Short time to recurrence after hepatic resection correlates with poor prognosis in colorectal hepatic metastasis

Patterns of Recurrence after Curative Intent Hepatic Resection for Colorectal Liver Metastasis

BACKGROUND

Improved surgical techniques and more intensive systemic therapy have increased the number of oligometastatic colorectal cancer patients eligible for resection, but a significant percentage of these patients will ultimately recur. Furthermore, distinct recurrence patterns have been associated with different outcomes.

METHODS

Data for 195 patients who underwent curative-intent colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) resection from 2016-2022 at Johns Hopkins Hospital were retrospectively collected. Cox regression univariate and multivariate analysis identified features associated with survival outcomes. Association between risk factors and site of recurrences was conducted via logistic regression with initial recurrences grouped into intrahepatic-only, extrahepatic-only, and concurrent intra- and extrahepatic recurrence.

RESULTS

The 1- and 2-year recurrence free survival (RFS) rates were 46% and 22% respectively. The 1- and 2-year overall survival (OS) rates were 95% and 88% respectively. Median OS was 71.7 months. Multivariate analysis identified age <60 years old, N2 nodal status, R1 liver margin, and higher preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen as top prognostic factors for worse RFS. Additionally, patients with left-sided primary tumors had higher risk of intrahepatic-only recurrence while mutant KRAS was associated with higher risk of extrahepatic recurrence with or without liver recurrence.

DISCUSSION OR CONCLUSION

These results from a recent cohort of patients treated with current standard of care therapies identifies features associated with elevated recurrence risk and specific recurrence patterns. These insights into CRLM recurrence patterns support a larger prospective study to identify subgroups of patients who may require additional therapies to prevent recurrence.

Prognostic value of total tumor volume in patients with colorectal liver metastases: A secondary analysis of the randomized CAIRO5 trial with external cohort validation

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of total tumor volume (TTV) for early recurrence (within 6 months) and overall survival (OS) in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), treated with induction systemic therapy followed by complete local treatment.

METHODS

Patients with initially unresectable CRLM from the multicenter randomized phase 3 CAIRO5 trial (NCT02162563) who received induction systemic therapy followed by local treatment were included. Baseline TTV and change in TTV as response to systemic therapy were calculated using the CT scan before and the first after systemic treatment, and were assessed for their added prognostic value. The findings were validated in an external cohort of patients treated at a tertiary center.

RESULTS

In total, 215 CAIRO5 patients were included. Baseline TTV and absolute change in TTV were significantly associated with early recurrence (P = 0.005 and P = 0.040, respectively) and OS in multivariable analyses (P = 0.024 and P = 0.006, respectively), whereas RECIST1.1 was not prognostic for early recurrence (P = 0.88) and OS (P = 0.35). In the validation cohort (n = 85), baseline TTV and absolute change in TTV remained prognostic for early recurrence (P = 0.041 and P = 0.021, respectively) and OS in multivariable analyses (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.012, respectively), and showed added prognostic value over conventional clinicopathological variables (increase C-statistic, 0.06; 95 % CI, 0.02 to 0.14; P = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Total tumor volume is strongly prognostic for early recurrence and OS in patients who underwent complete local treatment of initially unresectable CRLM, both in the CAIRO5 trial and the validation cohort. In contrast, RECIST1.1 did not show prognostic value for neither early recurrence nor OS.

Clinical impact of very early recurrence after conversion surgery for stage IV gastric cancer

Background

The development and improved response to chemotherapy has resulted in a survival benefit of conversion surgery (CS) for advanced gastric cancer (GC). However, this benefit is limited in some cases, such as in those with very early recurrence (VER). This study investigated the relationship between outcome and clinicopathological characteristics after CS for stage IV GC, and the risk factors for VER after CS.

Methods

We retrospectively studied 184 patients with stage IV GC who initially underwent chemotherapy, including 36 patients who underwent CS between May 2007 and January 2022. We evaluated the long-term outcome after CS for stage IV GC and the clinicopathological characteristics of the patients who underwent CS.

Results

Median survival times (MSTs) in the chemotherapy alone and CS groups were 13.4 and 36.5 months, respectively (p < 0.0001). Of the 27 patients who underwent R0 resection, 22 remained free of early recurrence and five experienced VER. MSTs in the VER and free of early recurrence groups were 15.2 and 44.1 months, respectively (p < 0.0001). Significantly more patients had liver metastasis before initial treatment in the VER group than in the FER group (p = 0.016). There were more patients with preoperative PNI <40 in the VER group (p = 0.046).

Conclusion

CS is an effective treatment for stage IV GC, but VER is associated with poor prognosis. We need to carefully consider the indications for CS, especially for patients with poor nutritional status and liver metastases.

Factors of oncological failure in two stage hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases

BACKGROUND

Two-stage hepatectomy (TSH) has increased the chance of surgical resections for bilobar colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Nevertheless, drop-out between stages and early recurrence rates raise the question of surgical futility in some situations. This study aimed to identify factors of TSH oncological failure.

METHODS

Patients with bilobar CRLM eligible for TSH in three tertiary centers between 2010 and 2021 were included, and divided in Failure and Success groups. Oncological failure was defined as failure of the second stage hepatectomy for tumor progression or recurrence within 6 months after resection.

RESULTS

Among 95 patients, 18 (18.9%) had hepatic progression between the two stages, and 7 (7.4%) failed to complete the second stage hepatectomy. After TSH, 31 (32.6%) patients experienced early recurrence. Overall, 38 (40.0%) patients experienced oncological failure (Failure group). The Failure group had lower median DFS (3 vs. 32 months, p < 0.001) and median OS (29 vs. 70 months, p = 0.045) than the Success group. On multivariable analysis, progression between the two stages in the future liver remnant (OR = 15.0 (3.22-113.0), p = 0.002), and maximal tumor size ≥40 mm in the future liver remnant (OR = 13.1 (2.12-117.0), p = 0.009) were independent factors of oncological failure.

CONCLUSION

Recurrence between the two stages and maximal tumor size ≥40 mm in the future liver remnant were associated with TSH failure for patients with bilobar CRLM.

Long-term outcomes and early recurrence after resection for metachronous pulmonary metastases from colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

Properly selecting patients for aggressive curative resection for pulmonary metastases (PMs) from colorectal cancer (CRC) is desirable. We purposed to clarify prognostic factors and risk factors for early recurrence after metachronous PM resection.

METHODS

Clinical data of 151 patients who underwent R0 resection for metachronous PMs from CRC at two institutions between 2008 and 2021 were reviewed.

RESULTS

Seventy-six patients (50.3%) were male, and the median age was 71 (42-91) years. The numbers of colon/rectal cancers were 76/75, with pStage I/II/III/IV/unknown in 15/34/86/13/3. The duration from primary surgery to PM was 19.7 (1.0-106.4) months. The follow-up period was 41.9 (0.3-156.2) months. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were 75.1%, 53.7%, and 51.1%, and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 97.7%, 87.5%, and 68.2%. On multivariate analysis, lymph node metastasis of the primary lesion (HR 1.683, 95%CI 1.003-2.824, p = 0.049) was an independent predictor of poor RFS, and history of resection for extrapulmonary metastasis (e-PM) (HR 2.328, 95%CI 1.139-4.761, p = 0.021) was an independent predictor of poor OS. Patients who experienced early recurrence (< 6 months) after PM resection showed poorer OS than others (3-year OS 50.8% vs. 90.2%, p = 0.002). On multivariate analysis, e-PM was an independent predictor of early recurrence after PM resection (OR 3.989, 95%CI 1.002-15.885, p = 0.049).

CONCLUSION

Since a history of e-PM was a predictor of early recurrence and poor OS after R0 resection for PM, surgical treatment of patients with a history of e-PM should be considered carefully.

Value and prognostic factors of repeat hepatectomy for recurrent colorectal liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

More than 50% of patients with colorectal cancer develop liver metastases. Hepatectomy is the preferred treatment for resectable liver metastases. This review provides a perspective on the utility and relevant prognostic factors of repeat hepatectomy in recurrent colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM).

DATA SOURCES

The keywords "recurrent colorectal liver metastases", "recurrent hepatic metastases from colorectal cancer", "liver metastases of colorectal cancer", "repeat hepatectomy", "repeat hepatic resection", "second hepatic resection", and "prognostic factors" were used to retrieve articles published in the PubMed database up to August 2020. Additional articles were identified by a manual search of references from key articles.

RESULTS

Despite improvements in surgical methods and perioperative chemotherapy, recurrence remains common in 37%-68% of patients. Standards or guidelines for the treatment of recurrent liver metastases are lacking. Repeat hepatectomy appears to be the best option for patients with resectable metastases. The commonly reported prognostic factors after repeat hepatectomy were R0 resection, carcinoembryonic antigen level, the presence of extrahepatic disease, a short disease-free interval between initial and repeat hepatectomy, the number (> 1) and size (≥ 5 cm) of hepatic lesions, requiring blood transfusion, and no adjuvant chemotherapy after initial hepatectomy. The median overall survival after repeat hepatectomy ranged from 19.3 to 62 months, and the 5-year overall survival ranged from 21% to 73%. Chemotherapy can act as a test for the biological behavior of tumors with the goal of avoiding unnecessary surgery, and a multimodal approach involving aggressive chemotherapy and repeat hepatectomy might be the treatment of choice for patients with early recurrent CRLM.

CONCLUSIONS

Repeat hepatectomy is a relatively safe and effective treatment for resectable recurrent CRLM. The presence or absence of prognostic factors might facilitate patient selection to improve short- and long-term outcomes.

A Model to Predict Treatment Failure in Patients Undergoing Upfront Surgery for Resectable Colorectal Liver Metastases

INTRODUCTION

Patients who recur in the first year after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) do poorly. The aim of our study was to predict treatment failure in patients undergoing upfront resection with a nomogram.

METHODS

Data from patients resected between 1991 and 2019 were randomly split (70:30) into two cohorts. Treatment failure was defined as any recurrence or death within 12 months. A nomogram was constructed using multivariable logistic regression on the training cohort and validated using the testing cohort.

RESULTS

Overall, 783 patients were included. Primary tumor characteristics included 50% left-sided: 75.2% T3/4 and 56.5% node-positive. The median disease-free interval was 10 months, median number of metastases was 1 (1-50), and with a median size of 3.6 cm (0.2-22); 222 (28.3%) patients recurred within 1 year. Recurrence was mostly extrahepatic with or without liver involvement (150/222, 67.6%). Curative-intent treatment was possible in 37.8% of these patients. Primary location, T-stage and node status, disease-free interval, and number and size of metastases were associated with treatment failure. The area under the curve from the validation of the model was 0.6 (95% confidence interval 0.52-0.68). Patients with a high-risk of treatment failure (≥40%) had a worse survival from the landmark time of 12 months from surgery compared with those with low-risk (2-years: 82% vs. 70%; p = 0.0002).

CONCLUSIONS

Primary location, T stage, node status, disease-free interval, and number and size of metastases are associated with treatment failure. The survival of patients with a probability of treatment failure ≥40% is unfavorable. Future trials investigating the role of neoadjuvant therapy in these high-risk patients are warranted.

Long-term outcomes of staged liver resection for synchronous liver metastases from colorectal cancer and the clinical impact of early recurrence: A single-center retrospective cohort study

Aim

This study was undertaken to evaluate the long-term outcomes of staged liver resection for synchronous liver metastases (SLM) from colorectal cancer (CRC), and to elucidate the prognostic impact and predictors of early recurrence (ER), which was defined as recurrence within 6 mo.

Methods

Patients with SLM from CRC, except for initially unresectable SLM, from January 2013 to December 2020 were included. First, overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) after staged liver resection were evaluated. Second, eligible patients were classified as follows: patients who were unresectable after resection of CRC (UR), patients with ER, and patients without ER (non-ER), and their OS after resection of CRC were compared. In addition, risk factors for ER were identified.

Results

The 3-y OS and RFS rates after resection of SLM were 78.8% and 30.8%, respectively. Next, the eligible patients were classified as follows: ER (N = 24), non-ER (N = 56), and UR (N = 24). The non-ER group had a significantly better OS than the ER (3-y OS: 89.7% vs 48.0%, P = .001) and UR (3-y OS: 89.7% vs 61.6%, P < .001) groups, while there was no significant difference between the ER and UR groups in OS (3-y OS: 48.0% vs 61.6%, P = .638). Increasing carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) before and after resection of CRC was identified as an independent risk factor for ER.

Conclusion

Staged liver resection for SLM from CRC was feasible and useful for oncological evaluation, as changes in CEA could predict ER, which was associated with a poor prognosis.

Yttrium-90 Radiation Segmentectomy in Oligometastatic Secondary Hepatic Malignancies

PURPOSE

To evaluate the safety and efficacy of yttrium-90 (⁹⁰Y) radiation segmentectomy (RS) in the treatment of oligometastatic secondary hepatic malignancies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This institutional review board-approved retrospective study evaluated 16 patients with oligometastatic secondary hepatic malignancies who were treated with RS. The median patient age was 61.9 years (range, 38.6-85.7 years). Of the 16 patients, 11 (68.8%) presented with solitary lesions. The median index tumor size was 3.1 cm (95% CI, 2.3-3.9). Primary outcomes were evaluation of clinical and biochemical toxicities using National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 5.0, and imaging response using Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, version 1.1. Secondary outcomes were time to progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS) as estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Clinical Grade 3 toxicities were limited to 1 (6.7%) patient who experienced fatigue, abdominal pain, nausea, and vomiting. Biochemical Grade 3 toxicities occurred in 1 (6.7%) patient who experienced lymphopenia. No Grade 4 clinical or biochemical toxicities were identified. Disease control was achieved in 14 (93.3%) of 15 patients. The median TTP of the treated tumor was 72.9 months (95% CI, 11.2 to no estimate). The median OS was 60.9 months (95% CI, 24.7 to no estimate).

CONCLUSIONS

⁹⁰Y RS displayed an excellent safety profile and was effective in achieving a high disease control rate in the treatment of oligometastatic secondary hepatic malignancies.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy improves overall survival in resectable colorectal liver metastases patients with high clinical risk scores—— A retrospective, propensity score matching analysis

Background

The use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in resectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) patients is controversial. High-risk patients are more likely to benefit from NAC despite its hepatotoxic effects. Since patients with a high tumor burden receive NAC more frequently, previous retrospective studies have imbalanced baseline characteristics. The results of randomized controlled trials are still pending. This study aimed to assess the efficacy of NAC in resectable CRLM patients with high clinical risk scores (CRS) proposed by Fong et al. after balancing baseline characteristics by propensity score matching (PSM).

Methods

Resectable CRLM patients with high CRS (3-5) undergoing hepatectomy between January 2003 and May 2021 were retrospectively studied. Patients were divided into the NAC and the upfront surgery group. Survival outcomes and surgical outcomes were compared after PSM.

Results

The current study included 322 patients with a median follow-up of 40 months. After one-to-two PSM, patients were matched into the upfront surgery group (n = 56) and the NAC group (n = 112). Baseline characteristics were balanced after matching. There was no difference in long-term progression-free survival (PFS), while overall survival (OS) from the initial diagnosis was improved in the NAC group (P = 0.048). Postoperative hospital stays were shorter in the NAC group (P = 0.020). Surgical outcomes were similar, including major hepatectomy rate, intraoperative ablation rate, blood loss, operative time, perioperative blood transfusion, positive surgical margin, and postoperative intensive care unit stay. In multivariable analysis, RAS mutation, maximum tumor diameter≥3cm, and no NAC were independent risk factors for OS. The 1-year PFS in the NAC group was improved, although it failed to reach a statistical difference (P = 0.064).

Conclusions

NAC could improve OS in resectable CRLM patients with high CRS (3-5) and have a shorter postoperative hospital stay.

Very Early Recurrence After Curative-Intent Surgery for Gastric Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Recurrence after curative-intent surgery can occur in more than 50% of gastric cancer (GC) patients. We sought to identify predictors of very early recurrence (VER) among GC patients who underwent curative-intent surgery.

METHODS

A multi-institutional database of GC patients undergoing curative-intent surgery between 2000 and 2020 at 8 major institutions was queried. VER was defined as local or distant tumor recurrence within 6 months from surgery. Univariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the predictive value of clinical-pathological features on VER. A regularized Cox regression model was employed to build a predictive model of VER and recurrence within 12 months. The discriminant ability of the Cox regularized models was evaluated by reporting a ROC curve together with the calibration plot, considering 200 runs.

RESULTS

Among 1133 patients, 65 (16.0%) patients experienced a VER. Preoperative symptoms (HR 1.198), comorbidities (HR 1.289), tumor grade (HR 1.043), LNR (HR 4.339) and T stage (HR 1.639) were associated with an increased likelihood of VER. Model performance was very good at predicting VER at 6 months (AUC of 0.722) and 12 months (AUC 0.733). Two nomograms to predict 6-month and 12-month VER were built based on the predictive model. A higher nomogram score was associated with worse prognosis. There was good prediction between observed and estimated VER with minimal evidence of overfitting and good performance on internal bootstrapping validation.

CONCLUSION

One in 6 patients experienced VER following curative-intent surgery for GC. Nomograms to predict risk of VER performed well on internal validation, and stratified patients into distinct prognostic groups relative to 6- and 12-months recurrence.

Proteomic Profiling and Biomarker Discovery in Colorectal Liver Metastases

Colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) are the leading cause of death among patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). As part of multimodal therapy, liver resection is the mainstay of curative-intent treatment for select patients with CRLM. However, effective treatment of CRLM remains challenging as recurrence occurs in most patients after liver resection. Proposed clinicopathologic factors for predicting recurrence are inconsistent and lose prognostic significance over time. The rapid development of next-generation sequencing technologies and decreasing DNA sequencing costs have accelerated the genomic profiling of various cancers. The characterisation of genomic alterations in CRC has significantly improved our understanding of its carcinogenesis. However, the functional context at the protein level has not been established for most of this genomic information. Furthermore, genomic alterations do not always result in predicted changes in the corresponding proteins and cancer phenotype, while post-transcriptional and post-translational regulation may alter synthesised protein levels, affecting phenotypes. More recent advancements in mass spectrometry-based technology enable accurate protein quantitation and comprehensive proteomic profiling of cancers. Several studies have explored proteomic biomarkers for predicting CRLM after oncologic resection of primary CRC and recurrence after curative-intent resection of CRLM. The current review aims to rationalise the proteomic complexity of CRC and explore the potential applications of proteomic biomarkers in CRLM.

Development and validation of nomogram to predict very early recurrence of combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma after hepatic resection: a multi-institutional study

Background and objectives

Combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC) has a high incidence of early recurrence. The objective of this study is to construct a model predicting very early recurrence (VER) (i.e., recurrence within 6 months after surgery) of cHCC.

Methods

One hundred thirty-one consecutive patients from Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital served as a development cohort to construct a nomogram predicting VER by using multi-variable logistic regression analysis. The model was internally and externally validated in a validation cohort of 90 patients from Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital using the C concordance statistic, calibration analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The VER nomogram contains microvascular invasion (MiVI), macrovascular invasion (MaVI), and CA19-9 > 25 mAU/mL. The model shows good discrimination with C-indexes of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69–0.85) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.66–0.86) in the development cohort and validation cohort respectively. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model is clinically useful and the calibration of our model was favorable. Our model stratified patients into two different risk groups, which exhibited significantly different VER.

Conclusions

Our model demonstrated favorable performance in predicting VER in cHCC patients.

Preventing Futile Liver Resection: A Risk-Based Approach to Surgical Selection in Major Hepatectomy for Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Early recurrence following liver resection for metastatic colorectal cancer generally portends poor survival. We sought to identify factors associated with early disease recurrence after major hepatectomy for metastatic colorectal cancer in order to improve patient selection and prevent futile hepatectomy.

METHODS

Sequential major (four or more segments) liver resections performed for metastatic colorectal cancer between 1995 and 2019 were selected from our prospectively maintained database. Univariate analyses, multivariable regression modelling, and survival analyses were used to identify predictors of futile resection (recurrence within 6 months of hepatectomy).

RESULTS

Of 259 patients included, the median age was 61.3 years (interquartile range [IQR] 15.3) and the median number of liver tumors was 3.0 (IQR 2.0); 78.0% of patients received prehepatectomy chemotherapy. Surgeries were right (56.4%), left (19.3%), and extended hepatectomy (24.3%). Futile resection occurred in 26 (12.6%) patients. Margin positivity was similar in the futile resection group compared with the non-futile resection group (11.5% vs. 11.4%). Extrahepatic disease that disappeared with chemotherapy was present in 23.1% of patients with a futile resection and 7.2% of those without (p = 0.019). After multivariable regression, the factors predictive of futile resection were extrahepatic disease (odds ratio [OR] 5.6; p = 0.004), more than three liver lesions (OR 4.9; p = 0.001), and extended hepatectomy (OR 2.6; p = 0.038). Notably, 70.8% of futile recurrences occurred within the liver remnant and 20.8% were pulmonary metastases. Overall survival was 11.7 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.1-16.2) for the futile resection cohort versus 45.6 (95% CI 39.1-52.1) for non-futile hepatectomies (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Futile hepatic resection can be predicted based on preoperative factors and carries a poor prognosis. Improved risk stratification for futility will aid in patient selection and treatment discussions.

Circulating metabolites as a concept beyond tumor biology determining disease recurrence after resection of colorectal liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

Micro-metastatic growth is considered the main source of early cancer recurrence. Nutritional and microenvironmental components are increasingly recognized to play a significant role in the liver. We explored the predictive potential of preoperative plasma metabolites for postoperative disease recurrence in colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) patients.

METHODS

All included patients (n = 71) had undergone R0 liver resection for colorectal cancer liver metastasis in the years between 2012 and 2018. Preoperative blood samples were collected and assessed for 180 metabolites using a preconfigured mass-spectrometry kit (Biocrates Absolute IDQ p180 kit). Postoperative disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were prospectively recorded. Patients that recurred within 6 months after surgery were defined as "high-risk" and, subsequently, a three-metabolite model was created which can assess DFS in our collective.

RESULTS

Multiple lysophosphatidylcholines (lysoPCs) and phosphatidylcholines (PCs) significantly predicted disease recurrence within 6 months (strongest: PC aa C36:1 AUC = 0.83, p = 0.003, PC ae C34:0 AUC = 0.83, p = 0.004 and lysoPC a C18:1 AUC = 0.8, p = 0.006). High-risk patients had a median DFS of 183 days versus 522 days in low-risk population (p = 0.016, HR = 1.98 95% CI 1.16-4.35) with a 6 months recurrence rate of 47.6% versus 4.7%, outperforming routine predictors of oncological outcome.

CONCLUSION

Circulating metabolites identified CRCLM patients at highest risk for 6 months disease recurrence after surgery. Our data also suggests that circulating metabolites might play a significant pathophysiological role in micro-metastatic growth and concomitant early tumor recurrences after liver resection. However, the clinical applicability and performance of this proposed metabolomic concept needs to be independently validated in future studies.

Characterization of Biomarkers in Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases as a Prognostic Tool

BACKGROUND

Unfortunately, the majority of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRCLM) experience disease recurrence following hepatic surgery. The key challenge is therefore optimal patient selection, which currently relies on anatomical and clinical parameters. Exploring a potential molecular signature may be predictive for seeing a clinical benefit from CRCLM resection.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent CRCLM resection at our medical center between 2006 and 2016 were divided into cohorts of "good prognosis" (GP) or "poor prognosis" (PP) based on the time interval between their resection and disease recurrence. Proteomic analysis was performed on the surgical specimen and correlation analysis was carried out with demographics and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Proteomic analysis revealed 99 differentially expressed proteins of which a third were associated with extracellular matrix (ECM) pathways as the matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs). Multivariate analysis yielded a statistically differential proteomic pattern between the cohort regardless of perioperative treatment.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate a different proteomic landscape in the cohort of patients who had a clinical benefit from CRCLM resection which appears to be correlated with ECM pathways. Further prospective studies are needed to define the role of ECM pathways in prognostics and patient selection for surgical procedures for CRCLM.

Child-Turcotte-Pugh Score as a Predictive Factor for Long-Term Survival After Repeat Hepatectomy for Recurrent Liver Metastases of Colorectal Cancer

Objective

We aimed to evaluate the changes in liver function after repeat hepatectomy and their relationship with survival of patient with colorectal cancer.

Summary of Background Data

Repeat hepatectomy has been accepted as an effective treatment for recurrent liver metastases; however, how repeat hepatectomy changes the liver function during the follow-up period is not well understood.

Methods

Data regarding patients underwent R0 resections at initial hepatectomy for colorectal cancer with liver metastasis from 2012 to 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were divided into groups according to the total number of hepatectomies. Overall survival and Child-Turcotte-Pugh score after hepatectomy were analyzed.

Results

Fifty-three patients underwent single hepatectomy and 37 patients underwent repeat hepatectomy. There was no significant difference in the overall survival rates between the 2 groups. At 27 months after the initial hepatectomy, mean Child-Turcotte-Pugh scores of patients with repeat hepatectomy started to become statistically higher than those of patients with single hepatectomy. Overall survival of patients who survived after 27 months from the initial hepatectomy showed a statistical difference between the 2 groups. The total number of liver metastases ≥ 4 and Child-Turcotte-Pugh score ≥ 6 at 27 months after the initial hepatectomy were significant risk factors for overall survival of patient who survived after 27 months from the initial hepatectomy.

Conclusions

Liver function after repeat hepatectomy can be deteriorated after a long-term period. Careful approach and continuous assessment of the liver function after hepatectomy are necessary to maintain long-term survival after repeat hepatectomy.

Postoperative circulating tumour DNA is associated with pathologic response and recurrence-free survival after resection of colorectal cancer liver metastases

Background

Recurrence rates after resection of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) are high and correlate with worse survival. Postoperative circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) is a promising prognostic biomarker. Focusing on patients with resected CRLM, this study aimed to evaluate the association between the detection of postoperative ctDNA, pathologic response and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Methods

Twenty-three patients were selected from an ongoing phase-3 trial who underwent resection of RAS-mutant CRLM after induction systemic treatment. CtDNA analysis was performed by droplet digital PCR using blood samples collected at baseline, before and after resection. Pathologic response of CRLM was determined via the Tumour Regression Grading system.

Findings

With a median follow-up of 19.6 months, the median RFS for patients with detectable (N = 6, [26%]) and undetectable (N = 17, [74%]) postoperative ctDNA was 4.8 versus 12.1 months, respectively. Among 21 patients with available tumour tissue, pathologic response in patients with detectable compared to undetectable postoperative ctDNA was found in one of six (17%) and 15 of 15 (100%) patients, respectively (p < 0.001). In univariable Cox regression analyses both postoperative detectable ctDNA (HR = 3.3, 95%CI = 1.1–9.6, p = 0.03) and pathologic non-response (HR = 4.6, 95%CI = 1.4–15, p = 0.01) were associated with poorer RFS and were strongly correlated (r = 0.88, p < 0.001). After adjusting for clinical characteristics in pairwise multivariable analyses, postoperative ctDNA status remained associated with RFS.

Interpretation

The detection of postoperative ctDNA after secondary resection of CRLM is a promising prognostic factor for RFS and appeared to be highly correlated with pathologic response.

Survival Benefit of Repeat Local Treatment in Patients Suffering From Early Recurrence of Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases

BACKGROUND

A uniform treatment strategy for patients suffering from early recurrence after local treatment of CRLM is currently lacking. The aim of this observational cohort study was to assess the potential survival benefit of repeat local treatment compared to systemic therapy in patients suffering from early recurrence of CRLM.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients who developed recurrent CRLM within 12 months after initial local treatment with curative intent were retrospectively identified in Amsterdam University Medical Centers between 2009-2019. Differences in overall and progression-free survival among treatment strategies were assessed using multivariable Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 135 patients were included. Median overall survival of 41 months [range 4-135] was observed in patients who received repeat local treatment, consisting of upfront or repeat local treatment after neoadjuvant systemic therapy, compared to 24 months [range 1-55] in patients subjected to systemic therapy alone (adjusted HR = 0.42 [95%-CI: 0.25-0.72]; P = .002). Prolonged progression-free survival was observed after neoadjuvant systemic therapy followed by repeat local treatment, as compared to upfront repeat local treatment in patients with recurrent CRLM within 4 months following initial local treatment of CRLM (adjusted HR = 0.36 [95%-CI: 0.15-0.86]; P = .021).

CONCLUSION

Patients with early recurrence of CRLM should be considered for repeat local treatment strategies. A multimodality approach, consisting of neoadjuvant systemic therapy followed by repeat local treatment, appeared favorable in patients with recurrence within 4 months following initial local treatment of CRLM.

Early Recurrence After Initial Hepatectomy for Colorectal Liver Metastases

Objective

This study investigated the frequency of early recurrence in patients who had undergone hepatectomy for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) and assessed the indications for adjuvant chemotherapy in these patients.

Methods

This retrospective analysis included 133 consecutive patients who underwent initial hepatectomy for CRLM between April 2000 and May 2010 and have been followed more than 5 years.

Results

Of the 133 patients, 83 (62%) experienced tumor recurrence, with 14 of the 83 recurrences within 6 months after initial hepatectomy. Overall survival was significantly poorer in patients with recurrences within 6 months than those without any recurrence (P = 0.015). The frequency of adjuvant chemotherapy was significantly lower in patients with recurrences within 6 months than those without recurrences within 6 months. Multivariate analysis showed that H-2 classification was the only independent risk factor for recurrence within 6 months after hepatectomy (P = 0.002). Adjuvant chemotherapy improved prognosis in patients classified as H2.

Conclusions

Patients who experienced tumor recurrence within 6 months after initial hepatectomy for CRLM had a poorer prognosis than patients who experienced recurrence after 6 months. Patients with H2-classification of CRLM should receive preoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.

Very Early Recurrence After Liver Resection for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Considering Alternative Treatment Approaches

Importance

Although surgery offers the best chance of a potential cure for patients with localized, resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), prognosis of patients remains dismal largely because of a high incidence of recurrence.

Objective

To predict very early recurrence (VER) (ie, recurrence within 6 months after surgery) following resection for ICC in the pre- and postoperative setting.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC between May 1990 and July 2016 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. The study was conducted at The Ohio State University in collaboration with all other participating institutions. The data were analyzed in December 2019.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Two logistic regression models were constructed to predict VER based on pre- and postoperative variables. The final models were used to develop an online calculator to predict VER and the tool was internally and externally validated.

Results

Among 880 patients (median age, 59 years [interquartile range, 51-68 years]; 388 women [44.1%]; 428 [50.2%] white; 377 [44.3%] Asian; 27 [3.2%] black]), 196 (22.3%) developed VER. The 5-year overall survival among patients with and without VER was 8.9% vs 49.8%, respectively (P < .001). A preoperative model was able to stratify patients relative to the risk for VER: low risk (6-month recurrence-free survival [RFS], 87.7%), intermediate risk (6-month RFS, 72.3%), and high risk (6-month RFS, 49.5%) (log-rank P < .001). The postoperative model similarly identified discrete cohorts of patients based on probability for VER: low risk (6-month RFS, 90.0%), intermediate risk (6-month RFS, 73.1%), and high risk (6-month RFS, 48.5%) (log-rank, P < .001). The calibration and predictive accuracy of the pre- and postoperative models were good in the training (C index: preoperative, 0.710; postoperative, 0.722) as well as the internal (C index: preoperative, 0.715; postoperative, 0.728; bootstrapping resamples, n = 5000) and external (C index: postoperative, 0.672) validation data sets.

Conclusion and Relevance

An easy-to-use online calculator was developed to help clinicians predict the chance of VER after curative-intent resection for ICC. The tool performed well on internal and external validation. This tool may help clinicians in the preoperative selection of patients for neoadjuvant therapy as well as during the postoperative period to inform surveillance strategies.

A predictive model for early recurrence of colorectal-cancer liver metastases based on clinical parameters

Background

The prognosis for patients with colorectal-cancer liver metastases (CRLM) after curative surgery remains poor and shows great heterogeneity. Early recurrence, defined as tumor recurrence within 6 months of curative surgery, is associated with poor survival, requiring earlier detection and intervention. This study aimed to develop and validate a bedside model based on clinical parameters to predict early recurrence in CRLM patients and provide insight into post-operative surveillance strategies.

Material and methods

A total of 202 consecutive CRLM patients undergoing curative surgeries between 2012 and 2019 were retrospectively enrolled and randomly assigned to the training (n = 150) and validation (n = 52) sets. Baseline information and radiological, pathological, and laboratory findings were extracted from medical records. Predictive factors for early recurrence were identified via a multivariate logistic-regression model to develop a predictive nomogram, which was validated for discrimination, calibration, and clinical application.

Results

Liver-metastases number, lymph-node suspicion, neurovascular invasion, colon/rectum location, albumin and post-operative carcinoembryonic antigen, and carbohydrate antigen 19–9 levels (CA19–9) were independent predictive factors and were used to construct the nomogram for early recurrence after curative surgery. The area under the curve was 0.866 and 0.792 for internal and external validation, respectively. The model significantly outperformed the clinical risk score and Beppu’s model in our data set. In the lift curve, the nomogram boosted the detection rate in post-operative surveillance by two-fold in the top 30% high-risk patients.

Conclusion

Our model for early recurrence in CRLM patients after curative surgeries showed superior performance and could aid in the decision-making for selective follow-up strategies.

Early recurrence of well-differentiated (G1) neuroendocrine liver metastasis after curative-intent surgery: Risk factors and outcome

BACKGROUND

The objective of the current study was to identify the risk of early vs late recurrence of well-differentiated (G1) neuroendocrine liver metastasis (NELM) after curative-intent resection.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for well-differentiated NELM were identified from a multi-institutional database. Clinicopathological details, as well as the long-term overall (OS) and recurrence free survival (RFS) were obtained and compared. The optimal cutoff value to differentiate early and late recurrence was determined to be 1 year based on trend curve analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 548 patients undergoing curative resection for NELM, 162 patients had a well-differentiated NELM. After a median follow-up of 69 months, 59 (36.4%) patients had tumor recurrence; 23 (39.0%) patients recurred within 1 year (early recurrence) after surgery, while 36 (61.0%) recurred after 1 year (late recurrence). Early recurrence was associated with worse outcome vs late recurrence (5-year OS, 72.4% vs 92.0%; P = 0.020) and no recurrence (5-year OS, 72.4% vs 100.0%; P < 0.001). In addition, postrecurrence survival was worse within 36 months after recurrence among patients who recurred early compared with patients who recurred late (survival after recurrence at 36 months: early recurrence, 71.6% vs late recurrence, 91.4%; P = 0.047), although survival was comparable at 60 months (early recurrence, 71.6% vs late recurrence, 70.0%; P = 0.304). On multivariable analysis, nonfunctional neuroendocrine tumors (hazard ratio [HR], 4.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-16.7; P = 0.029) and lymph node metastasis (HR, 3.6; 95% CI, 1.1-11.1; P = 0.028) were independent risk factors for early recurrence, whereas lymph node metastasis (HR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.2-7.8; P = 0.020) and R1 resection (HR, 3.9; 95% CI, 1.4-10.5; P = 0.008) were independently associated with late recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Roughly, one-third of patients with well-differentiated NELM experienced a recurrence following curative-intent surgery. Among patients who recurred, two out of five patients recurred within 1 year after surgery. Early recurrence of well-differentiated NELM was associated with the hormone functional status and lymph node metastasis.

Early Recurrence of Neuroendocrine Liver Metastasis After Curative Hepatectomy: Risk Factors, Prognosis, and Treatment

BACKGROUND

Early tumor recurrence after curative resection typically indicates a poor prognosis. The objective of the current study was to investigate the risk factors, treatment, and prognosis of early recurrence of neuroendocrine tumor (NET) liver metastasis (NELM) after hepatic resection.

METHODS

A total of 481 patients who underwent curative-intent resection for NELM were identified from a multi-institutional database. Data on clinicopathological characteristics, intraoperative details, and outcomes were documented. The optimal cutoff value to differentiate early and late recurrence was determined to be 3 years based on linear regression.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 60 months, 223 (46.4%) patients developed a recurrence, including 158 (70.9%) early and 65 (29.1%) late recurrences. On multivariable analysis, pancreatic NET, primary tumor lymph node metastasis, and a microscopic positive surgical margin were independent risk factors for early intrahepatic recurrence. While recurrence patterns and treatments were comparable among patients with early and late recurrences, early recurrence was associated with worse disease-specific survival than late recurrences (10-year NELM-specific survival, 44.5 vs 75.8%, p < 0.001). Among the 34 (21.5%) patients who underwent curative treatment for early recurrence, post-recurrence disease-specific survival was better than non-curatively treated patients (10-year NELM-specific survival, 54.2 vs 26.3%, p = 0.028), yet similar to patients with late recurrences treated with curative intent (10-year NELM-specific survival, 54.2 vs 37.4%, p = 0.519).

CONCLUSIONS

Early recurrence after surgery for NELM was associated with the pancreatic type, primary lymph node metastasis, and extrahepatic disease. Re-treatment with curative intent prolonged survival after recurrence, and therefore, operative intervention even for early recurrences of NELM should be considered.

A postoperative scoring system for post-hepatectomy early recurrence of colorectal liver metastases

The aims of this study were to assess early recurrence predictive factors and elucidate the best early recurrence management. 255 patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) who underwent hepatectomy were retrospectively analyzed. A total of 87 patients (34.1%) developed early recurrence, defined as recurrence that occurred within 6 months after resection. Multivariate analysis showed that preoperative carcino-embryonic antigen (CEA) level ≥ 30 ng/ml, primary tumor lymphovascular invasion (LVI), number of metastases ≥ 4, R1 resection and initially unresectable disease were independent predictors of early recurrence. A predictive scoring system for early recurrence was created by incorporating these factors, and this system showed good discrimination (concordance index of 0.78). In early recurrent patients who underwent salvage treatment, those with 0-2 risk factors demonstrated a significantly longer median survival after recurrence than patients with 3-5 risk factors (33.4 months vs. 20.2 months, p = 0.001). For patients who underwent chemotherapy alone, the median survival after recurrence between two groups was comparable (18.3 months vs. 22.6 months, p = 0.926). Multivariate analysis revealed that primary tumor lymph node metastases (HR = 1.96, p = 0.032), early recurrence (HR = 1.67, p = 0.045), salvage treatment for recurrence (HR = 0.47, p = 0.002) and predictive scores for early recurrence (HR = 1.39, p = 0.004) were independent factors for survival in patients with recurrence. In patients with early recurrence, bilobar distribution of metastases (HR = 2.05, p = 0.025) and salvage treatment for recurrence (HR = 0.46, p = 0.019) were independent factors for survival. In conclusion, we developed a predictive model that is a very useful tool for determining both the likelihood of early recurrence and the necessity for salvage treatment.

Contemporary surgical management of synchronous colorectal liver metastases

Historically, the 5-year survival rates for patients with stage 4 (metastatic) colorectal cancer were extremely poor (5%); however, with advances in systemic chemotherapy combined with an ability to push the boundaries of surgical resection, survival rates in the range of 25–40% can be achieved. This multimodal approach of combining neo-adjuvant strategies with surgical resection has raised a number of questions regarding the optimal management and timing of surgery. For the purpose of this review, we will focus on the treatment of stage 4 colorectal cancer with synchronous liver metastases.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Colorectal Cancer Metastasis to the Liver: Comparative Effectiveness Research for the Choice of Contrast Agents

Purpose

This study was conducted to compare the diagnostic performance and early recurrence rate between gadoxetic acid–enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (Gd-EOB-MRI) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with extracellular contrast agent (ECA-MRI) for evaluating hepatic lesions in colorectal cancer.

Materials and Methods

Between 2005 and 2010, 418 colorectal cancer patients with both preoperative computed tomography (CT) and liver MRI were retrospectively reviewed. Image analysis was based on initial radiologic reports, and diagnostic performance was assessed based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The early intrahepatic recurrence rate within 6 months was then evaluated.

Results

Overall, 291 and 127 patients underwent Gd-EOB-MRI and ECA-MRI, respectively. The AUROCs were not significantly different between Gd-EOB-MRI (0.990; 95% CI, 0.980 to 0.999) and ECA-MRI (0.985; 95% CI, 0.968 to 1.000; p=0.836). When compared with CT alone, ECA-MRI detected additional 21 lesions in 14 patients (14/127, 11.0%), whereas Gd-EOB-MRI detected 56 lesions in 33 patients (33/291, 11.3%) without a significant difference between two MRI groups (p=0.331). The early recurrence rate in the ECA-MRI (28.6%) was significantly higher than that in the Gd-EOB-MRI (11.6%) for patients who underwent hepatic resection (p=0.031).

Conclusion

Gd-EOB-MRI is potentially better than ECA-MRI for decreasing the early intrahepatic recurrence rate, although the two MRI modalities showed comparable diagnostic performance in colorectal cancer patients.

Risk factors for cancer recurrence or death within 6 months after liver resection in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis

Purpose

The aim of this study was to find risk factors for early recurrence (ER) and early death (ED) after liver resection for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM).

Methods

Between May 1990 and December 2011, 279 patients underwent liver resection for CRCLM at Korea University Medical Center. They were assigned to group ER (recurrence within 6 months after liver resection) or group NER (non-ER; no recurrence within 6 months after liver resection) and group ED (death within 6 months after liver resection) or group NED (alive > 6 months after liver resection).

Results

The ER group included 30 patients (10.8%) and the NER group included 247 patients (89.2%). The ED group included 18 patients (6.6%) and the NED group included 253 patients (93.4%). Prognostic factors for ER in a univariate analysis were poorly differentiated colorectal cancer (CRC), synchronous metastasis, ≥5 cm of liver mass, ≥50 ng/mL preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level, positive liver resection margin, and surgery alone without perioperative chemotherapy. Prognostic factors for ED in a univariate analysis were poorly differentiated CRC, positive liver resection margin, and surgery alone without perioperative chemotherapy. Multivariate analysis showed that poorly differentiated CRC, ≥5-cm metastatic tumor size, positive liver resection margin, and surgery alone without perioperative chemotherapy were independent risk factors related to ER. For ED, poorly differentiated CRC, positive liver resection margin, and surgery alone without perioperative chemotherapy were risk factors in multivariate analysis.

Conclusion

Complete liver resection with clear resection margin and perioperative chemotherapy should be carefully considered when patients have the following preoperative risk factors: metastatic tumor size ≥ 5 cm and poorly differentiated CRC.

Early Recurrence After Hepatectomy for Colorectal Liver Metastases: What Optimal Definition and What Predictive Factors?

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to determine the optimal definition and elucidate the predictive factors of early recurrence after surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

METHODS

Among 987 patients who underwent curative surgery for CRLM from 1990 to 2012, 846 with a minimum follow-up period of 24 months were eligible for this study. The minimum p value approach of survival after initial recurrence was used to determine the optimal cutoff for the definition of early recurrence. The predictive factors of early recurrence and prognostic factors of survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

For 667 patients (79%) who developed recurrence, the optimal cutoff point of early recurrence was determined to be 8 months after surgery. The impact of early recurrence on survival was demonstrated mainly in patients who received preoperative chemotherapy. Among the 691 patients who received preoperative chemotherapy, recurrence was observed in 562 (81%), and survival in patients with early recurrence was significantly worse than in those with late recurrence (5-year survival 18.5% vs. 53.4%, p < .0001). Multivariate logistic analysis identified age ≤57 years (p = .0022), >1 chemotherapy line (p = .03), disease progression during last-line chemotherapy (p = .024), >3 tumors (p = .0014), and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 >60 U/mL (p = .0003) as independent predictors of early recurrence. Salvage surgery for recurrence significantly improved survival, even in patients with early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

The optimal cutoff point of early recurrence was determined to be 8 months. The preoperative prediction of early recurrence is possible and crucial for designing effective perioperative chemotherapy regimens.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

In this study, the optimal cutoff point of early recurrence was determined to be 8 months after surgery based on the minimum p value approach, and its prognostic impact was demonstrated mainly in patients who received preoperative chemotherapy. Five factors, including age, number of preoperative chemotherapy lines, response to last-line chemotherapy, number of tumors, and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 concentrations, were identified as predictors of early recurrence. Salvage surgery for recurrence significantly improved survival, even in patients with early recurrence. For better selection of patients who could truly benefit from surgery and should also receive strong postoperative chemotherapy, the accurate preoperative prediction of early recurrence is crucial.

Predicting early intrahepatic recurrence after curative resection of colorectal liver metastases with molecular markers

BACKGROUND

The aim of this case-control study was to identify clinicopathological factors and test three relevant biomarkers for their ability to predict early intrahepatic recurrence after curative liver resection for colorectal liver metastases (CLM).

METHODS

Of the 184 patients with CLM undergoing hepatectomy between January 2007 and December 2009, thirty patients had intrahepatic disease recurrence within 6 months. The control group was randomly selected from a cohort of patients between April 1997 and December 2005 who have survived without disease recurrence after CLM resection for over 5 years. Both groups were matched for size of metastasis greater than 5.0 cm, the presence of multiple metastases, and synchronous versus metachronous CLM. The final study population consisted of 60 patients with CLM undergoing R0 hepatectomy, 30 of whom had early intrahepatic-only recurrences (study group) and 30 patients without recurrence for more than 5 years (control group). Both groups were analyzed and compared for the presence of clinical factors and expression levels of CD133, survivin, and Bcl-2 within tumor tissue.

RESULTS

Characteristics of patients were similar between the two groups except primary tumor location and administration of postoperative chemotherapy. Expression level of CD133 and survivin were significantly increased in tumors of patients with recurrence compared to patients without recurrence. On multivariate analysis high tumor expression levels of CD133 (odds ratio [OR] 14.7, confidence interval [CI] 1.8-121.3, p = 0.012) and survivin (OR 9.5, CI 2.1-44.3, p = 0.004) and postoperative chemotherapy (OR 4.8, CI 1.01-22.9, p = 0.049) were independent factors associated with early intrahepatic recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor expression levels of CD133 and survivin may be a useful predictor of early intrahepatic recurrence after hepatectomy for CLM. Administration of postoperative chemotherapy may prevent early intrahepatic recurrence.

Optimal management of colorectal liver metastases in older patients: a decision analysis

BACKGROUND

Comparative trials evaluating management strategies for colorectal cancer liver metastases (CLM) are lacking, especially for older patients. This study developed a decision-analytic model to quantify outcomes associated with treatment strategies for CLM in older patients.

METHODS

A Markov-decision model was built to examine the effect on life expectancy (LE) and quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) for best supportive care (BSC), systemic chemotherapy (SC), radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and hepatic resection (HR). The baseline patient cohort assumptions included healthy 70-year-old CLM patients after a primary cancer resection. Event and transition probabilities and utilities were derived from a literature review. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed on all study parameters.

RESULTS

In base case analysis, BSC, SC, RFA and HR yielded LEs of 11.9, 23.1, 34.8 and 37.0 months, and QALEs of 7.8, 13.2, 22.0 and 25.0 months, respectively. Model results were sensitive to age, comorbidity, length of model simulation and utility after HR. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed increasing preference for RFA over HR with increasing patient age.

CONCLUSIONS

HR may be optimal for healthy 70-year-old patients with CLM. In older patients with comorbidities, RFA may provide better LE and QALE. Treatment decisions in older cancer patients should account for patient age, comorbidities, local expertise and individual values.

Optimal duration of the early and late recurrence of pancreatic cancer after pancreatectomy based on the difference in the prognosis

BACKGROUND

The term "early recurrence" of pancreatic cancer has not been well-defined in most previous studies.

METHODS

The clinical records of 86 patients who underwent macroscopic curative pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer between 2000 and 2009 were retrospectively examined. We divided 55 patients who experienced disease recurrence into two groups, the early and late recurrence groups, using the minimum p value approach. The relationships between the interval prior to recurrence and clinical outcomes were investigated.

RESULTS

The cumulative 5-year overall survival rates for all 86 patients were 30.2%. For 55 patients who experienced disease recurrence, the optimal cut-off value for differentiating early (n = 37) and late (n = 18) recurrence based on the overall survival was 12 months (p = 0.0000045). The Cox proportional hazard analysis identified carbohydrate antigen 19-9 > 100 U/ml (p = 0.017) and surgical margin (p = 0.007) as the independent prognostic factors associated with overall survival. Positive surgical margin (p = 0.037) and severe venous invasion (p = 0.005) were identified as independent factors associated with early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Twelve months after pancreatectomy is the optimal cut-off value for defining early versus late recurrence based on the overall survival. Early recurrence was related to the status of the surgical margin and venous invasion.

A systematic review of the role of hepatectomy in the management of metastatic renal cell carcinoma

AIM

This review sought to systematically appraise the literature to establish the role of hepatectomy in treating renal cell carcinoma hepatic metastases.

METHOD

Medline and EMBASE were systematically searched for papers reporting survival of patients who underwent hepatectomy for metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

RESULTS

Six studies containing 140 patients were included. There were no randomised controlled trials. Perioperative mortality was 4.3%, with reported morbidity between 13 and 30%. Patients with metachronous presentation, and a greater time interval between resection of primary tumour and development of metachronous metastases, appeared to have better survival. There was no difference in survival between patients with solitary and multiple metastases.

CONCLUSION

Few patients with hepatic metastases from renal cell carcinoma are suitable for hepatectomy as metastatic disease is usually widespread. Selected patients may experience a survival benefit, but identifying these patients remains difficult.

Early recurrence after liver resection for colorectal metastases: risk factors, prognosis, and treatment. A LiverMetSurvey-based study of 6,025 patients

PURPOSE

The aims of this study were to assess the risk of early recurrence after liver resection for colorectal metastases (CRLM) and its prognostic value; identify early recurrence predictive factors; clarify the effect of perioperative chemotherapy on its occurrence; and elucidate the best early recurrence management.

METHODS

Patients of the LiverMetSurvey registry who underwent complete liver resection (R0/R1) between 1998 and 2009 were reviewed. Early recurrence was defined as any recurrence that occurred within 6 months after resection.

RESULTS

A total of 6,025 patients were included; 2,734 (45.4 %) had recurrence, including 639 (10.6 %) early recurrences. Early recurrence was mainly hepatic (59.5 vs. 54.4 % for late recurrences; p = 0.023). Independent risk factors of early recurrence were: T3-4 primary tumor (p = 0.0002); synchronous CRLM (p = 0.0001); >3 CRLM (p < 0.0001); 0-mm margin liver resection (p = 0.003); and associated intraoperative radiofrequency ablation (p = 0.0005). Response to preoperative chemotherapy (complete/partial) and administration of adjuvant chemotherapy reduced early recurrence risk (p = 0.003 and p < 0.0001, respectively). Intraoperative ultrasonography reduced hepatic early recurrence rate (p = 0.025). Early recurrence negatively affected prognosis: 5-year survival 26.9 versus 49.4 % for the late recurrence group (p < 0.0001, median follow-up 34.4 months). Overall, 234 (36.6 %) patients with early recurrence underwent re-resection. These patients had survival rates higher than non-re-resected patients (5-year survival 47.2 vs. 8.9 %; p < 0.0001) and similar to re-resected patients for late recurrence (48.7 %). Chemotherapy before early recurrence resection improved later survival (5-year survival 61.5 vs. 43.7 %; p = 0.028).

CONCLUSIONS

Early recurrence risk is enhanced for extensive disease after poor preoperative disease control and inadequate surgical treatment, but is reduced after adjuvant chemotherapy. Although early recurrence negatively affects prognosis, re-resection may restore better survival. Chemotherapy before early recurrence resection is advocated.

Extended pathology reporting of resection specimens of colorectal liver metastases: the significance of a tumour pseudocapsule

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to analyse the influence of factors reported in the minimum histopathology dataset for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) and other pre-operative factors compared with additional data relating to the presence of tumour pseudocapsules and necrosis on recurrence 1 year after a resection.

METHODS

For a period of 14 months, extended histological reporting of CRLM specimens was performed, including the presence of pseudocapsules and necrosis in each tumour. The details of recurrence were obtained from surveillance imaging.

RESULTS

In 66 patients there were 27 recurrences within 1 year. The rates were lower for patients with tumour pseudocapsules (8/27) than for patients without (19/36) (P = 0.030). Pseudocapsules were associated with a younger age (P = 0.005), nodal stage of the primary colorectal tumour (P = 0.025) and metachronous tumours (P = 0.004). In patients with synchronous disease and pseudocapsules, the recurrence rate was 2/12 compared with 13/23 patients without pseudocapsules (P = 0.026).

DISCUSSION

These findings demonstrate that histological examination of resection specimens can provide significant additional prognostic information for patients after resection of CRLM, compared with clinical and radiological data. The present finding that the absence of a pseudocapsule in patients with synchronous CRLM is associated with a dramatically worse outcome may help direct patient-specific adjuvant treatment and care.

Do metastatic colorectal cancer patients who present with late relapse after curative surgery have a better survival?

Background:

Patients who relapse after potentially curative surgery for colorectal cancer tend to relapse within 5 years. There is, however, a group of patients who relapse beyond 5 years after resection and this late relapsing group may have a different behaviour and prognosis.

Methods:

We analysed data from a prospective population-based registry to compare the characteristics and survival of relapsed patients with metachronous mCRC. Patients were categorised into relapse at <2, 2–5 and >5 years following their initial surgery. Univariate log-rank tests and multivariate Cox regression was performed to determine whether time to relapse (TTR) and other factors were associated with overall survival (OS).

Results:

A total of 750 metachronous mCRC patients were identified. In all, 56% relapsed ⩽2 years, 32.4% at 2–5 years and 11.6% >5 years. Median survival time from the time of diagnosis of mCRC for the three groups was 17.6, 26.1 and 27.5 months, respectively. Short TTR (<2 years) was significantly associated with survival (HR=0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.60–0.93 and HR=0.73, 95% CI=0.53–1.01, respectively, for 2–5 and >5 years vs <2 years, P<0.05). However, there was no significant difference in survival between patients who relapsed at 5 years or later compared with those who relapsed between 2 and 5 years (HR=0.98, 95% CI=0.69–1.38, P=0.90).

Conclusion:

TTR within 2 years is an independent predictor of shorter survival time for mCRC patients who experience a relapse. These data do not support the hypothesis that patients who have late relapse late (>5 years) have a ‘better' biology or survival compared with patients with a TTR of 2–5 years.

Predictors for early recurrence after hepatectomy for initially unresectable colorectal liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

Early recurrence correlates with poor survival following various cancer surgeries and puts considerable stress on patients both physically and mentally. This retrospective study investigated the predictive factors for early recurrence after surgical resection for initially unresectable colorectal liver metastasis to elucidate indications for conversion strategies.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 46 patients who underwent hepatectomy after chemotherapy for initially unresectable colorectal liver metastasis from 1997 to 2010.

RESULTS

Recurrences occurred within 6 months after hepatectomy in 13 patients (37 %). The median survival time of 21.2 months and the 5-year survival rate of 0 % after hepatectomy in patients with recurrence within 6 months were significantly worse than those in patients with recurrence more than 6 months after hepatectomy. Recurrence in less than 6 months was significantly correlated with impossibility of anticancer therapy for recurrence after hepatectomy (p = 0.01). Eight or more hepatic tumors after chemotherapy were the only predictor of recurrence within 6 months (p = 0.01; odds ratio 9.6; 95 % confidence interval 1.5-60.6).

CONCLUSION

Recurrence within 6 months was significantly correlated with a poorer outcome following surgery for initially unresectable colorectal liver metastasis. Surgical indication for initially unresectable colorectal liver metastasis with eight or more hepatic tumors after chemotherapy should be considered carefully in the light of mental and physical status, co-morbidity, and alternative treatment plans.

Survival after liver resection in metastatic colorectal cancer: review and meta-analysis of prognostic factors

Background

Hepatic metastases develop in approximately 50% of colorectal cancer (CRC) cases. We performed a review and meta-analysis to evaluate survival after resection of CRC liver metastases (CLMs) and estimated the summary effect for seven prognostic factors.

Methods

Studies published between 1999 and 2010, indexed on Medline, that reported survival after resection of CLMs, were reviewed. Meta-relative risks for survival by prognostic factor were calculated, stratified by study size and annual clinic volume. Cumulative meta-analysis results by annual clinic volume were plotted.

Results

Five- and 10-year survival ranged from 16% to 74% (median 38%) and 9% to 69% (median 26%), respectively, based on 60 studies. The overall summary median survival time was 3.6 (range: 1.7–7.3) years. Meta-relative risks (95% confidence intervals) by prognostic factor were: node positive primary, 1.6 (1.5–1.7); carcinoembryonic antigen level, 1.9 (1.1–3.2); extrahepatic disease, 1.9 (1.5–2.4); poor tumor grade, 1.9 (1.3–2.7); positive margin, 2.0 (1.7–2.5); >1 liver metastases, 1.6 (1.4–1.8); and >3 cm tumor diameter, 1.5 (1.3–1.8). Cumulative meta-analyses by annual clinic volume suggested improved survival with increasing volume.

Conclusion

The overall median survival following CLM liver resection was 3.6 years. All seven investigated prognostic factors showed a modest but significant predictive relationship with survival, and certain prognostic factors may prove useful in determining optimal therapeutic options. Due to the increasing complexity of surgical interventions for CLM and the inclusion of patients with higher disease burdens, future studies should consider the potential for selection and referral bias on survival.

Hepatocellular Carcinomas and Primary Liver Tumors as Predictive Factors for Postoperative Mortality after Liver Resection: A Meta-Analysis of More than 35,000 Hepatic Resections

Liver resection is considered the therapeutic gold standard for primary and metastatic liver neoplasms. The reduction of postoperative complications and mortality has resulted in a more aggressive approach to hepatic malignancies. For the most part, results of liver surgery have been published by highly experienced institutions, but the observations of highly specialized units results may not reflect the current status of hepatic surgery, underestimating mortality and complications. The objective of this study is to evaluate morbidity and mortality as a result of liver resection for primary and metastatic lesions, analyzing a large number of studies with a meta-analytic process taking into account the overdispersion of data. An extensive literature search has been conducted, and 148 papers published between January 2000 and April 2008, including a total of 36,629 patients from both high-volume and low volume institutions, were included in the meta-analysis. A beta binomial model was used to provide a robust estimate of the summary event rate by pooling overdispersion binomial data from different studies. Overall morbidity and mortality after liver surgery were 29.32 per cent and 3.15 per cent, respectively. Significantly higher postoperative mortality was observed after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinomas and primary hepatic tumors. The application of a beta binomial model to correct for overdispersion of liver surgery data showed significantly higher postoperative mortality rates in patients with hepatocellular carcinomas or primary hepatic tumors after liver resection.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of follow-up after hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases2

Background

The evidence surrounding optimal follow-up after liver resection for colorectal metastases remains unclear. A significant proportion of recurrences occur in the early postoperative period, and some groups advocate more intensive review at this time.

Methods

A systematic review of literature published between January 2003 and May 2010 was performed. Studies that described potentially curative primary resection of colorectal liver metastases that involved a defined follow-up protocol and long-term survival data were included. For meta-analysis, studies were grouped into intensive (more frequent review in the first 5 years after resection) and uniform (same throughout) follow-up.

Results

Thirty-five studies were identified that met the inclusion criteria, involving 7330 patients. Only five specifically addressed follow-up. Patients undergoing intensive early follow-up had a median survival of 39·8 (95 per cent confidence interval 34·3 to 45·3) months with a 5-year overall survival rate of 41·9 (34·4 to 49·4) per cent. Patients undergoing routine follow-up had a median survival of 40·2 (33·4 to 47·0) months, with a 5-year overall survival rate of 38·4 (32·6 to 44·3) months.

Conclusion

Evidence regarding follow-up after liver resection is poor. Meta-analysis failed to identify a survival advantage for intensive early follow-up.

Risk factors for early recurrence after curative hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases

PURPOSE

With the broadening indications for hepatectomy to treat colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), early recurrence is a major problem. The aim of this study is to identify risk factors of early recurrence, defined as recurrence within 1 year after surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on 121 consecutive patients who underwent hepatectomy for CRLM.

RESULTS

Among 121 patients, 52 (43.0%) developed early recurrence. The independent risk factor for early recurrence was "number of liver metastases ≥ 3" (odds ratio 2.65). There were significantly more patients with liver recurrence (51.9%) and recurrence beyond curative surgical resection (63.5%) in those with early recurrence. In addition, patients with three or more liver metastases had significantly more liver recurrence (66.7%; P = 0.02) and recurrence beyond curative surgical resection (70.8%; P = 0.04). The overall survival rates of both patients with early recurrence (5-year survival rate 20%) and those with three or more liver metastases (5-year survival rate 24%) were significantly worse.

CONCLUSIONS

The independent risk factor for early recurrence is the "number of liver metastases ≥ 3." Patients with three or more liver metastases have a significantly higher risk of liver recurrence and a higher rate of recurrence beyond curative surgical resection, and these are correlated with a poor prognosis.

Outcomes of intensive surveillance after resection of hepatic colorectal metastases

BACKGROUND

The impact of computed tomography (CT)-based follow-up for the detection of resectable disease recurrence following surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) was evaluated.

METHODS

Some 705 patients undergoing resection of CRLM between January 1993 and March 2007 were included. Surveillance comprised 3-monthly CT (thorax, abdomen and pelvis) in the first 2 years after surgery, 6 monthly for 3 years and annually from years 6 to 10. Survival differences following recurrence between patients managed surgically and palliatively were determined, and the cost was calculated.

RESULTS

Five-year disease-free and overall survival rates were 28.3 and 32.3 per cent respectively. Of 402 patients who developed recurrence within 2 years, 88 were treated with liver resection alone and 36 with lung and/or liver resection. Their 5-year overall survival rates were 31 and 30 per cent respectively, compared with 3.9 per cent in 278 patients managed palliatively (P < 0.001). For each 3-month interval during the first year of follow-up, patients with recurrence treated surgically had better overall survival than those treated palliatively. The cost of surveillance that identified 124 patients amenable to further resection was 12,338 pounds per operated recurrence. Assuming that patients with recurrence gained 5 years' survival, the mean survival gain was 4.28 years per resection and the cost per life-year gained was 2883 pounds.

CONCLUSION

Intensive 3-monthly CT surveillance after liver resection for CRLM detects recurrence that is amenable to further resection in a considerable number of patients. These patients have significantly better survival with a reasonable cost per life-year gained.

Early intrapulmonary recurrence after pulmonary metastasectomy related to colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Early intrapulmonary recurrence is a major problem after pulmonary metastasectomy related to colorectal cancer. However, the risk factors for early intrapulmonary recurrence are not clear.

METHODS

Between August 2001 and December 2007, 125 patients underwent pulmonary metastasectomy after colorectal cancer. The prognostic factors for overall survival were evaluated, including early (within 6 months) intrapulmonary recurrence. The factors related to early intrapulmonary recurrence were also analyzed.

RESULTS

Thirteen patients (10.4%) had early intrapulmonary recurrence. The median follow-up was 46 months (range, 21 to 99). Early intrapulmonary recurrence (hazard ratio 2.716; 95% confidence interval: 1.027 to 7.182; p = 0.044), extrapulmonary metastasectomy, metastatic hilar or mediastinal lymph nodes, and high prethoracotomy carcinoembryonic antigen levels were independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis. Extrapulmonary metastasectomy (odds ratio 4.840; 95% confidence interval: 1.314 to 17.821; p = 0.018) and bilateral pulmonary metastasis (odds ratio 6.228; 95% confidence interval: 1.689 to 22.960; p = 0.006) were independent risk factors for early intrapulmonary recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Early intrapulmonary recurrence after pulmonary metastasectomy related to colorectal cancer is a prognostic factor for poor overall survival. Extrapulmonary metastasectomy and bilateral pulmonary metastasis are risk factors for early intrapulmonary recurrence. Pulmonary metastasectomy in patients with these risk factors should be considered carefully.

Interaction of tumour biology and tumour burden in determining outcome after hepatic resection for colorectal metastases

AIMS

To determine the outcome of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) patients based on tumour burden, represented by tumour number and size, and tumour biology as assessed by an inflammatory response to tumour (IRT) and margin positivity.

METHODS

Data were collated from CRLM patients undergoing resection from January 1993 to March 2007. Patients were divided into: low (<or=3 metastases and/or <or=3 cm); moderate (4-7 metastases and/or >3-<or=5 cm); and high (>or=8 metastases and/or >5 cm) tumour burden.

RESULTS

Seven hundred and five patients underwent resection, of which 154 (21.8%), 262 (37.2%) and 289 (41.0%) patients were in the low, moderate and high tumour burden groups, respectively. The 5-year disease-free (P < 0.001) and overall (P < 0.001) survival were significantly different between the groups. IRT (P < 0.001), extent of resection (P < 0.001) and margin (P < 0.001) also differed between the groups. Sub-group analysis revealed that IRT was the only adverse predictor for disease-free and overall survival in the low group. In the moderate group, IRT predicted poorer disease-free survival on multi-variate analysis. In the high group, R1 resection and transfusion were predictors of poorer disease-free survival and age >or=65 years, R1 resection and IRT were adverse predictors of overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Resection margin influenced the outcome of patients with high tumour burden, hence the importance of achieving clear margins. IRT influenced the outcome of patients with less aggressive disease.