Survival of adults with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases and pulmonary arterial hypertension after lung transplantation

Population Health Model Predicting the Long-Term Impact of Sotatercept on Morbidity and Mortality in Patients with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (PAH)

INTRODUCTION

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a rare, progressive disease associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The phase 3 STELLAR trial tested sotatercept plus background therapy (BGT) versus placebo plus BGT. BGT was comprised of mono-, double-, or triple-PAH targeted therapy. Building on STELLAR findings, we employed a population health model to assess the potential long-term clinical impact of sotatercept.

METHODS

Based on the well-established ESC/ERS 4-strata risk assessment approach, we developed a six-state Markov-type model (low risk, intermediate-low risk, intermediate-high risk, high risk, lung/heart-lung transplant, and death) to compare the clinical outcomes of sotatercept plus BGT versus BGT alone over a lifetime horizon. State-transition probabilities were obtained from STELLAR. Risk stratum-adjusted mortality and lung/heart-lung transplant probabilities were based on COMPERA PAH registry data, and the post-transplant mortality probability was obtained from existing literature. Model outcomes were discounted at 3% annually. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine model robustness.

RESULTS

In the base case, sotatercept plus BGT was associated with longer life expectancy from model baseline (16.5 vs 5.1 years) versus BGT alone, leading to 11.5 years gained per patient. Compared with BGT alone, sotatercept plus BGT was further associated with a gain in infused prostacyclin-free life years per patient, along with 683 PAH hospitalizations and 4 lung/heart-lung transplant avoided per 1000 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

According to this model, adding sotatercept to BGT increased life expectancy by roughly threefold among patients with PAH while reducing utilization of infused prostacyclin, PAH hospitalizations, and lung/heart-lung transplants. Real-world data are needed to confirm these findings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT04576988 (STELLAR).

Listing Dilemmas: Age, Frailty, Weight, Preexisting Cancers, and Systemic Diseases

Selection of lung transplant candidates is an evolving field that pushes the boundaries of what is considered the norm. Given the continually changing demographics of the typical lung transplant recipient as well as the growing list of risk factors that predispose patients to poor posttransplant outcomes, we explore the dilemmas in lung transplant candidate selections pertaining to older age, frailty, low and high body mass index, preexisting cancers, and systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases.

Risk of primary graft dysfunction following lung transplantation in selected adults with connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported similarities in long-term outcomes following lung transplantation for connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD) and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, it is unknown whether CTD-ILD patients are at increased risk of primary graft dysfunction (PGD), delays in extubation, or longer index hospitalizations following transplant compared to IPF patients.

METHODS

We performed a multicenter retrospective cohort study of CTD-ILD and IPF patients enrolled in the Lung Transplant Outcomes Group registry who underwent lung transplantation between 2012 and 2018. We utilized mixed effects logistic regression and stratified Cox proportional hazards regression to determine whether CTD-ILD was independently associated with increased risk for grade 3 PGD or delays in post-transplant extubation and hospital discharge compared to IPF.

RESULTS

A total of 32.7% (33/101) of patients with CTD-ILD and 28.9% (145/501) of patients with IPF developed grade 3 PGD 48-72 hours after transplant. There were no significant differences in odds of grade 3 PGD among patients with CTD-ILD compared to those with IPF (adjusted OR 1.12, 95% CI 0.64-1.97, p = 0.69), nor was CTD-ILD independently associated with a longer post-transplant time to extubation (adjusted HR for first extubation 0.87, 95% CI 0.66-1.13, p = 0.30). However, CTD-ILD was independently associated with a longer post-transplant hospital length of stay (median 23 days [IQR 14-35 days] vs17 days [IQR 12-28 days], adjusted HR for hospital discharge 0.68, 95% CI 0.51-0.90, p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Patients with CTD-ILD experienced significantly longer postoperative hospitalizations compared to IPF patients without an increased risk of grade 3 PGD.