Maternal hCG concentrations in early IVF pregnancies: associations with number of cells in the Day 2 embryo and oocytes retrieved

Increased maternal hCG concentrations in early in vitro pregnancy with elevated basal FSH

Objective

To investigate factors that influence maternal hCG concentration in early pregnancy and the relationship between hCG concentration in early pregnancy and basal FSH (bFSH) level.

Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting

Reproductive medical center.

Patient(s)

In total, 482 women aged 22 to 38 years with elevated basal FSH (> 10 IU/L) and who experienced a single live birth after in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer were selected. These 482 women were age-matched with an equal number of women with normal basal FSH (≤10 IU/L) who also experienced a single live birth.

Intervention(s)

None.

Main Outcome Measure(s)

HCG concentration.

Result(s)

The hCG concentrations on Day 14 and Day 21 were 560.46 (363.63–842.52) IU/L and 9862.00 (6512.25–14029.50) IU/L, respectively, in the elevated bFSH group, and these values were significantly increased compared with the normal bFSH group. After adjusting for confounding factors, the concentrations of maternal hCG on Day 14 and Day 21 were significantly associated with basal FSH. In addition, crude linear regression analysis demonstrated that hCG concentrations increased as the basal serum levels of FSH increased.

Conclusion(s)

Elevated basal FSH has implications for the interpretation of hCG concentrations in early pregnancy after in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer (IVF-ET) that led to a single live birth.

Predictive value of serum progesterone level on β-hCG check day in women with previous repeated miscarriages after in vitro fertilization

Objective

To evaluate the predictive value of the progesterone level at the beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) check day for ongoing pregnancy maintenance in in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles in women with previous unexplained repeated miscarriages.

Materials and methods

One hundred and forty-eight women, with visible gestational sac after IVF, were recruited in this observational study. All subjects had unexplained recurrent miscarriages in more than two previous IVF cycles. The progesterone level at the β-hCG check day (i.e. 14 days after oocyte retrieval) was assessed. The area under the curve (AUC) of the progesterone level was evaluated to predict the ongoing pregnancy or miscarriage outcomes.

Results

The overall ongoing pregnancy rate was 60.8% (90/148). The cut-off value with β-hCG levels higher than 126.5 mIU/mL and with progesterone levels higher than 25.2 ng/mL could be the predictive factors for ongoing pregnancy maintenance (AUC = 0.788 and 0.826; sensitivity = 0.788 and 0.723; specificity = 0.689 and 0.833; P < 0.0001 and P < 0.0001, respectively). The miscarriage rates were 19.5% (15/77) in the women with β-hCG > 126.5 mIU/mL and 13.0% (10/77) in those with > 25.2 ng/mL. In the comparison of the ROC curves between both values, a similar significance was found. The subjects with β-hCG > 126.5 mIU/mL and progesterone > 25.2 ng/mL showed higher ongoing pregnancy rates [98.0% (49/50) vs. 41.8% (41/98)] than those with β-hCG ≤ 126.5 mIU/mL or progesterone ≤ 25.2 ng/mL.

Conclusions

The progesterone level at 14 days after oocyte retrieval can be a good predictive marker for ongoing pregnancy maintenance in women with repeated IVF failure with miscarriage, together with the β-hCG level. The combined cut-off value of progesterone > 25.2 ng/mL and β-hCG > 126.5 mIU/mL may suggest a good prognosis.