Prognostic Value of ctDNA Detection in Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

ctDNA as a predictor of outcome after curative resection for locally advanced rectal cancer: systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

To assess the efficacy of ctDNA measurement at different time intervals in predicting response and prognosis in patients diagnosed with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) who underwent neoadjuvant treatment prior to curative resection.

METHOD

English language randomized controlled trials and observational studies, published from 1946 to January 2024, comparing outcomes between ctDNA-positive and ctDNA-negative patients with LARC undergoing neoadjuvant treatment prior to curative surgical resection were included in the search. The search included Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (CDSR).

RESULTS

Data for 1022 patients were analysed. Patients with positive ctDNA in the preoperative period had more than five times the risk of developing distant metastasis (RR [95% CI] 5.03 [3.31-7.65], p < 0.001), while those with positive ctDNA in the postoperative period had more than six times the risk (RR [95% CI] 6.17 [2.38-15.95], p < 0.001). There was no significant relationship between ctDNA status at baseline, pre-, or postoperative periods and achievement of pCR (RR [95% CI] 1.21 [0.86-1.7], 1.82 [0.94-3.55], 1.48 [0.78-2.82], p = 0.27, 0.08, and 0.23, respectively). However, patients with positive ctDNA in the pre- and postoperative periods had more than 13 and 12 times the risk of overall disease relapse after curative-intent treatment (RR [95% CI] 13.55 [7.12-25.81], 12.14 [3.19-46.14], p < 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

ctDNA could potentially guide treatment and follow-up in LARC, predicting high-risk patients for disease relapse, allowing individualized surveillance and treatment strategies. Prospective studies are needed for standardization.

Advancing Personalized Medicine in the Treatment of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Rectal cancer presents a significant burden globally, often requiring multimodal therapy for locally advanced cases. Long-course chemoradiotherapy (LCRT) and short-course radiotherapy (SCRT) followed by surgery have been conventional neoadjuvant approaches. Recent trials favor LCRT due to improved local control. However, distant tumor recurrence remains a concern, prompting the exploration of total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) as a comprehensive treatment strategy. Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) show promise, particularly in mismatch repair-deficient (dMMR) or microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) tumors, potentially revolutionizing neoadjuvant regimens. Nonoperative management (NOM) represents a viable alternative post-neoadjuvant therapy for selected patients achieving complete clinical response (cCR). Additionally, monitoring minimal residual disease (MRD) using circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) emerges as a non-invasive method for the assessment of treatment response. This review synthesizes current evidence on TNT, ICIs, NOM, and ctDNA, elucidating their implications for rectal cancer management and highlighting avenues for future research and clinical application.

Liquid biopsy in colorectal cancer: Onward and upward

Colorectal cancer (CRC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. In recent years, liquid biopsy has emerged as one of the most interesting areas of research in oncology, leading to innovative trials and practical changes in all aspects of CRC management. RNAs and cell free DNA (cfDNA) methylation are emerging as promising biomarkers for early diagnosis. Post-surgical circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) can aid in evaluating minimal residual disease and personalising adjuvant treatment. In rectal cancer, ctDNA could improve response assessment to neoadjuvant therapy and risk stratification, especially in the era of organ-preservation trials. In the advanced setting, ctDNA analysis offers the opportunity to monitor treatment response and identify driver and resistance mutations more comprehensively than traditional tissue analysis, providing prognostic and predictive information. The aim of this review is to provide a detailed overview of the clinical applications and future perspectives of liquid biopsy in CRC.