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Hegmar H, Wester A, Aleman S, Backman J, Degerman E, Ekvall H, Lund K, Lundgren Å, Nasr P, Shahnavaz A, Vessby J, Westin J, Önnerhag K, Hagström H. Liver stiffness predicts progression to liver-related events in patients with chronic liver disease - A cohort study of 14 414 patients. Liver Int 2024; 44:1689-1699. [PMID: 38560775 DOI: 10.1111/liv.15919] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2023] [Revised: 02/15/2024] [Accepted: 03/19/2024] [Indexed: 04/04/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is a non-invasive diagnostic biomarker of liver fibrosis. It is uncertain if LSM can predict risk for future liver-related outcomes in large, heterogenous populations. METHODS This Swedish multi-centre cohort study included patients (n = 14 414) from 16 sites who underwent LSM by VCTE between 2008 and 2020. Outcomes were ascertained from national registers. We investigated progression to cirrhosis with portal hypertension or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), separately. Cox regression was used to obtain hazard ratios (HRs). Harrel's C-index was used to measure discrimination of VCTE. RESULTS Included patients had a median age of 46 (interquartile range 34-57), median LSM of 5.9 kPa (4.6-8.0), 59% were male, and the majority had hepatitis C (50.1%). During a median follow-up of 5.9 (4.3-8.0) years, 402 patients (2.7%) developed cirrhosis with portal hypertension. In patients with an LSM ≥25 kPa, 28.7% developed cirrhosis with portal hypertension within 5 years of follow-up, while only .6% of patients with an LSM <10 kPa did. This translated to a HR of 48.3 (95% confidence interval = 37.6-62.0). VCTE had a high discriminative ability, with C-indices above .80 for most liver diseases, including .82 for MASLD. Similar findings were seen for incident HCC. CONCLUSIONS Increased LSM by VCTE was associated with an increased risk of progression to both cirrhosis with portal hypertension, and to HCC, and had a high discriminative ability across different aetiologies of chronic liver diseases. These results support the use of VCTE to guide follow-up and treatment decisions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannes Hegmar
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Upper GI, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Axel Wester
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Soo Aleman
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Jens Backman
- Department of Infectious Diseases, University Hospital of Umeå, Umeå, Sweden
| | - Erik Degerman
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Falun Hospital, Falun, Sweden
| | - Håkan Ekvall
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Sundsvall-Härnösand Regional Hospital, Sundsvall, Sweden
| | - Katarina Lund
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Northern Älvsborg County Hospital, Trollhättan, Sweden
| | - Åsa Lundgren
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Central Hospital, Kristianstad, Sweden
| | - Patrik Nasr
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden
| | - Afshin Shahnavaz
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Södra Älvsborgs Hospital, Borås, Sweden
| | - Johan Vessby
- Department of Medical Sciences, Gastroenterology Research Group, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Johan Westin
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Kristina Önnerhag
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Hannes Hagström
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Upper GI, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
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Lombardi R, Dalbeni A, Mantovani A, Ravaioli F. Reply: AGILE 3+ score, enhancing the diagnostic accuracy of advanced fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Hepatology 2024; 79:E155-E156. [PMID: 38349677 DOI: 10.1097/hep.0000000000000775] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2024] [Accepted: 01/24/2024] [Indexed: 03/08/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Rosa Lombardi
- Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, SC-Medicina Indirizzo Metabolico, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico of Milan, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | - Andrea Dalbeni
- Section of General Medicine C, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata of Verona, Verona, Italy
- Liver Unit, University and Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - Alessandro Mantovani
- Section of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, University and Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - Federico Ravaioli
- Division of Internal Medicine, Hepatobiliary and Immunoallergic Diseases, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences (DIMEC), University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
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Oeda S, Takahashi H. Reply to Letter to the Editor: "Patients with uncertain advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis diagnosis by Agile3+ and Agile4 scores cannot be excluded in validation studies". Hepatol Res 2024; 54:497-498. [PMID: 38324219 DOI: 10.1111/hepr.14023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/08/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Satoshi Oeda
- Liver Center, Saga University Hospital, Saga, Japan
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Saga University Hospital, Saga, Japan
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Liu H, Li H, Wang DX, Li T. Letter to the Editor: Diagnostic accuracy of AGILE 3+ score for advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Hepatology 2024; 79:E144-E145. [PMID: 38090955 DOI: 10.1097/hep.0000000000000718] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/27/2023] [Accepted: 11/28/2023] [Indexed: 01/24/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Hui Liu
- Department of General Surgery, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China
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