1
|
Feikin DR, Karron RA, Saha SK, Sparrow E, Srikantiah P, Weinberger DM, Zar HJ. The full value of immunisation against respiratory syncytial virus for infants younger than 1 year: effects beyond prevention of acute respiratory illness. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2024; 24:e318-e327. [PMID: 38000374 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(23)00568-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2023] [Revised: 09/01/2023] [Accepted: 09/06/2023] [Indexed: 11/26/2023]
Abstract
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of severe respiratory illness and death among children worldwide, particularly in children younger than 6 months and in low-income and middle-income countries. Feasible and cost-effective interventions to prevent RSV disease are not yet widely available, although two new products aimed at preventing RSV disease-long-acting monoclonal antibodies and maternal vaccines-have been licensed within the past 2 years. The primary target of these products is reduction of the substantial burden of RSV-associated acute lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) in infants younger than 1 year. However, other important public health benefits might also accrue with the prevention of RSV-associated LRTI during the first year of life. Mounting evidence shows that preventing RSV-associated LRTI in infants younger than 1 year could prevent secondary pneumonia caused by other pathogens, reduce recurrent hospitalisations due to other respiratory diseases in later childhood, decrease all-cause infant mortality, ameliorate the burden of respiratory diseases on health-care systems, reduce inappropriate antibiotic use, and possibly improve lung health beyond infancy. We herein review current evidence and suggest approaches to better assess the magnitude of these potential secondary effects of RSV prevention, which, if proven substantial, are likely to be relevant to policy makers in many countries as they consider the use of these new products.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Daniel R Feikin
- Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
| | - Ruth A Karron
- Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Samir K Saha
- Child Health Research Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Bangladesh Shishu Hospital and Institute, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Erin Sparrow
- Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | | | - Daniel M Weinberger
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Heather J Zar
- Department of Paediatrics & Child Health, Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa; SA-MRC Unit on Child & Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Fleming JA, Baral R, Higgins D, Khan S, Kochar S, Li Y, Ortiz JR, Cherian T, Feikin D, Jit M, Karron RA, Limaye RJ, Marshall C, Munywoki PK, Nair H, Newhouse LC, Nyawanda BO, Pecenka C, Regan K, Srikantiah P, Wittenauer R, Zar HJ, Sparrow E. Value profile for respiratory syncytial virus vaccines and monoclonal antibodies. Vaccine 2023; 41 Suppl 2:S7-S40. [PMID: 37422378 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.09.081] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/24/2022] [Revised: 09/26/2022] [Accepted: 09/27/2022] [Indexed: 07/10/2023]
Abstract
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the predominant cause of acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) in young children worldwide, yet no licensed RSV vaccine exists to help prevent the millions of illnesses and hospitalizations and tens of thousands of young lives taken each year. Monoclonal antibody (mAb) prophylaxis exists for prevention of RSV in a small subset of very high-risk infants and young children, but the only currently licensed product is impractical, requiring multiple doses and expensive for the low-income settings where the RSV disease burden is greatest. A robust candidate pipeline exists to one day prevent RSV disease in infant and pediatric populations, and it focuses on two promising passive immunization approaches appropriate for low-income contexts: maternal RSV vaccines and long-acting infant mAbs. Licensure of one or more candidates is feasible over the next one to three years and, depending on final product characteristics, current economic models suggest both approaches are likely to be cost-effective. Strong coordination between maternal and child health programs and the Expanded Program on Immunization will be needed for effective, efficient, and equitable delivery of either intervention. This 'Vaccine Value Profile' (VVP) for RSV is intended to provide a high-level, holistic assessment of the information and data that are currently available to inform the potential public health, economic and societal value of pipeline vaccines and vaccine-like products. This VVP was developed by a working group of subject matter experts from academia, non-profit organizations, public private partnerships and multi-lateral organizations, and in collaboration with stakeholders from the WHO headquarters. All contributors have extensive expertise on various elements of the RSV VVP and collectively aimed to identify current research and knowledge gaps. The VVP was developed using only existing and publicly available information.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jessica A Fleming
- Center for Vaccine Innovation and Access, PATH, 2201 Westlake Ave Suite 200, Seattle, WA 98121, United States.
| | - Ranju Baral
- Center for Vaccine Innovation and Access, PATH, 2201 Westlake Ave Suite 200, Seattle, WA 98121, United States.
| | - Deborah Higgins
- Center for Vaccine Innovation and Access, PATH, 2201 Westlake Ave Suite 200, Seattle, WA 98121, United States.
| | - Sadaf Khan
- Maternal, Newborn, Child Health and Nutrition, PATH, 2201 Westlake Ave Suite 200, Seattle, WA 98121, United States.
| | - Sonali Kochar
- Global Healthcare Consulting and Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Hans Rosling Center, 3980 15th Ave NE, Seattle, WA 98105, United States.
| | - You Li
- School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, No. 101 Longmian Avenue, Jiangning District, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province 211166, PR China.
| | - Justin R Ortiz
- Center for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, 685 West Baltimore Street, Baltimore, MD 21201-1509, United States.
| | - Thomas Cherian
- MMGH Consulting GmbH, Kuerbergstrasse 1, 8049 Zurich, Switzerland.
| | - Daniel Feikin
- Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, World Health Organization, Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland.
| | - Mark Jit
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, University of London, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, United Kingdom.
| | - Ruth A Karron
- Center for Immunization Research, Johns Hopkins University, Department of International Health, 624 N. Broadway, Rm 117, Baltimore, MD 21205, United States.
| | - Rupali J Limaye
- International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21205, United States.
| | - Caroline Marshall
- Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, World Health Organization, Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland.
| | - Patrick K Munywoki
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention, KEMRI Complex, Mbagathi Road off Mbagathi Way, PO Box 606-00621, Village Market, Nairobi, Kenya.
| | - Harish Nair
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, United Kingdom.
| | - Lauren C Newhouse
- Center for Vaccine Innovation and Access, PATH, 2201 Westlake Ave Suite 200, Seattle, WA 98121, United States.
| | - Bryan O Nyawanda
- Kenya Medical Research Institute, Hospital Road, P.O. Box 1357, Kericho, Kenya.
| | - Clint Pecenka
- Center for Vaccine Innovation and Access, PATH, 2201 Westlake Ave Suite 200, Seattle, WA 98121, United States.
| | - Katie Regan
- Center for Vaccine Innovation and Access, PATH, 2201 Westlake Ave Suite 200, Seattle, WA 98121, United States.
| | - Padmini Srikantiah
- Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, 500 5th Ave N, Seattle, WA 98109, United States.
| | - Rachel Wittenauer
- Department of Pharmacy, University of Washington, Health Sciences Building, 1956 NE Pacific St H362, Seattle, WA 98195, United States.
| | - Heather J Zar
- Department of Paediatrics & Child Health and SA-MRC Unit on Child & Adolescent Health, Red Cross Children's Hospital, University of Cape Town, Klipfontein Road, Rondebosch, Cape Town 7700, South Africa.
| | - Erin Sparrow
- Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, World Health Organization, Avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland.
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Li Y, Wang X, Blau DM, Caballero MT, Feikin DR, Gill CJ, Madhi SA, Omer SB, Simões EAF, Campbell H, Pariente AB, Bardach D, Bassat Q, Casalegno JS, Chakhunashvili G, Crawford N, Danilenko D, Do LAH, Echavarria M, Gentile A, Gordon A, Heikkinen T, Huang QS, Jullien S, Krishnan A, Lopez EL, Markić J, Mira-Iglesias A, Moore HC, Moyes J, Mwananyanda L, Nokes DJ, Noordeen F, Obodai E, Palani N, Romero C, Salimi V, Satav A, Seo E, Shchomak Z, Singleton R, Stolyarov K, Stoszek SK, von Gottberg A, Wurzel D, Yoshida LM, Yung CF, Zar HJ, Nair H. Global, regional, and national disease burden estimates of acute lower respiratory infections due to respiratory syncytial virus in children younger than 5 years in 2019: a systematic analysis. Lancet 2022; 399:2047-2064. [PMID: 35598608 PMCID: PMC7613574 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(22)00478-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 508] [Impact Index Per Article: 254.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2022] [Revised: 02/21/2022] [Accepted: 03/08/2022] [Indexed: 01/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most common cause of acute lower respiratory infection in young children. We previously estimated that in 2015, 33·1 million episodes of RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection occurred in children aged 0-60 months, resulting in a total of 118 200 deaths worldwide. Since then, several community surveillance studies have been done to obtain a more precise estimation of RSV associated community deaths. We aimed to update RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection morbidity and mortality at global, regional, and national levels in children aged 0-60 months for 2019, with focus on overall mortality and narrower infant age groups that are targeted by RSV prophylactics in development. METHODS In this systematic analysis, we expanded our global RSV disease burden dataset by obtaining new data from an updated search for papers published between Jan 1, 2017, and Dec 31, 2020, from MEDLINE, Embase, Global Health, CINAHL, Web of Science, LILACS, OpenGrey, CNKI, Wanfang, and ChongqingVIP. We also included unpublished data from RSV GEN collaborators. Eligible studies reported data for children aged 0-60 months with RSV as primary infection with acute lower respiratory infection in community settings, or acute lower respiratory infection necessitating hospital admission; reported data for at least 12 consecutive months, except for in-hospital case fatality ratio (CFR) or for where RSV seasonality is well-defined; and reported incidence rate, hospital admission rate, RSV positive proportion in acute lower respiratory infection hospital admission, or in-hospital CFR. Studies were excluded if case definition was not clearly defined or not consistently applied, RSV infection was not laboratory confirmed or based on serology alone, or if the report included fewer than 50 cases of acute lower respiratory infection. We applied a generalised linear mixed-effects model (GLMM) to estimate RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection incidence, hospital admission, and in-hospital mortality both globally and regionally (by country development status and by World Bank Income Classification) in 2019. We estimated country-level RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection incidence through a risk-factor based model. We developed new models (through GLMM) that incorporated the latest RSV community mortality data for estimating overall RSV mortality. This review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42021252400). FINDINGS In addition to 317 studies included in our previous review, we identified and included 113 new eligible studies and unpublished data from 51 studies, for a total of 481 studies. We estimated that globally in 2019, there were 33·0 million RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection episodes (uncertainty range [UR] 25·4-44·6 million), 3·6 million RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection hospital admissions (2·9-4·6 million), 26 300 RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection in-hospital deaths (15 100-49 100), and 101 400 RSV-attributable overall deaths (84 500-125 200) in children aged 0-60 months. In infants aged 0-6 months, we estimated that there were 6·6 million RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection episodes (4·6-9·7 million), 1·4 million RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection hospital admissions (1·0-2·0 million), 13 300 RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection in-hospital deaths (6800-28 100), and 45 700 RSV-attributable overall deaths (38 400-55 900). 2·0% of deaths in children aged 0-60 months (UR 1·6-2·4) and 3·6% of deaths in children aged 28 days to 6 months (3·0-4·4) were attributable to RSV. More than 95% of RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection episodes and more than 97% of RSV-attributable deaths across all age bands were in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). INTERPRETATION RSV contributes substantially to morbidity and mortality burden globally in children aged 0-60 months, especially during the first 6 months of life and in LMICs. We highlight the striking overall mortality burden of RSV disease worldwide, with one in every 50 deaths in children aged 0-60 months and one in every 28 deaths in children aged 28 days to 6 months attributable to RSV. For every RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection in-hospital death, we estimate approximately three more deaths attributable to RSV in the community. RSV passive immunisation programmes targeting protection during the first 6 months of life could have a substantial effect on reducing RSV disease burden, although more data are needed to understand the implications of the potential age-shifts in peak RSV burden to older age when these are implemented. FUNDING EU Innovative Medicines Initiative Respiratory Syncytial Virus Consortium in Europe (RESCEU).
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- You Li
- School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China; Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Xin Wang
- School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China; Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Dianna M Blau
- Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Mauricio T Caballero
- Fundacion INFANT, Buenos Aires, Argentina; Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Daniel R Feikin
- Department of Immunizations, Vaccines, and Biologicals, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Christopher J Gill
- Boston University School of Public Health, Department of Global Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Shabir A Madhi
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Sciences, Johannesburg, South Africa; African Leadership Initiative in Vaccinology Expertise, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Sciences, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Saad B Omer
- Yale Institute for Global Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Eric A F Simões
- Department of Pediatrics, Section of Infectious Diseases, University of Colorado, School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA; Department of Epidemiology and Center for Global Health, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, CO, USA
| | - Harry Campbell
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ana Bermejo Pariente
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Darmaa Bardach
- National Center for Communicable Diseases (Mongolia), Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | - Quique Bassat
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic - Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique; Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Jean-Sebastien Casalegno
- Hospices Civils de Lyon, Hôpital de la Croix-Rousse, Centre de Biologie Nord, Institut des Agents Infectieux, Laboratoire de Virologie, Lyon, France
| | | | - Nigel Crawford
- The Royal Children's Hospital, Melbourne, Australia; Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Paediatrics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Daria Danilenko
- Smorodintsev Research Institute of Influenza, Saint Petersburg, Russia
| | - Lien Anh Ha Do
- Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Paediatrics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Marcela Echavarria
- Clinical Virology Unit, Centro de Educación Médica e Investigaciones Clínicas, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Angela Gentile
- Ricardo Gutierrez Children Hospital, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Aubree Gordon
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Terho Heikkinen
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Turku and Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland
| | - Q Sue Huang
- WHO National Influenza Centre, Institute of Environmental Science and Research, Wellington, New Zealand
| | - Sophie Jullien
- ISGlobal, Hospital Clínic - Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Jigme Dorji Wangchuck National Referral Hospital, Gongphel Lam, Thimphu, Bhutan
| | - Anand Krishnan
- Centre for Community Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Eduardo Luis Lopez
- Hospital de Niños Dr. Ricardo Gutiérrez, Department of Medicine, Pediatric Infectious Diseases Program, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Joško Markić
- Department of Pediatrics, University Hospital Split, Split, Croatia; University of Split, School of Medicine, Split, Croatia
| | - Ainara Mira-Iglesias
- Área de Investigación en Vacunas, Fundación para el Fomento de la Investigación Sanitaria y Biomédica de la Comunitat Valenciana, Salud Pública, Valencia, Spain
| | - Hannah C Moore
- Wesfarmers Centre for Vaccines and Infectious Diseases, Telethon Kids Institute, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia
| | - Jocelyn Moyes
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Lawrence Mwananyanda
- Boston University School of Public Health, Department of Global Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - D James Nokes
- Kenya Medical Research Institute-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya; School of Life Sciences, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK
| | - Faseeha Noordeen
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Peradeniya, Peradeniya, Sri Lanka
| | - Evangeline Obodai
- Virology Department, Noguchi Memorial Institute for Medical Research, University of Ghana, Legon, Accra, Ghana
| | - Nandhini Palani
- Department of Microbiology, Jawaharlal Institute of Postgraduate Medical Education & Research, Puducherry, India
| | | | - Vahid Salimi
- Department of Virology, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ashish Satav
- MAHAN Trust Mahatma Gandhi Tribal Hospital, Karmgram, Utavali, Tahsil, Dharni, India
| | - Euri Seo
- Department of Pediatrics, Dongguk University Ilsan Hospital, Dongguk University College of Medicine, Goyang, South Korea
| | - Zakhar Shchomak
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Santa Maria, Centro Hospitalar Universitário Lisboa Norte, Lisbon, Portugal
| | | | - Kirill Stolyarov
- Smorodintsev Research Institute of Influenza, Saint Petersburg, Russia
| | | | - Anne von Gottberg
- School of Pathology, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Sciences, Johannesburg, South Africa; National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Danielle Wurzel
- Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Lay-Myint Yoshida
- Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Chee Fu Yung
- Infectious Diseases Service, Department of Paediatrics, KK Women's and Children's Hospital, Singapore; Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore; Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Imperial College, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
| | - Heather J Zar
- Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, and South African Medical Research Council Unit on Child & Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town and Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Harish Nair
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Respiratory Syncytial Virus Network Foundation, Zeist, Netherlands, on behalf of the Respiratory Virus Global Epidemiology Network, and the RESCEU investigators.
| |
Collapse
|