Difference in the Cesium Body Contents of Affected Area Residents Depending on the Evacuation Timepoint Following the 2011 Fukushima Nuclear Disaster

Relationship between the Residual Cesium Body Contents and Individual Behaviors among Evacuees from Municipalities near the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant

ABSTRACT

To support estimations of early individual internal doses to residents who suffered from the 2011 accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP), we have sought to use whole-body counter (WBC) measurement results of subjects who lived in municipalities neighboring the FDNPP at the time of the accident. These WBC measurements started several months after the accident; the targeted radionuclides were 134Cs and 137Cs. Our previous study had analyzed the relationship between the residual Cs contents of individuals and evacuation behaviors in the period immediately after the accident for residents of Namie-town, one of the most radiologically affected municipalities. Those results suggested that the first major release event at the FDNPP on 12 March 2011 caused significant exposure, particularly to those who delayed evacuation on that day. The present study expanded its scope to include subjects from four towns neighboring the FDNPP (Namie, Futaba, Okuma, and Tomioka) to gather additional evidence of the exposure that took place on 12 March 2011. Additionally, we investigated the relationship between individual cesium doses and subjects' destinations following the largest release event on 15 March 2011. The study population was 1,145 adults. We first divided the subjects into two evacuation groups depending on the distance from the FDNPP and their evacuation whereabouts (25-km boundary) as of 15:00 on 12 March 2011: the G1 group (≥25 km) and the G2 group (<25 km). We further divided these two subject groups into seven subgroups based on the subjects' destinations as of 0:00 on 16 March 2011. Our four main findings are as follows. (1) The 137Cs detection rate was significantly different between the G1 and G2 groups of Namie-town and Futaba-town but not for those of Okuma-town and Tomioka-town. This result corresponds to the plume passage (flowing toward the northwest to the north) in the afternoon of 12 March 2011 and supports our previous study. (2) The upper-percentile committed effective doses (CEDs) of the G2 groups were higher than those of the G1 groups for all four towns, although the between-group difference varied with the town. The highest CEDs were found in the G2 group of Futaba-town, and the lowest CEDs were in the Namie-town G1 group: 0.16 mSv and 0.04 mSv at the 90th percentile, respectively. The CEDs for both the G1 and G2 groups were relatively high for Okuma-town and Tomioka-town compared to those of the G1 group of Namie-town, although the former subjects were expected to be less exposed on 12 March 2011 and then evacuated to remote places, as did the residents of the other towns. (3) The CEDs of the G1 subgroup that evacuated outside Fukushima Prefecture were extremely low, suggesting that these subjects were little exposed on both 12 and 15 March 2011. However, the CEDs of the same G1 subgroup were rather higher than those of the corresponding G2 subgroup for Futaba-town and Okuma-town. We thus speculate that the WBC measurements were likely to have been affected by the contamination occurring in the second-round temporary re-entry (except for the Namie-town residents). (4) The analyses of the Namie-town evacuees indicated that the area including the middle and northern parts of Fukushima Prefecture was relatively more affected by the major release event on 15 March 2011. In conclusion, the early cesium intake due to the FDNPP accident remained detectable in the WBC measurements of certain present subjects; however, further analyses of the available data are necessary for a full understanding of the WBC measurement results.

Estimation of the Thyroid Equivalent Doses to Residents in Areas Affected by the 2011 Fukushima Nuclear Disaster Due to Inhalation of 131I Based on Their Behavioral Data and the Latest Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Model Simulation

ABSTRACT

It has been challenging to obtain reliable estimates of thyroid equivalent doses (TEDs) to residents involved in the 11 March 2011 Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP) accident because of the shortage of direct human measurements associated with 131I, the largest contributor to the dose of concern. The present study attempted to perform the estimation of the TEDs by inhalation of 131I to residents from Namie-town, one of the most radiologically-affected municipalities, by means of the latest atmospheric transport and dispersion model (ATDM) simulations with the Worldwide version of System for Prediction of Environmental Emergency Dose Information (WSPEEDI) ver. 2, coupled with personal behavioral data containing the history of the whereabouts of individuals shortly after the accident. We analyzed 1,637 residents who underwent direct measurements with whole-body counters several months after the accident and provided their personal behavioral data. We divided the subjects into two groups based on whether the distances between their locations and the FDNPP were >20 km as of 15:00 on 12 March in relation to the timepoint of the hydrogen explosion at the Unit 1 Reactor building. As a result, the 90th percentile TEDs of the 1,249 prompt evacuees and 388 late evacuees were 3.9 mSv (adult)-6.8 mSv (10-y-old) and 24.1 mSv (adult)-35.6 mSv (5-y-old), respectively, excluding 16 persons whose TEDs exceeded 50 mSv. The 90th percentile (median) TEDs to 1-y-old children (not included in the subjects) for the prompt and late evacuation groups were 8.1 (1.0) mSv and 36.3 (19.7) mSv, respectively. Additionally, this study provided the evidence to support the view that the explosive event at the Unit 1 Reactor building on the afternoon of 12 March 2011 could have caused the critical group among Namie-town's residents, whereas the largest release event on 15 March gave relatively small doses to the residents because their exposure took place mostly at sites that were distant from the FDNPP. However, the present dose estimation has potentially large uncertainty at the individual level; further validations are thus necessary.

Intake Ratio of 131I to 137CS Derived from Thyroid and Whole-body Doses to Residents of Iwaki City in Japan's Fukushima Prefecture

ABSTRACT

It is very important to determine the precise internal thyroid doses of Fukushima residents involved in the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster, particularly for small children. This has been challenging due to the lack of direct human measurements to identify 131I, the biggest contributor to the thyroid doses. We previously used a dataset of late whole-body counter (WBC) measurements targeting 134Cs and 137Cs for the thyroid dose estimation in comparison with the intake ratios of 131I to 137Cs (or 134Cs) derived from thyroid and whole-body doses individually obtained from different subject groups, assuming simultaneous acute intake via inhalation. Herein, we applied the same method to the doses of residents in Iwaki city (located south of the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant) with a relatively high activity ratio (131I/137Cs) for the ground deposition density. Our analyses revealed that the intake ratio (131I/137Cs) for the Iwaki residents was 4.2-4.3, which is relatively consistent with the values obtained in other studies (average 3.0-5.0). No regional difference in the intake ratios from other areas was observed, but further studies are required to determine the accurate intake ratio in the early phase of the accident, in particular focusing on the reasonable interpretation of results of the late WBC measurements to evaluate the actual Cs intake.