Predictor of enhanced mortality in patients with multimorbidity and atrial fibrillation in an acute hospital setting

Prevalence and Impact of Atrial Fibrillation on Intra-Hospital Mortality in Patients Aged ≥75 Years

It is unclear whether the association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and intra-hospital mortality in patients aged 75 years and older is causal or not. This study aims (1) to describe the prevalence and clinical characteristics of AF in ≥75-year-old inpatients and (2) to study the association between AF and length of stay (LOS) and intra-hospital mortality. This retrospective cohort study includes consecutive patients aged ≥75 years admitted between January 2017 and December 2019 to a Belgian secondary hospital. Survival analysis was conducted on the whole dataset and a propensity score-matched dataset separately. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to account for the individual probability of having AF given a set of covariates. In 9,105 patients, 3,137 (34%) had a diagnosis of AF upon hospital admission. AF prevalence increased with age strata (from 29% to 38%), and Charlson Co-morbidity Index (from 28% to 57%). Intra-hospital mortality (20%) was higher in the AF group than in the AF-free group (25% vs 17%, p <0.001). The median LOS was 11 days and was shorter in those without AF (10 [4, 17] days) compared with those with AF (11 [5, 19], p <0.001). After PSM, AF was not associated with increased odds of LOS >10 days (odds ratio 1.08, confidence interval: 0.98 to 1.20, p = 0.13). The risk of intra-hospital death for patients with AF remained higher compared with those without AF (log-rank p = 0.0015 and hazard ratio 1.17; confidence interval: 1.04 to 1.32, p = 0.008). In conclusion, the prevalence of AF was high (34%) in inpatients aged ≥75 years and increased with age and co-morbidity burden. After PSM, patients with AF had a 17% higher risk of intra-hospital mortality than patients without AF.

The Effects of Implementing a Mobile Health-Technology Supported Pathway on Atrial Fibrillation-Related Adverse Events Among Patients With Multimorbidity: The mAFA-II Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

The Mobile Health Technology for Improved Screening and Optimized Integrated Care in Atrial Fibrillation (mAFA-II) trial is a prospective cluster randomized trial that found a significant reduction in the composite clinical outcome of stroke or thromboembolism, all-cause death, and rehospitalization among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who used a mobile health (mHealth) technology that implemented the Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway (ie, A, anticoagulation/avoid stroke; B, better symptom control; and C, cardiovascular disease and comorbidity management) compared with those receiving usual care. Multimorbidity (defined as ≥2 chronic long-term conditions) is common in older patients with AF, but the impact of integrated or holistic care (based on the ABC pathway) on clinical outcomes in this population is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether implementation of the integrated ABC pathway, supported by mHealth technology, would reduce AF-related adverse events in patients with multimorbidity.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This prespecified ancillary analysis of data from the extended follow-up of the mAFA II trial was conducted between June 2018 and April 2021. Adult patients with AF were included in the analysis if they had at least 2 comorbidities. Participants were enrolled across 40 centers in China.

INTERVENTION

Integrated care supported by mHealth technology (mAFA intervention) vs usual care.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The main outcome was the composite outcome of stroke or thromboembolism, all-cause death, and rehospitalization. Cox proportional hazard modeling was performed for adverse outcomes after adjusting for cluster effect and baseline risk factors.

RESULTS

Of 1890 patients, 833 (mean [SD] age, 72.0 [12.0] years; 278 [33.4%] women) with multimorbidity were allocated to the intervention group (ABC pathway), with a mean (SD) follow-up of 419 (257) days, and 1057 patients (mean [SD] age, 72.8 [13.0] years; 443 [41.9%] women) with multimorbidity were allocated to usual care, with a mean (SD) follow-up of 457 (154) days. Compared with usual care, the composite outcome of stroke or thromboembolism, all-cause death, and rehospitalization was significantly reduced in the intervention group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.37; 95% CI, 0.26-0.53; P < .001), as were rehospitalizations alone (HR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.27-0.64; P < .001). For the C criterion of the ABC pathway, rates of acute coronary syndrome, heart failure, and uncontrolled blood pressure during follow-up were lower in the intervention group than the usual care group (27 patients [3.2%] vs 145 patients [13.7%]; HR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.19-0.45; P < .001). Subgroup analyses by age, prior stroke, and sex demonstrated consistently lower HRs for the primary composite outcome and rehospitalization for patients with AF allocated to the intervention group compared with patients receiving usual care.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this study, mHealth technology-based integrated care that facilitated the implementation of the ABC pathway reduced meaningful clinical adverse events in older patients with AF and multimorbidity vs usual care.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) Registration number: ChiCTR-OOC-17014138.