The Etiology of Epidemiologic Perseveration: When Enough is Enough

Childhood leukemia and 50 Hz magnetic fields: findings from the Italian SETIL case-control study

We report on an Italian case-control study on childhood leukemia and exposure to extremely low frequency magnetic fields (ELF-MF). Eligible for inclusion were 745 leukemia cases, aged 0–10 years at diagnosis in 1998–2001, and 1475 sex- and age-matched population controls. Parents of 683 cases and 1044 controls (92% vs. 71%) were interviewed. ELF-MF measurements (24–48 h), in the child’s bedroom of the dwelling inhabited one year before diagnosis, were available for 412 cases and 587 controls included in the main conditional regression analyses. The magnetic field induction was 0.04 μT on average (geometric mean), with 0.6% of cases and 1.6% of controls exposed to >0.3 μT. The impact of changes in the statistical model, exposure metric, and data-set restriction criteria was explored via sensitivity analyses. No exposure-disease association was observed in analyses based on continuous exposure, while analyses based on categorical variables were characterized by incoherent exposure-outcome relationships. In conclusion, our results may be affected by several sources of bias and they are noninformative at exposure levels >0.3 μT. Nonetheless, the study may contribute to future meta- or pooled analyses. Furthermore, exposure levels among population controls are useful to estimate attributable risk.

Invited commentary: extremely low-frequency magnetic fields and breast cancer--now it is enough!

Research on an association between extremely low frequency (ELF) magnetic fields and breast cancer has been conducted since the 1980s, based on the hypothesis that ELF fields suppress melatonin production and melatonin protects against breast cancer development. In this issue of the Journal, Li et al. (Am J Epidemiol. 2013;178(7):1038-1045) present a well-designed study on occupational exposure to ELF fields and breast cancer that adds to the already large pool of data that has not supported the hypothesis. Over time, the quality and statistical power of studies within this research area have increased considerably, and advances in exposure assessment have reduced exposure misclassification. The evidence is consistently negative. A World Health Organization health risk assessment concluded in 2005 that the evidence from experimental and epidemiologic studies is sufficient to give confidence that ELF magnetic fields do not cause breast cancer. The new study adds even more confidence to this conclusion. We should now focus our time and research resources on more promising hypotheses, the results of which could make a difference for public health and advance science. Further epidemiologic studies on ELF fields and breast cancer are likely to have little new knowledge to add.