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Daemen JHT, Heuts S, Rezazadah Ardabili A, Maessen JG, Hulsewé KWE, Vissers YLJ, de Loos ER. Development of Prediction Models for Cardiac Compression in Pectus Excavatum Based on Three-Dimensional Surface Images. Semin Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2023; 35:202-212. [PMID: 34785353 DOI: 10.1053/j.semtcvs.2021.11.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/30/2021] [Accepted: 11/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
In pectus excavatum, three-dimensional (3D) surface imaging provides an accurate and radiation-free alternative to computed tomography (CT) to determine severity. Yet, it does not allow for cardiac evaluation since 3D imaging solely captures the chest wall surface. The objective was to develop a 3D image-based prediction model for cardiac compression in patients evaluated for pectus excavatum. A prospective cohort study was conducted including consecutive patients referred for pectus excavatum who received a thoracic CT. Additionally, 3D images were acquired. The external pectus depth, its length, craniocaudal position, cranial slope, asymmetry, anteroposterior distance and chest width were calculated from 3D images. Together with baseline patient characteristics they were submitted to forward multivariable logistic regression to identify predictors for cardiac compression. Cardiac compression on CT was used as reference. The model's performance was depicted by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. Internal validation was performed using bootstrapping. Sixty-one patients were included of whom 41 had cardiac compression on CT. A combination of the 3D image derived external pectus depth and external anteroposterior distance was identified as predictive for cardiac compression, yielding an AUROC of 0.935 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.878-0.992) with an optimism of 0.006. In a second model for males alone, solely the external pectus depth was identified as predictor, yielding an AUROC of 0.947 (95% CI: 0.892-1.000) with an optimism of 0.0002. We have developed two 3D image-based prediction models for cardiac compression in patients evaluated for pectus excavatum which provide an outstanding discriminatory performance between the presence and absence of cardiac compression with negligible optimism.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jean H T Daemen
- Department of Surgery, Division of General Thoracic Surgery, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, The Netherlands; Faculty of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences (FHML), School for Oncology and Developmental Biology (GROW), Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Samuel Heuts
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Ashkan Rezazadah Ardabili
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Jos G Maessen
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands; Faculty of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences (FHML), Cardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Karel W E Hulsewé
- Department of Surgery, Division of General Thoracic Surgery, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, The Netherlands
| | - Yvonne L J Vissers
- Department of Surgery, Division of General Thoracic Surgery, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, The Netherlands
| | - Erik R de Loos
- Department of Surgery, Division of General Thoracic Surgery, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, The Netherlands.
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Daemen JHT, Coorens NA, Hulsewé KWE, Maal TJJ, Maessen JG, Vissers YLJ, de Loos ER. Three-dimensional Surface Imaging for Clinical Decision Making in Pectus Excavatum. Semin Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2021; 34:1364-1373. [PMID: 34380079 DOI: 10.1053/j.semtcvs.2021.08.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2021] [Accepted: 08/02/2021] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
To evaluate pectus excavatum, 3-dimensional surface imaging is a promising radiation-free alternative to computed tomography and plain radiographs. Given that 3-dimensional images concern the external surface, the conventional Haller index, and correction index are not applicable as these are based on internal diameters. Therefore, external equivalents have been introduced for 3-dimensional images. However, cut-off values to help determine surgical candidacy using external indices are lacking. A prospective cohort study was conducted. Consecutive patients referred for suspected pectus excavatum received a computed tomography (≥18 years) or plain radiographs (<18 years). The external Haller index and external correction index were calculated from additionally acquired 3-dimensional images. Cut-off values for the 3-dimensional image derived indices were obtained by receiver-operating characteristic curve analyses, using a conventional Haller index ≥3.25, and computed tomography derived correction index ≥28.0% as indicative for surgery. Sixty-one and 63 patients were included in the computed tomography and radiograph group, respectively. To determine potential surgical candidacy, receiver-operating characteristic analyses found an optimum cut-off of ≥1.83 for the external Haller index in both the computed tomography and radiograph group with a positive predictive value between 0.90 and 0.97 and a negative predictive value between 0.72 and 0.81. The optimal cut-off for the external correction index was ≥15.2% with a positive predictive value of 0.86 and negative predictive value of 0.93. The 3-dimensional image derived external Haller index and external correction index are accurate radiation-free alternatives to facilitate surgical decision-making among patients suspected of pectus excavatum with values of ≥1.83 and ≥15.2% indicative for surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jean H T Daemen
- Department of Surgery, Division of General Thoracic Surgery, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, the Netherlands; Faculty of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences (FHML), School for Oncology and Developmental Biology (GROW), Maastricht, the Netherlands
| | - Nadine A Coorens
- Department of Surgery, Division of General Thoracic Surgery, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, the Netherlands
| | - Karel W E Hulsewé
- Department of Surgery, Division of General Thoracic Surgery, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, the Netherlands
| | - Thomas J J Maal
- 3D Lab, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, the Netherlands
| | - Jos G Maessen
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, the Netherlands; Faculty of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences (FHML), Cardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht, the Netherlands
| | - Yvonne L J Vissers
- Department of Surgery, Division of General Thoracic Surgery, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, the Netherlands
| | - Erik R de Loos
- Department of Surgery, Division of General Thoracic Surgery, Zuyderland Medical Center, Heerlen, the Netherlands.
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