Potential Influence on Clinical Trials of Long-Term Survivors of Stage IV Non-small cell Lung Cancer

Overall survival of individuals with metastatic cancer in Sweden: a nationwide study

Aims

Consistent improvements for overall survival (OS) have been reported for individuals with metastatic cancer. Swedish population-based registers allow national coverage and long follow-up time. The aim of this study was to estimate and explore long-term OS of individuals diagnosed with metastatic cancer using Swedish nationwide health registers.

Methods

Individuals with metastatic breast (MBC), non-small cell lung (MNSCLC), ovary (MOC) or colorectal cancer (MCRC) or metastatic malignant melanoma (MMM) were identified in the Swedish national cancer register and national patient registers. Survival was estimated and stratified by available variables. Potential cure fractions were estimated using mixture cure models.

Results

In total, approximately 69,000 individuals were identified. The most common cancers were MCRC (36.2%) and MNSCLC (29.5%). Men were more frequently diagnosed with MNSCLC, MCRC, and MMM compared to women. Except for MOC, about 50% of individuals were 70 years or older at diagnosis. Throughout the study period survival differed across cancers. The longest median OS was observed for individuals with MOC and MBC. At 10 years of follow-up, the survival curves flatten at a survival rate of approximately 10% for all cancers except MNSCLC. The youngest age groups had the longest median OS. Increased survival was also observed for individuals diagnosed in 2015 and 2018 compared to individuals diagnosed during earlier years. The estimated cure fractions were 4% for MBC, 1.5% for MNSCLC, 6.8% for MCRC, 8.6% for MOC and MMM.

Conclusions

Long-term survival has been assessed across all indications except for NSCLC.. The findings may be relevant for healthcare planning to meet the needs of future patients and potential long-term survivors.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-14255-w.

Long-Term Treatment-Free Survival After Multimodal Therapy in a Patient with Stage IV Lung Adenocarcinoma

We report the first case of a patient with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with malignant pleural effusion (MPE) who achieved disease- and treatment-free survival for nearly 10 years. A 50-year-old man was diagnosed with NSCLC with MPE and underwent chemotherapy and salvage thoracic surgery. The patient received chemotherapy with cisplatin, pemetrexed, and bevacizumab, and a partial response was achieved. After informed consent was obtained from the patient, right middle lobectomy was performed to achieve local tumor control. Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy with pemetrexed and bevacizumab was discontinued after almost 1 year of chemotherapy due to side effects such as diarrhea and muscle weakness. The patient has survived without recurrence of lung cancer for more than 11 years after being diagnosed and nearly 10 years after discontinuing chemotherapy.

Impact of Genetic Polymorphisms on the Metabolic Pathway of Vitamin D and Survival in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Vitamin D has been associated with risk, development, and progression of cancer. However, the genes involved in its metabolism are highly polymorphic, compromising its activity. The aim of this study is to evaluate the association between the gene polymorphisms involved in the metabolic pathway of vitamin D and survival in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The study was designed as an observational cohort which included 194 Caucasians patients from southern Spain with NSCLC. Real-time polymerase chain reaction was used to analyze the following polymorphisms: CYP27B1 rs4646536, rs3782130, and rs10877012; CYP24A1 rs6068816 and rs4809957; GC rs7041; CYP2R1 rs10741657; VDR rs1544410 (BsmI), rs11568820 (Cdx-2), rs2228570 (FokI), rs7975232 (ApaI), and rs731236 (TaqI). Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival were assessed. Cox regression showed that rs4646536 was associated with PFS in the general population (p = 0.0233) and in the non-resected NSCLC subgroup (p = 0.0233). In the resected NSCLC subgroup, rs11568820 was associated with OS (p = 0.0129) and rs7041 with PFS (p = 0.0447). In the non-resected NSCLC subgroup, rs6068816 was associated with PFS (p = 0.0048) and OS (p = 0.0089) and rs731236 and rs7975232 were associated with OS (p = 0.0005) and PFS (p = 0.0002), respectively. The other polymorphisms showed no effect on the results. The rs4646536, rs6068816, rs7041, rs11568820, rs731236, and rs7975232 polymorphisms are associated with survival in NSCLC and may have a substantial role as prognostic markers of the disease.

Comparison of SP142 and 22C3 Immunohistochemistry PD-L1 Assays for Clinical Efficacy of Atezolizumab in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: Results From the Randomized OAK Trial

BACKGROUND

This phase III OAK trial (NCT02008227) subgroup analysis (data cutoff, January 9, 2019) evaluated the predictive value of 2 PD-L1 IHC tests (VENTANA SP142 and Dako 22C3) for benefit from atezolizumab versus docetaxel by programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) status in patients with previously treated metastatic non-small cell lung cancer.

METHODS

PD-L1 expression was assessed prospectively with SP142 on tumor cells (TC) and tumor-infiltrating immune cells (IC) and retrospectively with 22C3 using a tumor proportion score (TPS) based on TC membrane staining. Efficacy was assessed in the 22C3 biomarker-evaluable population (22C3-BEP) (n = 577; 47.1% of SP142-intention-to-treat population) and non-22C3-BEP (n = 648) in PD-L1 subgroups (high, low, and negative) and according to selection by 1 or both assays.

RESULTS

In the 22C3-BEP, overall survival benefits with atezolizumab versus docetaxel were observed across PD-L1 subgroups; benefits were greatest in SP142-defined PD-L1-high (TC3 or IC3: hazard ratio [HR], 0.39 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.25-0.63]) and 22C3-defined PD-L1-high (TPS ≥ 50%: HR, 0.56 [95% CI, 0.38-0.82]) and low (TPS, 1% to < 50%: HR, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.37-0.82]) groups. Progression-free survival improved with increasing PD-L1 expression for both assays. SP142 and 22C3 assays identified overlapping and unique patient populations in PD-L1-high, positive, and negative subgroups. Overall survival and progression-free survival benefits favored atezolizumab over docetaxel in double PD-L1-positive and negative groups; patients with both SP142- and 22C3-positive tumors derived the greatest benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite different scoring algorithms and differing sensitivity levels, the SP142 and 22C3 assays similarly predicted atezolizumab benefit at validated PD-L1 thresholds in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

Informing metastatic colorectal cancer patients by quantifying multiple scenarios for survival time based on real-life data

Reported median overall survival (mOS) in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients participating in systemic therapy trials has increased to over 30 months. It is uncertain whether trial results translate to real-life populations. Moreover, patients prefer presentation of multiple survival scenarios. Population-based data of all stage IV CRC patients diagnosed between 2008 and 2016 were obtained from the Netherlands Cancer Registry, which has a case ascertainment completeness surpassing 95%. We calculated the following percentiles (scenarios) of OS per year of diagnosis for the total population, and for treatment subgroups: 10th (best-case), 25th (upper-typical), 50th (median), 75th (lower-typical) and 90th (worst-case). Twenty-five percent of patients did not receive any antitumor treatment. From 2008 to 2016, mOS of the total population (n = 27275) remained unchanged at approximately 12 months. OS improved only for the upper-typical and best-case patients; by 4.2 to 29.1 months (P < .001), and by 6 to 62 months (P < .001), respectively. No clinically relevant change was observed among patients who received systemic therapy, with mOS close to 15 months and best-case scenario approximately 40 months. A clinically relevant improvement in survival over time was observed in patients who initially received metastasectomy and/or HIPEC only. In contrast to the wide belief based on trial data that mOS of mCRC patients receiving systemic therapy has improved substantially, improvement could not be demonstrated in our real-life population. Clinicians should consider quoting multiple survival scenarios based on real-life data instead of point estimates from clinical trials, when informing patients about their life expectancy.