Development and validation of limited sampling strategies for the estimation of mycophenolic acid area under the curve in adult kidney and liver transplant recipients receiving concomitant enteric-coated mycophenolate sodium and tacrolimus

Predicting the exposure of mycophenolic acid in children with autoimmune diseases using a limited sampling strategy: A retrospective study

Mycophenolic acid (MPA) is commonly used to treat autoimmune diseases in children, and therapeutic drug monitoring is recommended to ensure adequate drug exposure. However, multiple blood sampling is required to calculate the area under the plasma concentration-time curve (AUC), causing patient discomfort and waste of human and financial resources. This study aims to use machine learning and deep learning algorithms to develop a prediction model of MPA exposure for pediatric autoimmune diseases with optimizing sampling frequency. Pediatric autoimmune patients' data were collected at Nanfang Hospital between June 2018 and June 2023. Univariate analysis was applied for feature selection. Ten algorithms, including Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, CatBoost, Artificial Neural Network, Grandient Boosting Machine, Transformer, Wide&Deep, and TabNet, were employed for modeling based on two, three, or four concentrations of MPA. A total of 614 MPA AUC0-12h samples from 209 patients were enrolled. Among the 10 models evaluated, the Wide&Deep model exhibited the best predictive performance. The predictive performance of the Wide&Deep model using four and three blood concentration points was similar (R 2 ≈ 1 for four points; R 2 = 0.95 for three points). No significant difference in accuracy within ±30% was observed between models utilizing three and four blood concentration points (p = 0.06). This study demonstrates that in the Wide&Deep model, MPA exposure can be accurately estimated with three sampling points in children with autoimmune diseases. This model could help reduce discomfort in pediatric patients without reducing the accuracy of MPA exposure estimates in clinical practice.

Pharmacokinetics of Imatinib Mesylate and Development of Limited Sampling Strategies for Estimating the Area under the Concentration-Time Curve of Imatinib Mesylate in Palestinian Patients with Chronic Myeloid Leukemia

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Imatinib is a tyrosine kinase inhibitor used in the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). The area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) is a pharmacokinetic parameter that symbolizes overall exposure to a drug, which is correlated with complete cytogenetic and treatment responses to imatinib, as well as its side effects in patients with CML. The limited sampling strategy (LSS) is considered a sufficiently precise and practical method that can be used to estimate pharmacokinetic parameters such as AUC, without the need for frequent, costly, and inconvenient blood sampling. This study aims to investigate the pharmacokinetic parameters of imatinib, develop and validate a reliable and practical LSS for estimating imatinib AUC0-24, and determine the optimum sampling points for predicting the imatinib AUC after the administration of once-daily imatinib in Palestinian patients with CML.

METHOD

Pharmacokinetic profiles, involving six blood samples collected during a 24-h dosing interval, were obtained from 25 Palestinian patients diagnosed with CML who had been receiving imatinib for at least 7 days and had reached a steady-state level. Imatinib AUC0-24 was calculated using the trapezoidal rule, and linear regression analysis was performed to assess the relationship between measured AUC0-24 and concentrations at each sampling time. All developed models were analyzed to determine their effectiveness in predicting AUC0-24 and to identify the optimal sampling time. To evaluate predictive performance, two error indices were employed: the percentage of root mean squared error (% RMSE) and the mean predictive error (% MPE). Bland and Altman plots, along with mountain plots, were utilized to assess the agreement between measured and predicted AUC.

RESULTS

Among the one-timepoint estimations, predicted AUC0-24 based on concentration of imatinib at the eighth hour after administration (C8-predicted AUC0-24) demonstrated the highest correlation with the measured AUC (r2 = 0.97, % RMSE = 6.3). In two-timepoint estimations, the model consisting of C0 and C8 yielded the highest correlation between predicted and measured imatinib AUC (r2 = 0.993 and % RMSE = 3.0). In three-timepoint estimations, the combination of C0, C1, and C8 provided the most robust multilinear regression for predicting imatinib AUC0-24 (r2 = 0.996, % RMSE = 2.2). This combination also outperformed all other models in predicting AUC. The use of a two-timepoint limited sampling strategy (LSS) for predicting AUC was found to be reliable and practical. While C0/C8 exhibited the highest correlation, the use of C0/C4 could be a more practical and equally accurate choice. Therapeutic drug monitoring of imatinib based on C0 can also be employed in routine clinical practice owing to its reliability and practicality.

CONCLUSION

The LSS using one timepoint, especially C0, can effectively predict imatinib AUC. This approach offers practical benefits in optimizing dose regimens and improving adherence. However, for more precise estimation of imatinib AUC, utilizing two- or three-timepoint concentrations is recommended over relying on a single point.

Torque Teno Virus Load Predicts Opportunistic Infections after Kidney Transplantation but Is Not Associated with Maintenance Immunosuppression Exposure

Measuring the non-pathogenic Torque Teno Virus (TTV) load allows assessing the net immunosuppressive state after kidney transplantation (KTx). Currently, it is not known how exposure to maintenance immunosuppression affects TTV load. We hypothesized that TTV load is associated with the exposure to mycophenolic acid (MPA) and tacrolimus. We performed a prospective study including 54 consecutive KTx. Blood TTV load was measured by an in-house PCR at months 1 and 3. Together with doses and trough blood levels of tacrolimus and MPA, we calculated the coefficient of variability (CV), time in therapeutic range (TTR) and concentration/dose ratio (C/D) of tacrolimus, and the MPA-area under the curve (AUC-MPA) at the third month. TTV load at the first and third month discriminated those patients at risk of developing opportunistic infections between months 1 and 3 (AUC-ROC 0.723, 95%CI 0.559-0.905, p = 0.023) and between months 3 and 6 (AUC-ROC 0.778, 95%CI 0.599-0.957, p = 0.028), respectively, but not those at risk of acute rejection. TTV load did not relate to mean tacrolimus blood level, CV, TTR, C/D and AUC-MPA. To conclude, although TTV is a useful marker of net immunosuppressive status after KTx, it is not related to exposure to maintenance immunosuppression.

Noninvasive testing for mycophenolate exposure in children with renal transplant using urinary metabolomics

BACKGROUND

Despite the common use of mycophenolate in pediatric renal transplantation, lack of effective therapeuic drug monitoring increases uncertainty over optimal drug exposure and risk for adverse reactions. This study aims to develop a novel urine test to estimate MPA exposure based using metabolomics.

METHODS

Urine samples obtained on the same day of MPA pharmacokinetic testing from two prospective cohorts of pediatric kidney transplant recipients were assayed for 133 unique metabolites by mass spectrometry. Partial least squares (PLS) discriminate analysis was used to develop a top 10 urinary metabolite classifier that estimates MPA exposure. An independent cohort was used to test pharmacodynamic validity for allograft inflammation (urinary CXCL10 levels) and eGFR ratio (12mo/1mo eGFR) at 1 year.

RESULTS

Fifty-two urine samples from separate children (36.5% female, 12.0 ± 5.3 years at transplant) were evaluated at 1.6 ± 2.5 years post-transplant. Using all detected metabolites (n = 90), the classifier exhibited strong association with MPA AUC by principal component regression (r = 0.56, p < .001) and PLS (r = 0.75, p < .001). A practical classifier (top 10 metabolites; r = 0.64, p < .001) retained similar accuracy after cross-validation (LOOCV; r = 0.52, p < .001). When applied to an independent cohort (n = 97 patients, 1053 samples), estimated mean MPA exposure over Year 1 was inversely associated with mean urinary CXCL10:Cr (r = -0.28, 95% CI -0.45, -0.08) and exhibited a trend for association with eGFR ratio (r = 0.35, p = .07), over the same time period.

CONCLUSIONS

This urinary metabolite classifier can estimate MPA exposure and correlates with allograft inflammation. Future studies with larger samples are required to validate and evaluate its clinical application.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Mycophenolic Acid in Renal Transplant Patients: A Comparison of the Early and Stable Posttransplant Stages

Mycophenolic acid (MPA) is an antimetabolic immunosuppressive drug widely used in solid organ transplantation and autoimmune diseases. Pharmacokinetics (PK) of MPA demonstrates high inter- and intra-variability. The aim of this study was to compare the population PK properties of MPA in adult renal transplant patients in the early and stable post-transplant stages and to simulate an optimal dosing regimen for patients at different stages. A total of 51 patients in the early post-transplant period (1 week after surgery) and 48 patients in the stable state (5.5–10 years after surgery) were included in the study. In the two-compartment population PK model, CL/F (23.36 L/h vs. 10.25 L/h) and V/F (78.07 vs. 16.24 L) were significantly different between the two stages. The dose-adjusted area under the concentration time curve (AUC_ss,12h/dose) for patients in the early stage were significantly lower than those for patients in the stable state (40.83 ± 22.26 mg h/L vs. 77.86 ± 21.34 mg h/L; p < 0.001). According to Monte Carlo simulations, patients with 1.0–1.5 g of mycophenolate mofetil twice daily in the early phase and 0.50–0.75 g twice daily in the stable phase had a high probability of achieving an AUC_ss,12h of 30–60 mg h/L. In addition, limited sampling strategies showed that two 4-point models (C0-C1-C2-C4 and C1-C2-C3-C6) performed well in predicting MPA exposure by both Bayesian estimate and regression equation and could be applied in clinical practice to assist therapeutic drug monitoring of MPA.

A Systematic Review of Multiple Linear Regression-Based Limited Sampling Strategies for Mycophenolic Acid Area Under the Concentration-Time Curve Estimation

Background and Objective

One approach of therapeutic drug monitoring in the case of mycophenolic acid (MPA) is a limited sampling strategy (LSS), which allows the evaluation of the area under the concentration–time curve (AUC) based on few concentrations. The aim of this systematic review was to review the MPA LSSs and define the most frequent time points for MPA determination in patients with different indications for mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) administration.

Methods

The literature was comprehensively searched in July 2021 using PubMed, Scopus, and Medline databases. Original articles determining multiple linear regression (MLR)-based LSSs for MPA and its free form (fMPA) were included. Studies on enteric-coated mycophenolic sodium, previously established LSS, Bayesian estimator, and different than twice a day dosing were excluded. Data were analyzed separately for (1) adult renal transplant recipients, (2) adults with other than renal transplantation indication, and (3) for pediatric patients.

Results

A total of 27, 17, and 11 studies were found for groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively, and 126 MLR-based LSS formulae (n = 120 for MPA, n = 6 for fMPA) were included in the review. Three time-point equations were the most frequent. Four MPA LSSs: 2.8401 + 5.7435 × C0 + 0.2655 × C0.5 + 1.1546 × C1 + 2.8971 × C4 for adult renal transplant recipients, 1.783 + 1.248 × C1 + 0.888 × C2 + 8.027 × C4 for adults after islet transplantation, 0.10 + 11.15 × C0 + 0.42 × C1 + 2.80 × C2 for adults after heart transplantation, and 8.217 + 3.163 × C0 + 0.994 × C1 + 1.334 × C2 + 4.183 × C4 for pediatric renal transplant recipients, plus one fMPA LSS, 34.2 + 1.12 × C1 + 1.29 × C2 + 2.28 × C4 + 3.95 × C6 for adult liver transplant recipients, seemed to be the most promising and should be validated in independent patient groups before introduction into clinical practice. The LSSs for pediatric patients were few and not fully characterized. There were only a few fMPA LSSs although fMPA is a pharmacologically active form of the drug.

Conclusions

The review includes updated MPA LSSs, e.g., for different MPA formulations (suspension, dispersible tablets), generic form, and intravenous administration for adult and pediatric patients, and emphasizes the need of individual therapeutic approaches according to MMF indication. Five MLR-based MPA LSSs might be implemented into clinical practice after evaluation in independent groups of patients. Further studies are required, e.g., to establish fMPA LSS in pediatric patients.

The Evaluation of Multiple Linear Regression-Based Limited Sampling Strategies for Mycophenolic Acid in Children with Nephrotic Syndrome

We evaluated mycophenolic acid (MPA) limited sampling strategies (LSSs) established using multiple linear regression (MLR) in children with nephrotic syndrome treated with mycophenolate mofetil (MMF). MLR-LSS is an easy-to-determine approach of therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM). We assessed the practicability of different LSSs for the estimation of MPA exposure as well as the optimal time points for MPA TDM. The literature search returned 29 studies dated 1998–2020. We applied 53 LSSs (n = 48 for MPA, n = 5 for free MPA [fMPA]) to predict the area under the time-concentration curve (AUC_pred) in 24 children with nephrotic syndrome, for whom we previously determined MPA and fMPA concentrations, and compare the results with the determined AUC (AUC_total). Nine equations met the requirements for bias and precision ±15%. The MPA AUC in children with nephrotic syndrome was predicted the best by four time-point LSSs developed for renal transplant recipients. Out of five LSSs evaluated for fMPA, none fulfilled the ±15% criteria for bias and precision probably due to very high percentage of bound MPA (99.64%). MPA LSS for children with nephrotic syndrome should include blood samples collected 1 h, 2 h and near the second MPA maximum concentration. MPA concentrations determined with the high performance liquid chromatography after multiplying by 1.175 may be used in LSSs based on MPA concentrations determined with the immunoassay technique. MPA LSS may facilitate TDM in the case of MMF, however, more studies on fMPA LSS are required for children with nephrotic syndrome.

Personalized Therapy for Mycophenolate: Consensus Report by the International Association of Therapeutic Drug Monitoring and Clinical Toxicology

ABSTRACT

When mycophenolic acid (MPA) was originally marketed for immunosuppressive therapy, fixed doses were recommended by the manufacturer. Awareness of the potential for a more personalized dosing has led to development of methods to estimate MPA area under the curve based on the measurement of drug concentrations in only a few samples. This approach is feasible in the clinical routine and has proven successful in terms of correlation with outcome. However, the search for superior correlates has continued, and numerous studies in search of biomarkers that could better predict the perfect dosage for the individual patient have been published. As it was considered timely for an updated and comprehensive presentation of consensus on the status for personalized treatment with MPA, this report was prepared following an initiative from members of the International Association of Therapeutic Drug Monitoring and Clinical Toxicology (IATDMCT). Topics included are the criteria for analytics, methods to estimate exposure including pharmacometrics, the potential influence of pharmacogenetics, development of biomarkers, and the practical aspects of implementation of target concentration intervention. For selected topics with sufficient evidence, such as the application of limited sampling strategies for MPA area under the curve, graded recommendations on target ranges are presented. To provide a comprehensive review, this report also includes updates on the status of potential biomarkers including those which may be promising but with a low level of evidence. In view of the fact that there are very few new immunosuppressive drugs under development for the transplant field, it is likely that MPA will continue to be prescribed on a large scale in the upcoming years. Discontinuation of therapy due to adverse effects is relatively common, increasing the risk for late rejections, which may contribute to graft loss. Therefore, the continued search for innovative methods to better personalize MPA dosage is warranted.

Limited sampling strategy for predicting isoniazid exposure in patients with extrapulmonary tuberculosis

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE

Limited sampling strategies (LSS), using few sampling times after dosing, have been used to reliably predict the isoniazid area under the 24-hour concentration-time curve (AUC). Experience with isoniazid is very limited, and no LSS has been developed in south-Mediterranean populations. Hence, we aimed to develop an accurate and convenient LSS for predicting isoniazid AUC in Tunisian patients with extrapulmonary tuberculosis.

METHODS

Pharmacokinetic profiles consisting of six blood samples each, collected during the 24-hour dosing interval, were obtained from 25 (6 men and 19 women) Tunisian patients with extrapulmonary tuberculosis. The AUC was calculated according to the linear trapezoidal rule. The isoniazid concentrations at each sampling time were correlated by a linear regression analysis with the measured AUC. We analysed all the developed models for their ability to estimate the isoniazid AUC. Error indices including the percentage of Mean Absolute Prediction Error (%MAE) and the percentage of Root Mean Squared Prediction Error (%RMSE) were used to evaluate the predictive performance. The agreement between predicted and measured AUCs was investigated using Bland and Altman and mountain plot analyses.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Among the 1-time-point estimations, the C₃ -predicted AUC showed the highest correlation with the measured one (r²  = .906, %MAE = 10.45% and %RMSE = 2.69%). For the 2-time-point estimations, the model including the C₂ and C₆ provided the highest correlation between predicted and measured isoniazid AUC (r²  = .960, %MAE = 8.02% and %RMSE = 1.75%). The C₀ /C₃ LSS model provided satisfactory correlation and agreement (r²  = .930, %MAE = 10.19% and %RMSE = 2.32%). The best multilinear regression model for predicting the full isoniazid AUC was found to be the combination of 3 time points: C₀ , C₁ and C₆ (r²  = .992, %MAE = 4.06% and %RMSE = 0.80%). The use of a 2-time-point LSS to predict AUC in our population could be sufficient. C₂ /C₆ combination has shown the best correlation but the use of the C₀ /C₃ combination could be more practical with an accurate prediction. Therapeutic drug monitoring of isoniazid based on the C₃ can be used also in daily clinical practice in view of its reliability and practicality.

WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION

The LSS using C₀ and C₃ is reliable, accurate and practical to estimate the AUC of isoniazid. A 1-time-point LSS including C₃ had acceptable correlation coefficient and prediction error indicators could be used alternatively.

Evaluation of Multiple Linear Regression-Based Limited Sampling Strategies for Enteric-Coated Mycophenolate Sodium in Adult Kidney Transplant Recipients

BACKGROUND

Although multiple linear regression-based limited sampling strategies (LSSs) have been published for enteric-coated mycophenolate sodium, none have been evaluated for the prediction of subsequent mycophenolic acid (MPA) exposure. This study aimed to examine the predictive performance of the published LSS for the estimation of future MPA area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 12 hours (AUC0-12) in renal transplant recipients.

METHODS

Total MPA plasma concentrations were measured in 20 adult renal transplant patients on 2 occasions a week apart. All subjects received concomitant tacrolimus and were approximately 1 month after transplant. Samples were taken at 0, 0.33, 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3, 3.5, 4, 6, and 8 hours and 0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 1, 1.25, 1.5, 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, and 12 hours after dose on the first and second sampling occasion, respectively. Predicted MPA AUC0-12 was calculated using 19 published LSSs and data from the first or second sampling occasion for each patient and compared with the second occasion full MPA AUC0-12 calculated using the linear trapezoidal rule. Bias (median percentage prediction error) and imprecision (median absolute prediction error) were determined.

RESULTS

Median percentage prediction error and median absolute prediction error for the prediction of full MPA AUC0-12 were <15% for 4 LSSs, using the data from the same (second) occasion. One equation (1.583C1 + 0.765C2 + 0.369C2.5 + 0.748C3 + 1.518C4 + 2.158C6 + 3.292C8 + 3.6690) showed bias and imprecision <15% for the prediction of future MPA AUC0-12, where the predicted AUC0-12 from the first occasion was compared with the full AUC0-12 from the second. All LSSs with an acceptable predictive performance included concentrations taken at least 6 hours after the dose.

CONCLUSIONS

Only one LSS had an acceptable bias and precision for future estimation. Accurate dosage prediction using a multiple linear regression-based LSS was not possible without concentrations up to at least 8 hours after the dose.

Pharmacokinetics of free and total mycophenolic acid in adult lupus nephritis patients-implications for therapeutic drug monitoring

PURPOSE

To evaluate the relationship between total and free MPA pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters and renal outcome markers, and to verify whether conducting therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) in lupus nephritis (LN) patients would be of value in routine clinical practice.

METHODS

Eighty-four samples were collected from sixteen LN patients. Total and free MPA concentrations were measured at predose, 0.5 and 2 h after mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) intake. Area under the concentration time curve from 0 to 2 h (AUC_0-2) and free fraction were calculated.

RESULTS

High between-patient variability was observed (CV% of 53.5% for dose-normalized total MPA AUC_0-2). A significant but weak correlation between dose-normalized total C₀ and AUC_0-2 was noted (r = 0.5699). Dose-normalized total C₀ above 2.76 μg/mL·g may indicate patients with eGFR < 81 mL/min with sensitivity of 83.3% and specificity of 75.0%. Hypoalbuminemic LN patients demonstrated significantly elevated MPA free fraction when compared with patients with serum albumin concentration ≥ 3.5 g/dL (1.49 ± 0.64% vs 1.08 ± 0.75%).

CONCLUSION

This study examined relationship between free and total pharmacokinetic MPA parameters as well as the effect of hypoalbuminemia on MPA plasma protein binding in adult LN patients. The study results suggest that TDM of MPA in LN seems to be a more reasonable approach than the fixed-dose protocol. Moreover, predose total MPA concentration may be a possible estimation of MPA exposure, while monitoring free rather than total MPA may be more beneficial in hypoalbuminemic patients.

Estimation of Mycophenolic Acid Area Under the Curve With Limited-Sampling Strategy in Chinese Renal Transplant Recipients Receiving Enteric-Coated Mycophenolate Sodium

BACKGROUND

The enteric-coated mycophenolate sodium (EC-MPS), whose active constituent is mycophenolic acid (MPA), has been widely clinically used for organ transplant recipients. However, its absorption is delayed due to its special designed dosage form, which results in difficulty to monitor the exposure of the MPA in patients receiving the EC-MPS. This study was aimed at developing a relatively practical and precise model with limited sampling strategy to estimate the 12-hour area under the concentration-time curve (AUC0-12 h) of MPA for Chinese renal transplant recipients receiving EC-MPS.

METHODS

A total of 36 Chinese renal transplant recipients receiving the EC-MPS and tacrolimus were recruited in this study. The time point was 2 weeks after the transplantation for all the patients. The MPA concentrations were measured with enzyme-multiplied immunoassay technique for 11 blood specimens collected predose and at 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3, 4, 6, 8, and 12 hours after the morning dose of EC-MPS. The measured AUC was calculated with these 11 points of MPA concentrations with the linear trapezoidal rule. Limited sampling strategy was used to develop models for estimated AUC in the model group (n = 18). The bias and precision of different models were evaluated in the validation group (n = 18).

RESULTS

C4 showed the strongest correlation with the measured AUC. The best 3 time point equation was 6.629 + 8.029 × C0 + 0.592 × C3 + 1.786 × C4 (R = 0.910; P < 0.001), whereas the best 4 time point equation was 3.132 + 5.337 × C0 + 0.735 × C3 + 1.783 × C4 + 3.065 × C8 (R = 0.959; P < 0.001). When evaluated in the validation group, the 4 time point model had a much better performance than the 3 time point model: for the 4 time point model: R = 0.873, bias = 0.505 [95% confidence interval (CI), -10.159 to 11.170], precision = 13.370 (95% CI, 5.186-21.555), and 77.8% of estimated AUCs was within 85%-115% of the measured AUCs; for the 3 time point model: R = 0.573, bias = 6.196 (95% CI, -10.627 to 23.018), precision = 21.286 (95% CI, 8.079-34.492), and 50.0% of estimated AUCs was within 85%-115% of the measured AUCs.

CONCLUSIONS

It demanded at least 4 time points to develop a relatively reliable model to estimate the exposure of MPA in renal transplant recipients receiving the EC-MPS. The long time span needed restricted its application, especially for the outpatients, but it could be a useful tool to guide the personalized prescription for the inpatients.

How accurate and precise are limited sampling strategies in estimating exposure to mycophenolic acid in people with autoimmune disease?

Mycophenolic acid (MPA) is a potent immunosuppressant agent, which is increasingly being used in the treatment of patients with various autoimmune diseases. Dosing to achieve a specific target MPA area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 12 h post-dose (AUC12) is likely to lead to better treatment outcomes in patients with autoimmune disease than a standard fixed-dose strategy. This review summarizes the available published data around concentration monitoring strategies for MPA in patients with autoimmune disease and examines the accuracy and precision of methods reported to date using limited concentration-time points to estimate MPA AUC12. A total of 13 studies were identified that assessed the correlation between single time points and MPA AUC12 and/or examined the predictive performance of limited sampling strategies in estimating MPA AUC12. The majority of studies investigated mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) rather than the enteric-coated mycophenolate sodium (EC-MPS) formulation of MPA. Correlations between MPA trough concentrations and MPA AUC12 estimated by full concentration-time profiling ranged from 0.13 to 0.94 across ten studies, with the highest associations (r (2) = 0.90-0.94) observed in lupus nephritis patients. Correlations were generally higher in autoimmune disease patients compared with renal allograft recipients and higher after MMF compared with EC-MPS intake. Four studies investigated use of a limited sampling strategy to predict MPA AUC12 determined by full concentration-time profiling. Three studies used a limited sampling strategy consisting of a maximum combination of three sampling time points with the latest sample drawn 3-6 h after MMF intake, whereas the remaining study tested all combinations of sampling times. MPA AUC12 was best predicted when three samples were taken at pre-dose and at 1 and 3 h post-dose with a mean bias and imprecision of 0.8 and 22.6 % for multiple linear regression analysis and of -5.5 and 23.0 % for maximum a posteriori (MAP) Bayesian analysis. Although mean bias was less when data were analysed using multiple linear regression, MAP Bayesian analysis is preferable because of its flexibility with respect to sample timing. Estimation of MPA AUC12 following EC-MPS administration using a limited sampling strategy with samples drawn within 3 h post-dose resulted in biased and imprecise results, likely due to a longer time to reach a peak MPA concentration (t max) with this formulation and more variable pharmacokinetic profiles. Inclusion of later sampling time points that capture enterohepatic recirculation and t max improved the predictive performance of strategies to predict EC-MPS exposure. Given the considerable pharmacokinetic variability associated with mycophenolate therapy, limited sampling strategies may potentially help in individualizing patient dosing. However, a compromise needs to be made between the predictive performance of the strategy and its clinical feasibility. An opportunity exists to combine research efforts globally to create an open-source database for MPA (AUC, concentrations and outcomes) that can be used and prospectively evaluated for AUC target-controlled dosing of MPA in autoimmune diseases.