Cancer incidence predictions in the North of Portugal: keeping population-based cancer registration up to date

The CDH1 c.1901C>T Variant: A Founder Variant in the Portuguese Population with Severe Impact in mRNA Splicing

Simple Summary

An unexpectedly high number of early-onset diffuse gastric and lobular breast cancer in apparently unrelated families carrying the same CDH1 c.1901C>T variant (formerly known as missense p.A634V) in Northern Portugal suggested a founder effect in this region. We demonstrated that c.1901C>T is a truncating variant triggered by cryptic splicing, calculated its mutational age, and characterized the tumour spectrum and age of onset in affected families.

Abstract

Hereditary diffuse gastric cancer (HDGC) caused by CDH1 variants predisposes to early-onset diffuse gastric (DGC) and lobular breast cancer (LBC). In Northern Portugal, the unusually high number of HDGC cases in unrelated families carrying the c.1901C>T variant (formerly known as p.A634V) suggested this as a CDH1-founder variant. We aimed to demonstrate that c.1901C>T is a bona fide truncating variant inducing cryptic splicing, to calculate the timing of a potential founder effect, and to characterize tumour spectrum and age of onset in carrying families. The impact in splicing was proven by using carriers’ RNA for PCR-cloning sequencing and allelic expression imbalance analysis with SNaPshot. Carriers and noncarriers were haplotyped for 12 polymorphic markers, and the decay of haplotype sharing (DHS) method was used to estimate the time to the most common ancestor of c.1901C>T. Clinical information from 58 carriers was collected and analysed. We validated the cryptic splice site within CDH1-exon 12, which was preferred over the canonical one in 100% of sequenced clones. Cryptic splicing induced an out-of-frame 37bp deletion in exon 12, premature truncation (p.Ala634ProfsTer7), and consequently RNA mediated decay. The haplotypes carrying the c.1901C>T variant were found to share a common ancestral estimated at 490 years (95% Confidence Interval 445–10,900). Among 58 carriers (27 males (M)–31 females (F); 13–83 years), DGC occurred in 11 (18.9%; 4M–7F; average age 33 ± 12) and LBC in 6 females (19.4%; average age 50 ± 8). Herein, we demonstrated that the c.1901C>T variant is a loss-of-function splice-site variant that underlies the first CDH1-founder effect in Portugal. Knowledge on this founder effect will drive genetic testing of this specific variant in HDGC families in this geographical region and allow intrafamilial penetrance analysis and better estimation of variant-associated tumour risks, disease age of onset, and spectrum.

Clinical and metabolic implications of obesity in prostate cancer: is testosterone a missing link?

Objectives: To assess sex hormones in men with obesity and prostate cancer (PCa) and to study association between androgens and the pathogenesis biology of PCa in vitro. Subjects and methods: One hundred and eighty-one men older than 45 years selected from of a population attending to Urology departments screening for PCa, (78 participants without PCa and 103 patients with PCa). All participants were assessed for body mass index (BMI), age, Gleason score, and PSA. Endocrine profile was determined for LH, total testosterone (TT), 17β-estradiol (E2), prolactin and leptin. Biochemical profile (HbA1c, triacylglycerols and lipoproteins) was also determined. In vitro experiments were also performed, involving the study of 5α-dihydrotestosterone (DHT) and E2 in the presence of adipocyte-conditioned medium (aCM). Results: All variables were continuous and described a Gaussian distribution unless mentioned. To determine the relation of aggressiveness, variable were transformed into categories. Thus, PCa aggressiveness is associated with the increase of age and BMI (p < .0001) but with is decreased with TT and E2 (p < .05). Moreover, adipocyte-secreted molecules increase aggressiveness of PCa cells in vitro. Lastly, DTH but not E2 enables invasiveness in vitro. Conclusions: It was observed a coexistence of hormone axis profile alteration with sex hormones and BMI in PCa patients, in accordance with the new perspective of PCa pathogenesis.

Statistical projection methods for lung cancer incidence and mortality: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

To identify and summarise all studies using statistical methods to project lung cancer incidence or mortality rates more than 5 years into the future.

STUDY TYPE

Systematic review.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search in multiple electronic databases to identify studies published from 1 January 1988 to 14 August 2018, which used statistical methods to project lung cancer incidence and/or mortality rates. Reference lists of relevant articles were checked for additional potentially relevant articles. We developed an organisational framework to classify methods into groups according to the type of data and the statistical models used. Included studies were critically appraised using prespecified criteria.

RESULTS

One hundred and one studies met the inclusion criteria; six studies used more than one statistical method. The number of studies reporting statistical projections for lung cancer increased substantially over time. Eighty-eight studies used projection methods, which did not incorporate data on smoking in the population, and 16 studies used a method which did incorporate data on smoking. Age-period-cohort models (44 studies) were the most commonly used methods, followed by other generalised linear models (35 studies). The majority of models were developed using observed rates for more than 10 years and used data that were considered to be good quality. A quarter of studies provided comparisons of fitted and observed rates. While validation by withholding the most recent observed data from the model and then comparing the projected and observed rates for the most recent period provides important information on the model's performance, only 12 studies reported doing this.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review provides an up-to-date summary of the statistical methods used in published lung cancer incidence or mortality projections. The assessment of the strengths of existing methods will help researchers to better apply and develop statistical methods for projecting lung cancer rates. Some of the common methods described in this review can be applied to the projection of rates for other cancer types or other non-infectious diseases.

Pain prevalence and treatment in patients with metastatic bone disease

The accomplishment of successful pain treatment requires evaluation, characterization and quantification. The present study characterized pain and survival in a cohort of patients with cancer with bone metastasis who were treated with intravenous bisphosphonates. A total of 84 patients self-completed the Brief Pain Inventory (BPI) and 36-Item Short Form Survey (SF-36), between November 2010 and March 2011 with a 5-year survival follow-up as a surrogate marker of cancer burden. The median age was 62 years old (34–85), 64% of patients were female and 58% of these females had breast cancer. In the population, self-reported pain was 91.6%, with 29 patients (34.5%) reporting severe pain (score 7–10). Among these patients, only 13 (44.8%) presented a similar report to that of their clinical files and 5 were undergoing treatment with strong opioids (17.2%). A total of 45 patients (46%) had not been prescribed analgesic drugs, of these patients, 32 were treated with a weak opioid, and 13 with a strong opioid. An association was observed between pain records and the prescribed analgesic (P=0.031). BPI maximum pain and overall survival data were analyzed, and a significant association was identified between male patients presenting severe pain and decreased survival (P=0.004). Male survival was associated with severe pain, which is consistent with other data. The results revealed a skeletal-related events (SRE)-free survival (time elapsed from diagnosis of the first bone metastasis to the first SRE) of 9 months (4.39–13.73, 95% CI) with a statistically significant difference between subgroups of time since diagnosis of bone metastasis (P=0.005). The added value of the present study is the suggestion that complete and accurate pain narratives are mandatory and may contribute to the optimization of analgesia, and may help to increase survival rates. Optimal pain management for patients with cancer remains an urgent requirement.

Breast cancer in Portugal: Temporal trends and age-specific incidence by geographic regions

BACKGROUND

Female breast cancer incidence rates have been increasing in Portugal for years. We, therefore, conducted the first nationwide breast cancer study to assess regional differences.

METHODS

Cases were obtained from population-based cancer registries covering the country's Mainland (South, North, Centre), as well as the two Autonomous Regions (Azores and Madeira), for the time-period 1998 through 2011. Analyses were restricted to ages 30-84 years and stratified by region. We used the age-period-cohort (APC) framework to complement standard descriptive techniques and to forecast future trends. Estimable APC parameters included net drift, longitudinal age-specific incidence rate curves, and fitted age-specific incidence rate ratios.

RESULTS

There were 71 545 breast cancer cases diagnosed in Portugal at ages 30-84 years from 1998 to 2011. The South presented the highest age-standardized rate (155.8/100 000), while the North presented the fastest rate of increase (3.6%/year). Age-specific statistical interactions were observed between regions. Younger women in the North revealed a decreased risk of developing breast cancer compared to women from the same age group in the South and Centre, while that risk was reversed in older women (p < 0.05). We estimate that from 2014 onwards, the North might rank first among all regions.

CONCLUSION

The variant patterns observed could be due to a combination of different screening practices and/or exposure to risk factors across regions. Disease heterogeneity among younger and older women may also explain part of the differences in age-specific rates. These results justify continued monitoring of breast cancer incidence by region.

Trends in Gastric and Esophageal Cancer Incidence in Northern Portugal (1994-2009) by Subsite and Histology, and Predictions for 2015

Introduction

Gastric cancer (GC) and esophageal cancer (EC) share risk factors, and the incidence trends reflect differences in etiology according to their subtypes. We aimed to describe the incidence trends of GC (by topography) and EC (by histological type) in northern Portugal for 1994-2009 and to estimate the incidence for 2015. We further analyzed exposure to the main risk factors for these cancers in the region over the last decades.

Methods

GC and EC data were obtained from the North Region Cancer Registry of Portugal (RORENO). Joinpoint regression was used to compute annual percent changes (APC) in incidence trends. Poisson regression yielded estimates for 2015. A literature review up to 2014 provided data on exposure to risk factors.

Results

GC rates decreased in 1994-2009 (men, APC = −1.3; women, APC = −1.6); GC, unspecified subtype, had the steepest decline since the early 2000s (men, APC = −4.9; women, APC = −6.3). The incidence for 2015 will increase for EC in men (up to ≈190 cases) and stabilize in women (≈30) and for GC (≈730 men, ≈500 women). Increasing prevalence of tobacco smoking among women and overweight/obesity, fairly stable prevalence of alcohol, fruit and vegetable consumption, and no trend for Helicobacter pylori infection were observed.

Conclusions

The declining incidence of GC unspecified subtype indicated an improvement in cancer registration accuracy, but precluded a sound assessment of trends by subtype. Variations in the prevalence of exposure to some risk factors were consistent with observed incidence trends, and future studies should aim to quantify their contribution to the GC and EC burden in the region.

No inequalities in survival from colorectal cancer by education and socioeconomic deprivation - a population-based study in the North Region of Portugal, 2000-2002

BACKGROUND

Association between cancer survival and socioeconomic status has been reported in various countries but it has never been studied in Portugal. We aimed here to study the role of education and socioeconomic deprivation level on survival from colorectal cancer in the North Region of Portugal using a population-based cancer registry dataset.

METHODS

We analysed a cohort of patients aged 15-84 years, diagnosed with a colorectal cancer in the North Region of Portugal between 2000 and 2002. Education and socioeconomic deprivation level was assigned to each patient based on their area of residence. We measured socioeconomic deprivation using the recently developed European Deprivation Index. Net survival was estimated using Pohar-Perme estimator and age-adjusted excess hazard ratios were estimated using parametric flexible models. Since no deprivation-specific life tables were available, we performed a sensitivity analysis to test the robustness of the results to life tables adjusted for education and socioeconomic deprivation level.

RESULTS

A total of 4,105 cases were included in the analysis. In male patients (56.3 %), a pattern of worse 5- and 10-year net survival in the less educated (survival gap between extreme education groups: -7 % and -10 % at 5 and 10 years, respectively) and more deprived groups (survival gap between extreme EDI groups: -5 % both at 5 and 10 years) was observed when using general life tables. No such clear pattern was found among female patients. In both sexes, when likely differences in background mortality by education or deprivation were accounted for in the sensitivity analysis, any differences in net survival between education or deprivation groups vanished.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows that observed differences in survival by education and EDI level are most likely attributable to inequalities in background survival. Also, it confirms the importance of using the relevant life tables and of performing sensitivity analysis when evaluating socioeconomic inequalities in cancer survival. Comparison studies of different healthcare systems organization should be performed to better understand its influence on cancer survival inequalities.