1
|
Sang H, Lee H, Lee M, Park J, Kim S, Woo HG, Rahmati M, Koyanagi A, Smith L, Lee S, Hwang YC, Park TS, Lim H, Yon DK, Rhee SY. Prediction model for cardiovascular disease in patients with diabetes using machine learning derived and validated in two independent Korean cohorts. Sci Rep 2024; 14:14966. [PMID: 38942775 PMCID: PMC11213851 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-63798-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2023] [Accepted: 06/03/2024] [Indexed: 06/30/2024] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model tailored to the Korean population with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) to provide a superior method for predicting the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD), a major chronic complication in these patients. We used data from two cohorts, namely the discovery (one hospital; n = 12,809) and validation (two hospitals; n = 2019) cohorts, recruited between 2008 and 2022. The outcome of interest was the presence or absence of CVD at 3 years. We selected various ML-based models with hyperparameter tuning in the discovery cohort and performed area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis in the validation cohort. CVD was observed in 1238 (10.2%) patients in the discovery cohort. The random forest (RF) model exhibited the best overall performance among the models, with an AUROC of 0.830 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.818-0.842) in the discovery dataset and 0.722 (95% CI 0.660-0.783) in the validation dataset. Creatinine and glycated hemoglobin levels were the most influential factors in the RF model. This study introduces a pioneering ML-based model for predicting CVD in Korean patients with T2DM, outperforming existing prediction tools and providing a groundbreaking approach for early personalized preventive medicine.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Hyunji Sang
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, South Korea
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Hojae Lee
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
- Department of Regulatory Science, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Myeongcheol Lee
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
- Department of Regulatory Science, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Jaeyu Park
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
- Department of Regulatory Science, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Sunyoung Kim
- Department of Family Medicine, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Ho Geol Woo
- Department of Neurology, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Masoud Rahmati
- Research Centre on Health Services and Quality of Life, Aix Marseille University, Marseille, France
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, Faculty of Literature and Human Sciences, Lorestan University, Khoramabad, Iran
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, Faculty of Literature and Humanities, Vali-E-Asr University of Rafsanjan, Rafsanjan, Iran
| | - Ai Koyanagi
- Research and Development Unit, Parc Sanitari Sant Joan de Deu, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Lee Smith
- Centre for Health, Performance and Wellbeing, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK
| | - Sihoon Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon, South Korea
| | - You-Cheol Hwang
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Kyung Hee University Hospital at Gangdong and Kyung Hee University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Tae Sun Park
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Research Institute of Clinical Medicine of Jeonbuk National University and Jeonbuk National University Hospital, Jeonju, South Korea
| | - Hyunjung Lim
- Department of Medical Nutrition, Graduate School of East-West Medical Science, Kyung Hee University, Yongin, South Korea
| | - Dong Keon Yon
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
- Department of Pediatrics, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, South Korea.
- Department of Regulatory Science, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, South Korea.
| | - Sang Youl Rhee
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, South Korea.
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
- Department of Regulatory Science, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, South Korea.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Bielopolski D, Rahamimov R, Zingerman B, Chagnac A, Azulay-Gitter L, Rozen Zvi B. Microalbuminuria After Kidney Transplantation Predicts Cardiovascular Morbidity. Front Med (Lausanne) 2021; 8:635847. [PMID: 33912576 PMCID: PMC8071984 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2021.635847] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2020] [Accepted: 03/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Microalbuminuria is a well-characterized marker of kidney malfunction, both in diabetic and non-diabetic populations, and is used as a prognostic marker for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. A few studies implied that it has the same value in kidney transplanted patients, but the information relies on spot or dipstick urine protein evaluations, rather than the gold standard of timed urine collection. Methods: We revisited a cohort of 286 kidney transplanted patients, several years after completing a meticulously timed urine collection and assessed the prevalence of major cardiovascular adverse events (MACE) in relation to albuminuria. Results: During a median follow up of 8.3 years (IQR 6.4–9.1) 144 outcome events occurred in 101 patients. By Kaplan-Meier analysis microalbuminuria was associated with increased rate of CV outcome or death (p = 0.03), and this was still significant after stratification according to propensity score quartiles (p = 0.048). Time dependent Cox proportional hazard analysis showed independent association between microalbuminuria and CV outcomes 2 years following microalbuminuria detection (HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.07–2.96). Conclusions: Two years after documenting microalbuminuria in kidney transplanted patients, their CVD risk was increased. There is need for primary prevention strategies in this population and future studies should address the topic.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Dana Bielopolski
- Department of Nephrology and Hypertension, Rabin Medical Center, Petah-Tikva, Israel.,Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel
| | - Ruth Rahamimov
- Department of Nephrology and Hypertension, Rabin Medical Center, Petah-Tikva, Israel.,Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel
| | - Boris Zingerman
- Department of Nephrology and Hypertension, Rabin Medical Center, Petah-Tikva, Israel.,Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel
| | - Avry Chagnac
- Department of Nephrology and Hypertension, Rabin Medical Center, Petah-Tikva, Israel.,Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel
| | - Limor Azulay-Gitter
- Department of Nephrology and Hypertension, Rabin Medical Center, Petah-Tikva, Israel.,Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel
| | - Benaya Rozen Zvi
- Department of Nephrology and Hypertension, Rabin Medical Center, Petah-Tikva, Israel.,Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Herrera-Gómez F, Chimeno MM, Martín-García D, Lizaraso-Soto F, Maurtua-Briseño-Meiggs Á, Grande-Villoria J, Bustamante-Munguira J, Alamartine E, Vilardell M, Ochoa-Sangrador C, Álvarez FJ. Cholesterol-Lowering Treatment in Chronic Kidney Disease: Multistage Pairwise and Network Meta-Analyses. Sci Rep 2019; 9:8951. [PMID: 31222137 PMCID: PMC6586647 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-45431-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/25/2018] [Accepted: 06/05/2019] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Pairwise and network meta-analyses on the relationship between the efficacy of the use of statins with or without ezetimibe and reductions in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLc) and C-reactive protein (CRP) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are presented. In the pairwise meta-analysis, statins with or without ezetimibe were shown to be efficacious in reducing major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with CKD and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of less than 60 ml/min/1.73 m2, in the context of both primary prevention [odds ratio (OR)/95% confidence interval (95% CI)/I2/number of studies (n): 0.50/0.40–0.64/0%/6] and primary/secondary prevention (0.66/0.57–0.76/57%/18). However, in the Bayesian network meta-analysis, compared to the placebo, only atorvastatin 80 mg daily and atorvastatin and rosuvastatin at doses equivalent to simvastatin 20 mg daily reduced the odds of MACEs in this patient population. The network meta-analysis for LDLc and CRP treatment objectives also showed that, regardless of eGFR and excluding dialysis patients, the number of MACEs decreased in patients with CKD, with reductions in both LDLc and CRP of less than 50% (surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA)/heterogeneity (vague)/n: 0.77/0.14/3). The evaluation of the benefits of drugs may lead to individualized therapy for CKD patients: Cholesterol-lowering treatment for CKD patients with high levels of both LDLc and CRP is suggested.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Francisco Herrera-Gómez
- Pharmacological Big Data Laboratory, Pharmacology and Therapeutics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain. .,Nephrology, Hospital Virgen de la Concha - Sanidad de Castilla y León, Zamora, Spain.
| | - M Montserrat Chimeno
- Internal Medicine, Hospital Virgen de la Concha - Sanidad de Castilla y León, Zamora, Spain
| | - Débora Martín-García
- Cardiovascular risk unit, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid - Sanidad de Castilla y León, Valladolid, Spain
| | - Frank Lizaraso-Soto
- Instituto de Investigación de la Facultad de Medicina Humana, Universidad de San Martín de Porres, Lima, Peru
| | | | - Jesús Grande-Villoria
- Nephrology, Hospital Virgen de la Concha - Sanidad de Castilla y León, Zamora, Spain
| | - Juan Bustamante-Munguira
- Cardiac Surgery, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid - Sanidad de Castilla y León, Valladolid, Spain
| | - Eric Alamartine
- Nephrology, Dialysis and Transplantation, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Saint-Etienne, Saint-Priest-en-Jarez, France
| | - Miquel Vilardell
- Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | - F Javier Álvarez
- Pharmacological Big Data Laboratory, Pharmacology and Therapeutics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain.,CEIm Área de Salud Valladolid Este, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Pu P, Stone CE, Burdick JT, Murray JI, Sundaram MV. The Lipocalin LPR-1 Cooperates with LIN-3/EGF Signaling To Maintain Narrow Tube Integrity in Caenorhabditis elegans. Genetics 2017; 205:1247-1260. [PMID: 28040739 PMCID: PMC5340336 DOI: 10.1534/genetics.116.195156] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2016] [Accepted: 12/21/2016] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Lipocalins are secreted cup-shaped glycoproteins that bind sterols, fatty acids, and other lipophilic molecules. Lipocalins have been implicated in a wide array of processes related to lipophilic cargo transport, sequestration, and signaling, and several are used as biomarkers for human disease, but the functions of most lipocalins remain poorly understood. Here we show that the Caenorhabditis elegans lipocalin LPR-1 is required to maintain apical membrane integrity and a continuous lumen in two narrow unicellular tubes, the excretory duct and pore, during a period of rapid lumen elongation. LPR-1 fusion protein is expressed by the duct and pore and accumulates both intracellularly and in apical extracellular compartments, but it can also function cell nonautonomously when provided from outside of the excretory system. lpr-1 mutant defects can be rescued by increased signaling through the epidermal growth factor (EGF)-Ras-extracellular signal regulated kinase (ERK) pathway, which promotes the more elongated duct vs. less elongated pore tube fate. Spatial and temporal rescue experiments indicate that Ras signaling acts within the duct and pore tubes during or prior to cell fate determination to bypass the requirement for LPR-1 lpr-1 mutations did not disrupt LIN-3/EGF-dependent duct-fate specification, prevent functioning of any specific LIN-3/EGF isoform, or alter LET-23/EGFR localization, and reduced signaling did not phenocopy or enhance lpr-1 mutant defects. These data suggest that LPR-1 protects lumen integrity through a LIN-3/EGF-independent mechanism, but that increased signaling upregulates some target(s) that can compensate for lpr-1 absence.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Pu Pu
- Department of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104
| | - Craig E Stone
- Department of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104
| | - Joshua T Burdick
- Department of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104
| | - John I Murray
- Department of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104
| | - Meera V Sundaram
- Department of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Mathews PM, Levy E. Cystatin C in aging and in Alzheimer's disease. Ageing Res Rev 2016; 32:38-50. [PMID: 27333827 DOI: 10.1016/j.arr.2016.06.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 82] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2015] [Revised: 06/08/2016] [Accepted: 06/08/2016] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Under normal conditions, the function of catalytically active proteases is regulated, in part, by their endogenous inhibitors, and any change in the synthesis and/or function of a protease or its endogenous inhibitors may result in inappropriate protease activity. Altered proteolysis as a result of an imbalance between active proteases and their endogenous inhibitors can occur during normal aging, and such changes have also been associated with multiple neuronal diseases, including Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS), rare heritable neurodegenerative disorders, ischemia, some forms of epilepsy, and Alzheimer's disease (AD). One of the most extensively studied endogenous inhibitor is the cysteine-protease inhibitor cystatin C (CysC). Changes in the expression and secretion of CysC in the brain have been described in various neurological disorders and in animal models of neurodegeneration, underscoring a role for CysC in these conditions. In the brain, multiple in vitro and in vivo findings have demonstrated that CysC plays protective roles via pathways that depend upon the inhibition of endosomal-lysosomal pathway cysteine proteases, such as cathepsin B (Cat B), via the induction of cellular autophagy, via the induction of cell proliferation, or via the inhibition of amyloid-β (Aβ) aggregation. We review the data demonstrating the protective roles of CysC under conditions of neuronal challenge and the protective pathways induced by CysC under various conditions. Beyond highlighting the essential role that balanced proteolytic activity plays in supporting normal brain aging, these findings suggest that CysC is a therapeutic candidate that can potentially prevent brain damage and neurodegeneration.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Paul M Mathews
- Departments of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, USA; Center for Dementia Research, Nathan S. Kline Institute, Orangeburg, NY 10962, USA
| | - Efrat Levy
- Departments of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, USA; Biochemistry and Molecular Pharmacology, New York University School of Medicine, USA; Center for Dementia Research, Nathan S. Kline Institute, Orangeburg, NY 10962, USA.
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Kasztan M, Piwkowska A, Kreft E, Rogacka D, Audzeyenka I, Szczepanska-Konkel M, Jankowski M. Extracellular purines' action on glomerular albumin permeability in isolated rat glomeruli: insights into the pathogenesis of albuminuria. Am J Physiol Renal Physiol 2016; 311:F103-11. [PMID: 27076649 DOI: 10.1152/ajprenal.00567.2015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2015] [Accepted: 04/12/2016] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Purinoceptors (adrengeric receptors and P2 receptors) are expressed on the cellular components of the glomerular filtration barrier, and their activation may affect glomerular permeability to albumin, which may ultimately lead to albuminuria, a well-established risk factor for the progression of chronic kidney disease and development of cardiovascular diseases. We investigated the mechanisms underlying the in vitro and in vivo purinergic actions on glomerular filter permeability to albumin by measuring convectional albumin permeability (Palb) in a single isolated rat glomerulus based on the video microscopy method. Primary cultured rat podocytes were used for the analysis of Palb, cGMP accumulation, PKG-Iα dimerization, and immunofluorescence. In vitro, natural nucleotides (ATP, ADP, UTP, and UDP) and nonmetabolized ATP analogs (2-meSATP and ATP-γ-S) increased Palb in a time- and concentration-dependent manner. The effects were dependent on P2 receptor activation, nitric oxide synthase, and cytoplasmic guanylate cyclase. ATP analogs significantly increased Palb, cGMP accumulation, and subcortical actin reorganization in a PKG-dependent but nondimer-mediated route in cultured podocytes. In vivo, 2-meSATP and ATP-γ-S increased Palb but did not significantly affect urinary albumin excretion. Both agonists enhanced the clathrin-mediated endocytosis of albumin in podocytes. A product of adenine nucleotides hydrolysis, adenosine, increased the permeability of the glomerular barrier via adrenergic receptors in a dependent and independent manner. Our results suggest that the extracellular nucleotides that stimulate an increase of glomerular Palb involve nitric oxide synthase and cytoplasmic guanylate cyclase with actin reorganization in podocytes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Małgorzata Kasztan
- Department of Therapy Monitoring and Pharmacogenetics, Medical University of Gdansk, Gdansk, Poland
| | - Agnieszka Piwkowska
- Laboratory of Molecular and Cellular Nephrology, Mossakowski Medical Research Centre Polish Academy of Sciences, Gdansk, Poland
| | - Ewelina Kreft
- Department of Therapy Monitoring and Pharmacogenetics, Medical University of Gdansk, Gdansk, Poland
| | - Dorota Rogacka
- Laboratory of Molecular and Cellular Nephrology, Mossakowski Medical Research Centre Polish Academy of Sciences, Gdansk, Poland
| | - Irena Audzeyenka
- Laboratory of Molecular and Cellular Nephrology, Mossakowski Medical Research Centre Polish Academy of Sciences, Gdansk, Poland
| | | | - Maciej Jankowski
- Department of Clinical Chemistry, Medical University of Gdansk, Gdansk, Poland; and Laboratory of Molecular and Cellular Nephrology, Mossakowski Medical Research Centre Polish Academy of Sciences, Gdansk, Poland
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Nelson A, Otto J, Whittle J, Stephens RCM, Martin DS, Prowle JR, Ackland GL. Subclinical cardiopulmonary dysfunction in stage 3 chronic kidney disease. Open Heart 2016; 3:e000370. [PMID: 27127638 PMCID: PMC4847133 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2015-000370] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2015] [Revised: 01/09/2016] [Accepted: 01/12/2016] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Reduced exercise capacity is well documented in end-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD), preceded by changes in cardiac morphology in CKD stage 3. However, it is unknown whether subclinical cardiopulmonary dysfunction occurs in CKD stage 3 independently of heart failure. METHODS Prospective observational cross-sectional study of exercise capacity assessed by cardiopulmonary exercise testing in 993 preoperative patients. Primary outcome was peak oxygen consumption (VO2peak). Anaerobic threshold (AT), oxygen pulse and exercise-evoked measures of autonomic function were analysed, controlling for CKD stage 3, age, gender, diabetes mellitus and hypertension. RESULTS CKD stage 3 was present in 93/993 (9.97%) patients. Diabetes mellitus (RR 2.49 (95% CI 1.59 to 3.89); p<0.001), and hypertension (RR 3.20 (95% CI 2.04 to 5.03); p<0.001)) were more common in CKD stage 3. Cardiac failure (RR 0.83 (95% CI 0.30 to 2.24); p=0.70) and ischaemic heart disease (RR 1.40 (95% CI 0.97 to 2.02); p=0.09) were not more common in CKD stage 3. Patients with CKD stage 3 had lower predicted VO2peak (mean difference: 6% (95% CI 1% to 11%); p=0.02), lower peak heart rate (mean difference:9 bpm (95% CI 3 to 14); p=0.03)), lower AT (mean difference: 1.1 mL/min/kg (95% CI 0.4 to 1.7); p<0.001) and impaired heart rate recovery (mean difference: 4 bpm (95% CI 1 to 7); p<0.001)). CONCLUSIONS Subclinical cardiopulmonary dysfunction in CKD stage 3 is common. This study suggests that maladaptive cardiovascular/autonomic dysfunction may be established in CKD stage 3, preceding pathophysiology reported in end-stage CKD.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - James Otto
- Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust , London , UK
| | - John Whittle
- Division of Medicine, Department of Clinical Physiology , University College London , London , UK
| | - Robert C M Stephens
- Department of Anaesthesia , University College London Hospitals NHS Trust , London , UK
| | | | - John R Prowle
- William Harvey Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London , London , UK
| | - Gareth L Ackland
- William Harvey Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London , London , UK
| |
Collapse
|