9%, 72.0%-82.9%; III: 70.5%, 67.3%-73.5%; IV: 44.8%, 42.9%-46.7%) and those meeting Bologna criteria had the lowest rates (31.9%, 29.7%-34.3%). Cycle yields correlated with ovarian reserve testing results, whereas euploidy rates were associated with age.

CONCLUSIONS

Although younger POSEIDON groups (I and III) have higher euploidy rates than older groups (II and IV), each incremental POSEIDON group poses a higher risk of having no euploid blastocysts; with POSEIDON I being no different from non-POSEIDON, and Bologna having the worst prognosis. Although ovarian reserve appears to have little impact on euploidy rates, it remains a key prognostic factor for having at least 1 euploid embryo available for transfer through its impact on oocyte yield. To our knowledge, this is the first study to provide the odds ratio of this outcome depending on the degree of POR.

Islamic Perspectives on Elective Ovarian Tissue Freezing by Single Women for Non-medical or Social Reasons

Non-medical or Social egg freezing (oocyte cryopreservation) is currently a controversial topic in Islam, with contradictory fatwas being issued in different Muslim countries. While Islamic authorities in Egypt permit the procedure, fatwas issued in Malaysia have banned single Muslim women from freezing their unfertilized eggs (vitrified oocytes) to be used later in marriage. The underlying principles of the Malaysian fatwas are that (i) sperm and egg cells produced before marriage, should not be used during marriage to conceive a child; (ii) extraction of mature egg cells from single women being unacceptable; and (iii) fertility preservation in anticipation of late marriage is a conjecture that has not yet occurred. Ovarian tissue freezing can potentially be a more Shariah-compliant alternative to social egg freezing, because once the frozen ovarian cortical tissue sections have been re-transplanted back into the woman, mature egg cells can readily be produced, collected, and fertilized by the husband's sperm only during the period of marriage contract ('akd al-nikāḥ). Unlike accidental mix-ups with frozen eggs, muddling of lineage (nasab) would be automatically avoided in ovarian tissue freezing due to immunological rejection. However, upon critical analysis based on Qawā'id Fiqhiyyah (Islamic Legal Maxims), Maqāṣid-al-Shariah (Higher Objectives of Islamic Law), and Maslaḥah-Mafsadah (benefits versus harmful effects on society), elective ovarian tissue freezing by healthy single women for social reasons would likely be a highly contentious and controversial issue within Muslim communities that may conflict with conservative social-religious norms. This thus needs further debate among Islamic jurists in dialogue with medical doctors and biomedical scientists.

Cumulative live birth rates and birth outcomes after IVF/ICSI treatment cycles in young POSEIDON patients: A real-world study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to describe the cumulative live birth rates (CLBRs) of young women with or without low prognosis according to the POSEIDON criteria after IVF/ICSI cycles and to investigate whether the diagnosis of low prognosis increases the risk of abnormal birth outcomes.

DESIGN

Retrospective study.

SETTING

A single reproductive medicine center.

POPULATION

From January 2016 to October 2020, there were 17,893 patients (<35 years) involved. After screening, 4,105 women were included in POSEIDON group 1, 1,375 women were included in POSEIDON group 3, and 11,876 women were defined as non-POSEIDON.

INTERVENTIONS

Baseline serum AMH level was measured on the D2-D3 of menstrual cycle before IVF/ICSI treatment.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Cumulative live birth rate (CLBR), birth outcomes.

RESULTS

After four stimulation cycles, the CLBRs in POSEIDON group 1, POSEIDON group 3, and non-POSEIDON group reached 67.9% (95% CI, 66.5%-69.3%), 51.9% (95% CI, 49.2%-54.5%), and 79.6% (95% CI, 78.9%-80.3%), respectively. There was no difference in gestational age, preterm delivery, cesarean delivery, and low birth weight infants between the three groups, but macrosomia was significantly higher in non-POSEIDON group, after adjusting for maternal age and BMI.

CONCLUSIONS

The POSEIDON group shows lower CLBRs than the non-POSEIDON group in young women, while the risk of abnormal birth outcomes in the POSEIDON group will not increase.

POSEIDON groups and their distinct reproductive outcomes: Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness insights from real-world data research

The Patient-Oriented Strategies Encompassing IndividualizeDOocyte Number (POSEIDON) criteria identify and classify the so-called 'low-prognosis' patients undergoing assisted reproductive technology (ART). Recent large-scale studies using real-world data (RWD) have shown that patients classified under this system have distinct reproductive outcomes. Moreover, these studies also confirm that POSEIDON patients are commonly found in fertility centers. RWD has substantiated the validity of the POSEIDON biomarkers' thresholds (antral follicle count [AFC] and/or anti-Müllerian hormone [AMH]) for patient classification. Lastly, a predictive model has been developed and validated to estimate the POSEIDON metric of success (i.e., number of oocytes needed to achieve at least one euploid blastocyst). Although more evidence is needed in this area, current insights from RWD research indicate that infertility patients can be counseled and managed more effectively under the POSEIDON scope, with potential gains for all parties involved.

Is social egg freezing (oocyte cryopreservation) for single women permissible in Islam? A perspective from Singapore

Elective egg freezing (oocyte cryopreservation) for fertility preservation - commonly referred to as social egg freezing or non-medical egg freezing, will be permitted in Singapore from 2023. There is a need for clear religious directives on social egg freezing for the minority Muslim population in Singapore, due to conflicting Fatwas on this medical procedure that were issued in different Islamic countries, in particular Egypt and Malaysia. Although social egg freezing would be beneficial for the fertility preservation of many single Muslim women who are unable to start a family due to various personal circumstances, there are also various potential risks and harms of this medical procedure at the individual and societal level. Hence, based on Maqasid Al-Shariah, by which preventing harm takes precedence over securing benefit in medical treatment (Tadawi), it is posited that social egg freezing should be classified as Makruh, which is permissible but discouraged in Islam.

Evaluation of Female Fertility-AMH and Ovarian Reserve Testing

CONTEXT

Evaluation of the infertile female requires an understanding of ovulation and biomarkers of ovarian reserve. Antimüllerian hormone (AMH) correlates with growing follicles in a menstrual cycle. Increasingly, AMH has been used as a "fertility test." This narrative review describes how to integrate the use of AMH into diagnosis and treatment.

METHODS

A PubMed search was conducted to find recent literature on measurements and use of serum AMH as a marker of ovarian reserve and in treatment of infertility.

RESULTS

Serum AMH estimates ovarian reserve, helps determine dosing in ovarian stimulation, and predicts stimulation response. As such, AMH is a good marker of oocyte quantity but does not reflect oocyte health or chances for pregnancy. Screening of AMH before fertility treatment should be used to estimate expected response and not to withhold treatment. Low AMH levels may suggest a shortened reproductive window. AMH levels must be interpreted in the context of the endogenous endocrine environment where low follicle-stimulating hormone, due to hypogonadotropic hypogonadism or hormonal contraceptive use, may lower AMH without being a true reflection of ovarian reserve. In addition, there is an inverse correlation between body mass index and AMH that does not reflect ovarian response.

CONCLUSION

AMH is a useful marker of ovarian reserve in reproductive-aged women. Increased screening of noninfertile women requires a thorough knowledge of situations that may affect AMH levels. In no situation does AMH reflect oocyte health or chances for conception. Age is still the strongest driver in determining success rates with fertility treatments.

Fertility preservation and management of pregnancy in melanoma patients requiring systemic therapy

Melanoma is one of the most common cancers in adolescents and adults at fertile age, especially in women. With novel and more effective systemic therapies that began to profoundly change the dismal outcome of melanoma by prolonging overall survival, the wish for fertility preservation or even parenthood has to be considered for a growing portion of melanoma patients-from the patients' as well as from the physicians' perspective. The dual blockade of the mitogen-activated protein kinase pathway by B-Raf proto-oncogene serine/threonine kinase and mitogen-activated protein kinase inhibitors and the immune checkpoint inhibition by anti-programmed cell death protein 1 and anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated protein-4 monoclonal antibodies constitute the current standard systemic approaches to combat locally advanced or metastatic melanoma. Here, the preclinical data and clinical evidence of these systemic therapies are reviewed in terms of their potential gonadotoxicity, teratogenicity, embryotoxicity and fetotoxicity. Recommendations for routine fertility and contraception counseling of melanoma patients at fertile age are provided in line with interdisciplinary recommendations for the diagnostic work-up of these patients and for fertility-protective measures. Differentiated recommendations for the systemic therapy in both the adjuvant and the advanced, metastatic treatment situation are given. In addition, the challenges of pregnancy during systemic melanoma therapy are discussed.

Cumulative delivery rate per aspiration IVF/ICSI cycle in POSEIDON patients: a real-world evidence study of 9073 patients

STUDY QUESTION

What is the cumulative delivery rate (CDR) per aspiration IVF/ICSI cycle in low-prognosis patients as defined by the Patient-Oriented Strategies Encompassing IndividualizeD Oocyte Number (POSEIDON) criteria?

SUMMARY ANSWER

The CDR of POSEIDON patients was on average ∼50% lower than in normal responders and varied across POSEIDON groups; differences were primarily determined by female age, number of embryos obtained, number of embryo transfer (ET) cycles per patient, number of oocytes retrieved, duration of infertility, and BMI.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

The POSEIDON criteria aim to underline differences related to a poor or suboptimal treatment outcome in terms of oocyte quality and quantity among patients undergoing IVF/ICSI, and thus, create more homogenous groups for the clinical management of infertility and research. POSEIDON patients are presumed to be at a higher risk of failing to achieve a live birth after IVF/ICSI treatment than normal responders with an adequate ovarian reserve. The CDR per initiated/aspiration cycle after the transfer of all fresh and frozen–thawed/warmed embryos has been suggested to be the critical endpoint that sets these groups apart. However, no multicenter study has yet substantiated the validity of the POSEIDON classification in identifying relevant subpopulations of patients with low-prognosis in IVF/ICSI treatment using real-world data.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

Multicenter population-based retrospective cohort study involving 9073 patients treated in three fertility clinics in Brazil, Turkey and Vietnam between 2015 and 2017.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

Participants were women with infertility between 22 and 42 years old in their first IVF/ICSI cycle of standard ovarian stimulation whose fresh and/or frozen embryos were transferred until delivery of a live born or until all embryos were used. Patients were retrospectively classified according to the POSEIDON criteria into four groups based on female age, antral follicle count (AFC), and the number of oocytes retrieved or into a control group of normal responders (non-POSEIDON). POSEIDON patients encompassed younger (<35 years) and older (35 years or above) women with an AFC ≥5 and an unexpected poor (<4 retrieved oocytes) or suboptimal (4–9 retrieved oocytes) response to stimulation, and respective younger and older counterparts with an impaired ovarian reserve (i.e. expected poor responders; AFC <5). Non-POSEIDON patients were those with AFC ≥5 and >9 oocytes retrieved. CDR was computed per one aspirated cycle. Logistic regression analysis was carried out to examine the association between patient classification and CDR.

MAIN RESULTS AND ROLE OF CHANCE

The CDR was lower in the POSEIDON patients than in the non-POSEIDON patients (33.7% vs 50.6%; P < 0.001) and differed across POSEIDON groups (younger unexpected poor responder [Group 1a; n = 212]: 27.8%, younger unexpected suboptimal responder [Group 1b; n = 1785]: 47.8%, older unexpected poor responder [Group 2a; n = 293]: 14.0%, older unexpected suboptimal responder [Group 2b; n = 1275]: 30.5%, younger expected poor responder [Group 3; n = 245]: 29.4%, and older expected poor responder [Group 4; n = 623]: 12.5%. Among unexpected suboptimal/poor responders (POSEIDON Groups 1 and 2), the CDR was twice as high in suboptimal responders (4–9 oocytes retrieved) as in poor responders (<4 oocytes) (P = 0.0004). Logistic regression analysis revealed that the POSEIDON grouping, number of embryos obtained, number of ET cycles per patient, number of oocytes collected, female age, duration of infertility and BMI were relevant predictors for CDR (P < 0.001).

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

Our study relied on the antral follicle count as the biomarker used for patient classification. Ovarian stimulation protocols varied across study centers, potentially affecting patient classification.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

POSEIDON patients exhibit lower CDR per aspirated IVF/ICSI cycle than normal responders; the differences are mainly determined by female age and number of oocytes retrieved, thereby reflecting the importance of oocyte quality and quantity. Our data substantiate the validity of the POSEIDON criteria in identifying relevant subpopulations of patients with low-prognosis in IVF/ICSI treatment. Efforts in terms of early diagnosis, prevention, and identification of specific interventions that might benefit POSEIDON patients are warranted.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

Unrestricted investigator-sponsored study grant (MS200059_0013) from Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. The funder had no role in study design, data collection, analysis, decision to publish or manuscript preparation. S.C.E. declares receipt of unrestricted research grants from Merck and lecture fees from Merck and Med.E.A. H.Y. declares receipt of payment for lectures from Merck and Ferring. L.N.V. receives speaker fees and conferences from Merck, Merck Sharp and Dohme (MSD) and Ferring and research grants from MSD and Ferring. J.F.C. declares receipt of statistical services fees from ANDROFERT Clinic. T.M.H. received speaker fees and conferences from Merck, MSD and Ferring. P.H. declares receipt of unrestricted research grants from Merck, Ferring, Gedeon Richter and IBSA and lecture fees from Merck, Gedeon Richter and Med.E.A. C.A. declares receipt of unrestricted research grants from Merck and lecture fees from Merck. The remaining authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.