Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis: is it cost-effective?

Surveillance for hepatocellular cancer with ultrasonography vs. computed tomography -- a randomised study

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommend screening for hepatocellular cancer (HCC) with ultrasonography. The performance of ultrasonography varies widely. Computed tomography (CT) is less operator dependent.

AIM

To compare the performance and cost of twice-a-year ultrasonography to once-a-year triple-phase-contrast CT for HCC screening in veterans. We hypothesised that CT detects smaller HCCs at lower overall cost.

METHOD

One hundred and sixty-three subjects with compensated cirrhosis were randomised to biannual ultrasonography or yearly CT. Twice-a-year alpha-feto protein testing was performed in all patients. Contingency table analysis using chi-squared tests was used to determine differences in sensitivity and specificity of screening arms, survival analysis with Kaplan-Meier method to determine cumulative cancer rates. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to examine predictive factors.

RESULTS

Hepatocellular cancer incidence rate was 6.6% per year. Nine HCCs were detected by ultrasonography and eight by CT. Sensitivity and specificity were 71.4% and 97.5%, respectively, for ultrasonography vs. 66.7% and 94.4%, respectively, for CT. Although 58.8% of screen-detected HCC were early stage (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A), only 23.5% received potentially curative treatment despite all treatment options being available. HCC-related and overall mortality were 70.5% and 82.3%, respectively, in patients with screen-detected tumour. Overall costs were less for biannual ultrasonography than annual CT.

CONCLUSIONS

Biannual ultrasonography was marginally more sensitive and less costly for detection of early HCC compared with annual CT. Despite early detection, HCC-related mortality was high. These data support the use of biannual ultrasonography for HCC surveillance in a US patient population (NCT01350167).

Cost-effectiveness of screening for hepatocellular carcinoma among subjects at different levels of risk

OBJECTIVE

The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases 2005 practice guidelines for management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recommends that various high-risk groups of people undergo HCC surveillance. Our study aimed to investigate whether screening for HCC among subjects with early-stage cirrhosis is more cost-effective than screening among chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers without cirrhosis.

METHOD

Markov-based decision models were constructed to simulate development and progression of cirrhosis and HCC in the following 2 cohorts: subjects with early-stage cirrhosis and subjects who are chronic HBV carriers but do not have cirrhosis. The models also were used to estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for each cohort over a time horizon of 25 years.

RESULTS

The average cost per person was less and the average effect was greater for the cohort of chronic HBV carriers without cirrhosis than for the cohort of subjects with cirrhosis. The incremental effects for use of the screening strategy and the non-screening strategy in the 2 cohorts were 0.28 years and 0.86 years, respectively. The ICERs for the 2 cohorts were $25,578 and $15,191, respectively. The cohort of chronic HBV carriers had a greater ICER with respect to the HCC screening programme because of the smaller incremental effect. The sensitivity analyses revealed that HCC incidence and the probability of accidental diagnosis of HCC were critical parameters in the model.

CONCLUSION

Screening for HCC among subjects with early-stage cirrhosis is more cost-effective than screening among chronic HBV carriers who do not have cirrhosis.

Effect of surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma on tumor staging and treatment decisions in Egyptian patients

PURPOSE

Egyptian hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients present at advanced stages. We aimed to study the influence of surveillance versus non-surveillance on HCC staging and the potential therapeutic options.

METHODS

A retrospective study to evaluate the effect of surveillance on early detection of HCC among cirrhotic patients from 2003 to 2008. Patients examined every 6 months using ultrasound and α-fetoprotein (α-FP) (group A) and those diagnosed with those that present for the first time symptomatically or incidentally (group B). Groups were compared for α-FP level, tumour characteristics, severity of liver disease; tumour staging was evaluated by Okuda, CLIP and BCLC staging systems, in addition to the potential therapeutic options.

RESULTS

Group A comprised 122 HCC cases and group B 473. Surveillance improved HCC detection: at the stage of single nodule in 62.3% in group A versus 52.2% in group B, (P = 0.046) and reduced the percentage of HCC with portal vein thrombosis in 16.4 versus 33.8%, (P = 0.000) and the percentage of α-FP >400 ng/ml in 19.5 versus 32.6%, (P = 0.006) in groups A and B, respectively. Surveillance doubled the detection of HCC at early stage of BCLC (25.4 vs. 11.9% P = 0.000) and doubled the patients' chance for loco-regional ablation (12.3 vs. 5.9%, P = 0.015) and liver transplantation (10.7 vs. 3.2%, P = 0.001) in groups A and B, respectively.

CONCLUSION

HCC surveillance increases early detection of HCC and doubled the chances for curative options. Implementation of both HCC surveillance and cadaveric liver transplantation programs should be recommended in Egypt.

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma improves survival in Asian-American patients with hepatitis B: results from a community-based clinic

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy in Asians with hepatitis B virus infection. HCC patients often present with poor liver function and large tumors resulting in rapid mortality. The impact of HCC surveillance and subsequent therapy on patient survival remain controversial.

AIMS

We sought to determine if surveillance for HCC in a community-based clinic improve survival and, if so, identify factors that contribute to the benefit of early tumor detection.

METHODS

From 1991 to 2008, alpha-fetoprotein and abdominal ultrasound examination were used as surveillance tests for HCC. The survival of HCC patients detected by surveillance was compared to patients who presented to the clinic with HCC (no surveillance). An adjusted lead-time bias interval was added to the survival time of patients who presented with HCC.

RESULTS

During this period, 26 patients with surveillance developed HCC while 52 patients presented with HCC. More surveillance patients had normal levels of alkaline phosphatase, alanine aminotransferase, and aspartate aminotransferase (p < 0.05-0.0001) and had tumors that were within Milan and University of California San Francisco (UCSF) criteria (p = 0.02-0.0001). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were higher in surveillance patients and in those who received surgical or loco-regional therapies (p = 0.007-0.0001). On multivariate analysis, baseline independent factors predicting survival were single tumors (Hazard ratio [HR] 0.25, p = 0.0005), UCSF criteria (HR 0.29, p = 0.006), Child-Turcotte-Pugh class A (HR 0.45, p = 0.03), platelet counts per log(10) increase (HR 0.315, p = 0.04) and aspartate aminotransferase per log(10) increase (HR 5.7, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Surveillance for HCC identified patients with smaller tumor burdens and more adequate liver function who were able to receive more definitive therapies. HCC surveillance improves survival and should be included as standard of care for patients with hepatitis B.

A computer-aided temporal and dynamic subtraction technique of the liver for detection of small hepatocellular carcinomas on abdominal CT images

It is often difficult for radiologists to identify small hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) due to insufficient contrast enhancement. Therefore, we have developed a new computer-aided temporal and dynamic subtraction technique to enhance small HCCs, after automatically selecting images set at the same anatomical position from the present (non-enhanced and arterial-phase CT images) and previous images. The present study was performed with CT images from 14 subjects. First, we used template-matching based on similarities in liver shape between the present (non-enhanced and arterial-phase CT images) and previous arterial-phase CT images at the same position. Temporal subtraction images were then obtained by subtraction of the previous image from the present image taken at the same position of the liver. Dynamic subtraction images were also obtained by subtraction of non-enhanced CT images from arterial-phase CT images taken at the same position of the liver. Twenty-one of 22 nodules (95.5%) with contrast enhancement were visualized in temporal and dynamic subtraction images. Compared with present arterial-phase CT images, increases of 150% and 140% in nodule-to-liver contrast were observed on dynamic and temporal subtraction images, respectively. These subtraction images may be useful as reference images in the detection of small moderately differentiated HCCs.

Tumour staging, morphology and p53 overexpression concur in predicting survival in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on cirrhosis is hard to predict as it depends on tumour stage, underlying liver disease, type of treatment and, possibly, biological factors of the tumour itself.

METHODS

We prospectively evaluated the survival of 91 consecutive patients with HCC on cirrhosis, diagnosed between January 1998 and December 1999. Clinical features and histological/biological aspects, including histotype, grade, p53 overexpression, cytoproliferation and apoptotic markers were analysed.

RESULTS

Child-Pugh (P = 0.01), Okuda (P < 0.0001), Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) staging (P < 0.0001) and type of treatment (P = 0.0001) were significantly related to survival. In the Cox model, CLIP staging was included as independent predictor of survival at step 1 (P < 0.0001) with Okuda at step 2 (P = 0.013). Amongst the biological factors, p53 overexpression and histotype were significantly related with survival (P = 0.0044 and 0.017 respectively). When clinical and biological variables were examined together in the Cox model, CLIP and Okuda were confirmed as being statistically related with survival (P < 0.0001 and =0.012) followed by histotype and p53 overexpression (P = 0.019 and 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

CLIP, Okuda, histotype and p53 overexpression are the strongest predictors of survival in this series of patients. These data confirm that staging of the tumour and underlying liver disease are strictly related to prognosis but support the concurrent role of clinical and biological factors in upgrading our capacity of predicting the fate of HCC patients.

Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma: survival benefit and cost-effectiveness

BACKGROUND

The prognosis for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is poor by the time they present with symptoms. This review examines the usefulness of screening programs from the perspectives of survival benefit and of cost-effectiveness.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Articles were searched through Medline for screening, HCC, treatment and cost-effectiveness.

RESULTS

Both ultrasonography and alpha-fetoprotein testing have a low sensitivity for detecting HCC, although a combination of the two investigations can increase sensitivity. They remain the main screening methods because they are convenient, non-invasive and easily assessable. Though earlier studies fail to show improvement in patient management and survival by screening, more recent studies demonstrate that screening can increase the chance of curative treatment and, more importantly, improve survival even after the adjustment of lead-time bias. This is probably due to the improvement in medical treatment and technology. The cost per tumor detected for a region is inversely proportional to the tumor incidence of that region.

CONCLUSIONS

In countries with a low prevalence of HCC, screening for HCC is not cost-effective. But in countries with a high prevalence of HCC, especially when screening is directed at older patients with a high risk of HCC, screening programs for HCC become much more cost-effective.

Future perspectives for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Five facets of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are identified that impact on future directions in the management of the disease: epidemiology, prevention, screening, diagnosis and therapy. Recent papers on HCC have been reviewed, and predictions have been made on developments in HCC over the next decade.

DISCUSSION

It is predicted that hepatitis B-related HCC will decrease with vaccination, while hepatitis C-related HCC will become an increasing problem. Antiviral treatment and chemopreventive agents will prevent HCC development. Whole-population screening will not be an option, but screening is justified for individuals who can pay for it. There will be more emphasis on the use of tumour markers. Transabdominal ultrasound and triphasic spiral computed tomography will remain important radiological imaging techniques. The results of liver resection will not improve unless neoadjuvant/adjuvant therapy is proven to be effective. More patients with initially unresectable HCC will be down-staged to become resectable with improvements in local, regional and systemic therapies. Liver transplantation will be increasingly used. Local ablative therapy will improve the quality of survival but will have no impact on overall survival compared with surgical resection. The author hopes to review the accuracy of these predictions in 2013.