Recent trends of cancer mortality in Romanian adults: mortality is still increasing, although young adults do better than the middle-aged and elderly population

Breast cancer mortality gaps in Romanian women compared to the EU after 10 years of accession: Is breast cancer screening a priority for action in Romania? (Review of the Statistics)

Breast cancer remains the most common cause of morbidity and mortality by cancer in females worldwide, even though it is largely preventable through population screening. Despite notable progress in the last years in the EU, breast cancer screening programs still maintain wide variations among countries and socio-economic groups. This statistical review aimed to investigate the breast cancer-related health gaps in Romanian women compared to the average EU female population after 10 years of accession (2007-2016). We evaluated breast cancer-related deaths, age-standardized mortality rates and contribution of breast cancer to life expectancy. Trends and percentage changes were compared between Romania and EU-27 for breast cancer, all cancer and all causes of mortality. We found a higher increase of breast cancer deaths in Romania, an increasing trend of mortality (opposite to EU) and a contribution to life expectancy at birth that increased gradually from 0.45 to 0 48 years. All these health gaps compared to EU are aggravated by the fact that no population screening for breast cancer is organized in the country. The opportunities for organizing such a program are consistent, but they should be increased in the future, in order to control the health gap between Romania and EU.

Impact of histological subtype on the response to chemoradiation in locally advanced cervical cancer and the possible role of surgery

Cervical cancer is one of the most common cancers in women in developing countries, second only to breast cancer, with more than 450.000 new cases every year. Romania has the highest incidence of cervical cancer in Europe; more than four times the incidence found in Western Europe. Radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy is considered in most countries the gold standard for locally advanced cervical cancer. In Romania, if downstaging occurs after radiotherapy, adjuvant surgery is routinely performed. Thus, in the present study, we investigated the rate of residual cancer in patients with locally advanced cervical cancer who underwent surgery after concurrent chemoradiotherapy and to determine the impact of tumor histological subtype on the chemoradiotherapy response. Of a total of 461 patients with locally advanced cervical cancer that underwent chemoradiotherapy and adjuvant surgery, 254 had a partial response defined as the presence of residual tumor at pathology examination. Depending on the histological subtype of the cervical cancer, partial response was obtained in 50.6% of squamous cell carcinoma cases and in 77.6% of adenocarcinoma or adenosquamous carcinoma cases. The present study demonstrated that cervical cancer patients with adenocarcinomas and adenosquamous carcinomas had a significantly poorer treatment response to chemoradiotherapy than those with squamous cell carcinomas. We consider that in such cases where residual tumor is present, adjuvant surgery is mandatory for improving the survival rates.

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting with Automated Machine Learning on a National ICD-10 Database

The application of machine learning (ML) for use in generating insights and making predictions on new records continues to expand within the medical community. Despite this progress to date, the application of time series analysis has remained underexplored due to complexity of the underlying techniques. In this study, we have deployed a novel ML, called automated time series (AutoTS) machine learning, to automate data processing and the application of a multitude of models to assess which best forecasts future values. This rapid experimentation allows for and enables the selection of the most accurate model in order to perform time series predictions. By using the nation-wide ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision) dataset of hospitalized patients of Romania, we have generated time series datasets over the period of 2008–2018 and performed highly accurate AutoTS predictions for the ten deadliest diseases. Forecast results for the years 2019 and 2020 were generated on a NUTS 2 (Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics) regional level. This is the first study to our knowledge to perform time series forecasting of multiple diseases at a regional level using automated time series machine learning on a national ICD-10 dataset. The deployment of AutoTS technology can help decision makers in implementing targeted national health policies more efficiently.

Ultrasound-Guided Core-Needle Biopsy of Suspicious Breast Lesions

Background: Breast cancer is the female cancer with the highest mortality. While early detection is a public health priority in Western European countries, a screening program in our country has yet to be implemented. The best diagnostic accuracy is achieved through the use of triple assessment: clinical examination, imaging, and core-needle biopsy where indicated. Prognosis is influenced by clinical, histological, and biological factors, and therapy is most effective when individually tailored.

Aim of the study: To analyze the clinical, histological, and immunohistochemical characteristics of the biopsied nodules and summarize our experience from the last three years.

Material and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed data from 137 patients who underwent core-needle biopsy between 2017 and 2019. Imaging score was assigned based on ultrasound examination or mammography. Clinical and pathological parameters were recorded, followed by statistical processing of the data.

Results: The mean age of the patients was 58 ± 14 years, lesions had a mean size of 22.83 ± 14.10 mm. Most nodules (n = 63, 47.01%) were located in the upper-outer quadrant, and bilateral presence was found in 4 (3.08%) cases. We found a significant positive correlation between lesion size and the patients’ age (Spearman r = 0.356; 95% CI 0.186, 0.506; p = 0.000). The malignancy rates within the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) categories were as follows: 0% for „4a”, 31.58% for „4b”, 71.42% for „4c”, and 97.72% for „5”. Most malignancies (n = 73, 78.35%) were represented by invasive ductal carcinoma of no special type, 58.43% (n = 52) were grade 2, 89.13% (n = 82) were estrogen receptor positive, and Luminal B-like type was the most common (n = 63, 78.75%).

Conclusions: The mean size of tumors was larger than the average size at discovery described in the literature. In our region, age and tumor size are positively correlated. Preoperative histological results may indicate the reliability of the imaging risk stratification system. Most cases can benefit from adjuvant endocrine therapy.

Gastric cancer in young vs old Romanian patients: immunoprofile with emphasis on maspin and mena protein reactivity

Increasing number of early-onset gastric carcinomas (GCs) and controversial results regarding the differences among young and older patients with this type of cancer are the reasons why correlation of clinicopathological factors with molecular markers is necessary. The aim of our study was to compare the demographic, clinical and immunohistochemical (IHC) aspects in Romanian patients with GC diagnosed below and above 45 years old. In 191 samples provided from patients with GC, the clinicopathological parameters were correlated with a panel of 15 antibodies: E-cadherin, HER-2, VEGF, CD31, CD105, COX-2, maspin, bax, bcl-2, p53, Ki67, MLH-1, MSH-2, mena protein and vimentin. Compared to the conventional cases, GCs diagnosed below 45 years old were more frequently located at the gastroesophageal junction and presented a higher percentage of lymph node metastases. The diffuse type E-cadherin/mena/p53/Ki67/bax-negative cases that displayed nuclear maspin positivity were also more frequently in younger patients. The intestinal type early-onset GCs were the most angiogenic ones, the apoptotic rate being lower than in the intestinal type GCs of the aged. Compared to the conventional cases, in the early-onset GCs the nuclear maspin-mediated antiproliferative activity is more intense in diffuse type while the mena-dependent tumor cell proliferation is more characteristic for intestinal type GCs.