Discordances Between Factors Associated With Withholding Extubation and Extubation Failure After a Successful Spontaneous Breathing Trial

Sex difference in the risk of extubation failure in ICUs

BACKGROUND

Little attention has been paid to potential differences in prognosis between mechanically ventilated males and females in intensive care units (ICUs). We hypothesized that a sex gap in the risk of extubation failure in ICUs may exist.

METHODS

Post hoc analysis of a large-scale clinical trial including patients at high risk of extubation failure in ICUs, with the aim of assessing the risk of extubation failure according to sex. The primary outcome was reintubation within the 7 days following extubation.

RESULTS

Out of 641 patients, 425 (66%) were males and 216 (34%) were females. Males were more likely to be admitted for cardiac arrest and to have underlying ischemic heart disease whereas females were more likely to be admitted for coma and to have obesity. Whereas the rate of reintubation at 48 h was significantly higher in males than in females (11.0% vs. 6.0%; difference, + 5.0 [95% CI, 0.2 to 9.2]; P = 0.038), the rate of reintubation at day 7 did not significantly differ between males and females (16.7% vs. 11.1%; difference, + 5.6% [95%CI, - 0.3 to 10.8], P = 0.059). Using multivariable logistic regression analysis, male sex was independently associated with reintubation within the 7 days following extubation (adjusted OR 1.70 [95% CI, 1.01 to 2.89]; P = 0.048), even after adjustment on reason for admission, body-mass index, severity score, respiratory rate before extubation, and noninvasive ventilation after extubation.

CONCLUSION

In this post hoc analysis of a clinical trial including a homogeneous subset of patients at high risk of extubation failure, sex was independently associated with reintubation. The role of sex on outcomes should be systematically examined in future studies of critically ill patients.

Development of a Prediction Score for Evaluation of Extubation Readiness in Neurosurgical Patients with Mechanical Ventilation

BACKGROUND

There is no widely accepted consensus on the weaning and extubating protocols for neurosurgical patients, leading to heterogeneity in clinical practices and high rates of delayed extubation and extubation failure-related health complications.

METHODS

In this single-center prospective observational diagnostic study, mechanically ventilated neurosurgical patients with extubation attempts were consecutively enrolled for 1 yr. Responsive physicians were surveyed for the reasons for delayed extubation and developed the Swallowing, Tongue protrusion, Airway protection reflected by spontaneous and suctioning cough, and Glasgow Coma Scale Evaluation (STAGE) score to predict the extubation success for neurosurgical patients already meeting other general extubation criteria.

RESULTS

A total of 3,171 patients were screened consecutively, and 226 patients were enrolled in this study. The rates of delayed extubation and extubation failure were 25% (57 of 226) and 19% (43 of 226), respectively. The most common reasons for the extubation delay were weak airway-protecting function and poor consciousness. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of the total STAGE score associated with extubation success was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.64 to 0.79). Guided by the highest Youden index, the cutoff point for the STAGE score was set at 6 with 59% (95% CI, 51 to 66%) sensitivity, 74% (95% CI, 59 to 86%) specificity, 90% (95% CI, 84 to 95%) positive predictive value, and 30% (95% CI, 21 to 39%) negative predictive value. At STAGE scores of 9 or higher, the model exhibited a 100% (95% CI, 90 to 100%) specificity and 100% (95% CI, 72 to 100%) positive predictive value for predicting extubation success.

CONCLUSIONS

After a survey of the reasons for delayed extubation, the STAGE scoring system was developed to better predict the extubation success rate. This scoring system has promising potential in predicting extubation readiness and may help clinicians avoid delayed extubation and failed extubation-related health complications in neurosurgical patients.

EDITOR’S PERSPECTIVE