Vaccine effectiveness following routine immunization with bivalent HPV vaccine: Protection against incident genital HPV infections from a reduced-dosing schedule

How has post-implementation surveillance of high-coverage vaccination with HPV16/18-AS04 vaccine in England added to evidence about its cross-protective effects?

BACKGROUND

Bivalent human papillomavirus HPV16/18-AS04 vaccine (Cervarix, GSK) offers direct protection against HPV16/18. Results from randomised controlled trials showed cross protective effects and suggested that declines in some closely related HPV types could be expected in a population with high vaccination coverage.

AIM

To evaluate the evidence for cross-protection afforded by HPV16/18-AS04 from post-implementation surveillance in England, and how this complements clinical trial data and post-implementation observations in other countries.

METHODS

Evidence of cross-protection in young women offered vaccination with HPV16/18-AS04 was gathered from HPV surveillance in England. Data from clinical trials and other post-implementation studies were reviewed.

RESULTS

Surveillance using anonymised residual specimens in England found declines of 52.3%, 67.4% and 33.3% against grouped HPV-31/33/45 in 16-18, 19-21, and 22-24 year olds, respectively. Additionally, type-specific analysis found that the prevalence of HPV31 declined to below 1% across all age groups. Cross-protection has been monitored and maintained for over 10 years since the introduction of the vaccination programme. Cross-protection against HPV6/11 was not found in English surveillance outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Surveillance of type-specific infections in vaccine-eligible populations in England has generated clear evidence of cross-protective effects from HPV16/18-AS04 vaccination against high-risk HPV 31/33/45 infections, consistent with other post-implementation observations and confirming and in some ways exceeding expectations from clinical trials.

Evidence for an HPV one-dose schedule

The World Health Organization has recently updated their dosing schedule recommendations for the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine to include a single-dose schedule. We review the biologic plausibility of a single dose, the evidence from clinical trials, post-licensure observational studies, and mathematical modeling for a single-dose schedule. We also discuss the implications of countries switching to a single-dose program from a two or three-dose schedule. Finally, we review the countries that have currently switched to or introduced the vaccine with a single-dose schedule.

Immune response following a two-dose schedule of bivalent HPV vaccination among girls and boys

Background

This longitudinal cohort study describes the kinetics in antibody levels after two doses of the bivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine in girls (birth cohort 2001) vaccinated in the routine Dutch vaccination program at 12 years of age, up to 7.5 years post-vaccination. Also, the antibody response one month post-vaccination of the first cohort of boys (birth cohort 2012, vaccinated at 10 years of age) eligible for HPV vaccination in the Netherlands is presented.

Method

Blood samples and questionnaire data were collected of girls and boys. HPV type-specific antibody concentrations (LU/mL) against HPV16/18/31/33/45/52/58 were assessed using a validated virus-like particle (VLP) multiplex immunoassay. For girls, antibody decays over time were modelled using the modified power-law decay model and the exponential decay model.

Results

The Geometric Mean Concentrations (GMCs) remained higher for HPV16/18 than for HPV types 31, 33, 45, 52, and 58 among girls up to 7.5 years post-vaccination. The antibody levels of HPV16 and HPV18 reached plateau values of 482 and 159 LU/mL, respectively. Mathematical modelling showed that the half-life values of HPV16/18 were 2.4- to 4.5-fold higher compared with the half-life values of the other HPV types. Among boys (aged 10 years), the GMC for HPV16 was significantly higher than among girls one month post-vaccination (aged 12 years).

Conclusion

The GMCs of all HPV types declined over time, although the GMCs of HPV16/18 remained relatively high up to 7.5 years post-vaccination. The GMCs for HPV16/18 among boys were at least equally high as the GMCs among girls at one month post-vaccination. Further follow-up of the cohort of boys is needed to gain knowledge on long-term immune responses of young boys following bivalent HPV vaccination.

Harnessing the post-vaccination era: Do emerging HPV types represent a new threat?

While the HPV vaccine is highly effective, it is unknown whether other, untargeted viral types could occupy empty niches to become an emerging threat. In this issue of Cell Host & Microbe, Pimenoff and colleagues present a community-level epidemiological analysis of HPV types up to 8 years after different vaccination policies.

Effects of 2 and 3 Vaccinations With the Bivalent Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine on the Prevalence and Load of HPV in Clearing and Persistent Infections in Young Women

BACKGROUND

Human papillomavirus (HPV) viral load (VL) is associated with persistence, which increases cervical cancer risk. The bivalent vaccine protects against oncogenic HPV-16/18 and cross-protects against several nonvaccine types. We examined the effect of 2-dose (2D) and 3-dose (3D) vaccination on HPV prevalence and VL in clearing infections and persistent infections, 6 years and 12 years postvaccination, respectively.

METHODS

Vaginal swabs collected from the "HPV Amongst Vaccinated and Non-vaccinated Adolescents" study (HAVANA, 3D-eligible) and HAVANA-2 (2D-eligble) participants were genotyped for HPV with the SPF10-DEIA-LiPA25 system. HPV VL was measured with type-specific quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR).

RESULTS

HPV-16, -18, -31, -33, and -45 clearing and/or persistent infection prevalence and HPV-16, -18, and -31 VLs in clearing infections were significantly reduced in 3D-vaccinated women compared to unvaccinated women. Except for HPV-11 and -59 clearing infections, no significant VL differences were observed among vaccinated women, ≤6 and >6 years post-vaccination. Infection numbers were low in 2D-eligible women, with no HPV-16/18 in vaccinated women. No VL differences for the remaining types were found.

CONCLUSIONS

3D vaccination reduces HPV prevalence in clearing infections and persistent infections and decreases HPV VLs in clearing infections, 12 years post-vaccination for vaccine and several nonvaccine types. 2D-eligible women had low infection numbers, with no HPV-16/18 among vaccinated women.

Human papillomavirus prevalence and vaccine effectiveness in young women in Germany, 2017/2018: results from a nationwide study

Background

Infections with human papillomaviruses (HPV) are sexually transmitted and can cause cancer. In Germany, vaccination against HPV is recommended for girls and boys aged 9-17 years. We aimed to investigate HPV DNA prevalence, genotype distribution and vaccine effectiveness (VE) in women aged 20-25 years 10 years after the introduction of HPV vaccination in Germany (2018-2019), and compared these data to an equally designed study from 2010-2012.

Methods

Seventy six geographical clusters were randomly selected, followed by random selection of 61 women aged 20-25 years per cluster. Participants performed cervicovaginal self-sampling and answered questions on demographics, sexual behaviour and HPV vaccination. Samples were tested for 18 high risk and nine low risk HPV genotypes. We performed chi-square tests, Fisher's exact test, unpaired Student's t-test and proportion t-test, and calculated crude and adjusted prevalence ratios (PR) and 95% CIs.

Results

Of 7,858 contacted women a total of 1,226 agreed to participate. Of these, 94 women were positive for HPV types 16 and/or 18. HPV16 prevalence was 7.0% (95% CI 5.6-8.6) and HPV18 prevalence was 0.8% (95% CI 0.4-1.5). HPV6 and HPV11 were rare with only five (0.4%; 0.1-0.9) and one (0%; 95% CI 0.0-0.5) positive tests. Seven hundred fifty-seven women (62%) had received at least one HPV vaccine dose and 348 (28%) were vaccinated as currently recommended. Confounder-adjusted VE was 46.4% (95% CI 4.2-70.1) against HPV16/18 infection and 49.1% (95% CI 8.2-71.8) against infection with at least one HPV genotype covered by the quadrivalent HPV vaccine. Compared with the 2010-2012 study results, HPV16/18 prevalence dropped from 22.5% (95% CI 19.0-26.3) to 10.3% (95% CI 7.5-13.9; p < 0.0001) in unvaccinated participants.

Conclusion

Vaccine-covered HPV genotypes were rare among 20-25 years old women in Germany and decreased compared to the time point shortly after the start of the HPV vaccination program. HPV prevalence of almost all vaccine-covered genotypes was strongly reduced in vaccinated participants. A decrease of HPV16 and HPV18 was even observed in unvaccinated participants, compared to 2010-2012 data, suggesting indirect protection of unvaccinated women. Low VE against HPV16/18 and HPV6/11/16/18 in our study might be attributable to study design in combination with the endpoint selection of (mainly transient) HPV DNA positivity.

Impact, cost-effectiveness, and budget implications of HPV vaccination in Kenya: A modelling study

BACKGROUND

Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest rate of cervical cancer cases and deaths worldwide. Kenya introduced a quadrivalent HPV vaccine (GARDASIL, hereafter referred to as GARDASIL-4) for ten-year-old girls in late 2019 with donor support from Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance. As Kenya may soon graduate from Gavi support, it is important to evaluate the potential cost-effectiveness and budget impact of the current HPV vaccine, and potential alternatives.

METHODS

We used a proportionate outcomes static cohort model to evaluate the annual budget impact and lifetime cost-effectiveness of vaccinating ten-year-old girls over the period 2020-2029. We included a catch-up campaign for girls aged 11-14 years in 2020. We estimated cervical cancer cases, deaths, disability adjusted life years (DALYs), and healthcare costs (government and societal perspective) expected to occur with and without vaccination over the lifetimes of each cohort of vaccinated girls. For each of the four products available globally (CECOLIN©, CERVARIX©, GARDASIL-4©, and GARDASIL-9 ©), we estimated the cost (2021 US$) per DALY averted compared to no vaccine and to each other. Model inputs were obtained from published sources, as well as local stakeholders.

RESULTS

We estimated 320,000 cases and 225,000 deaths attributed to cervical cancer over the lifetimes of the 14 evaluated birth cohorts. HPV vaccination could reduce this burden by 42-60 %. Without cross-protection, CECOLIN had the lowest net cost and most attractive cost-effectiveness. With cross-protection, CERVARIX was the most cost-effective. Under either scenario the most cost-effective vaccine had a 100 % probability of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$ 100 (5 % of Kenya's national gross domestic product per capita) compared to no vaccination. Should Kenya reach its target of 90 % coverage and graduate from Gavi support, the undiscounted annual vaccine program cost could exceed US$ 10 million per year. For all three vaccines currently supported by Gavi, a single-dose strategy would be cost-saving compared to no vaccination.

CONCLUSION

HPV vaccination for girls is highly cost-effective in Kenya. Compared to GARDASIL-4, alternative products could provide similar or greater health benefits at lower net costs. Substantial government funding will be required to reach and sustain coverage targets as Kenya graduates from Gavi support. A single dose strategy is likely to have similar benefits for less cost.

Human papillomavirus vaccine effectiveness by number of doses: Updated systematic review of data from national immunization programs

BACKGROUND

Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines were first licensed as a three-dose series. Two doses are now widely recommended in some age groups; there are data suggesting high efficacy with one dose. We updated a systematic literature review of HPV vaccine effectiveness by number of doses in observational studies.

METHODS

We searched Medline and Embase databases from January 1, 2007, through September 29, 2021. Data were extracted and summarized in a narrative synthesis. We also conducted quality assessments for bias due to selection, information, and confounding.

RESULTS

Overall, 35 studies were included; all except one were conducted within the context of a recommended three-dose schedule. Evaluations were in countries that used bivalent HPV vaccine (seven), quadrivalent HPV vaccine (27) or both (one). Nine evaluated effectiveness against HPV infection, ten anogenital warts, and 16 cervical abnormalities. All studies were judged to have moderate or serious risk of bias. The biases rated as serious would likely result in lower effectiveness with fewer doses. Investigators attempted to control for or stratify by potentially important variables, such as age at vaccination. Eight studies evaluated impact of buffer periods (lag time) for case counting and 10 evaluated different intervals between doses for two-dose vaccine recipients. Studies that stratified by vaccination age found higher effectiveness with younger age at vaccination, although differences were not all formally tested. Most studies found highest estimates of effectiveness with three doses; significant effectiveness was found among 28/29 studies that evaluated three doses, 19/29 that evaluated two doses, and 18/30 that evaluated one dose. Some studies that adjusted or stratified analyses by age at vaccination found similar effectiveness with three, two and one doses.

CONCLUSION

Observational studies of HPV vaccine effectiveness have many biases. Studies examining persons vaccinated prior to sexual activity and using methods to reduce sources of bias are needed for valid effectiveness estimates.