Evolution of the monitoring and evaluation strategies to support the World Health Organization's Global Programme to Eliminate Lymphatic Filariasis

Reducing the Antigen Prevalence Target Threshold for Stopping and Restarting Mass Drug Administration for Lymphatic Filariasis Elimination: A Model-Based Cost-effectiveness Simulation in Tanzania, India and Haiti

BACKGROUND

The Global Programme to Eliminate Lymphatic Filariasis (GPELF) aims to reduce and maintain infection levels through mass drug administration (MDA), but there is evidence of ongoing transmission after MDA in areas where Culex mosquitoes are the main transmission vector, suggesting that a more stringent criterion is required for MDA decision making in these settings.

METHODS

We use a transmission model to investigate how a lower prevalence threshold (<1% antigenemia [Ag] prevalence compared with <2% Ag prevalence) for MDA decision making would affect the probability of local elimination, health outcomes, the number of MDA rounds, including restarts, and program costs associated with MDA and surveys across different scenarios. To determine the cost-effectiveness of switching to a lower threshold, we simulated 65% and 80% MDA coverage of the total population for different willingness to pay per disability-adjusted life-year averted for India ($446.07), Tanzania ($389.83), and Haiti ($219.84).

RESULTS

Our results suggest that with a lower Ag threshold, there is a small proportion of simulations where extra rounds are required to reach the target, but this also reduces the need to restart MDA later in the program. For 80% coverage, the lower threshold is cost-effective across all baseline prevalences for India, Tanzania, and Haiti. For 65% MDA coverage, the lower threshold is not cost-effective due to additional MDA rounds, although it increases the probability of local elimination. Valuing the benefits of elimination to align with the GPELF goals, we find that a willingness to pay per capita government expenditure of approximately $1000-$4000 for 1% increase in the probability of local elimination would be required to make a lower threshold cost-effective.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower Ag thresholds for stopping MDAs generally mean a higher probability of local elimination, reducing long-term costs and health impacts. However, they may also lead to an increased number of MDA rounds required to reach the lower threshold and, therefore, increased short-term costs. Collectively, our analyses highlight that lower target Ag thresholds have the potential to assist programs in achieving lymphatic filariasis goals.

Morbidity hotspot surveillance: A novel approach to detect lymphatic filariasis transmission in non-endemic areas of the Tillabéry region of Niger

The Niger Lymphatic Filariasis (LF) Programme is making good progress towards the elimination goal and scaling up morbidity management and disability prevention (MMDP) activities. Clinical case mapping and the increased availability of services has prompted patients to come forward in both endemic and non-endemic districts. The latter included Filingué, Baleyara and Abala districts of the Tillabéry region, and in 2019, 315 patients were found during a follow-up active case finding activity, suggesting it may have low transmission. The aim of this study was to assess the endemicity status in areas reporting clinical cases, 'morbidity hotspots', in three non-endemic districts of the Tillabéry region. A cross-sectional survey was conducted in 12 villages in June 2021. Filarial antigen was detected using the rapid Filariasis Test Strip (FTS) diagnostic, and information obtained on gender, age, residency length, bed net ownership and usage, and presence of hydrocoele and/or lymphoedema. Data were summarised and mapped using QGIS software. A total of 4058 participants between 5 and 105 years old were surveyed, with 29 (0.7%) participants found to be FTS positive. Baleyara district had significantly higher FTS positive rates than the other districts. No significant differences were found by gender (male 0.8%; female 0.6%), age group (<26 years 0.7%; ≥26 years 0. 7%), and residency length (<5 years 0.7%; ≥5 years 0.7%). Three villages reported no infections; seven villages <1%, one village 1.1% and one village 4.1%, which was on the border of an endemic district. Bed net ownership (99.2%) and usage (92.6%) was very high and there was no significant difference between FTS infection rates. The results indicate that there are low levels of transmission in populations, including children, living in districts previously classified as non-endemic. This has implications for the Niger LF programme in terms of delivering targeted mass drug administration (MDA) in transmission hotspots, and MMDP services, including hydrocoele surgery to patients. The use of morbidity data may be a practical proxy to trigger mapping of ongoing transmission in low endemic areas. Continued efforts to study morbidity hotspots, post-validation transmission, cross-border and cross-district endemicity are needed to meet the WHO NTD 2030 roadmap targets.

Positive-case follow up for lymphatic filariasis after a transmission assessment survey in Haiti

Background

Lymphatic filariasis (LF) has been targeted for global elimination as a public health problem since 1997. The primary strategy to interrupt transmission is annual mass drug administration (MDA) for ≥5 years. The transmission assessment survey (TAS) was developed as a decision-making tool to measure LF antigenemia in children to determine when MDA in a region can be stopped. The objective of this study was to investigate potential sampling strategies for follow-up of LF-positive children identified in TAS to detect evidence of ongoing transmission.

Methodology/Principle findings

Nippes Department in Haiti passed TAS 1 with 2 positive cases and stopped MDA in 2015; however, 8 positive children were found during TAS 2 in 2017, which prompted a more thorough assessment of ongoing transmission. Purposive sampling was used to select the closest 50 households to each index case household, and systematic random sampling was used to select 20 households from each index case census enumeration area. All consenting household members aged ≥2 years were surveyed and tested for circulating filarial antigen (CFA) using the rapid filarial test strip and for Wb123-specific antibodies using the Filaria Detect IgG4 ELISA. Among 1,927 participants, 1.5% were CFA-positive and 4.5% were seropositive. CFA-positive individuals were identified for 6 of 8 index cases. Positivity ranged from 0.4–2.4%, with highest positivity in the urban commune Miragoane. Purposive sampling found the highest number of CFA-positives (17 vs. 9), and random sampling found a higher percent positive (2.4% vs. 1.4%).

Conclusions/Significance

Overall, both purposive and random sampling methods were reasonable and achievable methods of TAS follow-up in resource-limited settings. Both methods identified additional CFA-positives in close geographic proximity to LF-positive children found by TAS, and both identified strong signs of ongoing transmission in the large urban commune of Miragoane. These findings will help inform standardized guidelines for post-TAS surveillance.

Lymphatic filariasis (LF) is a debilitating parasitic disease that has been targeted for global elimination. The transmission assessment survey (TAS) is a tool used to determine if LF transmission has reached low enough levels that prevention activities can be stopped. This study aimed to identify methods to investigate positive LF cases found during TAS. The investigation was conducted in Nippes Department, Haiti, where 8 positive cases were found in TAS in 2017. Participants were recruited through two methods: purposive selection of the closest 50 households to the positive case, and random selection of 20 households in the census enumeration area of the case. Participants completed a survey and were tested for LF antigen, indicative of current infection, and parasite-specific antibody, indicative of current or past infection. A total of 1,927 people participated in the study; 1.5% of these were antigen-positive, and 4.5% were antibody-positive. Purposive sampling found a higher number of antigen-positive individuals, and random sampling found a higher percent positive. Both sampling methods were feasible to use in this setting, and both methods identified signs of ongoing transmission in a large urban area. Additional research is needed to help standardize guidance for post-TAS surveillance to best identify ongoing transmission.