Impact of Early Tracheostomy Versus Late or No Tracheostomy in Nonneurologically Injured Adult Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Predicting Tracheostomy Need on Admission to the Intensive Care Unit-A Multicenter Machine Learning Analysis

OBJECTIVE

It is difficult to predict which mechanically ventilated patients will ultimately require a tracheostomy which further predisposes them to unnecessary spontaneous breathing trials, additional time on the ventilator, increased costs, and further ventilation-related complications such as subglottic stenosis. In this study, we aimed to develop a machine learning tool to predict which patients need a tracheostomy at the onset of admission to the intensive care unit (ICU).

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective Cohort Study.

SETTING

Multicenter Study of 335 Intensive Care Units between 2014 and 2015.

METHODS

The eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD) was utilized to obtain the patient cohort. Inclusion criteria included: (1) Age >18 years and (2) ICU admission requiring mechanical ventilation. The primary outcome of interest included tracheostomy assessed via a binary classification model. Models included logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost).

RESULTS

Of 38,508 invasively mechanically ventilated patients, 1605 patients underwent a tracheostomy. The XGBoost, RF, and LR models had fair performances at an AUROC 0.794, 0.780, and 0.775 respectively. Limiting the XGBoost model to 20 features out of 331, a minimal reduction in performance was observed with an AUROC of 0.778. Using Shapley Additive Explanations, the top features were an admission diagnosis of pneumonia or sepsis and comorbidity of chronic respiratory failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Our machine learning model accurately predicts the probability that a patient will eventually require a tracheostomy upon ICU admission, and upon prospective validation, we have the potential to institute earlier interventions and reduce the complications of prolonged ventilation.

Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation, Weaning, and the Role of Tracheostomy

Depending on the definitional criteria used, approximately 5% to 10% of critical adults will require prolonged mechanical ventilation with longer-term outcomes that are worse than those ventilated for a shorter duration. Outcomes are affected by patient characteristics before critical illness and its severity but also by organizational characteristics and care models. Definitive trials of interventions to inform care activities, such as ventilator weaning, upper airway management, rehabilitation, and nutrition specific to the prolonged mechanical ventilation patient population, are lacking. A structured and individualized approach developed by the multiprofessional team in discussion with the patient and their family is warranted.

Tracheostomy versus prolonged intubation in moderate to severe traumatic brain injury: a multicentre retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

Tracheostomy is a surgical procedure that is commonly performed in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). It is frequently required in patients with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury (TBI), a subset of patients with prolonged altered state of consciousness that may require a long period of mechanical respiratory assistance. While many clinicians favour the use of early tracheostomy in TBI patients, the evidence in favour of this practice remains scarce. The aims of our study were to evaluate the potential clinical benefits of tracheostomy versus prolonged endotracheal intubation, as well as whether the timing of the procedure may influence outcome in patients with moderate to severe TBI.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective multicentre cohort study based on data from the provincial integrated trauma system of Quebec (Québec Trauma Registry). The study population was selected from adult trauma patients hospitalized between 2013 and 2019. We included patients 16 yr and older with moderate to severe TBI (Glasgow Coma Scale score < 13) who required mechanical ventilation for 96 hr or longer. Our primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included hospital and ICU mortality, six-month mortality, duration of mechanical ventilation, ventilator-associated pneumonia, ICU and hospital length of stay as well as orientation of patients upon discharge from the hospital. We used propensity score covariate adjustment. To overcome the effect of immortal time bias, an extended Cox shared frailty model was used to compare mortality between groups.

RESULTS

From 2013 to 2019, 26,923 patients with TBI were registered in the Québec Trauma Registry. A total of 983 patients who required prolonged endotracheal intubation for 96 hr or more were included in the study, 374 of whom underwent a tracheostomy and 609 of whom remained intubated. We observed a reduction in 30-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.33; 95% confidence interval, 0.21 to 0.53) associated with tracheostomy compared with prolonged endotracheal intubation. This effect was also seen in the ICU as well as at six months. Tracheostomy, when compared with prolonged endotracheal intubation, was associated with an increase in the duration of mechanical respiratory assistance without any increase in the length of stay. No effect on mortality was observed when comparing early vs late tracheostomy procedures. An early procedure was associated with a reduction in the duration of mechanical respiratory support as well as hospital and ICU length of stay.

CONCLUSION

In this multicentre cohort study, tracheostomy was associated with decreased mortality when compared with prolonged endotracheal intubation in patients with moderate to severe TBI. This effect does not appear to be modified by the timing of the procedure. Nevertheless, the generalization and application of these results remains limited by potential residual time-dependent indication bias.

Liberation from Mechanical Ventilation and Tracheostomy Practice in Traumatic Brain Injury

Liberating patients with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) from mechanical ventilation is often a challenging task. These patients frequently require prolonged ventilation and have persistent alterations in the level and content of consciousness. Questions about their ability to protect their airway are common. Pulmonary complications and copious respiratory secretions are also very prevalent. Thus, it is hardly surprising that rates of extubation failure are high. This is a major problem because extubation failure is associated with a host of poor outcome measures. When the safety of an extubation attempt is uncertain, direct tracheostomy is favored by some, but there is no evidence that this practice leads to better outcomes. Current knowledge is insufficient to reliably predict extubation outcomes in TBI, and practices vary substantially across trauma centers. Yet observational studies provide relevant information that must be weighted when considering the decision to attempt extubation in patients with head injury. This review discusses available evidence on liberation from mechanical ventilation in TBI, proposes priorities for future research, and offers practical advice to guide decisions at the bedside.