A randomized trial of a standard dose of Edmonston-Zagreb measles vaccine given at 4.5 months of age: effect on total hospital admissions

Discovering Subgroups of Children With High Mortality in Urban Guinea-Bissau: Exploratory and Validation Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The decline in global child mortality is an important public health achievement, yet child mortality remains disproportionally high in many low-income countries like Guinea-Bissau. The persisting high mortality rates necessitate targeted research to identify vulnerable subgroups of children and formulate effective interventions.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to discover subgroups of children at an elevated risk of mortality in the urban setting of Bissau, Guinea-Bissau, West Africa. By identifying these groups, we intend to provide a foundation for developing targeted health interventions and inform public health policy.

METHODS

We used data from the health and demographic surveillance site, Bandim Health Project, covering 2003 to 2019. We identified baseline variables recorded before children reached the age of 6 weeks. The focus was on determining factors consistently linked with increased mortality up to the age of 3 years. Our multifaceted methodological approach incorporated spatial analysis for visualizing geographical variations in mortality risk, causally adjusted regression analysis to single out specific risk factors, and machine learning techniques for identifying clusters of multifactorial risk factors. To ensure robustness and validity, we divided the data set temporally, assessing the persistence of identified subgroups over different periods. The reassessment of mortality risk used the targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) method to achieve more robust causal modeling.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 21,005 children. The mortality risk (6 weeks to 3 years of age) was 5.2% (95% CI 4.8%-5.6%) for children born between 2003 and 2011, and 2.9% (95% CI 2.5%-3.3%) for children born between 2012 and 2016. Our findings revealed 3 distinct high-risk subgroups with notably higher mortality rates, children residing in a specific urban area (adjusted mortality risk difference of 3.4%, 95% CI 0.3%-6.5%), children born to mothers with no prenatal consultations (adjusted mortality risk difference of 5.8%, 95% CI 2.6%-8.9%), and children from polygamous families born during the dry season (adjusted mortality risk difference of 1.7%, 95% CI 0.4%-2.9%). These subgroups, though small, showed a consistent pattern of higher mortality risk over time. Common social and economic factors were linked to a larger share of the total child deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

The study's results underscore the need for targeted interventions to address the specific risks faced by these identified high-risk subgroups. These interventions should be designed to work to complement broader public health strategies, creating a comprehensive approach to reducing child mortality. We suggest future research that focuses on developing, testing, and comparing targeted intervention strategies unraveling the proposed hypotheses found in this study. The ultimate aim is to optimize health outcomes for all children in high-mortality settings, leveraging a strategic mix of targeted and general health interventions to address the varied needs of different child subgroups.

Measles vaccination and reduced child mortality: Prevention of immune amnesia or beneficial non-specific effects of measles vaccine?

Measles vaccine (MV) has been observed to reduce all-cause mortality more than explained by prevention of measles infection. Recently, prevention of "measles-induced immune amnesia" (MIA) has been proposed as an explanation for this larger-than-anticipated beneficial effect of measles vaccine (MV). According to the "MIA hypothesis", immune amnesia leads to excess non-measles morbidity and mortality, that may last up to five years after measles infection, but may be prevented by MV. However, the benefits of MV-vaccinated children could also be due to beneficial non-specific effects (NSEs) of MV, reducing the risk of non-measles infections (The "NSE hypothesis"). The epidemiological studies do provide some support for MIA, as exposure to measles infection before 6 months of age causes long-term MIA, and over 6 months of age for 2-3 months. However, in children over 6 months of age, the MIA hypothesis is contradicted by several epidemiological patterns: First, in community studies that adjusted for MV status, children surviving acute measles infection had lower mortality than uninfected controls (44%(95%CI: 0-69%)). Second, in six randomised trials and six observational studies comparing MV-vaccinated and MV-unvaccinated children, the benefit of MV changed minimally from 54%(43-63%) to 49%(37-59%) when measles cases were censored in the survival analysis, making it unlikely that prevention of measles and its long-term consequences explained much of the reduced mortality. Third, several studies conducted in measles-free contexts still showed significantly lower mortality after MV (55%(40-67%)). Fourth, administration of MV in the presence of maternal measles antibody (MatAb) is associated with much stronger beneficial effect for child survival than administration of MV in the absence of MatAb (55%(35-68%) lower mortality). The MIA hypothesis alone cannot explain the strongly beneficial effects of MV on child survival. Conversely, the hypothesis that MV has beneficial non-specific immune training effects is compatible with all available data. Consideration should be given to continuing MV even when measles has been eradicated.

Overall effect of a campaign with measles vaccine on the composite outcome mortality or hospital admission: A cluster-randomized trial among children aged 9-59 months in rural Guinea-Bissau

OBJECTIVES

Campaigns with measles vaccine (C-MV) are conducted to eradicate measles, but prior studies indicate that MV reduces non-measles mortality and hospital admissions too. We hypothesized that C-MV reduces death/hospital admission by 30%.

METHODS

Between 2016-2019, we conducted a non-blinded cluster-randomized trial randomizing village clusters in rural Guinea-Bissau to a C-MV targeting children aged 9-59 months. In Cox proportional hazards models, we assessed the effect of C-MV, obtaining hazard ratios (HR) for the composite outcome (death/hospital admission). We also examined potential effect modifiers.

RESULTS

Among 18,411 children (9636 in 111 intervention clusters/8775 in 110 control clusters), 379 events occurred (208 intervention/171 control) during a median follow-up period of 22 months. C-MV did not reduce the composite outcome (HR 1.12, 95% confidence interval 0.88-1.41). Mortality among enrolled children (5.3 intervention and 4.6 control, per 1000 person-years) was approximately half the pre-trial mortality rate (11.1 intervention and 8.9 control, per 1000 person-years). Neither planned nor explorative analyses of potential effect modifiers explained the contrasting results to prior studies.

CONCLUSION

C-MV did not reduce overall mortality or hospital admission. This might be explained by changes in disease patterns, baseline differences in health status, and/or modifying effects of other campaigns during follow-up.

Measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine at age 6 months and hospitalisation for infection before age 12 months: randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To test for potential non-specific effects of an additional, early measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine at age 5-7 months on risk of infection related hospitalisation before age 12 months.

DESIGN

Randomised, double blinded, placebo controlled trial.

SETTING

Denmark, a high income setting with low exposure to MMR.

PARTICIPANTS

6540 Danish infants aged 5 to 7 months.

INTERVENTIONS

Infants were randomly allocated 1:1 to intramuscular injection with standard titre MMR vaccine (M-M-R VaxPro) or placebo (solvent only).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Hospitalisations for infection, defined as all hospital contacts of infants referred from primary care for hospital evaluation and with an infection diagnosed, analysed as recurrent events, from randomisation to 12 months of age. In secondary analyses implications of censoring for date of subsequent diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, polio, Haemophilus influenzae type B, and immunisation with pneumococci conjugate vaccine (DTaP-IPV-Hib+PCV), potential effect modification by sex, prematurity (<37 weeks' gestation), season, and age at randomisation were tested, and the secondary outcomes of hospitalisations ≥12 hours and antibiotic use were evaluated.

RESULTS

6536 infants were included in the intention-to-treat analysis. 3264 infants randomised to MMR vaccine experienced 786 hospitalisations for infection before age 12 months compared with 762 for the 3272 infants randomised to placebo. In the intention-to-treat analysis the rate of hospitalisations for infection did not differ between the MMR vaccine and placebo groups (hazard ratio 1.03, 95% confidence interval 0.91 to 1.18). For infants randomised to MMR vaccine compared with those randomised to placebo, the hazard ratio of hospitalisations for infection with a duration of at least 12 hours was 1.25 (0.88 to 1.77), and for prescriptions of antibiotics was 1.04 (0.88 to 1.23). No significant effect modifications were found by sex, prematurity, age at randomisation, or season. The estimate did not change when censoring at the date infants received DTaP-IPV-Hib+PCV after randomisation (1.02, 0.90 to 1.16).

CONCLUSION

Findings of this trial conducted in Denmark, a high income setting, do not support the hypothesis that live attenuated MMR vaccine administered early to infants aged 5-7 months decreases the rate of hospitalisations for non-targeted infection before age 12 months.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

EU Clinical Trials Registry EudraCT 2016-001901-18 and ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03780179.

A retrospective nationwide register-based study to evaluate the non-specific effects of first MMR vaccination among children in Finland

BACKGROUND

According to earlier studies, live vaccines like measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine could reduce also other infections than only the infections they are targeted against. This non-specific effect has been seen especially in studies in low-income countries and results from high-income countries have not been unambiguous. In 2011 Finland changed the recommended schedule for the first MMR vaccination from 18 months to 12 months of age. This change created a natural experiment for evaluating the potential non-specific effects.

METHODS

This is a retrospective nationwide register-based cohort study of Finnish children born between 2008 and 2012. Children were divided into two cohorts by age at MMR vaccination: children administered early MMR vaccination (11 through 12 months of age) and late MMR vaccination (18 through 19 months of age). Morbidity was evaluated during the main follow-up period (from 13 to 17 months of age) and before any MMR vaccination (3 to 10 months) and after all were vaccinated with MMR (20 to 35 months) as control follow-up periods. We analyzed all infections and did additional analyzes for urinary tract infections (UTI) and bronchitis. Injuries were analyzed as a control outcome.

RESULTS

Early MMR vaccinated children (N = 79949) had fewer infections compared to late MMR vaccinated (N = 60965) during the main follow-up period. The incidence rate ratio (IRR) was 0.84 (95 % confidence interval (95 % CI) 0.81-0.87). However, similar differences were also observed during the control follow-up periods. MMR vaccinated children had less UTI in the main follow-up period (IRR 0.73, 0.60-0.89) but not in the control follow-up periods. When stratified by sex, the difference was observed among girls but not in boys.

CONCLUSION

No clear evidence was found for non-specific effects in infectious diseases morbidity. However, there could be a nonspecific effect on UTI. Confirmation is needed from other studies, especially from high-income countries.

Beneficial non-specific effects of live vaccines against COVID-19 and other unrelated infections

Live attenuated vaccines could have beneficial, non-specific effects of protecting against vaccine-unrelated infections, such as BCG protecting against respiratory infection. During the COVID-19 pandemic, testing of these effects against COVID-19 was of interest to the pandemic control programme. Non-specific effects occur due to the broad effects of specific live attenuated vaccines on the host immune system, relying on heterologous lymphocyte responses and induction of trained immunity. Knowledge of non-specific effects has been developed in randomised controlled trials and observational studies with children, but examining of whether the same principles apply to adults and older adults was of interest to researchers during the pandemic. In this Personal View, we aim to define a framework for the analysis of non-specific effects of live attenuated vaccines against vaccine-unrelated infections with pandemic potential using several important concepts. First, study endpoints should prioritise severity of infection and overall patient health rather than incidence of infection only (eg, although several trials found no protection of the BCG vaccine against COVID-19 infection, it is associated with lower overall mortality than placebo). Second, revaccination of an individual with the same live attenuated vaccine could be the most effective strategy against vaccine-unrelated infections. Third, coadministration of several live attenuated vaccines might enhance beneficial non-specific effects. Fourth, the sequence of vaccine administration matters; the live attenuated vaccine should be the last vaccine administered before exposure to the pandemic infection and non-live vaccines should not be administered afterwards. Fifth, live attenuated vaccines could modify the immune response to specific COVID-19 vaccines. Finally, non-specific effects of live attenuated vaccines should always be analysed with subgroup analysis by sex of individuals receiving the vaccines.

Sex-Differential and Non-specific Effects of Vaccines Over the Life Course

Biological sex and age have profound effects on immune responses throughout the lifespan and impact vaccine acceptance, responses, and outcomes. Mounting evidence from epidemiological, clinical, and animal model studies show that males and females respond differentially to vaccination throughout the lifespan. Within age groups, females tend to produce greater vaccine-induced immune responses than males, with sex differences apparent across all age groups, but are most pronounced among reproductive aged individuals. Females report more adverse effects following vaccination than males. Females, especially among children under 5 years of age, also experience more non-specific effects of vaccination. Despite these known sex- and age-specific differences in vaccine-induced immune responses and outcomes, sex and age are often ignored in vaccine research. Herein, we review the known sex differences in the immunogenicity, effectiveness, reactogenicity, and non-specific effects of vaccination over the lifespan. Ways in which these data can be leveraged to improve vaccine research are described.

The Effect of a Second Dose of Measles Vaccine at 18 Months of Age on Nonaccidental Deaths and Hospital Admissions in Guinea-Bissau: Interim Analysis of a Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

The world is set on the eradication of measles. Continuation of the measles vaccine (MV) after eradication could still reduce morbidity because the MV has so-called beneficial nonspecific effects. We evaluated the effect of a "booster" dose of the MV on overall severe morbidity.

METHODS

We conducted a randomized controlled trial among children aged 17.5 to 48 months in Guinea-Bissau, where the MV is recommended only at 9 months of age. At the time of this interim analysis, 3164 children had been allocated 1:1 to a second dose of measles vaccine (MV2) at 18 months of age or to no vaccine. Severe morbidity (a composite outcome of nonaccidental deaths and hospital admissions) rate ratios (SMRRs) were calculated by Cox regression analysis censored for national oral polio vaccine (OPV) campaigns.

RESULTS

There were no measles cases during the trial period. There were 43 nonaccidental deaths or hospital admissions during follow-up. Severe morbidity was 2.6 per 100 person-years in the MV2 group and 3.6 per 100 person-years among controls; hence, the estimated effect of MV2 on severe morbidity was 28% (SMRR, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], .38-1.38). At 12 months of follow-up, the number needed to treat to prevent 1 severe morbidity event was 137 children. After OPV campaigns, the estimated effect of MV2 was reduced to 9% (SMRR, 0.91; 95% CI, .46-1.81).

CONCLUSIONS

MV2 may reduce nonmeasles severe morbidity by 28% (-38% to 62%), although this did not achieve statistical significance in this study. If significant in higher powered studies, this has major implications for child health, even after measles eradication.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT02943681.

Neonatal Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Vaccination to Prevent Early-Life Eczema: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

ABSTRACT

Increasing evidence suggests that early-life bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccine could prevent atopic eczema through its beneficial off-target effects. In this meta-analysis, 3 randomized control trials with similar methods were included and enabled robust estimations with low heterogeneity, involving a total of 5655 children randomized to early-life BCG Denmark (n = 2832) or no BCG (n = 2823). Meta-analyses suggest a beneficial effect of BCG to prevent eczema (risk ratio [RR], 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82-0.98). In subgroup analyses, BCG was more beneficial in boys (RR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.95) and in children born to 2 atopic parents (RR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.68-0.97). The NNT to prevent one case of eczema among children of 1 or 2 atopic parent was 20 (95% CI, 12-50). Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Denmark leads to an 11% reduction in the risk of eczema in early life. A greater effect was observed with increasing predisposition. Given its well-established safety profile, neonatal BCG vaccination should be considered for children of atopic parents.

Prospects on Repurposing a Live Attenuated Vaccine for the Control of Unrelated Infections

Live vaccines use attenuated microbes to acquire immunity against pathogens in a safe way. As live attenuated vaccines (LAVs) still maintain infectivity, the vaccination stimulates diverse immune responses by mimicking natural infection. Induction of pathogen-specific antibodies or cell-mediated cytotoxicity provides means of specific protection, but LAV can also elicit unintended off-target effects, termed non-specific effects. Such mechanisms as short-lived genetic interference and non-specific innate immune response or long-lasting trained immunity and heterologous immunity allow LAVs to develop resistance to subsequent microbial infections. Based on their safety and potential for interference, LAVs may be considered as an alternative for immediate mitigation and control of unexpected pandemic outbreaks before pathogen-specific therapeutic and prophylactic measures are deployed.

Health effects of utilising hospital contacts to provide measles vaccination to children 9-59 months-a randomised controlled trial in Guinea-Bissau

BACKGROUND

Measles vaccination coverage in Guinea-Bissau is low; fewer than 80% of children are currently measles vaccinated before 12 months of age. The low coverage hampers control of measles. Furthermore, accumulating evidence indicates that measles vaccine has beneficial non-specific effects, strengthening the resistance towards other infections. Thus, even if children are not exposed to measles virus, measles-unvaccinated children may be worse off. To increase vaccination coverage, WHO recommends that contacts with the health system for mild illness are utilised to vaccinate. Currently, in Guinea-Bissau, curative health system contacts are not utilised.

METHODS

Bandim Health Project registers out-patient consultations and admissions at the paediatric ward of the National Hospital in Guinea-Bissau. Measles-unvaccinated children aged 9-59 months consulting for milder illness or being discharged from the paediatric ward will be invited to participate in a randomised trial. Among 5400 children, randomised 1:1 to receive standard measles vaccine or a saline placebo, we will test the hypothesis that providing a measles vaccine at discharge lowers the risk of admission/mortality (composite outcome) during the subsequent 6 months by 25%. All enrolled children are followed through the Bandim Health Project registration system and through telephone follow-up. The first 1000 enrolled children are furthermore followed through interviews on days 2, 4, 7 and 14 after enrolment.

DISCUSSION

Utilising missed vaccination opportunities can increase vaccination coverage and may improve child health. However, without further evidence for the safety and potential benefits of measles vaccination, these curative contacts are unlikely to be used for vaccination in Guinea-Bissau.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov NCT04220671 . Registered on 5 January 2020.

Oral Polio Vaccine Campaigns May Reduce the Risk of Death from Respiratory Infections

Oral polio vaccine (OPV) campaigns, but not other campaigns, have been associated with major reductions in child mortality. Studies have shown that OPV reduces the risk of respiratory infections. We analysed the causes of death at 0–2 years of age in Chakaria, a health and demographic surveillance Systems in Bangladesh, in the period 2012–2019 where 13 national campaigns with combinations of OPV (n = 4), vitamin A supplementation (n = 9), measles vaccine (MV) (n = 2), and albendazole (n = 2) were implemented. OPV-only campaigns reduced overall mortality by 30% (95% confidence interval: −10–56%). Deaths from respiratory infections were reduced by 62% (20–82%, p = 0.01) in the post-neonatal period (1–35 months), whereas there was as slight increase of 19% (−37–127%, p = 0.54) for deaths from other causes. There was no benefit of other types of campaigns. Hence, the hypothesis that OPV may have beneficial non-specific effects, protecting particularly against respiratory infections, was confirmed.

Oral Polio Vaccine to Protect Against COVID-19: Out of the Box Strategies?

The global coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has raised significant concerns of developing rapid, broad strategies to protect the vulnerable population and prevent morbidity and mortality. However, even with an aggressive approach, controlling the pandemic has been challenging, with concerns of emerging variants that likely escape vaccines, nonadherence of social distancing/preventive measures by the public, and challenges in rapid implementation of a global vaccination program that involves mass production, distribution, and execution. In this review, we revisit the utilization of attenuated vaccinations, such as the oral polio vaccine, which are safe, easy to administer, and likely provide cross-protection against respiratory pathogens. We discuss the rationale and data supporting its use and detail description of available vaccines that could be repurposed for curtailing the pandemic.

The mortality effects of disregarding the strategy to save doses of measles vaccine: a cluster-randomised trial in Guinea-Bissau

INTRODUCTION

Measles vaccine (MV) may improve health beyond measles protection. To avoid wastage from multi-dose vials, children in Guinea-Bissau are only measles vaccinated when aged 9-11 months and when six or more children are present. We assessed health impacts of providing MV to all measles-unvaccinated children 9-35 months.

METHODS

We cluster-randomised 182 village clusters under demographic surveillance in rural Guinea-Bissau to an 'MV-for-all-policy' arm where we offered MV regardless of age and number of children present at our bi-annual village visits, or a 'Restrictive-MV-policy' arm where we followed national policy. Measles-unvaccinated children aged 9-35 months were eligible for enrolment and followed to 5 years of age. In intention-to-treat analyses, we compared mortality using Cox regression analyses with age as underlying timescale. The primary analysis was for children aged 12-35 months at eligibility assessment. Interactions with several background factors were explored.

RESULTS

Between 2011 and 2016, we followed 2778 children in the primary analysis. MV coverage by 3 years was 97% among children eligible for enrolment under the MV-for-all-policy, and 48% under the Restrictive-MV-policy. Mortality was 59% lower than anticipated and did not differ by trial arm (MV-for-all-policy: 45/1405: Restrictive-MV-policy: 44/1373; HR: 0.95 (95% CI 0.64 to 1.43)). The effect of MV-for-all changed over time: The HR was 0.53 (95% CI 0.27 to 1.07) during the first 1½ years of enrolment but 1.47 (95% CI 0.87 to 2.50) later (p=0.02, test of interaction). Explorative analyses indicated that the temporal change may be related to interactions with other childhood interventions.

CONCLUSION

The MV-for-all-policy increased MV coverage but had no overall effect on overall mortality.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT01306006.

Immediate Bacille Calmette-Guérin vaccination to neonates requiring perinatal treatment at the maternity ward in Guinea-Bissau: A randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) indicate that Bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination provides broad beneficial non-specific protection against infections. We investigated the effect on in-hospital mortality of providing BCG immediately upon admission to a neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), rather than BCG-at-discharge. The pre-trial NICU mortality was 13% and we hypothesized that BCG would reduce mortality by 40%.

METHODS

Parallel-group, open-label RCT initiated in 2013 in Guinea-Bissau. NICU-admitted neonates were randomized 1:1 to BCG+Oral Polio Vaccine (OPV) immediately (intervention) versus BCG+OPV at hospital discharge (control; usual practice). The trial was discontinued due to decreasing in-hospital mortality and major NICU restructuring. We assessed overall and disease-specific mortality by randomization allocation in Cox Proportional Hazards models providing Mortality Rate Ratios (MRRs).

RESULTS

We recruited 3,353 neonates and the overall mortality was 3.1% (52/1676) for BCG-vaccinated neonates versus 3.3% (55/1677) for controls, MRR=0.94 (0.64-1.36). For non-infectious causes of death the MRR was 1.20 (0.70-2.07) and there tended to be fewer deaths from infections in the BCG group (N=14) than among controls (N=21), MRR=0.65 (0.33-1.28).

CONCLUSIONS

Providing BCG+OPV to frail neonates was safe and might protect against fatal infection in the immediate newborn period. Deaths due to prematurity and perinatal complications were unaffected by BCG.

Reduction in Short-term Outpatient Consultations After a Campaign With Measles Vaccine in Children Aged 9-59 Months: Substudy Within a Cluster-Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND

We assessed a measles vaccination campaign's potential short-term adverse events.

METHODS

In a cluster-randomized trial assessing a measles vaccination campaign's effect on all-cause mortality and hospital admission among children aged 9-59 months in Guinea-Bissau, children received a measles vaccination (intervention) or a health check-up (control). One month to 2 months later, we visited a subgroup of children to ask mothers/guardians about outpatient consultations since enrollment. In log-binomial models, we estimated the relative risk (RR) of nonaccidental outpatient consultations.

RESULTS

Among 8319 children (4437 intervention/3882 control), 652 nonaccidental outpatient consultations occurred (322 intervention/330 control). The measles vaccination campaign tended to reduce nonaccidental outpatient consultations by 16% (RR, 0.84 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .65-1.11]), especially if caused by respiratory symptoms (RR, 0.68 [95% CI, .42-1.11]). The reduction tended to be larger in children who prior to trial enrollment had a pentavalent vaccination (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, hepatitis B, and Haemophilus influenzae type b) as the most recent vaccination (RR, 0.61 [95% CI, .42-.89]) than in children who prior to trial enrollment had a routine measles vaccination as the most recent vaccination (RR, 0.93 [95% CI, .68-1.26]) (P = .04 for interaction).

CONCLUSIONS

In the short term, a measles vaccination campaign seems not to increase nonaccidental outpatient consultations but may reduce them.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT03460002.

The effect of early measles vaccination on morbidity and growth: A randomised trial from Guinea-Bissau

BACKGROUND

Measles vaccine (MV) has beneficial non-specific effects protecting against non-measles infections in some situations. Within a trial of the effect of MV on mortality, we assessed effects of early MV on the secondary outcomes consultations and growth, overall, and by sex and exposure to campaigns with oral polio vaccine (OPV).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Children were randomly assigned to MV at 4.5 + 9 months or MV at 9 months as recommended. At enrolment and 9 months children had their mid-upper-arm-circumference (MUAC) and weight measured. Consultations (out/inpatient) were registered at monthly home visits. Weight-for-age and MUAC-for-age Z-scores were obtained using the WHO growth reference and compared by group in linear regression models. Consultation rates between enrolment and 9 months were compared in Cox proportional hazards models, providing consultation Hazard Ratios (HRs) for early MV versus no early MV. We tested whether the effect of early MV was modified by OPV campaigns by splitting observation time at exposure to OPV campaigns.

RESULTS

Among 3548 children enrolled between 2012 and 2015, early MV had no effect on MUAC-for-age (mean difference comparing early MV vs. no MV -0.01, 95% CI -0.06-0.04), weight-for-age (mean difference -0.03, 95% CI -0.07-0.02) or rates of consultations (HR = 1.03, 95% CI 0.92-1.16). The rate of consultations for children enrolled was lower after exposure to OPV campaigns (HR = 0.81, 95% CI 0.71-0.92). The effect of MV differed before exposure to OPV campaigns (HR = 1.12, 95% CI 0.98-1.29) and after OPV campaigns (HR = 0.83, 95% CI 0.67-1.03) (test for interaction: p = 0.03). Associations did not differ by sex.

CONCLUSION

Early MV had no overall effect on consultation rates and growth between enrolment and 9 months of age. However, early MV tended to have beneficial effects for children subsequently exposed to OPV campaigns. As beneficial effects were observed in subgroups, the results should be interpreted with caution.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT01644721.

Early BCG Vaccination, Hospitalizations, and Hospital Deaths: Analysis of a Secondary Outcome in 3 Randomized Trials from Guinea-Bissau

Background

This study was performed to examine the effects of early BCG vaccination on the risk, cause, and severity of infant hospitalizations. The analysis included 3 trials randomizing low-weight neonates to early BCG vaccination (intervention) versus no BCG vaccination (usual practice in low-weight neonates, control), with hospitalizations as secondary outcome.

Methods

Hospitalization data were collected at the pediatric ward of the National Hospital. Effects of BCG vaccination on hospitalization risk were assessed in Cox models providing overall and major disease-group incidence rate ratios (IRRs). Severity was assessed by means of in-hospital case-fatality rates and compared by group as cohort study risk ratios (RRs).

Results

Among 6583 infants (3297 in BCG group, 3286 controls), there were 908 infant hospitalizations (450 BCG, 458 controls) and 135 in-hospital deaths (56 BCG, 79 controls). The neonatal (28 days), 6-week, and infant (1-year) BCG versus control hospitalization IRRs were 0.97 (95% confidence interval [CI], .72-1.31), 0.95 (.73-1.24), and 0.96 (.84-1.10). Corresponding BCG versus control case-fatality rate RRs were 0.58 (95% CI, .35-.94), 0.56 (.35-.90), and 0.72 (.53-.99). BCG vaccination tended to reduce neonatal and infant sepsis hospitalization rates (IRR, 0.75 [95% CI, .50-1.13] and 0.78 [.55-1.11], respectively), and it reduced the neonatal in-hospital sepsis mortality rate (RR, 0.46; 95% CI, .22-.98). There were no confirmed hospitalizations for tuberculosis.

Conclusions

BCG vaccination did not affect hospitalization rates but reduced in-hospital mortality rates significantly, primarily by preventing fatal cases of sepsis. The observed beneficial effects of BCG on the in-hospital mortality rate were entirely nonspecific.

Clinical Trials Registration

NCT00146302, NCT00168610, and NCT00625482.

Research protocol of two concurrent cluster-randomized trials: Real-life Effect of a CAMPaign with Measles Vaccination (RECAMP-MV) and Real-life Effect of a CAMPaign with Oral Polio Vaccination (RECAMP-OPV) on mortality and morbidity among children in rural Guinea-Bissau

BACKGROUND

Measles and oral polio vaccinations may reduce child mortality to an extent that cannot be explained by prevention of measles and polio infections; these vaccines seem to have beneficial non-specific effects. In the last decades, billions of children worldwide have received measles vaccine (MV) and oral polio vaccine (OPV) through campaigns. Meanwhile the under-five child mortality has declined. Past MV and OPV campaigns may have contributed to this decline, even in the absence of measles and polio infections. However, cessation of these campaigns, once their targeted infections are eradicated, may reverse the decline in the under-five child mortality. No randomized trial has assessed the real-life effect of either campaign on child mortality and morbidity. We present the research protocol of two concurrent trials: RECAMP-MV and RECAMP-OPV.

METHODS

Both trials are cluster-randomized trials among children registered in Bandim Health Project's rural health and demographic surveillance system throughout Guinea-Bissau. RECAMP-MV is conducted among children aged 9-59 months and RECAMP-OPV is conducted among children aged 0-8 months. We randomized 222 geographical clusters to intervention or control clusters. In intervention clusters, children are offered MV or OPV (according to age at enrolment) and a health check-up. In control clusters, children are offered only a health check-up. Enrolments began in November 2016 (RECAMP-MV) and March 2017 (RECAMP-OPV). We plan 18,000 enrolments for RECAMP-MV with an average follow-up period of 18 months and 10,000 enrolments for RECAMP-OPV with an average follow-up period of 10 months. Data collection is ongoing. The primary outcome in both trials is non-accidental death or non-accidental first non-fatal hospitalization with overnight stay (composite outcome). Secondary outcomes are: non-accidental death, repeated non-fatal hospitalizations with overnight stay, cause-specific primary outcome, outpatient visit, and illness. We obtained ethical approval from Guinea-Bissau and consultative approval from Denmark.

DISCUSSION

Cluster randomization and minimum risk of loss to follow-up are strengths, and no placebo a limitation. Our trials challenge the understanding that MV and OPV only prevent measles and polio, and that once both infections are eradicated, campaigns with MV and OPV can be phased out without negative implications on child health and survival.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT03460002.

Immunogenicity, effectiveness, and safety of measles vaccination in infants younger than 9 months: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Measles is an important cause of death in children, despite the availability of safe and cost-saving measles-containing vaccines (MCVs). The first MCV dose (MCV1) is recommended at 9 months of age in countries with ongoing measles transmission, and at 12 months in countries with low risk of measles. To assess whether bringing forward the age of MCV1 is beneficial, we did a systematic review and meta-analysis of the benefits and risks of MCV1 in infants younger than 9 months.

METHODS

For this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Scopus, Proquest, Global Health, the WHO library database, and the WHO Institutional Repository for Information Sharing database, and consulted experts. We included randomised and quasi-randomised controlled trials, outbreak investigations, and cohort and case-control studies without restriction on publication dates, in which MCV1 was administered to infants younger than 9 months. We did the literature search on June 2, 2015, and updated it on Jan 14, 2019. We assessed: proportion of infants seroconverted, geometric mean antibody titre, avidity, cellular immunity, duration of immunity, vaccine efficacy, vaccine effectiveness, and safety. We used random-effects models to derive pooled estimates of the endpoints, where appropriate. We assessed methodological quality using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation guidelines.

FINDINGS

Our search identified 1156 studies, of which 1071 were screened for eligibility. 351 were eligible for full-text screening, and data from 56 studies that met all inclusion criteria were used for analysis. The proportion of infants who seroconverted increased from 50% (95% CI 29-71) for those vaccinated with MCV1 at 4 months of age to 85% (69-97) for those were vaccinated at 8 months. The pooled geometric mean titre ratio for infants aged 4-8 months vaccinated with MCV1 compared with infants vaccinated with MCV1 at age 9 months or older was 0·46 (95% CI 0·33-0·66; I2=99·9%, p<0·0001). Only one study reported on avidity and suggested that there was lower avidity and a shorter duration of immunity following MCV1 administration at 6 months of age than at 9 months of age (p=0·0016) or 12 months of age (p<0·001). No effect of age at MCV1 administration on cellular immunity was found. One study reported that vaccine efficacy against laboratory-confirmed measles virus infection was 94% (95% CI 74-98) in infants vaccinated with MCV1 at 4·5 months of age. The pooled vaccine effectiveness of MCV1 in infants younger than 9 months against measles was 58% (95% CI 9-80; I2=84·9%, p<0·0001). The pooled vaccine effectiveness estimate from within-study comparisons of infants younger than 9 months vaccinated with MCV1 were 51% (95% CI -44 to 83; I2=92·3%, p<0·0001), and for those aged 9 months and older at vaccination it was 83% (76-88; I2=93·8%, p<0·0001). No differences in the risk of adverse events after MCV1 administration were found between infants younger than 9 months and those aged 9 months of older. Overall, the quality of evidence ranged from moderate to very low.

INTERPRETATION

MCV1 administered to infants younger than 9 months induces a good immune response, whereby the proportion of infants seroconverted increases with increased age at vaccination. A large proportion of infants receiving MCV1 before 9 months of age are protected and the vaccine is safe, although higher antibody titres and vaccine effectiveness are found when MCV1 is administered at older ages. Recommending MCV1 administration to infants younger than 9 months for those at high risk of measles is an important step towards reducing measles-related mortality and morbidity.

FUNDING

WHO.

Opposite effects of Vaccinia and modified Vaccinia Ankara on trained immunity

Vaccines such as Vaccinia or BCG have non-specific effects conferring protection against other diseases than their target infection, which are likely partly mediated through induction of innate immune memory (trained immunity). MVA85A, a recombinant strain of modified Vaccinia Ankara (MVA), has been suggested as an alternative vaccine against tuberculosis, but its capacity to induce positive or negative non-specific immune effects has not been studied. This study assesses whether Vaccinia and MVA are able to induce trained innate immunity in monocytes. Human primary monocytes were primed in an in vitro model with Vaccinia or MVA for 1 day, after which the stimulus was washed off and the cells were rechallenged with unrelated microbial ligands after 1 week. Heterologous cytokine responses were assessed and the capacity of MVA to induce epigenetic changes at the level of cytokine genes was investigated using chromatin immunoprecipitation and pharmacological inhibitors. Monocytes trained with Vaccinia showed significantly increased IL-6 and TNF-α production to stimulation with non-related stimuli, compared to non-trained monocytes. In contrast, monocytes primed with MVA showed significant decreased heterologous IL-6 and TNF-α responses, an effect which was abrogated by the addition of a histone methyltransferase inhibitor. No effects on H3K4me3 were observed after priming with MVA. It can be thus concluded that Vaccinia induces trained immunity in vitro, whereas MVA induces innate immune tolerance. This suggests the induction of trained immunity as an immunological mechanism involved in the non-specific effects of Vaccinia vaccination and points to a possible explanation for the lack of effect of MVA85A against tuberculosis.

Association of Previous Measles Infection With Markers of Acute Infectious Disease Among 9- to 59-Month-Old Children in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

BACKGROUND

Transient immunosuppression and increased susceptibility to other infections after measles infection is well known, but recent studies have suggested the occurrence of an "immune amnesia" that could have long-term immunosuppressive effects.

METHODS

We examined the association between past measles infection and acute episodes of fever, cough, and diarrhea among 2350 children aged 9 to 59 months whose mothers were selected for interview in the 2013-2014 Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) Demographic and Health Survey (DHS). Classification of children who had had measles was completed using maternal recall and measles immunoglobulin G serostatus obtained via dried-blood-spot analysis with a multiplex immunoassay. The association with time since measles infection and fever, cough, and diarrhea outcomes was also examined.

RESULTS

The odds of fever in the previous 2 weeks were 1.80 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-2.60) among children for whom measles was reported compared to children with no history of measles. Measles vaccination demonstrated a protective association against selected clinical markers of acute infectious diseases.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that measles might have a long-term effect on selected clinical markers of acute infectious diseases among children aged 9 to 59 months in the DRC. These findings support the immune-amnesia hypothesis suggested by others and underscore the need for continued evaluation and improvement of the DRC's measles vaccination program.

Cost-effectiveness of providing measles vaccination to all children in Guinea-Bissau

Background: Measles vaccination is associated with major reductions in child mortality and morbidity. In Guinea-Bissau, to limit vaccine wastage, children are only measles-vaccinated if at least six children aged 9–11 months are present at a vaccination session.

Objective: To estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness of providing measles vaccine (MV) to all children regardless of age and number of children present.

Methods: We estimated MV coverage among children living in villages cluster-randomized to MV for all children and among children cluster-randomized to the current restrictive MV policy (status quo). Prices of MV and injection equipment were obtained from the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF). Cost savings of hospital admissions averted were collected from a sample of health facilities. The non-specific mortality effects of MV were estimated and presented as deaths averted and life years gained (LYG) from providing MV-for-all.

Results: MV coverage at 36 months was 97% in MV-for-all clusters and 84% in restrictive MV policy clusters. Conservatively assuming 90% wastage of MV under the MV-for-all policy and 40% under the restrictive MV policy, cost per child vaccinated was USD 3.08 and USD 1.19, respectively. The incremental costs per LYG and death averted of the MV-for-all policy were USD 5.61 and USD 148, respectively. The MV-for-all policy became cost-saving at 88% wastage.

Conclusions: Taking the low cost of MV and the beneficial non-specific effects of MV into consideration, a 10-dose MV vial should be reclassified as a ‘1+ dose vial’. The vial should be opened for a single child, irrespective of age, but can vaccinate up to 10 children.

Randomized Trial of 2 Versus 1 Dose of Measles Vaccine: Effect on Hospital Admission of Children After 9 Months of Age

BACKGROUND

Two doses of measles vaccine (MV) might reduce the nonmeasles mortality rate more than 1 dose of MV does. The effect of 2 versus 1 dose on morbidity has not been examined. Within a randomized trial of the effect of 2 doses versus 1 dose of MV on mortality in Guinea-Bissau, we investigated the effect on hospital admissions.

METHODS

Children were randomly assigned 1:2 to receive MV at 4.5 and 9 months of age or the currently recommended dose at 9 months. We compared hospital admission rates among children between 9 and 18 months of age in a Cox regression model with age as the underlying time scale. Half of the children had received neonatal vitamin A supplementation (NVAS) in another trial. The beneficial effect of MV at 4.5 and 9 months on mortality was limited to children who had not received NVAS; therefore, we investigated the interaction of MV with NVAS on admission rates.

RESULTS

Among 5626 children (2 doses of MV, 1960 children; 1 dose of MV, 3666), we identified 311 hospital admissions of children between 9 and 18 months of age. Overall, compared to 1 dose of MV, 2 doses reduced the risk of hospital admission for children who had not received NVAS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.66 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.47-0.93]), but we found no effect among NVAS recipients (HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.82-1.63]) (P = .02 for interaction).

CONCLUSIONS

The benefit of 2 doses of MV was limited to children who had not received NVAS. NVAS is not generally recommended; hence, an early 2-dose measles vaccination policy might reduce hospital admissions more than the current policy of providing the first MV at 9 months of age.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT00168558.

How to evaluate potential non-specific effects of vaccines: the quest for randomized trials or time for triangulation?

INTRODUCTION

Emerging evidence suggests that vaccines, in addition to their disease-specific effects, have important non-specific effects (NSEs), which contribute to their overall effect on mortality and morbidity. Immunological studies have shown that NSEs are biologically plausible. Many advocate that randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with overall mortality or morbidity as the outcome are the only way forward to confirm or refute NSEs.

AREAS COVERED

We discuss the limitations of using RCTs only as a tool to evaluate NSEs of vaccines. Such RCTs can be ethically problematic, they are time consuming and expensive. Furthermore, they only assess the NSEs in a given context, but it is inherent in the concept of NSEs that the NSEs of a given vaccine are modified by other immunomodulatory conditions. As an alternative, we propose that triangulation of RCTs and observational studies, merging multiple lines of evidence with different underlying bias structures, can build a strong argument for causality. We examine two examples related to measles vaccine and oral polio vaccine.

EXPERT COMMENTARY

Using RCTs alone to evaluate NSEs of vaccines severely limits the possibilities for studying NSEs. Results from both RCTs and non-RCT studies should be triangulated to strengthen causal interpretation.

Effect of an Early Dose of Measles Vaccine on Morbidity Between 18 Weeks and 9 Months of Age: A Randomized, Controlled Trial in Guinea-Bissau

Background

Children in Guinea-Bissau receive measles vaccine (MV) at 9 months of age, but studies have shown that an additional dose before 9 months of age might have beneficial nonspecific effects. Within a randomized trial designed to examine nonspecific effects of early MV receipt on mortality, we conducted a substudy to investigate the effect of early MV receipt on morbidity.

Methods

Children were randomly assigned at a ratio of 2:1 to receive 2 doses of MV at 18 weeks and age 9 months (intervention group) or 1 dose of MV at age 9 months, in accordance with current practice (control group). Children were visited weekly from enrollment to age 9 months; the mother reported morbidity, and the field assistants examined the children. Using Cox and binomial regression models, we compared the 2 randomization groups.

Results

Among the 1592 children, early measles vaccination was not associated with a higher risk of the well-known adverse events of fever, rash, and convulsions within the first 14 days. From 15 days after randomization to age 9 months, early measles vaccination was associated with reductions in maternally reported diarrhea (hazard ratio [HR], 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], .82-.97), vomiting (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, .75-.98), and fever (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, .87-1.00).

Conclusion

Early MV receipt was associated with reduced general morbidity in the following months, supporting that early MV receipt may improve the general health of children.

Seasonal variation in child mortality in rural Guinea-Bissau

Objectives

In many African countries, child mortality is higher in the rainy season than in the dry season. We investigated the effect of season on child mortality by time periods, sex and age in rural Guinea‐Bissau.

Methods

Bandim health project follows children under‐five in a health and demographic surveillance system in rural Guinea‐Bissau. We compared the mortality in the rainy season (June to November) between 1990 and 2013 with the mortality in the dry season (December to May) in Cox proportional hazards models providing rainy vs. dry season mortality rate ratios (r/d‐mrr). Seasonal effects were estimated in strata defined by time periods with different frequency of vaccination campaigns, sex and age (<1 month, 1–11 months, 12–59 months). Verbal autopsies were interpreted using InterVa‐4 software.

Results

From 1990 to 2013, overall mortality was declined by almost two‐thirds among 81 292 children (10 588 deaths). Mortality was 51% (95% ci: 45–58%) higher in the rainy season than in the dry season throughout the study period. The seasonal difference increased significantly with age, the r/d‐mrr being 0.94 (0.86–1.03) among neonates, 1.57 (1.46–1.69) in post‐neonatal infants and 1.83 (1.72–1.95) in under‐five children (P for same effect <0.001). According to the InterVa, malaria deaths were the main reason for the seasonal mortality difference, causing 50% of all deaths in the rainy season, but only if the InterVa included season of death, making the argument self‐confirmatory.

Conclusion

The mortality declined throughout the study, yet rainy season continued to be associated with 51% higher overall mortality.

Effect of early measles vaccine on pneumococcal colonization: A randomized trial from Guinea-Bissau

BACKGROUND

Measles vaccine (MV) may have non-specific beneficial effects for child health and particularly seems to prevent respiratory infections. Streptococcus pneumoniae is the leading cause of bacterial pneumonia among children worldwide, and nasopharyngeal colonization precedes infection.

OBJECTIVE

We investigated whether providing early MV at 18 weeks of age reduced pneumococcal colonization and/or density up to 9 months of age.

METHOD

The study was conducted in 2013-2014 in Guinea-Bissau. Pneumococcal vaccine was not part of the vaccination program. Infants aged 18 weeks were block-randomized 2:1 to early or no early MV; at age 9 months, all children were offered MV as per current policy. Nasopharyngeal swabs were taken at baseline, age 6.5 months, and age 9 months. Pneumococcal density was determined by q-PCR. Prevalence ratios of pneumococcal colonization and recent antibiotic treatment (yes/no) by age 6.5 months (PR6.5) and age 9 months (PR9) were estimated using Poisson regression with robust variance estimates while the pneumococcal geometric mean ratio (GMR6.5 and GMR9) was obtained using OLS regression.

RESULTS

Analyses included 512 children; 346 early MV-children and 166 controls. At enrolment, the pneumococcal colonization prevalence was 80% (411/512). Comparing early MV-children with controls, the PR6.5 was 1.02 (95%CI = 0.94-1.10), and the PR9 was 1.04 (0.96-1.12). The GMR6.5 was 1.02 (0.55-1.89), and the GMR9 was 0.69 (0.39-1.21). Early MV-children tended to be less frequently treated with antibiotics prior to follow up (PR6.5 0.60 (0.34-1.05) and PR9 0.87 (0.50-1.53)). Antibiotic treatment was associated with considerably lower colonization rates, PR6.5 0.85 (0.71-1.01) and PR9 0.66 (0.52-0.84), as well as lower pneumococcal density, GMR6.5 0.32 (0.12-0.86) and GMR9 0.52 (0.18-1.52).

CONCLUSION

Early MV at age 18 weeks had no measurable effect on pneumococcal colonization prevalence or density. Higher consumption of antibiotics among controls may have blurred an effect of early MV.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov NCT01486355.

Does oral polio vaccine have non-specific effects on all-cause mortality? Natural experiments within a randomised controlled trial of early measles vaccine

BACKGROUND

BCG and measles vaccine (MV) may have beneficial non-specific effects (NSEs). If an unplanned intervention with a vaccine (a natural experiment) modifies the estimated effect in a randomised controlled trial (RCT), this suggests NSEs. We used this approach to test NSEs of triple oral polio vaccine (OPV).

METHODS

During an RCT of 2 doses of MV at 4.5 and 9 months versus 1 dose of MV at 9 months of age, we experienced 2 natural experiments with OPV. We assessed whether these OPV experiments modified the effect of 2-dose MV in the MV trial.

SETTING

MV RCT conducted in urban Guinea-Bissau 2003-2009.

INTERVENTIONS

Natural experiments with OPV due to missing vaccine and the implementation of OPV campaigns.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Changes in the mortality rate ratio (MRR) for 2-dose MV versus 1-dose MV.

RESULTS

First, the MRR (2-dose/1-dose MV) overall was 0.70 (0.52 to 0.94), but the MRR was 1.04 (0.53 to 2.04) when OPV at birth (OPV0) was not given, suggesting that early priming with OPV was important for the effect of 2-dose MV. The effect of OPV0 depended on age of administration; the MRR (2-dose/1-dose MV) was 0.45 (0.29 to 0.71) for children receiving OPV0 in the first week of life, but 3.63 (0.87 to 15.2) for those receiving OPV0 after the first month of life (p=0.007, test of no interaction). Second, campaign-OPV may have reduced the difference between the randomisation groups since the MRR (2-dose/1-dose MV) was 0.60 (0.42 to 0.85) for children who had not received campaign-OPV before RCT-enrolment versus 0.72 (0.23 to 2.31) and 1.42 (0.70 to 2.90) for children who had received 1 or 2 doses of campaign-OPV-before-enrolment, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Bissau had no polio infection during this trial, so OPV0 and campaign-OPV may have NSEs since they modified the effect of 2-dose MV in an RCT. Different interventions may interact to a much larger effect than usually assumed.

The effect of early measles vaccination at 4.5 months of age on growth at 9 and 24 months of age in a randomized trial in Guinea-Bissau

Background

Providing an early, additional measles vaccine (MV) at 4.5 months of age has been shown to reduce child mortality in low-income countries. We studied the effects on growth at 9 and 24 months of age.

Methods

A randomized controlled trial was conducted in Guinea-Bissau from 2003–2007 including 6,648 children. Children were randomized 1:1:1 to receive Edmonston-Zagreb measles vaccine at 4.5 and 9 months of age (group A), no vaccine at 4.5 months and Edmonston-Zagreb measles vaccine at 9 months (group B), or no vaccine at 4.5 months and Schwarz measles vaccine at 9 months (group C) Data on anthropometrics were obtained at enrolment at 4.5 months of age and again at 9 and 24 months of age. Analyses were stratified by sex, season of enrolment, and neonatal vitamin A supplementation (NVAS) status, as all these factors have been shown to modify the effect of early MV on mortality.

Results

Overall there was no effect of early MV on anthropometry at 9 months. At 24 months children who had received early MV had a significantly larger mid-upper-arm-circumference (MUAC/in cm) (Difference = 0.08; 95% CI (0.02;0.14)) compared with children in the control group; this effect was most pronounced among girls (0.12 (0.03;0.20)). The effect of early MV on MUAC remained significant in the dry season and in girls who received placebo rather than NVAS.

Conclusion

Early MV was associated with a larger MUAC particularly in girls. These results indicate that a two-dose measles vaccination schedule might not only reduce child mortality but also improve growth.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00168558. Registered September 9, 2005, retrospectively registered

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12887-016-0738-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Is diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP) associated with increased female mortality? A meta-analysis testing the hypotheses of sex-differential non-specific effects of DTP vaccine

BACKGROUND

Ten years ago, we formulated two hypotheses about whole-cell diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP) vaccination: first, when given after BCG, DTP increases mortality in girls and, second, following DTP there is an increase in the female/male mortality rate ratio (MRR). A recent review by WHO found no convincing evidence that DTP increases mortality in females.

METHODS

We used previous DTP reviews as well as the recent WHO review for assessing the hypotheses. As pre-specified we excluded studies with survival or frailty bias; if children had received BCG and DTP simultaneously; and if the children had received neonatal vitamin A.

RESULTS

In seven studies of BCG-vaccinated children, DTP vaccination was associated with a 2.54 (95% CI 1.68-3.86) increase in mortality in girls (with no increase in boys [ratio 0.96, 0.55-1.68]). In 10 studies of BCG-vaccinated children, the female-to-male mortality ratio was 2.45 (1.48-4.06) times higher after DTP than before DTP. In 15 studies of children who had received DTP after previous BCG vaccination, mortality was 1.53 (1.21-1.93) times higher in girls than boys. The findings were similar in studies conducted before and after formulation of the hypotheses.

CONCLUSIONS

The two hypotheses were confirmed in the studies that fulfilled pre-specified criteria.

Simultaneous vaccination with MMR and DTaP-IPV-Hib and rate of hospital admissions with any infections: A nationwide register based cohort study

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Nationwide retrospective cohort study of Danish children aged 15 months to 4 years.

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Comparison of the live MMR + the inactivated DTaP-IPV-Hib vaccine vs MMR alone.

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27% higher rate of admissions for lower respiratory infections for MMR + DTaP-IPV-Hib.

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No significant association with admissions for other types of infections.

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Adjustment for a long range of potential confounders including exact age.

Background

In Denmark, live measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine (MMR) is associated with a reduced risk of infectious disease admissions, particularly for lower respiratory tract infections. In low-income countries, simultaneous vaccination (i.e. vaccination at the same visit) with live and inactivated vaccines may increase child mortality compared with the live vaccine alone. We examined the hypothesis that simultaneous administration of MMR and the inactivated DTaP-IPV-Hib vaccine compared with MMR alone is associated with higher incidence of infectious disease admissions.

Methods

Nationwide, retrospective, register based cohort study of 520,859 children born in Denmark 1997–2006, who were followed from 15 months to 4 years of age. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of hospital admissions were estimated by Cox regression and adjusted for background factors including exact age.

Results

By 2 years of age, 4965 children had simultaneous MMR and DTaP-IPV-Hib as their most recent vaccination. Compared with MMR alone, simultaneous administration was associated with a higher rate of lower respiratory tract infections (adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR), 1.27; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.13–1.42). There was no effect on other infections. Overall, simultaneous administration was associated with a 7% (95% CI, 0–15%) increase in infectious disease admissions.

Conclusions

Simultaneous administration of MMR and DTaP-IPV-Hib compared with MMR alone may increase the rate of hospital admissions related to lower respiratory tract infections. These findings require replication in other high-income settings.

A marginal structural model for recurrent events in the presence of time-dependent confounding: non-specific effects of vaccines on child hospitalisations

Using a Danish register-based study on childhood vaccination and hospitalisation as motivation, a marginal structural model for recurrent events is studied. The model addresses a number of challenges which may be seen more generally in large register-based cohort studies. One is to adjust for a time-dependent confounder when studying the effect of a time-varying exposure on a recurrent event based on an analysis in continuous time. Another is to report results via a measure which is easy to interpret and communicate even though quite elaborate treatment regimes are considered. Lastly, the implementation of continuously updated weights implies a substantial computationally demanding workload. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Revaccination with Live Attenuated Vaccines Confer Additional Beneficial Nonspecific Effects on Overall Survival: A Review

BACKGROUND

Live vaccines against measles (MV), tuberculosis (BCG), polio (OPV) and smallpox reduce mortality more than explained by target-disease prevention. The beneficial nonspecific effects (NSEs) of MV are strongest when MV is given in presence of maternal antibodies. We therefore hypothesised that revaccination in presence of prior immunity enhances beneficial NSEs.

METHODS

Literature search for studies of revaccination and mortality.

FINDINGS

In two randomised trials (RCTs), two doses versus one dose of MV reduced all-cause mortality by 63% (95% CI: 23-83%) from 9 to 18months of age. In a quasi-experimental study two doses before and after 9months compared with one dose of MV after 9months of age reduced mortality by 59% (25-81%). BCG-revaccination significantly enhanced BCG's effect against overall child mortality in two RCTs. In a natural experiment study of OPV campaigns over a 13-year-period in Guinea-Bissau, each additional dose of OPV was associated with a 13% (4-21%) reduction in mortality rate. The beneficial NSEs of smallpox vaccination for survival increased significantly with the number of smallpox vaccination scars.

INTERPRETATION

Revaccination with live vaccines led to substantial reductions in overall mortality. These findings challenge current understanding of vaccines and may explain the beneficial effects of campaigns with live vaccines.

Supplemental measles vaccine antibody response among HIV-infected and -uninfected children in Malawi after 1- and 2-dose primary measles vaccination schedules

Background

The long-term antibody response to measles vaccine (MV) administered at age 6 months with or without subsequent doses is not well documented.

Methods

Measles serum antibody responses were evaluated after a supplemental dose of measles vaccine (sMV) administered at a median age of 20 months among Malawian children who had previously received 2 doses of measles vaccine (MV) at ages 6 and 9 months (HIV-infected and random sample of HIV-uninfected) or 1 dose at age 9 months (random sample of HIV-uninfected). We compared measles antibody seropositivity between groups by enzyme linked immunoassay and seroprotection by plaque reduction neutralization geometric mean concentrations.

Results

Of 1756 children enrolled, 887 (50.5%) received a sMV dose following MV at 9 months of age and had specimens available after sMV receipt, including 401 HIV-uninfected children who received one MV dose at 9 months, 464 HIV-uninfected and 22 HIV-infected children who received two doses of MV at ages 6 and 9 months. Among HIV-uninfected children, protective levels of antibody were found post sMV in 90–99% through ages 24–36 months and were not affected by MV schedule. Geometric mean concentration levels of measles antibody were significantly increased post-sMV among those HIV-uninfected children previously non-responsive to vaccination. Among HIV-infected children, the proportion seroprotected increased initially but by 9 months post-sMV was no higher than pre-sMV.

Conclusions

Our findings support early 2-dose MV to provide measles immunity for young infants without risk of interference with antibody responses to subsequent MV doses administered as part of SIAs.

Oral Polio Vaccination and Hospital Admissions With Non-Polio Infections in Denmark: Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study

In a nationwide Danish register-based cohort study, the live oral polio vaccine was associated with fewer admissions for lower respiratory infections compared with the inactivated DTaP-IPV-Hib vaccine. There was no difference between oral polio vaccine and measles-mumps-rubella vaccine.

Background. Live vaccines may have nonspecific beneficial effects on morbidity and mortality. This study examines whether children who had the live-attenuated oral polio vaccine (OPV) as the most recent vaccine had a different rate of admissions for infectious diseases than children with inactivated diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-polio-Haemophilus influenzae type b vaccine (DTaP-IPV-Hib) or live measles-mumps-rubella vaccine (MMR) as their most recent vaccine.

Methods. A nationwide, register-based, retrospective cohort study of 137 403 Danish children born 1997–1999, who had received 3 doses of DTaP-IPV-Hib, were observed from 24 months (first OPV dose) to 36 months of age.

Results. Oral polio vaccine was associated with a lower rate of admissions with any type of non-polio infection compared with DTaP-IPV-Hib as most recent vaccine (adjusted incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], .77–.95). The association was separately significant for admissions with lower respiratory infections (adjusted IRR, 0.73; 95% CI, .61–.87). The admission rates did not differ for OPV versus MMR.

Conclusions. Like MMR, OPV was associated with fewer admissions for lower respiratory infections than having DTaP-IPV-Hib as the most recent vaccination. Because OPV is now being phased-out globally, further studies of the potential beneficial nonspecific effects of OPV are warranted.

Reduced All-cause Child Mortality After General Measles Vaccination Campaign in Rural Guinea-Bissau

BACKGROUND

Randomized trials have shown that measles vaccine (MV) prevents nonmeasles deaths. MV campaigns are conducted to eliminate measles infection. The overall mortality effect of MV campaigns has not been studied.

METHODS

Bandim Health Project (BHP) surveys children aged 0-4 years in rural Guinea-Bissau through a health and demographic surveillance system. A national MV campaign in 2006 targeted children aged 6 months to 15 years. In a Cox proportional hazards model with age as the underlying timescale, we compared mortality of children aged 6-59 months after the campaign with mortality in the same age group during the 2 previous years.

RESULTS

Eight thousand one hundred fifty eight children aged 6-59 months were under BHP surveillance during the 2006 campaign and 7999 and 8108 during similar periods in 2004 and 2005. At least 90% of the eligible children received MV in the campaign. There were 161 nonaccident deaths in 12 months after the campaign compared with 203 and 206 deaths in the 2 previous years, the adjusted mortality rate ratio (aMRR) comparing all children in 2006 with all children in 2004 to 2005 being 0.80 (95% confidence interval: 0.66-0.96). Censoring deaths caused by measles infection, the aMRR was 0.83 (0.69-1.00). The mortality reduction was separately significant for girls [aMRR = 0.74 (0.56-0.97)] and for children who also had received routine MV [MRR = 0.59 (0.36-0.99)].

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality levels were stable during 2004 and 2005, but a significant drop occurred after the 2006 MV campaign and was not explained by the prevention of measles deaths. If MV campaigns reduce nonmeasles-related mortality, the policies for measles vaccination should take this into account.

Trained immunity: consequences for the heterologous effects of BCG vaccination

A growing body of evidence from epidemiologic and immunologic studies have shown that in addition to target disease-specific effects, vaccines have heterologous effects towards unrelated pathogens. Like some other vaccines, bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG) has shown in observational studies and randomized clinical trials to increase survival beyond the disease burden of the target disease. The immunologic substrate for these non-specific protective effects have been ascertained to heterologous T cell effects on the one hand, and to priming of innate immunity on the other hand. The term 'trained immunity' has been proposed to describe these potentiating effects of vaccines on innate immune responses. This process can explain the rapid effects of BCG vaccination and has been suggested to be mediated by epigenetic programming of monocytes or macrophages. This novel concept has important implications for the possible use of vaccines, for vaccination policy and even for the design of novel immunotherapeutic approaches.

Innate Immune Memory: The Latest Frontier of Adjuvanticity

Recent findings in the field of immune memory have demonstrated that B and T cell mediated immunity following infections are enhanced by the so-called trained immunity. This effect has been most extensively investigated for the tuberculosis vaccine strain Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG). Epidemiological studies suggest that this vaccine is associated with a substantial reduction in overall child mortality that cannot be solely explained by prevention of the target disease but that it seems to rely on inducing resistance to other infections. Upon infection or vaccination, monocytes/macrophages can be functionally reprogrammed so as to display an enhanced defensive response against unrelated infections. Epigenetic modifications seem to play a key role in the induction of this “innate memory.” These findings are revolutionising our knowledge of the immune system, introducing the concept of memory also for mammalian innate immunity. Thus, vaccines are likely to nonspecifically affect the overall immunological status of individuals in a clinically relevant manner. As a consequence, future vaccine strategies ought to take into account the contribution of innate memory through appropriate design of formulations and administration scheduling.

Measles-mumps-rubella vaccination and respiratory syncytial virus-associated hospital contact

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MMR vaccination is given to protect against measles, mumps and rubella.

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RSV is an important cause of acute lower respiratory infections in young children.

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MMR vaccination was associated with 22% lower rate of RSV hospital contacts.

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MMR vaccination may reduce the rate or severity of RSV infection.

Background

The live measles vaccine has been associated with lower non-measles mortality and admissions in low-income countries. The live measles–mumps–rubella vaccine has also been associated with lower rate of admissions with any type of infection in Danish children; the association was strongest for admissions with lower respiratory infections.

Objective

To examine whether measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccination was associated with reduced rate of hospital contact related to respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in a high-income country.

Methods

Nationwide cohort study of laboratory-confirmed RSV hospital contacts at age 14–23 months in all children born in Denmark 1997–2002 who had already received the vaccine against diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis (acellular), polio, and Haemophilus influenzae type b (DTaP-IPV-Hib) at the recommended ages of 3, 5, and 12 months.

Results

The study included 888 RSV hospital contacts in 128,588 person years of follow up (rate 6.8/1000 person years). Having MMR as the most recent vaccine was associated with a reduced rate of RSV hospital contacts compared with having DTaP-IPV-Hib as the most recent vaccine (Incidence rate ratio (IRR), 0.75; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.63–0.89). After adjustment for potential confounders including exact age in days the IRR was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.66–0.93). The adjusted IRR was 0.74 (95% CI, 0.60–0.92) in males and 0.84 (95% CI, 0.66–1.06) in females (P Interaction, 0.42). There was no association in the first month after MMR vaccination (adjusted IRR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.76–1.24) but the adjusted IRR was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.58–0.85) from one month after MMR vaccination.

Conclusions

MMR vaccination was associated with reduced rate of hospital contacts related to laboratory-confirmed RSV infection. Further research on the association between MMR vaccination and other unrelated pathogens are warranted.

High-dose vitamin A with vaccination after 6 months of age: a randomized trial

BACKGROUND

The World Health Organization recommends vitamin A supplementation (VAS) at routine vaccination contacts after 6 months of age based on the assumption that it reduces mortality by 24%. The policy has never been evaluated in randomized controlled trials for its effect on overall mortality. We conducted a randomized double-blind trial to evaluate the effect of VAS with vaccines.

METHODS

We randomized children aged 6 to 23 months 1:1 to VAS (100000 IU if aged 6-11 months, 200000 IU if aged 12-23 months) or placebo at vaccination contacts in Guinea-Bissau. Mortality rates were compared in Cox proportional-hazards models overall, and by gender and vaccine.

RESULTS

Between August 2007 and November 2010, 7587 children were enrolled. Within 6 months of follow-up 80 nonaccident deaths occurred (VAS: 38; placebo: 42). The mortality rate ratio (MRR) comparing VAS versus placebo recipients was 0.91 (95% confidence interval 0.59-1.41) and differed significantly between boys (MRR 1.92 [0.98-3.75]) and girls (MRR 0.45 [0.24-0.87]) (P = .003 for interaction between VAS and gender). At enrollment, 42% (3161/7587) received live measles vaccine, 29% (2154/7587) received inactivated diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-containing vaccines, and 21% (1610/7587) received both live and inactivated vaccines. The effect of VAS did not differ by vaccine group.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first randomized controlled trial to assess the effect of the policy on overall mortality. VAS had no overall effect, but the effect differed significantly by gender. More trials to ensure an optimal evidence-based vitamin A policy are warranted.

Measles vaccination in the presence or absence of maternal measles antibody: impact on child survival

BACKGROUND

Measles vaccine (MV) has a greater effect on child survival when administered in early infancy, when maternal antibody may still be present.

METHODS

To test whether MV has a greater effect on overall survival if given in the presence of maternal measles antibody, we reanalyzed data from 2 previously published randomized trials of a 2-dose schedule with MV given at 4-6 months and at 9 months of age. In both trials antibody levels had been measured before early measles vaccination.

RESULTS

In trial I (1993-1995), the mortality rate was 0.0 per 1000 person-years among children vaccinated with MV in the presence of maternal antibody and 32.3 per 1000 person-years without maternal antibody (mortality rate ratio [MRR], 0.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0-.52). In trial II (2003-2007), the mortality rate was 4.2 per 1000 person-years among children vaccinated in presence of maternal measles antibody and 14.5 per 1000 person-years without measles antibody (MRR, 0.29; 95% CI, .09-.91). Possible confounding factors did not explain the difference. In a combined analysis, children who had measles antibody detected when they received their first dose of MV at 4-6 months of age had lower mortality than children with no maternal antibody, the MRR being 0.22 (95% CI, .07-.64) between 4-6 months and 5 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Child mortality in low-income countries may be reduced by vaccinating against measles in the presence of maternal antibody, using a 2-dose schedule with the first dose at 4-6 months (earlier than currently recommended) and a booster dose at 9-12 months of age.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT00168558.