Prognostic model for predicting survival of patients with metastatic urothelial cancer treated with cisplatin-based chemotherapy

Geriatric nutritional risk index and controller nutritional status score before metastatic first-line chemotherapy predict survival in patients over 70 years of age with metastatic bladder cancer

Introduction

Several prognostic factors have been identified in patients with metastatic bladder cancer (BC). As it is known, older adult patients are prone to nutritional deficiency. The knowledge about nutrition and impact on survival in older patients with metastatic bladder cancer is missing. It is necessary to specifically examine this population. Because timely interventions can make a positive impact on this patients population. This retrospective study aimed to evaluate the prognostic effect of the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI), Controller Nutritional Status (CONUT) score and Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) before first-line chemotherapy in the metastatic stage in patients with metastatic bladder cancer over 70.

Participants and methods

Patients over 70 with pathologically confirmed denovo metastatic or recurrent metastatic bladder cancer were included in the study. Patients with infections diagnosed at the time of diagnosis, autoimmune diseases or history of steroid use were excluded. Since our population consists of a specific age group with a specific cancer, we found a new cut-off value by performing ROC analysis to ensure optimal sensitivity and specificity in terms of progression. Low GNRI value was related with poor nutritional status. Low PNI value was related with poor nutritional status and high CONUT score was related with poor nutritional status. Factors predicting overall survival (OS) and Progression-Free Survival (PFS) were assessed using both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses.

Results

106 patients were included in the study and the average age was 75.5 years. In the GNRI-Low group, PFS was significantly shorter than that in the GNRI-High group [HR (95% CI) = 57.1 (12.8-255.5), (p < 0.001)]. Among those with a low-CONUT score, PFS was found to be longer than that in the high-CONUT group [HR (95% CI) = 1.7 (1.0-3.0), (p = 0.039)]. The median PFS of the PNI-Low group wasn't significantly shorter than that of the PNI-High group [HR (95% CI) = 1.8 (0.5-6.2), (p = 0.359)].

Conclusion

Our study suggests that the GNRI and CONUT scores are useful for predicting survival in patients over 70 years of age with BC.

Latin American Consensus for the Evaluation and Treatment of Patients With Metastatic/Locally Advanced Urothelial Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Urothelial cancer accounts for approximately 3% of new cancer cases worldwide, with a high burden of disease in countries with medium and low human development indexes where its incidence and mortality are increasing. The purpose of this consensus is to develop statements on the evaluation and treatment of locally advanced and metastatic urothelial carcinoma that would further guide the clinical practice in Latin America.

METHODS

A systematic review of the literature was conducted by an independent team of methodologists. Then, a modified Delphi method was developed with clinical specialists from different Latin American countries.

RESULTS

Forty-two consensus statements, based on evidence, were developed to address the staging, the evaluation (suitability for chemotherapy, risk assessment, and biomarkers), and systemic treatment (first-line and subsequent therapies) of locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma. The statements made in this consensus are suggested practice recommendations in the Latin American context; however, the importance of a complete and individualized patient evaluation as a guide for therapeutic selection is highlighted. The availability and affordability of support tools for the evaluation of the disease, as well as specific therapies, may limit the application of the best practices suggested.

RECOMMENDATIONS

Therapeutic decisions need to be tailored to the context-specific clinical setting and availability of resources. Local research is promoted to improve outcomes for patients with this challenging cancer in Latin America.

Identification of characteristics predictive of long-term survival with durvalumab or durvalumab plus tremelimumab in metastatic urothelial carcinoma

BACKGROUND

This retrospective analysis of data from clinical trials in metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) was conducted to determine baseline patient characteristics associated with long-term survival (LTS) following treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

METHODS

Data for this analysis were from patients with platinum-refractory mUC who received durvalumab or durvalumab plus tremelimumab in phase 1/2 studies. The primary outcome measure was LTS. Patients were categorised as overall survival (OS) ≥ 2 years (from first dose) or OS < 2 years. A univariable analysis assessed independent associations with LTS and multivariable logistic regression was employed including each variable with P ≤ 0.05 as covariates.

RESULTS

Among 360 patients, 88 (24.4%) had OS ≥ 2 years and 272 (75.6%) had OS < 2 years. In univariable analysis, several baseline characteristics and laboratory measurements were associated with LTS including sex, ECOG PS, PD-L1 expression, prior surgery, time from initial diagnosis, lymph node-only involvement, visceral disease, haemoglobin level, absolute neutrophil count, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and lactate dehydrogenase level. In multivariable analysis, LTS was significantly associated with ECOG PS, PD-L1 expression, haemoglobin level and absolute neutrophil count.

CONCLUSIONS

Several baseline clinical characteristics and laboratory measurements were associated with LTS for patients with platinum-refractory mUC treated with durvalumab or durvalumab plus tremelimumab.

Systemic Treatment-Decision Algorithms in Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer: Clinical Complexities and Navigating for Improved Outcomes

Muscle-invasive bladder cancer has poor prognosis. If organ confined, it is potentially curable; however, across all prognostic groups, approximately half of patients will relapse. For patients with advanced disease, the median overall survival remains under two years. Systemic treatment options are centered on the use of platinum-based combination chemotherapy, with the choice of cisplatin- or carboplatin-based regimens determined on the basis of criteria including performance status and renal function. PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint-directed immunotherapy has been established for use in advanced disease with modest overall improvements in survival outcomes. Based on current data, optimal utilization appears to be a switch maintenance strategy on completion of chemotherapy. In the curative setting, cisplatin-based chemotherapy provides modest improvements in cure rates in those fit to receive it. Data on the use of adjuvant immunotherapy are currently contradictory, with disease-free survival demonstrated for adjuvant nivolumab, but not atezolizumab, and no overall survival benefit has yet been confirmed. The Nectin-4 directed antibody drug conjugate enfortumab vedotin is an established treatment option for patients previously treated with both chemotherapy and immunotherapy. The emerging therapeutic targets under evaluation include Trop-2 with sacituzumab govitecan, fibroblast growth factor receptors, HER2, and DNA repair deficiency in biomarker-selected patients. The development of properly validated predictive biomarkers has proven challenging for this disease and should be a central priority in the future development of treatment options. This review summarizes the available systemic treatment options in both palliative and curative disease settings, and highlights the available evidence and current limitations for making treatment recommendations.

Comparison of sequential and joint nonlinear mixed effects modeling of tumor kinetics and survival following Durvalumab treatment in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma

Standard endpoints such as objective response rate are usually poorly correlated with overall survival (OS) for treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors. Longitudinal tumor size may serve as a more useful predictor of OS, and establishing a quantitative relationship between tumor kinetics (TK) and OS is a crucial step for successfully predicting OS based on limited tumor size measurements. This study aims to develop a population TK model in combination with a parametric survival model by sequential and joint modeling approaches to characterize durvalumab phase I/II data from patients with metastatic urothelial cancer, and to evaluate and compare the performance of the two modeling approaches in terms of parameter estimates, TK and survival predictions, and covariate identification. The tumor growth rate constant was estimated to be greater for patients with OS ≤ 16 weeks as compared to that for patients with OS > 16 weeks with the joint modeling approach (k_g= 0.130 vs. 0.0551 week^-1, p-value < 0.0001), but similar for both groups (k_g = 0.0624 vs.0.0563 week^-1, p-value = 0.37) with the sequential modeling approach. The predicted TK profiles by joint modeling appeared better aligned with clinical observations. Joint modeling also predicted OS more accurately than the sequential approach according to concordance index and Brier score. The sequential and joint modeling approaches were also compared using additional simulated datasets, and survival was predicted better by joint modeling in the case of a strong association between TK and OS. In conclusion, joint modeling enabled the establishment of a robust association between TK and OS and may represent a better choice for parametric survival analyses over the sequential approach.

Urothelial Carcinoma: Update on Staging and Reporting, and Pathologic Changes Following Neoadjuvant Chemotherapies

Staging and reporting of cancers of the urinary tract have undergone major changes in the past decade to meet the needs for improved patient management. Substantial progress has been made. There, however, remain issues that require further clarity, including the substaging of pT1 tumors, grading and reporting of tumors with grade heterogeneity, and following NAC. Multi-institutional collaborative studies with prospective data will further inform the accurate diagnosis, staging, and reporting of these tumors, and in conjunction with genomic data will ultimately contribute to precision and personalized patient management.

Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) Score and Sarcopenia as Mutually Independent Prognostic Biomarkers in Advanced Urothelial Carcinoma

Background: While the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score and sarcopenia are objective indices of different aspects of a patient’s general condition, few studies have comprehensively examined their mutual relationship in patients with advanced cancer. Methods: This retrospective study included 200 Japanese patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC). Sarcopenia was diagnosed using Prado’s definition. The CONUT score and sarcopenia were examined for their possible association, and their prognostic value was analyzed. Results: The CONUT score and sarcopenia were not significantly associated. While sarcopenia occurred in 168 patients (84%), more than half of them had normal or only slightly impaired nutritional status, as indicated by a CONUT score of 0−2. During follow-up (median: 13.3 months), 149 patients died. The CONUT score and sarcopenia were independent prognostic factors (hazard ratio 1.22 and 2.23, respectively; both p < 0.001), whereas performance status was not. Incorporating the CONUT score, sarcopenia, and both into Bajorin’s and Apolo’s prognostic models increased their concordance index as follows: 0.612 for Bajorin’s original model to 0.653 (+the CONUT score), 0.631 (+sarcopenia), and 0.665 (+both), and 0.634 for Apolo’s original model to 0.655 (+the CONUT score), 0.653 (+ sarcopenia), and 0.668 (+both). Conclusion: The CONUT score and sarcopenia were mutually independent in terms of their prognostic value in patients with aUC. These objective indices of a patient’s general condition may help in decision-making when considering treatment for patients with aUC.

Association Between Sites of Metastasis and Outcomes With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Advanced Urothelial Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Sites of metastasis have prognostic significance in advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC), but more information is needed regarding outcomes based on metastatic sites in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). We hypothesized that presence of liver/bone metastases would be associated with worse outcomes with ICI.

METHODS

We identified a retrospective cohort of patients with aUC across 26 institutions, collecting demographics, clinicopathological, treatment, and outcomes information. Outcomes were compared with logistic (observed response rate; ORR) and Cox (progression-free survival; PFS, overall survival; OS) regression between patients with/without metastasis beyond lymph nodes (LN) and those with/without bone/liver/lung metastasis. Analysis was stratified by 1st or 2nd+ line.

RESULTS

We identified 917 ICI-treated patients: in the 1st line, bone/liver metastases were associated with shorter PFS (Hazard ratio; HR: 1.65 and 2.54), OS (HR: 1.60 and 2.35, respectively) and lower ORR (OR: 0.48 and 0.31). In the 2nd+ line, bone/liver metastases were associated with shorter PFS (HR: 1.71 and 1.62), OS (HR: 1.76 and 1.56) and, for bone-only metastases, lower ORR (OR: 0.29). In the 1st line, LN-confined metastasis was associated with longer PFS (HR: 0.53), OS (HR:0.49) and higher ORR (OR: 2.97). In the 2nd+ line, LN-confined metastasis was associated with longer PFS (HR: 0.47), OS (HR: 0.54), and higher ORR (OR: 2.79); all associations were significant.

CONCLUSION

Bone and/or liver metastases were associated with worse, while LN-confined metastases were associated with better outcomes in patients with aUC receiving ICI. These findings in a large population treated outside clinical trials corroborate data from trial subset analyses.

Using Real-world Data to Define a Validated Nomogram for Advanced Bladder Cancer Patients Who Respond to Immunotherapy

AIMS

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are used in incurable urothelial cancers, both in chemo-naïve and platinum-refractory patients. Efficacy and toxicity data published outside controlled clinical trials are limited. We report overall survival, progression-free survival and toxicities of ICIs in locally advanced (LABC) or metastatic bladder cancer (MBC). We aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model for these patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A multicentre real-world individual patient-level data study (n = 272) evaluating ICIs in the first-line platinum-ineligible or platinum-refractory setting for LABC/MBC between March 2017 and February 2020 was undertaken. Cox regression analyses evaluated the association of prognostic factors with overall survival. Data were split to create a training (n = 208) and validation (n = 64) cohort. The backward elimination method with a P-value cut-off of 0.05 was used to develop a reduced prognostic model using the training data set. The concordance index and assessment of observed versus predicted survival probabilities were used to evaluate the final model.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 18.9 (15.8-21.5) months. The median overall survival and progression-free survival in the training cohort were 9.2 (95% confidence interval 7.4-10.5) and 4.5 months (3.5-5.7), respectively. The most common grade 1/2 adverse events recorded were fatigue (47.8%) and infection (19.9%). Five key prognostic factors found in the training set were low haemoglobin, high neutrophil count, choice of immunotherapy favouring pembrolizumab, presence of liver metastasis and steroid use within 30 days of treatment. The concordance index for the training and validation cohorts was 0.66 (standard error = 0.05) and 0.64 (standard error = 0.04), respectively, for the final model. A nomogram was developed to calculate the expected survival probabilities based on risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Real-world data were used to produce a validated prognostic model for overall survival in LABC/MBC treated with ICIs. This model could assist in patient stratification, interpreting and framing future trials incorporating PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors in LABC/MBC.

The prognostic impact of bone metastasis in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated with first-line platinum-based chemotherapy

Background

In metastatic urothelial cancer (mUC), bone metastasis (BM) are associated with significant morbidity and mortality, yet their role as an independent prognostic variable remains unclear. We aimed to determine the impact of BM on overall survival (OS) in patients with mUC treated with first-line platinum-based chemotherapy (PBC).

Methods

mUC patients receiving PBC at the Princess Margaret Cancer Center, Tom Baker Cancer Center, or Cross Cancer Institute from January 2005 to January 2018 were identified retrospectively using central pharmacy database records. Patient disease, treatment, and response characteristics were collected. Progression-free survival (PFS) and OS were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Variables reaching significance (p < 0.05) in univariable analysis (UVA) of survival (OS) were included in multivariable analysis (MVA) (Cox).

Results

Overall, 376 patients with a median follow-up of 16.8 (range: 2.2-218.3) months were included. Median age was 67 (range: 28-91) years, 76% were male, 63% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) of 0-1, and 41% had BM. All patients received first-line PBC. Patients with BM had inferior median PFS (4.9 months (95% CI 3.6-6.2) versus 6.5 months (95% CI 5.4-7.6), p = 0.03) and median OS (8.8 months (95% CI 7.8-9.7) versus 10.8 months (95% CI 9.1-12.5), p = 0.002). In UVA, ECOG PS 2-3 (p < 0.001), presence of BM (p = 0.002), and WBC count ⩾ 11,000 cells/mm3 (p = 0.001) were associated with inferior survival. Prior cystectomy (p < 0.001) and lack of progression (stable disease, partial or complete response) on treatment was associated with improved OS (p < 0.001). These variables maintained significance in MVA.

Conclusion

In this retrospective study, mUC patients with BM had worse OS suggesting that BM may be an independent negative prognostic factor and including BM as a stratification factor in future mUC clinical trial designs may be warranted. A greater focus must be placed on novel therapeutic strategies to better manage BM to reduce both morbidity and mortality.

Serial ctDNA analysis predicts clinical progression in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Targeted sequencing of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) is a promising tool to monitor dynamic changes in the variant allele frequencies (VAF) of genomic alterations and predict clinical outcomes in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC).

METHODS

We performed targeted sequencing of 182 serial ctDNA samples from 53 patients with advanced UC.

RESULTS

Serial ctDNA-derived metrics predicted the clinical outcomes in patients with advanced UC. Combining serial ctDNA aggregate VAF (aVAF) values with clinical factors, including age, sex, and liver metastasis, improved the performance of prognostic models. An increase of the ctDNA aVAF by ≥1 in serial ctDNA samples predicted disease progression within 6 months in 90% of patients. The majority of patients with aVAFs ≤0.7 in three consecutive ctDNA samples achieved durable clinical responses (≥6 months).

CONCLUSIONS

Serial ctDNA analysis predicts disease progression and enables dynamic monitoring to guide precision medicine in patients with advanced UC.

piRNAs and PIWI Proteins as Diagnostic and Prognostic Markers of Genitourinary Cancers

piRNAs (PIWI-interacting RNAs) are small non-coding RNAs capable of regulation of transposon and gene expression. piRNAs utilise multiple mechanisms to affect gene expression, which makes them potentially more powerful regulators than microRNAs. The mechanisms by which piRNAs regulate transposon and gene expression include DNA methylation, histone modifications, and mRNA degradation. Genitourinary cancers (GC) are a large group of neoplasms that differ by their incidence, clinical course, biology, and prognosis for patients. Regardless of the GC type, metastatic disease remains a key therapeutic challenge, largely affecting patients’ survival rates. Recent studies indicate that piRNAs could serve as potentially useful biomarkers allowing for early cancer detection and therapeutic interventions at the stage of non-advanced tumour, improving patient’s outcomes. Furthermore, studies in prostate cancer show that piRNAs contribute to cancer progression by affecting key oncogenic pathways such as PI3K/AKT. Here, we discuss recent findings on biogenesis, mechanisms of action and the role of piRNAs and the associated PIWI proteins in GC. We also present tools that may be useful for studies on the functioning of piRNAs in cancers.

Nomogram model for predicting postoperative survival of patients with stage IB-IIA cervical cancer

To establish a prediction model based on clinical and pathological information for the long-term survival of patients with cervical cancer, we retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of patients pathologically diagnosed with stage IB-IIA cervical cancer between July 2007 and September 2017 in the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Cancer Hospital. Factors affecting the overall survival of the patients were analyzed using a Cox model, and a cervical cancer patient prediction nomogram model was established. A total of 2,319 patients were included in the study. According to the multivariate Cox regression analysis, number of complications, surgical methods, neoadjuvant treatment, lymph node metastasis, postoperative treatment, lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI), and other independent factors affecting prognosis were included to establish a nomogram. The nomogram consistency index in the training and validation cohorts was 0.691 and 0.615, respectively. The study established a highly accurate predictive model for the postoperative survival of cervical cancer patients.

Pretreatment clinical and hematologic prognostic factors of metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Pembrolizumab is the standard for the first and second lines in treating metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC). This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the value of pretreatment clinical characteristics and hematologic biomarkers for prognosticating response to pembrolizumab in patients with metastatic UC. PUBMED^®, Web of Science™, and Scopus^® databases were searched for articles published before May 2021 according to the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses) statement. Studies were deemed eligible if they evaluated overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab and pretreatment clinical characteristics or laboratory examination. Overall, 13 studies comprising 1311 patients were eligible for the meta-analysis. Several pretreatment patients’ demographics and hematologic biomarkers were significantly associated with worse OS as follows: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG-PS) ≥ 2 (Pooled hazard ratio [HR]: 3.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.57–4.09), presence of visceral metastasis (Pooled HR: 1.84, 95% CI 1.42–2.38), presence of liver metastasis (Pooled HR: 4.23, 95% CI 2.18–8.20), higher neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (Pooled HR: 1.29, 95% CI 1.07–1.55) and, higher c-reactive protein (CRP) (Pooled HR: 2.49, 95% CI 1.52–4.07). Metastatic UC patients with poor PS, liver metastasis, higher pretreatment NLR and/or CRP have a worse survival despite pembrolizumab treatment. These findings might help to guide the prognostic tools for clinical decision-making; however, they should be interpreted carefully, owing to limitations regarding the retrospective nature of primary data.

Avelumab as second-line therapy for metastatic, platinum-treated urothelial carcinoma in the phase Ib JAVELIN Solid Tumor study: 2-year updated efficacy and safety analysis

Background

Anti-programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1)/programmed cell death 1 antibodies have shown clinical activity in platinum-treated metastatic urothelial carcinoma, resulting in regulatory approval of several agents, including avelumab (anti-PD-L1). We report ≥2-year follow-up data for avelumab treatment and exploratory subgroup analyses in patients with urothelial carcinoma.

Methods

Patients with previously treated advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma, pooled from two cohorts of the phase Ib JAVELIN Solid Tumor trial, received avelumab 10 mg/kg every 2 weeks until disease progression, unacceptable toxicity or withdrawal. End points included best overall response and progression-free survival (PFS) per RECIST V.1.1, overall survival (OS) and safety. Post hoc analyses included objective response rates (ORRs) in subgroups defined by established high-risk/poor-prognosis characteristics and association between time to response and outcome.

Results

249 patients received avelumab; efficacy was assessed in 242 postplatinum patients. Median follow-up was 31.9 months (range 24–43), and median treatment duration was 2.8 months (range 0.5–42.8). The confirmed ORR was 16.5% (95% CI 12.1% to 21.8%; complete response in 4.1% and partial response in 12.4%). Median duration of response was 20.5 months (95% CI 9.7 months to not estimable). Median PFS was 1.6 months (95% CI 1.4 to 2.7 months) and the 12-month PFS rate was 16.8% (95% CI 11.9% to 22.4%). Median OS was 7.0 months (95% CI 5.9 to 8.5 months) and the 24-month OS rate was 20.1% (95% CI 15.2% to 25.4%). In post hoc exploratory analyses, avelumab showed antitumor activity in high-risk subgroups, including elderly patients and those with renal insufficiency or upper tract disease; ORRs were numerically lower in patients with liver metastases or low albumin levels. Objective response achieved by 3 months versus later was associated with longer OS (median not reached (95% CI 18.9 months to not estimable) vs 7.1 months (95% CI 5.2 to 9.0 months)). Safety findings were consistent with previously reported 6-month analyses.

Conclusions

After ≥2 years of follow-up, avelumab showed prolonged efficacy and acceptable safety in patients with platinum-treated advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma, including high-risk subgroups. Survival appeared longer in patients who responded within 3 months. Long-term safety findings were consistent with earlier reports with avelumab treatment in this patient population.

TERT promoter mutations and other prognostic factors in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma treated with an immune checkpoint inhibitor

BACKGROUND

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) can achieve durable responses in a subset of patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (aUC). The use of tumor genomic profiling in clinical practice may help suggest biomarkers to identify patients most likely to benefit from ICI.

METHODS

We undertook a retrospective analysis of patients treated with an ICI for aUC at a large academic medical center. Patient clinical and histopathological variables were collected. Responses to treatment were assessed for all patients with at least one post-baseline scan or clear evidence of clinical progression following treatment start. Genomic profiling information was also collected for patients when available. Associations between patient clinical/genomic characteristics and objective response were assessed by logistic regression; associations between the characteristics and progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were examined by Cox regression. Multivariable analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

We identified 119 aUC patients treated with an ICI from December 2014 to January 2020. Genomic profiling was available for 78 patients. Overall response rate to ICI was 29%, and median OS (mOS) was 13.4 months. Favorable performance status at the start of therapy was associated with improved OS (HR 0.46, p=0.025) after accounting for other covariates. Similarly, the presence of a TERT promoter mutation was an independent predictor of improved PFS (HR 0.38, p=0.012) and OS (HR 0.32, p=0.037) among patients who had genomic profiling available. Patients with both a favorable performance status and a TERT promoter mutation had a particularly good prognosis with mOS of 21.1 months as compared with 7.5 months in all other patients (p=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of a TERT promoter mutation was an independent predictor of improved OS in a cohort of aUC patients treated with an ICI who had genomic data available. Most of the clinical and laboratory variables previously shown to be prognostic in aUC patients treated with chemotherapy did not have prognostic value among patients treated with an ICI. Genomic profiling may provide important prognostic information and affect clinical decision making in this patient population. Validation of these findings in prospective patient cohorts is needed.

Clinical Outcomes of Platinum-ineligible Patients with Advanced Urothelial Carcinoma Treated With First-line PD1/L1 Inhibitors

BACKGROUND

PD1/L1 inhibitors are approved by FDA as first-line therapy for patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC) who are cisplatin-ineligible with high tumor PD-L1 expression or are platinum-ineligible regardless of PD-L1 expression. However, the outcomes when employing PD1/L1 inhibitors for platinum-ineligible patients are unclear. This retrospective analysis evaluates the clinical outcomes of first-line PD1/L1 inhibitors in patients with aUC deemed to be platinum-ineligible.

METHODS

Data were retrospectively collected from 8 academic institutions. The following criteria were used to define platinum ineligibility: creatinine clearance (CrCl) < 30 mL/min; Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) 3; CrCl 30 to 59 mL/min and ECOG PS 2; elderly and/or comorbidities. Patient characteristics, responses and treatment-related toxicities were identified. Survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. A Cox regression analysis was conducted to explore the association of baseline variables with response and survival.

RESULTS

A total of 79 platinum-ineligible patients with aUC were eligible. Patients were treated with atezolizumab (51.9%), pembrolizumab (35.5%), nivolumab (8.9%), or durvalumab (3.8%). The objective response rate was 27.9%. The median overall survival was 45 weeks (95% confidence interval [CI], 32-80), and the median treatment failure-free survival was 16 weeks (95% CI, 9-18). Treatment-related toxicity of any grade and grade ≥ 3 was seen in 41.8% and 31.7% of patients, respectively. Anemia and liver metastasis were associated with worse survival.

CONCLUSION

The efficacy of first-line PD1/L1 inhibitors for platinum-ineligible patients with aUC in the real world appears comparable to those reported in trials of unselected cisplatin-ineligible patients, whereas grade ≥ 3 toxicities appear more common. Further validation is required including data based on PD-L1 status and other biomarkers. Platinum-ineligible patients with aUC warrant evaluation of novel, safe, and effective agents.

Early Bone Metastases are Associated with Worse Outcomes in Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Outcomes of patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) with early bone metastases (eBM) vs no early bone metastases (nBM) have not thoroughly been described in the age of immuno-oncology.

OBJECTIVE

To compare survival and other clinical outcomes in patients with eBM and nBM.

METHODS

We used a multi-institutional database of patients with mUC treated with systemic therapy. Demographic, metastatic site, treatment patterns, and clinical outcomes were recorded. Wilcoxon rank-sum, chi-square tests were performed. Survival was estimated by Kaplan-Meier method; multivariable Cox analysis was performed.

RESULTS

We identified 270 pts, 67% men, mean age 69±11 years. At metastatic diagnosis, 27% had≥1 eBM and were more likely to have de novo vs. recurrent metastases (42% vs 19%, p < 0.001). Patients with eBM had shorter overall survival (OS) vs. those with nBM, (6.1 vs 13.7 months, p < 0.0001). On multivariable analysis, eBM independently associated with higher risk of death, HR = 2.52 (95% CI: 1.75-3.63, p < 0.0001). OS was shorter for patients with eBM who received initial immune checkpoint inhibitor vs platinum-based chemotherapy, (1.6 vs 9.1 months, p = 0.02). Patients with eBM received higher opioid analgesic doses compared to patients with nBM and received quantitatively more palliative radiation.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with mUC and eBM have poorer outcomes, may benefit less from anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy and represent an unmet need for novel therapeutic interventions. Dedicated clinical trials, biomarker validation to assist in patient selection, as well as consensus on reporting of non-measurable disease are required.

The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) Score is a Prognostic Biomarker in Advanced Urothelial Carcinoma Patients Treated with First-Line Platinum-Based Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

The controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score is an objective indicator of general condition from the aspect of nutritional status, calculated from serum albumin, total cholesterol, and total lymphocyte count. The CONUT score is also considered to reflect the degree of tumor-derived chronic inflammation and the host immune status in patients with advanced cancer.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the prognostic role of the CONUT score in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC) treated with first-line platinum-based chemotherapy.

METHODS

Associations of the CONUT score with clinical parameters and overall survival (OS) were investigated retrospectively in 147 patients with aUC receiving first-line platinum-based chemotherapy at a single cancer center from February 2003 to April 2019.

RESULTS

The median (range) CONUT score was 1 (0-7). A higher CONUT score was associated with lower hemoglobin (P < 0.001) and higher C-reactive protein levels (P = 0.023) but not with chemotherapy response (P = 0.432). The median OS for patients with CONUT scores 0-1, 2-3, and ≥4 were 23.3, 14.9, and 9.4 months, respectively (P < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, a higher CONUT score was independently associated with shorter OS (scores 2-3 vs 0-1, HR 1.58, P = 0.048; scores ≥4 vs 0-1, HR 2.63, P = 0.008) along with poorer performance status (HR 4.79, P < 0.001), primary tumor site of the upper urinary tract (HR 1.70, P = 0.016), higher LDH (HR 3.85, P = 0.036), higher alkaline phosphatase (HR 3.06, P = 0.028), and non-responders to chemotherapy (HR 2.07, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The CONUT score is a prognostic biomarker in patients with aUC receiving first-line platinum-based chemotherapy.

Plasma ctDNA is a tumor tissue surrogate and enables clinical-genomic stratification of metastatic bladder cancer

Molecular stratification can improve the management of advanced cancers, but requires relevant tumor samples. Metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) is poised to benefit given a recent expansion of treatment options and its high genomic heterogeneity. We profile minimally-invasive plasma circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) samples from 104 mUC patients, and compare to same-patient tumor tissue obtained during invasive surgery. Patient ctDNA abundance is independently prognostic for overall survival in patients initiating first-line systemic therapy. Importantly, ctDNA analysis reproduces the somatic driver genome as described from tissue-based cohorts. Furthermore, mutation concordance between ctDNA and matched tumor tissue is 83.4%, enabling benchmarking of proposed clinical biomarkers. While 90% of mutations are identified across serial ctDNA samples, concordance for serial tumor tissue is significantly lower. Overall, our exploratory analysis demonstrates that genomic profiling of ctDNA in mUC is reliable and practical, and mitigates against disease undersampling inherent to studying archival primary tumor foci. We urge the incorporation of cell-free DNA profiling into molecularly-guided clinical trials for mUC.

Surgical Management of Genitourinary Cancer Liver Metastases

Genitourinary cancers are common. Liver metastases from genitourinary cancers are uncommon; isolated liver metastasis is rare. Liver resection in select patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma can lead to prolonged survival. Patients with metachronous and low-burden disease are most likely to benefit. Chemotherapy is first-line treatment of metastatic germ cell tumors. Liver resection is dependent on germ cell lineage and initial response to chemotherapy. Prognosis with liver metastases from prostate cancer is poor; liver-only lesions are rare. Liver resection generally is not indicated. Cumulative experience with liver resection for metastatic bladder cancer is limited. Liver metastases are poor prognostic indicators for metastasectomy.

Late Recurrences Following Radical Cystectomy Have Distinct Prognostic and Management Considerations

PURPOSE

Disease recurrence after radical cystectomy generally occurs within 2 years and has a poor prognosis. Less well defined are the outcomes in patients who experience a late recurrence (more than 3 years after radical cystectomy). We report our institutional experience with late recurrences and describe the relationships between time to recurrence, management strategies and survival.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study cohort comprised 2,315 patients who underwent radical cystectomy for urothelial carcinoma at our center between 2000 and 2014, of whom 617 had a recurrence. Median followup for survivors was 2.6 years after recurrence (IQR 0.95-4.5). For the study we considered disease recurrence as recurrences outside the urinary tract. We compared baseline characteristics and post-recurrence management between those with recurrence 3 or less and more than 3 years after radical cystectomy.

RESULTS

A total of 58 patients with late recurrence had significantly lower consensus T stage and lower frequency of nodal involvement. The average 1-year bladder cancer death rate from the time of recurrence declined from 66% to 50% to 33% for patients with recurrence times of 6 months, 2 years, and 5 years after radical cystectomy, respectively. For patients who survived at least 1 year after recurrence, the estimated survival at 5 years after recurrence was 45% for those with late recurrence and 21% for patients who had an early recurrence. Local consolidative therapy (metastasectomy or radiation) was more common in patients with late recurrence (19% vs 3.6%, p <0.0001). Cancer specific survival in early recurring cases was significantly worse than in late recurring cases in the subset receiving local consolidation (p=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The prolonged lifespan of patients experiencing a late recurrence after radical cystectomy can be leveraged to individualize management. There is strong rationale for investigating the role of metastasectomy in the management of late recurrences.

Prognostic significance of the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score in advanced urothelial carcinoma patients

INTRODUCTION & OBJECTIVES

The controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score, consisting of serum albumin, total lymphocyte count, and total cholesterol, is a validated and objective tool for nutritional assessment. Cancer-bearing patients often suffer from malnutrition in association with cachexia. We explored the prognostic role of malnutrition evaluated by the CONUT score in advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC) patients.

MATERIALS & METHODS

Between 2003 and 2018, 201 aUC patients with cT4 and/or metastases to lymph nodes/distant organs were treated at a single cancer center. Of these, 185 were subjects of this retrospective study, with 16 excluded due to missing data. Clinical variables examined included age, sex, performance status (PS), body mass index (BMI), primary tumor site, lymph node/visceral metastasis, treatments before and after the diagnosis of aUC, hemoglobin, lactate dehydrogenase, alkaline phosphatase (ALP), C-reactive protein (CRP) and the CONUT score. Associations between clinical variables and overall survival (OS) were examined using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The median (range) CONUT score was 2 (0-8). A higher CONUT score was associated with poorer PS (P < 0.001), lower BMI (P = 0.007), lower hemoglobin (P < 0.001), higher ALP (P = 0.005), and higher CRP (P < 0.001). During follow-up (median 12.3 months), 133 (72%) patients died. The median OS periods for patients with CONUT scores of 0 to 1, 2 to 3 and ≥4 were 19.3, 13.3, and 7.7 months, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed a higher CONUT score to be an independent and significant adverse prognostic factor (2-3 vs. 0-1, hazard ratio [HR] 1.57, P = 0.024; ≥4 vs 0-1, HR 2.94, P < 0.001), along with greater age (P = 0.003), poorer PS (P = 0.006), lower BMI (P = 0.008), primary tumor site in the upper tract (P = 0.004), higher CRP (P < 0.001), no usage of pembrolizumab (P = 0.005), and no curative treatment after the diagnosis of aUC (P = 0.035).

CONCLUSION

This study showed the prognostic significance of the CONUT score in aUC patients. The CONUT score indicates a patient's general condition from the aspect of nutritional status, and appears to be independent of PS as a prognosticator.

[Follow-up surveillance of muscle-invasive urinary bladder cancer after curative treatment]

Follow-up care of patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer is subdivided into oncological and functional surveillance. More than 80% of local relapses and distant metastases occur within the first 2 years. Recurrences in the remnant urothelium also occur several years after radical cystectomy. Urinary cytology and a computed tomography (CT) scan of the abdomen and thorax including a urography phase are the standard diagnostics for tumor follow-up. There is no clear evidence for a survival benefit for the detection of asymptomatic vs. symptomatic recurrences. After partial cystectomy or trimodal treatment, there is no established follow-up schedule; however, the relatively high incidence of intravesical recurrences should be considered as there are curative treatment approaches including salvage cystectomy. Functional surveillance, which should be carried out lifelong, encompasses prevention and diagnostics of metabolic complications, urethral/ureteral strictures, problems with the urinary stoma, urinary incontinence, sexual dysfunction and urinary tract infections.

Impact of fluorodeoxyglucose uptake on positron emission tomography/computed tomography on chemosensitivity and survival in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the impact of fluorodeoxyglucose uptake on positron emission tomography/computed tomography on chemosensitivity and survival in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma.

METHODS

The present study assessed 51 metastatic urothelial carcinoma patients undergoing fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography before first-line systemic chemotherapy. Fluorodeoxyglucose uptake in metastases was evaluated using the maximum standardized uptake value, which was measured for all eligible lesions, and the highest value among the maximum standardized uptake value measurements in each case was defined as the highest maximum standardized uptake value. The associations between the highest maximum standardized uptake value and objective response rate to chemotherapy, progression-free survival or cancer-specific survival were analyzed. For cancer-specific survival, the C-index was compared between multivariate models that incorporated predictors in the Bajorin model including the Karnofsky performance status and the presence of visceral metastasis, and the Apolo model additionally including hemoglobin and albumin levels, with/without the highest maximum standardized uptake value.

RESULTS

The median age was 69 years. The Karnofsky performance status was ≥80% for all patients. Visceral metastasis was observed in 12 patients (24%). The objective response rate, median progression-free survival and median cancer-specific survival were 61%, 9 and 26 months in the entire cohort, respectively. The higher highest maximum standardized uptake value was significantly associated with a lower objective response rate, shorter progression-free survival and shorter cancer-specific survival (P = 0.01, <0.001 and 0.004, respectively). On multivariate analyses, the highest maximum standardized uptake value was an independent predictor for all end-points. In the multivariate models for cancer-specific survival, the C-index improved from 0.559 to 0.601 and from 0.604 to 0.652 by adding the highest maximum standardized uptake value to the parameter set of the Bajorin model and Apolo model, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher fluorodeoxyglucose uptake in metastases was significantly and independently associated with poor chemosensitivity and worse survival outcomes. Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography might aid in patient counseling and treatment decisions for metastatic urothelial carcinoma patients.

The role of metastatic burden in cytoreductive/consolidative radical cystectomy

PURPOSE

To describe our institutional experience with cytoreductive/consolidative radical cystectomy (CCRC) for metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) and to investigate clinicopathologic features predicting prolonged cancer specific survival (CSS) following CCRC.

METHODS

We performed IRB-approved review of our cystectomy database, and identified 43 patients with metastatic UC who underwent CCRC. Baseline demographics, chemotherapy regimen, clinicopathologic features, and perioperative complications were collected. Progression-free survival (PFS) and CSS were estimated from the time of CCRC. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify predictors of improved CSS after CCRC.

RESULTS

Of the 43 patients, 32 (74.4%) had clinical evidence of distant metastases, while 11 harbored occult metastases on the surgical specimen. The most common site of metastasis was the retroperitoneal lymph nodes, found in 30 patients. Solitary metastases were found in 22 patients (51.1%). Forty-one (95%) patients received chemotherapy prior to CCRC. Disease progression was detected in 35 patients after CCRC (median PFS 5.9 months), and 34 died of metastatic cancer (median CSS 12.3 months). On multivariate analysis, patients with solitary metastases were found to have improved CSS compared to those with multiple metastases (HR 2.62, 95% CI 1.16-5.90, p = 0.02), with median CSS of 26.0 months vs. 7.9 months (p < 0.001). Median postoperative length of stay was 10 days. Overall, 56% suffered postoperative complications, including one perioperative mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

CCRC is feasible in the setting of metastatic UC. Patients with solitary metastasis demonstrated longer CSS than those with multiple metastases, and should be considered candidates for future trials evaluating the role of CCRC for metastatic UC.

Contemporary Grading and Staging of Urothelial Neoplasms of the Urinary Bladder: New Concepts and Approaches to Challenging Scenarios

Grading and staging of urothelial neoplasm are the most crucial factors in risk stratification and management; both necessitate optimal accuracy and consistency. Several updates and recommendations have been provided though recent publications of the 4th edition of the World Health Organization classification, the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system, and the International Consultation on Urological Diseases-European Association of Urology updates on bladder cancer. Updates and recent studies have provided better insights into and approaches to the challenging scenarios in grading and staging of urothelial neoplasm; however, there remain aspects that need further investigation and refinement.

The continuing role of chemotherapy in the management of advanced urothelial cancer

Despite intense drug development in the last decade in metastatic urothelial carcinoma and the incorporation of novel compounds to the treatment armamentarium, chemotherapy remains a key treatment strategy for this disease. Platinum-based combinations are still the backbone of first-line therapy in most cases. The role of chemotherapy in the second line has been more ill-defined due to the complexity of this setting, where patient selection remains critical. Nevertheless, two regimens, one in monotherapy (i.e. vinflunine) and one in combination with antiangiogenics (i.e. docetaxel + ramucirumab) have shown efficacy. Immunotherapy through checkpoint inhibition has revealed remarkably durable benefit in a small proportion of patients in the first and second line and is currently the preferred partner for combinations with chemotherapy. Difficult populations such as patients with liver metastases or those progressing to checkpoint inhibition represent a medical challenge and selective ways of delivering cytotoxics, like the antibody-drug conjugates, might represent a valid alternative. This article reviews the current role of chemotherapy in the management of advanced urothelial carcinoma and the ongoing and coming studies involving this treatment strategy.

Prognostic significance of serum γ-glutamyltransferase in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Serum γ-glutamyltransferase (GGT) is reportedly associated with prognosis in patients with various malignancies. However, the prognostic role of GGT is unknown among patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC). This study was designed to examine the prognostic role of serum GGT in patients with aUC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Charts of 125 consecutive aUC patients (inoperable cT4 and/or metastasis to lymph nodes/distant organs) managed at a single cancer center between 2004 and 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Variables collected included age, sex, body mass index, Karnofsky performance status, primary site, clinical tumor stage, lymph node/visceral metastasis, hepatic comorbidities, the presence of curative treatment before the diagnosis of aUC, white blood cell count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, hemoglobin, albumin, lactate dehydrogenase, alkaline phosphatase, GGT, C-reactive protein, and treatments given after the diagnosis of aUC. Associations of variables with overall survival (OS) were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

Serum GGT was elevated (≥60 U/l) at the diagnosis of aUC in 16 patients (13%). During follow-up period (median 12.1 months), 101 patients died (2-year OS rate, 32%). Patients with elevated GGT at the diagnosis of aUC had a significantly poorer prognosis than those with normal GGT with respective 2-year OS rates of 0% and 37% (P < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, elevated GGT was a significant and independent risk factor for shorter OS (hazard ratio, HR = 2.97; P < 0.001) as were poorer Karnofsky performance status (HR = 3.47; P < 0.001), elevated lactate dehydrogenase (HR = 1.86; P = 0.033), advanced age (HR = 1.82; P = 0.013), elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (HR = 1.80; P = 0.015), elevated C-reactive protein (HR = 1.73; P = 0.018), the absence of systemic chemotherapy (HR = 1.71; P = 0.035), and primary site of upper urinary tract (HR = 1.71; P = 0.014) in descending order by HR. The prognostic significance of elevated GGT was also observed in a subset of 101 patients who had been diagnosed with aUC at their first presentation.

CONCLUSION

The present study for the first time demonstrated that elevated serum GGT was an independent adverse prognostic factor in aUC patients.

Impact of Prognostic Nutritional Index on Overall Survival for Patients with Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma

Background: Prognostic nutritional index (PNI) has been studied in various types of cancer which is significantly correlated with prognosis. The study aims to investigate the predictive role of PNI in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) treated with systemic chemotherapy.

Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 141 patients with mUC who received systemic chemotherapy. PNI was calculated as 10 × serum albumin concentration (g/dL) + 0.005 × lymphocyte count (number/mm²). The optimal cut-off value for PNI was estimated by using receiver operating curve analysis. Independent factors associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were determined by Cox proportional regression models.

Results: The recommended cut-off value for PNI was 40. Patients with a low PNI had more visceral metastases (p < 0.0001), leukocytosis (p = 0.006), and anemia (p < 0.0001). On univariate analysis, patients with a low PNI had poor OS than those with a high PNI (p < 0.0001). The multivariate analysis showed PNI was an independent factor to predict OS (p = 0.001).

Conclusions: Our study showed PNI is an independent prognostic factor in patients with mUC. Our work is clinically useful for anticipation of outcomes, risks stratification in clinical studies as well as patients counseling.

Nomogram to Assess the Survival Benefit of New Salvage Agents for Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma in the Era of Immunotherapy

INTRODUCTION

Optimal end points in phase 2 trials evaluating salvage therapy for metastatic urothelial carcinoma are necessary to identify promising drugs, particularly immunotherapeutics, where response and progression-free survival may be unreliable. We developed a nomogram using data from phase 2 trials of historical agents to estimate the 12-month overall survival (OS) for patients to which observed survival of nonrandomized data sets receiving immunotherapies could be compared.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Survival and data for major prognostic factors were obtained from phase 2 trials: hemoglobin, performance status, liver metastasis, treatment-free interval, and albumin. A nomogram was developed to estimate 12-month OS. Patients were randomly allotted to discovery:validation data sets in a 2:1 ratio. Calibration plots were constructed in the validation data set and data bootstrapped to assess performance. The nomogram was tested on external nonrandomized cohorts of patients receiving pemetrexed and atezolizumab.

RESULTS

Data were available from 340 patients receiving sunitinib, everolimus, docetaxel + vandetanib, docetaxel + placebo, pazopanib, paclitaxel, or docetaxel. Calibration and prognostic ability were acceptable (c index = 0.634; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.596-0.652). Observed 12-month survival for patients receiving pemetrexed (n = 127, 23.5%; 95% CI, 16.2-31.7) was similar to nomogram-predicted survival (19%; 95% CI, 16.5-21.5; P > .05), while observed results with atezolizumab (n = 403, 39.0%; 95% CI, 34.1-43.9) exceeded predicted results (24.6%; 95% CI, 23.4-25.8; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

This nomogram may be a useful tool to interpret results of nonrandomized phase 2 trials of salvage therapy for metastatic urothelial carcinoma by assessing the OS contributions of drug intervention independent of prognostic variables.

Anti-Programmed Cell Death 1/Ligand 1 (PD-1/PD-L1) Antibodies for the Treatment of Urothelial Carcinoma: State of the Art and Future Development

Immunotherapy with programmed cell death 1/ligand 1 (PD-1/PD-L1) checkpoint inhibitors has expanded a previously limited pool of effective treatment options for patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma, particularly those with recurring or refractory disease and those who are ineligible for cisplatin. This review reports key findings from completed and ongoing clinical trials that highlight the potential of PD-1/PD-L1 blockade in urothelial carcinoma. A literature search was performed of PubMed, Embase, ClinicalTrials.gov, and selected annual congress abstracts. Prospective studies, reviews, editorials, and descriptions of ongoing anti-PD-1/PD-L1 studies in bladder cancer were included. Anti-PD-1/PD-L1 monoclonal antibodies have shown efficacy and safety across patient subgroups with urothelial carcinoma, including those with poor prognostic factors. Efficacy was similar across different anti-PD-1/PD-L1 agents. Although these antibodies have demonstrated durable responses in a subset of patients with urothelial carcinoma, clinicians are currently unable to predict which patients may derive benefit from immune checkpoint blockade. Anti-PD-1/PD-L1 antibodies have shown favorable clinical activity and tolerability in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma refractory to platinum-based therapy or who are ineligible for cisplatin. The activity of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors is now also being studied as first-line monotherapy in cisplatin-eligible patients in combination with chemotherapy as maintenance therapy after first-line chemotherapy, and in earlier disease states, such as muscle-invasive and non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer. Better predictive tools to define target patient populations are needed, as are further investigations to define optimal combinations or sequencing of treatments.

Population Modeling of Tumor Kinetics and Overall Survival to Identify Prognostic and Predictive Biomarkers of Efficacy for Durvalumab in Patients With Urothelial Carcinoma

Durvalumab is an anti‐PD‐L1 monoclonal antibody approved for patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) that has progressed after platinum‐containing chemotherapy. A population tumor kinetic model, coupled with dropout and survival models, was developed to describe longitudinal tumor size data and predict overall survival in UC patients treated with durvalumab (NCT01693562) and to identify prognostic and predictive biomarkers of clinical outcomes. Model‐based covariate analysis identified liver metastasis as the most influential factor for tumor growth and immune‐cell PD‐L1 expression and baseline tumor burden as predictive factors for tumor killing. Tumor or immune‐cell PD‐L1 expression, liver metastasis, baseline hemoglobin, and albumin levels were identified as significant covariates for overall survival. These model simulations provided further insights into the impact of PD‐L1 cutoff values on treatment outcomes. The modeling framework can be a useful tool to guide patient selection and enrichment strategies for immunotherapies across various cancer indications.

Bone Metastases as the Only Metastatic Site in Patients With Urothelial Carcinoma: Focus on a Special Patient Population

BACKGROUND

Patients with exclusive bone metastatic spread from urothelial carcinoma (UC) throughout their disease course represent a rare subgroup with unique clinical features. These patients deserved special consideration in a retrospective multicenter study.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Analyses were made from a pool of 1911 patients with a diagnosis of metastatic UC, from 23 centers. Baseline characteristics, access to treatment, and outcomes were analyzed according to metastatic spread. Univariable and multivariable Cox analyses were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 128 evaluable patients (6.7%), diagnosed between February 1997 and April 2013, were identified. Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS) was ≥ 2 in 33.3% versus 17.7% of the remaining patients. Seventy-three (57%) received first-line chemotherapy, that was platinum-based in 50 patients (69%). Twenty-eight (21.9%) received second-line chemotherapy (vs. 75.9% and 32.2%, respectively, of the remaining patients). In multivariable analyses, no clinical factor was significantly associated with overall survival (OS). Among platinum chemotherapy-treated patients (total evaluable n = 972), significantly different relapse-free survival (RFS) and OS were observed according to bone metastases status (no bone metastases vs. bone metastases only vs. bone and other sites, P < .001). In these groups, 2-year RFS was 37.4%, 28.8%, and 25.9%, respectively. Two-year OS was 35.5%, 15.8%, and 23%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Patients with metastatic UC and bone-only metastases are less likely to receive systemic therapy than those with other metastases, likely because of their lower PS. The prognostic effect of having exclusive bone metastases or additional sites seems to be equally poor. These patients deserve new effective and tolerable agents, and improvements in the knowledge of their disease.

The Role of Surgery in Metastatic Bladder Cancer: A Systematic Review

CONTEXT

The role of surgery in metastatic bladder cancer (BCa) is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

In this collaborative review article, we reviewed the contemporary literature on the surgical management of metastatic BCa and factors associated with outcomes to support the development of clinical guidelines as well as informed clinical decision-making.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic search of English language literature using PubMed-Medline and Scopus from 1999 to 2016 was performed.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

The beneficial role of consolidation surgery in metastatic BCa is still unproven. In patients with clinically evident lymph node metastasis, data suggest a survival advantage for patients undergoing postchemotherapy radical cystectomy with lymphadenectomy, especially in those with measurable response to chemotherapy (CHT). Intraoperatively identified enlarged pelvic lymph nodes should be removed. Anecdotal reports of resection of pulmonary metastasis as part of multimodal approach suggest possible improved survival in well-selected patients. Cytoreductive radical cystectomy as local treatment has also been explored in patients with metastatic disease, although its benefits remain to be assessed.

CONCLUSIONS

Consolidative extirpative surgery may be considered in patients with clinically evident pelvic or retroperitoneal lymph nodal metastases but only if they have had a response to CHT. Surgery for limited pulmonary metastases may also be considered in very selected cases. Best candidates are those with resectable disease who demonstrate measurable response to CHT with good performance status. In the absence of data from prospective randomized studies, each patient should be evaluated on an individual basis and decisions made together with the patient and multidisciplinary teams.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Surgical resection of metastases is technically feasible and can be safely performed. It may help improve cancer control and eventually survival in very selected patients with limited metastatic burden. In a patient who is motivated to receive chemotherapy and to undergo extirpative surgical intervention, surgery should be discussed with the patient among other consolidation therapies in the setting of multidisciplinary teams.

Definitive Management of Primary Bladder Tumors in the Context of Metastatic Disease: Who, How, When, and Why?

The Oncology Grand Rounds series is designed to place original reports published in the Journal into clinical context. A case presentation is followed by a description of diagnostic and management challenges, a review of the relevant literature, and a summary of the authors' suggested management approaches. The goal of this series is to help readers better understand how to apply the results of key studies, including those published in Journal of Clinical Oncology, to patients seen in their own clinical practice. A 70-year-old man with urothelial cancer of the bladder (UBC) metastatic to the pelvic and retroperitoneal lymph nodes was treated with gemcitabine plus cisplatin, but after two cycles neutropenic sepsis developed, which required a prolonged intensive care unit admission. Upon recovery, repeat imaging studies revealed progressive pelvic and retroperitoneal lymphadenopathy, and the patient enrolled in a clinical trial that evaluated treatment with an anti-PD-L1 antibody. The patient achieved a complete radiographic response to immune checkpoint blockade, which continued for 18 months after initiating therapy ( Fig 1 ). However, at that time, a cystoscopy of his primary tumor and a transurethral resection revealed residual muscle-invasive UBC. The patient asked whether there is any role for definitive local therapy of his primary bladder tumor with radical cystectomy or radiation.

Prognostic Nomogram for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with FOLFOX 4

Background:

The Oxaliplatin plus 5-Fluorouracil /Leucovorin (FOLFOX4) regimen have been approved by Chinese Food and Drug Administration (CFDA), and covered by health insurance for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China. However, the efficacy of FOLFOX4 for HCC patients is still under debate. In this study, we aimed to establish a nomogram to identify HCC patients who might benefit from FOLFOX4 chemotherapy base on individual profile.

Methods:

A total of 184 patients from the EACH study who were treated with FOLFOX4 were included in this analysis. Backward Cox proportional hazards regression combined with clinical experience was used to select variables for construction of the nomogram. The nomogram performance was assessed in terms of discrimination and calibration. The results were validated using bootstrap resampling.

Results:

Six variables were included in the prognostic models based on their clinical relevance: age, maximum tumor diameter, lymph node status, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBIL) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). The calibration curve showed that the predicted survival probabilities closely matched the actual observations. The C-index of the model was 0.75 (95% CI:0.71-0.80). This value was significantly superior to the one for the following staging systems: BCLC (0.67, P=0.004), CUPI (0.66, P<0.001), AJCC seventh edition (0.63, P=0.002), GRETCH (0.63, P<0.001).

Conclusions:

The proposed nomogram showed accurate prognostic prediction for 6-month overall survival of patients treated with FOLFOX4 and could be useful for clinicians counseling patients and making treatment decisions.

Avelumab, an Anti-Programmed Death-Ligand 1 Antibody, In Patients With Refractory Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma: Results From a Multicenter, Phase Ib Study

Purpose

We assessed the safety and antitumor activity of avelumab, a fully human anti–programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) IgG1 antibody, in patients with refractory metastatic urothelial carcinoma.

Methods

In this phase Ib, multicenter, expansion cohort, patients with urothelial carcinoma progressing after platinum-based chemotherapy and unselected for PD-L1 expression received avelumab 10 mg/kg intravenously every 2 weeks. The primary objectives were safety and tolerability. Secondary objectives included confirmed objective response rate (Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors [RECIST] version 1.1), progression-free survival, overall survival (OS), and PD-L1–associated clinical activity. PD-L1 positivity was defined as expression by immunohistochemistry on ≥ 5% of tumor cells.

Results

Forty-four patients were treated with avelumab and followed for a median of 16.5 months (interquartile range, 15.8 to 16.7 months). The data cutoff was March 19, 2016. The most frequent treatment-related adverse events of any grade were fatigue/asthenia (31.8%), infusion-related reaction (20.5%), and nausea (11.4%). Grades 3 to 4 treatment-related adverse events occurred in three patients (6.8%) and included asthenia, AST elevation, creatine phosphokinase elevation, and decreased appetite. The confirmed objective response rate by independent central review was 18.2% (95% CI, 8.2% to 32.7%; five complete responses and three partial responses). The median duration of response was not reached (95% CI, 12.1 weeks to not estimable), and responses were ongoing in six patients (75.0%), including four of five complete responses. Seven of eight responding patients had PD-L1–positive tumors. The median progression-free survival was 11.6 weeks (95% CI, 6.1 to 17.4 weeks); the median OS was 13.7 months (95% CI, 8.5 months to not estimable), with a 12-month OS rate of 54.3% (95% CI, 37.9% to 68.1%).

Conclusion

Avelumab was well tolerated and associated with durable responses and prolonged survival in patients with refractory metastatic UC.

Nomogram for predicting survival of postcystectomy recurrent urothelial carcinoma of the bladder

PURPOSE

We aimed to identify prognostic clinicopathological factors and to create a nomogram able to predict overall survival (OS) in recurrent urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) after radical cystectomy (RC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Among 1,087 patients with UCB who had undergone RC at our 11 institutions between 1990 and 2010, 306 patients who subsequently developed distant metastasis or local recurrence or both were identified. Clinical data were collected with medical record review. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models addressed OS after recurrence. A nomogram predicting postrecurrence OS was constructed based on Cox proportional hazards model, without using postrecurrence factors (systemic chemotherapy and resection of metastasis). The performance of the nomogram was internally validated by assessing concordance index and calibration plots.

RESULTS

Of the 306 patients, 268 died during follow-up with a median survival of 7 months (95% CI: 5.8-8.5). Postrecurrence chemotherapy was administered in 119 patients (38.9%). Multivariable analysis identified 9 independent predictors for OS; period of time from RC to recurrence (time-to-recurrence), symptomatic recurrence, liver metastasis, hemoglobin level, serum alkaline phosphatase level, serum lactate dehydrogenase level, serum C-reactive protein level, postrecurrence chemotherapy, and resection of metastasis. A nomogram was formed with the following 5 variables to predict OS: time-to-recurrence, symptomatic recurrence, liver metastasis, albumin level, and alkaline phosphatase level. Concordance index rate was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.72-0.78) by internal validation using Bootstraps with 1,000 resamples. Calibration plots showed that the nomogram fitted well.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified 9 clinicopathological factors as independent OS predictors in postcystectomy recurrence of UCB. We also created a validated nomogram with 5 variables that efficiently stratified those patients regardless of eligibility for chemotherapy. The nomogram would be useful for acquiring relevant prognostic information and for stratifying patients for clinical trials.

Circulating Biomarkers in Bladder Cancer

Bladder cancer is a molecularly heterogeneous disease characterized by multiple unmet needs in the realm of diagnosis, clinical staging, monitoring and therapy. There is an urgent need to develop precision medicine for advanced urothelial carcinoma. Given the difficulty of serial analyses of metastatic tumor tissue to identify resistance and new therapeutic targets, development of non-invasive monitoring using circulating molecular biomarkers is critically important. Although the development of circulating biomarkers for the management of bladder cancer is in its infancy and may currently suffer from lower sensitivity of detection, they have inherent advantages owing to non-invasiveness. Additionally, circulating molecular alterations may capture tumor heterogeneity without the sampling bias of tissue biopsy. This review describes the accumulating data to support further development of circulating biomarkers including circulating tumor cells, cell-free circulating tumor (ct)-DNA, RNA, micro-RNA and proteomics to improve the management of bladder cancer.

Nomogram-based Prediction of Overall Survival in Patients with Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma Receiving First-line Platinum-based Chemotherapy: Retrospective International Study of Invasive/Advanced Cancer of the Urothelium (RISC)

BACKGROUND

The available prognostic models for overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) have been derived from clinical trial populations of cisplatin-treated patients.

OBJECTIVE

To develop a new model based on real-world patients.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Individual patient-level data from 29 centers were collected, including metastatic UC and first-line cisplatin- or carboplatin-based chemotherapy administered between January 2006 and January 2011.

INTERVENTION

First-line, platinum-based, combination chemotherapy.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

The population was randomly split into a development and a validation cohort. Generalized boosted regression modelling was used to screen out irrelevant variables and address multivariable analyses. Two nomograms were built to estimate OS probability, the first based on baseline factors and platinum agent, the second incorporating objective response (OR). The performance of the above nomograms and that of other available models was assessed. We plotted decision curves to evaluate the clinical usefulness of the two nomograms.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

A total of 1020 patients were analyzed (development: 687, validation: 333). In a platinum-stratified Cox model, significant variables for OS were performance status (p<0.001), white blood cell count (p=0.013), body mass index (p=0.003), ethnicity (p=0.012), lung, liver, or bone metastases (p<0.001), and prior perioperative chemotherapy (p=0.012). The c-index was 0.660. The distribution of the nomogram scores was associated with OR (p<0.001), and incorporating OR into the model further improved the c-index in the validation cohort (0.670).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated two nomograms for OS to be used before and after completion of first-line chemotherapy for metastatic UC.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We proposed two models for estimating overall survival of patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma receiving first-line, platinum-based chemotherapy. These nomograms have been developed on real-world patients who were treated outside of clinical trials and may be used irrespective of the chemotherapeutic platinum agent used.

Outcome of metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated by systemic chemotherapy: Prognostic factors based on real-world clinical practice in Japan

AIM

To clarify prognostic factors of metatstatic urothelial carcinoma treated by systemic chemotherapy in real-world clinical practice in the Japanese population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 228 patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma undergoing systemic chemotherapy between 2000 and 2013 were included in the present multi-institutional study. The gemcitabine plus cisplatin regimen was administered as first-line chemotherapy to 131 patients, whereas methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin, and cisplatin or its modified regimen was given to 71 patients. Of the 228 patients, 119 received at least 2 different regimens and 22 underwent resection of metastases (metastasectomy). Multivariate survival analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards model. The characteristics included were age, sex, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS), primary site, pathology of primary site, hemoglobin levels, lactate dehydrogenase levels, C-reactive protein levels, corrected calcium levels, estimated glomerular filtration rate levels, history of prior chemotherapy, metastatic sites, resection of primary site, number of metastatic organs, and metastasectomy.

RESULTS

The median overall survival (OS) time was 17 months. On multivariate analysis, female sex, good Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group PS at presentation, hemoglobin level≥10g/dl, and single organ metastasis were significant independent predictors of prolonged OS. For the survival effect of metastasectomy, the median OS time of the 22 patients with metastasectomy was 53 months, which was significantly longer when compared with patients not undergoing metastasectomy (15mo). After adjustment for the 4 aforementioned prognostic factors, metastasectomy still remained significant (hazard ratio: 0.364, P = 0.0008).

CONCLUSIONS

Female sex, more favorable PS at presentation, hemoglobin level>10g/dl, and single organ metastasis were favorable prognostic factors. In addition, metastasectomy was associated with long-term disease control.

Female with bladder cancer: what and why is there a difference?

While men are at a considerable higher risk of developing urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB), women present with more advanced disease stages and seem to experience unfavorable outcomes. Evaluating specific differences in the UCB incidence and outcomes between both genders in the non-muscle invasive, muscle-invasive or locally advanced and metastatic setting, as well as determining the underlying causes of disease, may allow optimizing treatment and improving the quality of urological care among both genders. In this review we summarize the best evidence and most recent findings on gender-specific differences in UCB incidence and outcomes. In addition, we present a comprehensive overview on established and potential reasons for differences in gender-specific UCB outcomes, including disparities in the pelvic anatomy, the diagnostic work-up, the modality and quality of treatment, the exposure to risk factors, the degradation of carcinogens as well as the sex-hormone signaling.