Survival rates after the initiation of antiretroviral therapy stratified by CD4 cell counts in two cohorts in Canada and the United States

Adherence to Antiretroviral Therapy and Its Effect on Survival of HIV-Infected Individuals in Jharkhand, India

Introduction

Research in India has extensively examined the factors associated with non-adherence to antiretroviral therapy (ART) with limited focus on examining the relationship between adherence to ART regimen and survival status of HIV infected patients. This study examines the effect of optimal adherence to ART on survival status of HIV infected patients attending ART centers in Jharkhand, India.

Materials and Methods

Data from a cohort of 239 HIV infected individuals who were initiated ART in 2007 were compiled from medical records retrospectively for 36 months. Socio-demographic characteristics, CD4 T cell count, presence of opportunistic infections at the time of ART initiation and ART regimen intake and survival status was collected periodically. Optimal adherence was assessed using pill count methods; patients who took <95% of the specified regimens were identified as non-adherent. Cox-proportional hazard model was used to determine the relative hazards of mortality.

Results

More than three-fourths of the patients were male, on an average 34 year old and median CD4 T cell count was 118 cells/cmm at the time of ART registration. About 57% of the patients registered for ART were found to be adherent to ART. A total of 104 patients died in 358.5 patient-years of observation resulting in a mortality rate of 29 per 100 patient-years (95% confidence interval (CI): 23.9–35.2) and median survival time of 6.5 months (CI: 2.7–10.9). The mortality rate was higher among patients who were non-adherent to ART (64.5, CI: 50.5–82.4) than who were adherent (15.4, CI: 11.3–21.0). The risk of mortality was fourfold higher among individuals who were non-adherent to ART than who were adherent (Adjusted hazard ratio: 3.9, CI: 2.6–6.0).

Conclusion

Adherence to ART is associated with a higher chance of survival of HIV infected patients, ascertaining the need for interventions to improve the ART adherence and early initiation of ART.

Predicting trends in HIV-1 sexual transmission in sub-Saharan Africa through the Drug Resource Enhancement Against AIDS and Malnutrition model: antiretrovirals for 5 reduction of population infectivity, incidence and prevalence at the district level

BACKGROUND

The use of antiretrovirals to reduce the incidence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection has been evaluated in mathematical models as potential strategies for curtailing the epidemic. Cohort data from the Drug Resource Enhancement Against AIDS and Malnutrition (DREAM) Program was used to generate a realistic model for the HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODS

Two combined stochastic models were developed: patient and epidemic models. Models were combined using virus load as a parameter of infectivity. DREAM data that assessed patient care in Mozambique and Malawi were used to generate measures of infectivity, survival, and adherence. The Markov chain prediction model was used for the analysis of disease progression in treated and untreated patients. A partnership model was used to assess the probability that an infected individual would transmit HIV.

RESULTS

Data from 26565 patients followed up from January 2002 through July 2009 were analyzed with the model; 63% of patients were female, the median age was 35 years, and the median observation time was 25 months. In the model, a 5-fold reduction in infectivity (from 1.6% to 0.3%) occurred within 3 years when triple ART was used. The annual incidence of HIV infection declined from 7% to 2% in 2 years, and the prevalence was halved, from 12% to 6%, in 11 years. Mortality in HIV-infected individuals declined by 50% in 5 years. A cost analysis demonstrated economic efficiency after 4 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model, based on patient data, supports the hypothesis that treatment of all infected individuals translates into a drastic reduction in incident HIV infections. A targeted implementation strategy with massive population coverage is feasible in sub-Saharan Africa.

Discordant responses on starting highly active antiretroviral therapy: suboptimal CD4 increases despite early viral suppression in the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (UK CHIC) Study

OBJECTIVES

Patients starting highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) may have a suboptimal CD4 increase despite rapid virological suppression. The frequency and the significance for patient care of this discordant response are uncertain. This study was designed to determine the incidence of a discordant response at two time-points, soon after 6 months and at 12 months, and to determine the relationship with clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Data obtained in the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort Study were analysed. A total of 2584 treatment-naïve patients starting HAART with HIV viral load (VL) > 1000 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL at baseline and < 50 copies/mL within 6 months were included in the analysis. Patients were classified at either 6-10 (midpoint 8) months or 10-14 (midpoint 12) months as having a discordant (CD4 count increase < 100 cells/microL from baseline) or concordant response (CD4 count increase >or= 100 cells/microL).

RESULTS

Discordant responses occurred in 32.1% of patients at 8 months and in 24.2% at 12 months; 35% of those discordant at 8 months were concordant at 12 months. A discordant response was associated with older age, lower baseline VL, and (at 12 months) higher baseline CD4 cell count. In a multivariate analysis it was associated with an increased risk of death, more strongly at 12 months [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 3.35, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.73-6.47, P < 0.001] than at 8 months (IRR 2.08, 95% CI 1.19-3.64, P = 0.010), but not with new AIDS events.

CONCLUSIONS

Discordant responders have a worse outcome, but assessment at 12 months may be preferred, given the number of 'slow' responders. Management strategies to improve outcomes for discordant responders need to be investigated.

Early antiretroviral therapy: the role of cohorts

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To review the data that contribute to the debate on the optimal time to initiate highly active antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected individuals, with a focus on the information that is available from cohort studies.

RECENT FINDINGS

The findings from cohort studies generally support initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy at CD4 cell counts more than 350 cells/microl. In particular, the findings that death rates among treated HIV-infected individuals are higher than those in the general population, and that the risks of AIDS and serious non-AIDS events are higher in those with lower CD4 cell counts (even when the count remains >350 cells/microl), suggest that earlier initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy may prevent some excess morbidity and mortality. However, given the lack of adjustment for lead-time bias in many analyses, the potential for residual confounding and the possible incomplete ascertainment of relevant outcomes in cohorts, it cannot be concluded that the benefits of highly active antiretroviral therapy when started at higher CD4 cell counts will outweigh the possible detrimental effects.

SUMMARY

Whereas the data from cohort studies currently support initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy at CD4 cell counts more than 350 cells/microl, there is an urgent need for data from randomized trials to inform this decision.

Should HIV therapy be started at a CD4 cell count above 350 cells/microl in asymptomatic HIV-1-infected patients?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The aim is to review the available data that contribute to the debate on the optimal time to initiate highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in HIV-infected individuals with a CD4 cell count more than 350 cells/microl.

RECENT FINDINGS

Although few randomized data exist that can contribute to this debate, a number of findings from observational studies generally support earlier initiation of HAART. In particular, the findings that death rates remain higher in HIV-infected individuals than in uninfected individuals, even when successfully treated, and that both AIDS and several serious non-AIDS events are more common in those with a lower CD4 cell count (even when this count is above 350 cells/microl), suggest that earlier initiation of HAART may prevent much of the excess morbidity and mortality that remains in this patient group.

SUMMARY

Currently, the data would generally support initiation of HAART in patients with CD4 cell counts more than 350 cells/microl. However, given the strong potential for confounding in observational studies and the lack of adjustment for lead-time bias in many analyses, it is not possible to rule out possible long-term detrimental effects of earlier use of HAART until the results from fully powered randomized trials that directly address this issue become available.

Determinants of HIV progression and assessment of the optimal time to initiate highly active antiretroviral therapy: PISCIS Cohort (Spain)

OBJECTIVE

We analyze the factors related to progression to AIDS or death in HIV-infected patients from the Proyecto para la Informatización del Seguimiento Clínico epidemiológico de los pacientes con Infección por VIH/SIDA (PISCIS) Cohort and we assess the optimal time to initiate highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) taking lead time into account.

METHODS

We selected naive patients who were AIDS-free and initiated HAART after January 1998. Statistical analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards models. Lead time was defined as the time it took the deferred group with an early disease stage to reach the later stage. The analysis accounting for lead time was performed using multiple imputation methods based on estimates from the pre-HAART period as described elsewhere.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis on 2035 patients (median follow-up = 34.3 months) showed significantly higher hazard ratios (HRs) for a CD4 count <200 cells/microL (HR = 3.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.18 to 6.57), HIV-1 RNA level >100,000 copies/mL (HR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.26 to 2.69), and hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection (HR = 2.40, 95% CI: 1.65 to 3.49), whereas a lower risk was found for those who started HAART between January 2001 and June 2004 (HR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.90). When lead time and unseen events were included, we found a higher risk of progression to AIDS among patients who deferred treatment when the CD4 count reached <200 cells/microL (HR = 2.97, 95% CI: 1.91 to 4.63) and 200 to 350 cells/microL (HR = 1.85, 95% CI: 1.03 to 3.33) compared with those who started treatment with CD4 counts from 200 to 350 cells/microL and >350 cells/microL, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Advanced HIV disease, HCV coinfection, and early HAART period were determinants of AIDS progression or death. Lead-time analysis in asymptomatic HIV-infected patients suggests that the best time to start HAART is before the CD4 count falls to lower than 350 cells/microL.

Domestic violence in barriers to health care for HIV-positive women

Few studies have addressed the issue of domestic violence and health care for HIV-positive women. However, such women are at increased risk of clinical progression when domestic violence prevents access to health care or their ability to take HIV medicines on a consistent basis. To address this issue, 3 focus groups and 50 in-depth interviews were conducted at a public health clinic with HIV-positive women clients who had experienced domestic violence. The results are illustrated in 4 case studies of how domestic violence diminishes women's ability to obtain regular health care. Abused women were reluctant to keep appointments if they were afraid of their partners, if they were depressed, feeling ill or "too worn down," or if they were ashamed of being abused. Abusive partners were sometimes reported to sabotage women's efforts to seek care, keep appointments or take medications. The study concluded that domestic violence is an underrecognized barrier to women's ability to obtain regular medical care for HIV/AIDS. Effective HIV treatment is dependent on consistent HIV care, and domestic violence is a crucial barrier for some women. More research is needed to determine the most effective interventions for domestic violence in relation to HIV-positive women.

Nonadherence with pediatric human immunodeficiency virus therapy as medical neglect

OBJECTIVE

To examine the results of an interventionist approach applied to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected children for whom caregiver nonadherence was suspected as the cause of treatment failure.

METHODS

The medical records of a cohort of 16 perinatally HIV-infected children whose care was managed at the Arkansas Children's Hospital Pediatric HIV Clinic for an uninterrupted period of >or=3 years were reviewed through July 2003. Data collected included date of birth, dates of and explanations for clinic visits and hospitalizations, dates of laboratory evaluations, CD4(+) T cell percentages, plasma HIV-1 RNA levels, antiretroviral medications, viral resistance tests (eg, phenotype and genotype), and physician-initiated interventions to enhance adherence to the medication regimen. A stepwise interventionist approach was undertaken when patients continued to demonstrate high viral loads, despite documented viral sensitivity to the medication regimen and caregivers' insistence that medications were being administered regularly. Step 1 was prescribing a home health nurse referral, step 2 was administering directly observed therapy (DOT) while the patient was hospitalized for 4 days, and step 3 was submitting a physician-initiated medical neglect report to the Arkansas Department of Human Services.

RESULTS

The results for 6 patients for whom this stepwise approach was initiated are reported. Home health nurse referrals failed to result in sustained improvements in adherence in all 6 cases. Viral load assays performed before and after DOT provided an objective measure of the effect of adherence, with 12 hospitalizations resulting in a mean +/- SD decrease in HIV RNA levels of 1.09 +/- 0.5 log(10) copies per mL, with a range of 0.6 to 2.1 log(10) copies per mL. Four families responded to DOT hospitalization, and sustained decreases in the respective patients' viral loads were noted. In 2 cases, medical neglect reports were submitted when DOT did not result in improved adherence. These patients were eventually placed in foster care, with subsequent improvements in their viral loads and CD4(+) T cell percentages.

CONCLUSIONS

Nonadherence with antiretroviral therapy can be established on the basis of persistently elevated HIV RNA levels that decrease with DOT. Nonadherence poses a danger to the child that is grave and potentially irreversible. Caregivers should be offered all available resources to help them adhere to a sound treatment plan. In cases of demonstrated inability to provide needed care, it is necessary to consider seeking child protection, even for apparently healthy children.

Outcomes after two years of providing antiretroviral treatment in Khayelitsha, South Africa

BACKGROUND

A community-based antiretroviral therapy (ART) programme was established in 2001 in a South African township to explore the operational issues involved in providing ART in the public sector in resource-limited settings and demonstrate the feasibility of such a service.

METHODS

Data was analysed on a cohort of patients with symptomatic HIV disease and a CD4 lymphocyte count < 200 x 10 cells/l. The programme used standardized protocols (using generic medicines whenever possible), a team-approach to clinical care and a patient-centred approach to promote adherence.

RESULTS

Two-hundred and eighty-seven adults naive to prior ART were followed for a median duration of 13.9 months. The median CD4 lymphocyte count was 43 x 10 cells/l at initiation of treatment, and the mean log10 HIV RNA was 5.18 copies/ml. The HIV RNA level was undetectable (< 400 copies/ml) in 88.1, 89.2, 84.2, 75.0 and 69.7% of patients at 3, 6, 12, 18 and 24 months respectively. The cumulative probability of remaining alive was 86.3% at 24 months on treatment for all patients, 91.4% for those with a baseline CD4 lymphocyte count > or =50 x 10 cells/l, and 81.8% for those with a baseline CD4 lymphocyte count < 50 x 10 cells/l. The cumulative probability of changing a single antiretroviral drug by 24 months was 15.1% due to adverse events or contraindications, and 8.4% due to adverse events alone.

CONCLUSIONS

ART can be provided in resource-limited settings with good patient retention and clinical outcomes. With responsible implementation, ART is a key component of a comprehensive response to the epidemic in those communities most affected by HIV.