Predictors of venous thromboembolism development before and during chemotherapy for advanced germ cell tumor

Development of an algorithm for identifying paraneoplastic ischemic stroke in association with lung, pancreatic, and colorectal cancer

Background

Paraneoplastic ischemic stroke has a poor prognosis. We have recently reported an algorithm based on the number of ischemic territories, C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and granulocytosis to predict the underlying active cancer in a case-control setting. However, co-occurrence of cancer and stroke might also be merely incidental.

Objective

To detect cancer-associated ischemic stroke in a large, unselected cohort of consecutive stroke patients by detailed analysis of ischemic stroke associated with specific cancer subtypes and comparison to patients with bacterial endocarditis.

Methods

Retrospective single-center cohort study of consecutive 1612 ischemic strokes with magnetic resonance imaging, CRP, LDH, and relative granulocytosis data was performed, including identification of active cancers, history of now inactive cancers, and the diagnosis of endocarditis. The previously developed algorithm to detect paraneoplastic cancer was applied. Tumor types associated with paraneoplastic stroke were used to optimize the diagnostic algorithm.

Results

Ischemic strokes associated with active cancer, but also endocarditis, were associated with more ischemic territories as well as higher CRP and LDH levels. Our previous algorithm identified active cancer-associated strokes with a specificity of 83% and sensitivity of 52%. Ischemic strokes associated with lung, pancreatic, and colorectal (LPC) cancers but not with breast and prostate cancers showed more frequent and prominent characteristics of paraneoplastic stroke. A multiple logistic regression model optimized to identify LPC cancers detected active cancer with a sensitivity of 77.8% and specificity of 81.4%. The positive predictive value (PPV) for all active cancers was 13.1%.

Conclusion

Standard clinical examinations can be employed to identify suspect paraneoplastic stroke with an adequate sensitivity, specificity, and PPV when it is considered that the association of ischemic stroke with breast and prostate cancers in the stroke-prone elderly population might be largely incidental.

Simple yet (more?) effective. Venous thromboembolism risk assessment model for germ cell tumour patients receiving first-line chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Germ cell tumours (GCT) are highly curable malignancies. Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a serious complication, needing better risk assessment models (RAM).

AIM

Identification of VTE incidence and risk factors in metastatic GCT patients starting first-line chemotherapy. Developing a RAM and comparing it to Khorana risk score (KRS) and Padua Prediction Score (PPS).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We retrospectively analysed GCT patients staged IS-IIIC. VTE risk factors were identified with logistic regression. Area under curve of receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC), Akaike and Bayesian Information Criteria (AIC, BIC) were calculated for the developed RAM, KRS and PPS.

RESULTS

Among 495 eligible patients, VTE occurred in 69 (13.9%), including 40 prior to chemotherapy. Vein compression (OR: 8.96; 95% CI: 2.85-28.13; p < 0.001), clinical stage IIIB-IIIC (OR: 5.68; 95% CI: 1.82-17.70; p = 0.003) and haemoglobin concentration (OR for 1 g/dL decrease: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.03-1.67; p = 0.026) were significant in our RAM. KRS ≥ 3 (OR: 3.31; 95% CI: 1.77-6.20; p < 0.001), PPS 4-5 (OR: 3.06; 95% CI: 1.49-6.29; p = 0.002) and PPS > 5 (OR 8.05; 95% CI 3.79-17.13; p < 0.001) correlated with VTE risk. Diagnostic criteria (AUC-ROC, AIC, BIC) for the developed RAM, KRS and PPS were (0.885; 0.567; -1641), (0.588; 0.839; -1576) and (0.700; 0.799; -1585), respectively. In the numerical score, the optimal cut-off point for high-risk was ≥9, with sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value of 0.78, 0.77, 0.35 and 0.96, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our RAM, based on vein compression, clinical stage and haemoglobin concentration proved superior to both KRS and PPS. VTE is frequent in GCT patients.

Thromboembolic Events in Patients with Testicular Germ Cell Tumours Are Predominantly Triggered by Advanced Disease and by Central Venous Access Systems

BACKGROUND

Thromboembolic events (TEEs) may significantly complicate the clinical management of patients with testicular germ cell tumours (GCTs). We analysed a cohort of GCT patients for the occurrence of TEEs and looked to possible pathogenetic factors.

PATIENTS, METHODS

TEEs occurring within 6 months after diagnosis were retrospectively analysed in 317 consecutive patients with testicular GCT (median age 37 years, 198 seminoma, 119 nonseminoma). The following factors were analysed for association with TEE: histology, age, clinical stage (CS), chemotherapy, use of a central venous access device (CVA). Data analysis involved descriptive statistical methods with multivariable analysis to identify independent risk factors.

RESULTS

Twenty-three TEEs (7.3%) were observed, 18 deep vein thromboses, 4 pulmonary embolisms, and 1 myocardial infarction. Univariable risk calculation yielded the following odds ratios (ORs) : >CS1 OR = 43.7 (95% confidence intervals [CIs] 9.9-191.6); chemotherapy OR = 7.8 (95% CI 2.3-26.6); CVA OR = 30.5 (95% CI 11.0-84.3). Multivariable analysis identified only CS > 1 (OR = 16.9; 95% CI 3.5-82.4) and CVA (OR = 9.0; 95% CI 2.9-27.5) as independent risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with CSs >CS1 are at significantly increased risk of TEEs even without chemotherapy. Particular high risk is associated with the use of CVA devices for chemotherapy. Caregivers of GCT patients must be aware of the particular risk of TEEs.