Time-Varying Determinants of Graft Failure in Pediatric Kidney Transplantation in Europe

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the time-varying determinants of kidney graft failure in children.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of primary pediatric kidney transplant recipients (younger than 18 years) from the Eurotransplant registry (1990-2020). Piece-wise exponential additive mixed models were applied to analyze time-varying recipient, donor, and transplant risk factors. Primary outcome was death-censored graft failure.

RESULTS

We report on 4528 kidney transplantations, of which 68% with deceased and 32% with living donor. One thousand six hundred and thirty-eight recipients experienced graft failure, and 168 died with a functioning graft. Between 2011 and 2020, the 5-year graft failure risk was 10% for deceased donor and 4% for living donor kidney transplant recipients. Risk of graft failure decreased five-fold from 1990 to 2020. The association between living donor transplantation and the lower risk of graft failure was strongest in the first month post-transplant (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% confidence interval, 0.46 to 0.73) and remained statistically significant until 12 years post-transplant. Risk factors for graft failure in the first 2 years were deceased donor younger than 12 years or older than 46 years, potentially recurrent kidney disease, and panel-reactive antibody >0%. Other determinants of graft failure included dialysis before transplantation (until 5 years post-transplant), human leukocyte antigen mismatch 2-4 (0-15 years post-transplant), human leukocyte antigen mismatch 5-6 (2-12 years post-transplant), and hemodialysis (8-14 years post-transplant). Recipients older than 11 years at transplantation had a higher risk of graft failure 1-8 years post-transplant compared with other age groups, whereas young recipients had a lower risk throughout follow-up. Analysis of the combined effect of post-transplant time and recipient age showed a higher rate of graft failure during the first 5 years post-transplant in adolescents compared with young transplant recipients. In contrast to deceased donor younger than 12 years, deceased donor older than 46 years was consistently associated with a higher graft failure risk.

CONCLUSIONS

We report a long-term inverse association between living donor kidney transplantation and the risk of graft failure. The determinants of graft failure varied with time. There was a significant cumulative effect of adolescence and time post-transplant. The ideal donor age window was dependent on time post-transplant.

Pearls and Pitfalls in Pediatric Kidney Transplantation After 5 Decades

Worldwide, over 1,300 pediatric kidney transplantations are performed every year. Since the first transplantation in 1959, healthcare has evolved dramatically. Pre-emptive transplantations with grafts from living donors have become more common. Despite a subsequent improvement in graft survival, there are still challenges to face. This study attempts to summarize how our understanding of pediatric kidney transplantation has developed and improved since its beginnings, whilst also highlighting those areas where future research should concentrate in order to help resolve as yet unanswered questions. Existing literature was compared to our own data of 411 single-center pediatric kidney transplantations between 1968 and 2020, in order to find discrepancies and allow identification of future challenges. Important issues for future care are innovations in immunosuppressive medication, improving medication adherence, careful donor selection with regard to characteristics of both donor and recipient, improvement of surgical techniques and increased attention for lower urinary tract dysfunction and voiding behavior in all patients.

Significance of HLA-DQ in kidney transplantation: time to reevaluate human leukocyte antigen matching priorities to improve transplant outcomes? An expert review and recommendations

The weight of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) matching in kidney allocation algorithms, especially in the United States, has been devalued in a stepwise manner, supported by the introduction of modern immunosuppression. The intent was further to reduce the observed ethnic/racial disparity, as data emerged associating HLA matching with decreased access to transplantation for African American patients. In recent years, it has been increasingly recognized that a leading cause of graft loss is chronic antibody-mediated rejection, attributed to the development of de novo antibodies against mismatched donor HLA expressed on the graft. These antibodies are most frequently against donor HLA-DQ molecules. Beyond their impact on graft survival, generation of de novo donor-specific HLA antibodies also leads to increased sensitization, as measured by panel-reactive antibody metrics. Consequently, access to transplantation for patients returning to the waitlist in need of a second transplant is compromised. Herein, we address the implications of reduced HLA matching policies in kidney allocation. We highlight the observed diminished outcome data, the significant financial burden, the long-term health consequences, and, more important, the unintended consequences. We further provide recommendations to examine the impact of donor-recipient HLA class II and specifically HLA-DQα₁β₁ mismatching, focusing on collection of appropriate data, application of creative simulation approaches, and reconsideration of best practices to reduce inequalities while optimizing patient outcomes.

Non-linear Relationship between Tacrolimus Blood Concentration and Acute Rejection After Kidney Transplantation: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies

BACKGROUND

Maintaining the exposure of tacrolimus (Tac) after kidney transplantation (KT) must be necessary to prevent acute rejection (AR) and improve graft survival，but there is still no clear consensus on the optimal Tac target blood concentration and concentration-effect relationship is poorly defined.

METHODS

We conducted a dose-response meta-analysis to quantitatively assess the association between Tac blood concentration and (AR) or adverse effects after KT. A comprehensive search of PubMed, Embase and Cochrane library databases was conducted to find eligible studies up to 10th September 2018. Unpublished data from patients receiving KT in West China Hospital (Sichuan University, China) were also collected. Both twostage dose-response and one-stage dose-response meta-analysis models were used to improve the statistical power.

RESULTS

A total of 4967 individuals from 10 original studies and 1453 individuals from West China Hospital were eligible for the ultimate analysis. In the two-stage dose-response meta-analysis model, we observed a significant non-linear relationship between Tac blood concentration and AR (P < 0.001) with moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 46.0%, P = 0.08). Tac blood concentration at 8ng/ml was associated with the lowest risk of AR (RR: 0.26, 95%CI: 0.13 - 0.54) by reference to 2ng/ml. Tac concentration at 7.0 - 11.0 ng/ml reduced the risk of AR by at least 70%, 5-14 ng/ml by at least 60%, and 4.5 - 14 ng/ml at least 50%. In the one-stage dose-response model, we also found a strong non-linear relationship between Tac and AR (P < 0.001) with moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 41.2%, P = 0.10). Tac concentration of 7.5 ng/ml was associated with the lowest risk of AR (RR: 0.35, 95%CI: 0.16 - 0.77). The blood concentration at 5.5 - 9.5 ng/ml was associated with the reduced AR by at least 60% and 4.5 - 10.5 ng/ml by at least 50% by reference to 2 ng/ml.

CONCLUSION

Maintaining Tac blood concentration at 5 - 9.5 ng/ml within the first year may prevent AR most effectively.