Combined Evaluation of Postoperative Serum Levels of Carcinoembryonic Antigen Less than or Equal to 2.5 ng/ml and Absence of Vascular Invasion may Predict no Recurrence of Stage I Adenocarcinoma Lung Cancer

Nomogram for predicting invasive lung adenocarcinoma in small solitary pulmonary nodules

Background

This study aimed to construct a clinical prediction model and nomogram to differentiate invasive from non-invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma in solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs).

Method

We analyzed computed tomography and clinical features as well as preoperative biomarkers in 1,106 patients with SPN who underwent pulmonary resection with definite pathology at Qilu Hospital of Shandong University between January 2020 and December 2021. Clinical parameters and imaging characteristics were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Predictive models and nomograms were developed and their recognition abilities were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The clinical utility of the nomogram was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA).

Result

The final regression analysis selected age, carcinoembryonic antigen, bronchus sign, lobulation, pleural adhesion, maximum diameter, and the consolidation-to-tumor ratio as associated factors. The areas under the ROC curves were 0.844 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.817-0.871) and 0.812 (95% CI, 0.766-0.857) for patients in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The predictive model calibration curve revealed good calibration for both cohorts. The DCA results confirmed that the clinical prediction model was useful in clinical practice. Bias-corrected C-indices for the training and validation cohorts were 0.844 and 0.814, respectively.

Conclusion

Our predictive model and nomogram might be useful for guiding clinical decisions regarding personalized surgical intervention and treatment options.

A Review of Biomarkers and Their Clinical Impact in Resected Early-Stage Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

The postoperative survival of early-stage non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients remains unsatisfactory. In this review, we examined the relevant literature to ascertain the prognostic effect of related indicators on early-stage NSCLC. The prognostic effects of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK), mesenchymal-epithelial transition (MET), C-ros oncogene 1 (ROS1), or tumour protein p53 (TP53) alterations in resected NSCLC remains debatable. Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homologue (KRAS) alterations indicate unfavourable outcomes in early-stage NSCLC. Meanwhile, adjuvant or neoadjuvant EGFR-targeted agents can substantially improve prognosis in early-stage NSCLC with EGFR alterations. Based on the summary of current studies, resected NSCLC patients with overexpression of programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) had worsening survival. Conversely, PD-L1 or PD-1 inhibitors can substantially improve patient survival. Considering blood biomarkers, perioperative peripheral venous circulating tumour cells (CTCs) and pulmonary venous CTCs predicted unfavourable prognoses and led to distant metastases. Similarly, patients with detectable perioperative circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) also had reduced survival. Moreover, patients with perioperatively elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in the circulation predicted significantly worse survival outcomes. In the future, we will incorporate mutated genes, immune checkpoints, and blood-based biomarkers by applying artificial intelligence (AI) to construct prognostic models that predict patient survival accurately and guide individualised treatment.

Dynamic monitoring serum tumor markers to predict molecular features of EGFR-mutated lung cancer during targeted therapy

To reveal the correlation of dynamic serum tumor markers (STMs) and molecular features of epidermal growth factor receptor‐mutated (EGFR‐mutated) lung cancer during targeted therapy, we retrospectively reviewed 303 lung cancer patients who underwent dynamic STM tests [neuron‐specific enolase (NSE), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), carbohydrate antigen 153 (CA153), the soluble fragment of cytokeratin 19 (CYFRA21‐1), and squamous cell carcinoma antigen (SCC)] and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing with a panel covering 168 genes. At baseline, patients with EGFR mutation trended to have abnormal CEA, abnormal CA153, and normal SCC levels. Additionally, patients with Thr790Met (T790M) mutation were more likely to have abnormal CEA levels than patients without T790M mutation. Among patients with secondary resistance to EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI), the dynamic STMs showed a descending trend in the responsive stage and a rising trend in the resistant stage. However, the changing slopes differed between T790M subgroup and the non‐T790M subgroup in individual STMs. Our study demonstrated that the combination of baseline levels and variations of STMs (including the responsive stage and resistant stage) can be suggestive of secondary EGFR‐T790M mutation [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.897] and that changing trends of STMs (within 8 weeks after initiating the TKI therapy) can be potential predictors for the clearance of EGFR ctDNA [AUC = 0.871]. In conclusion, dynamic monitoring STMs can help to predict the molecular features of EGFR‐mutated lung cancer during targeted therapy.

Oncologic Outcomes of Surgery Versus SBRT for Non-Small-Cell Lung Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The optimal treatment of stage I non-small-cell lung carcinoma is subject to debate. The aim of this study was to compare overall survival and oncologic outcomes of lobar resection (LR), sublobar resection (SR), and stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT).

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis of oncologic outcomes of propensity matched comparative and noncomparative cohort studies was performed. Outcomes of interest were overall survival and disease-free survival. The inverse variance method and the random-effects method for meta-analysis were utilized to assess the pooled estimates.

RESULTS

A total of 100 studies with patients treated for clinical stage I non-small-cell lung carcinoma were included. Long-term overall and disease-free survival after LR was superior over SBRT in all comparisons, and for most comparisons, SR was superior to SBRT. Noncomparative studies showed superior long-term overall and disease-free survival for both LR and SR over SBRT. Although the papers were heterogeneous and of low quality, results remained essentially the same throughout a large number of stratifications and sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

Results of this systematic review and meta-analysis showed that LR has superior outcomes compared to SBRT for cI non-small-cell lung carcinoma. New trials are underway evaluating long-term results of SBRT in potentially operable patients.

Development and validation of a preoperative prognostic index independent of TNM stage in resected non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Previously reported prognostic tools for patients with resected non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) include factors found postoperatively, but not preoperatively. However, it would be important to predict patient prognosis before NSCLC resection. To suggest a novel preoperative prognostic tool, we evaluated the relationship of preoperative prognostic factors with the survival of patients with resected NSCLC.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the data of two independent cohorts of patients with completely resected NSCLC. To develop the prognostic index in one cohort, the overall survival (OS) was evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards model. We assessed the disease-free survival (DFS) and OS of three risk groups defined according to the prognostic index. Then, the prognostic index was validated in the other cohort.

RESULTS

Seven independent risk factors for OS were selected: age ≥ 70 years, ever-smokers, vital capacity <80%, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥ 2.1, cytokeratin 19 fragment >normal limit, non-usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern, and UIP pattern. Three risk groups were defined: low-risk (36.9%), intermediate-risk (54.0%), and high-risk (9.1%). In the derivation cohort, the 5-year DFS rate was 77.8%, 58.8%, and 22.6% (P < 0.001), and the 5-year OS rate was 95.2%, 70.4%, and 28.9% (P < 0.001), respectively. Multivariate analyses showed that the prognostic index predicted DFS and OS, independent of pathological stage and tumor histology, in both derivation and validation cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a simple preoperative prognostic index composed of seven variables, which may help clinicians predict prognosis before surgery in patients with NSCLC.

Serum dickkopf-1 as a clinical and prognostic factor in non-small cell lung cancer patients with bone metastases

Background

The study was designed to evaluate the association between serum dickkopf-1 (DKK1) and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) bone metastases.

Materials and Methods

Serum DKK1 levels were quantified in 470 NSCLC patients, 140 with osseous metastases, 178 with extraosseous metastases, and 152 with early stage in complete remission. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve enabled us to identify a threshold value to distinguish patients with bone metastases.

Results

Serum DKK1 levels in patients with osseous metastases were significantly higher than in the other 2 groups (P < 0.001). ROC curves showed that the optimum cutoff was 311.8 pg/ml (area under curve 0.791, 95% confidence interval 0.739–0.843, sensitivity 77.1% and specificity 71.4%). Of interest, serum DKK1 correlated with the number of bone lesions (P = 0.042) and associated with the poor survival in NSCLC patients with osseous metastases (P = 0.029).

Conclusions

Our data shows that serum DKK1 can be used for the detection of NSCLC bone metastases. More importantly this is the first report to show that serum DKK1 is a good predictor of poor prognosis in NSCLC patients with bone metastases.

Baseline, Trend, and Normalization of Carcinoembryonic Antigen as Prognostic Factors in Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-Mutant Nonsmall Cell Lung Cancer Patients Treated With First-Line Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors

Among epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status unknown nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, those with higher carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level are more likely to response to EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) because they tend to have mutant epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR). However, patients with higher CEA also have more tumor burden. With the above paradoxical evidence, it is prudent to understand the prognostic significance of baseline CEA in patients with EGFR-mutant NSCLC treated with first-line EGFR-TKIs. The clinical significance of the trend in CEA after treatment and the impact of CEA normalization during EGFR-TKI therapy are also unknown and potentially important. A total of 241 patients who received first-line EGFR-TKIs were included. As to baseline CEA, patients were divided into normal, low, and high baseline CEA by cut point determined by receiver operating characteristic curves. As to CEA responses, patients were divided into 3 groups accordingly to their amount of CEA change after taking TKIs. In group A, 1-month follow-up CEA level decreased more than 35% with nadir CEA normalization; in group B, 1-month follow-up CEA level decreased more than 35% without nadir CEA normalization; and in group C, 1-month follow-up CEA level decreased less than 35% or increased. Patients with higher baseline CEA levels had shorter progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) (CEA > 32 vs 5-32 vs <5  ng/mL, PFS = 8.8 vs 11.3 vs 14.4 months, respectively, P < 0.001; OS = 17.8 vs 22.0 vs 27.9 months, respectively, P = 0.01). For trend and CEA normalization in groups A, B, and C, PFS was 14.3, 10.6, and 7.1 months, respectively (P < 0.001); OS was 29.7, 20.0, and 16.2 months, respectively (P < 0.001). Baseline, trend, and normalization of CEA levels are potential prognostic markers for patients with EGFR-mutant advanced NSCLC treated with first line EGFR-TKIs.

Prognostic and predictive biomarkers in early stage NSCLC: CTCs and serum/plasma markers

Resection of early stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) offers patients the best hope of cure, however recurrence rates post-resection remain high suggesting the presence of micro-metastatic disease at the time of surgery undetected by standard staging methods. A critical step in the metastatic cascade is the entry of tumor cells into the circulation enabling their distribution to and seeding of distant organs. This review explores the evidence for predictive and prognostic circulating biomarkers in the early stage NSCLC population. We summarize studies that have explored a variety of targets including circulating proteins, nucleic acids and more recently circulating tumor cells (CTCs) as potentially clinically relevant biomarkers in the early stage setting. Circulating biomarkers may add clinically relevant information about the biological behavior of tumors over and above that provided by pathological staging. Improvement in the stratification of patients according to the likelihood of metastatic relapse after radical treatments such as surgical resection could allow more effective targeting of systemic therapies such as adjuvant chemotherapy.

Expression and prognostic relevance of tumor carcinoembryonic antigen in stage IB non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

High serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels have been reported to be associated with poor prognosis in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), while the prognostic role of tumor CEA expression remains to be defined. The present study investigated the expression of tumor CEA in stage IB NSCLC, and correlated it with clinicopathological features and prognosis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Immunohistochemistry for tumor CEA was assessed in the specimens of 183 patients with stage IB NSCLC. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the cut-off score for tumor positivity.

RESULTS

High CEA expression was detected more frequently in adenocarcinomas (72.2%) and other NSCLCs (69.0%) than in squamous cell carcinomas (25.4%, P<0.001). Both univariate and multivariate analysis indicated that tumor CEA was an independent prognostic factor for overall and disease-free survival (P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated expression of tumor CEA may be an adverse prognostic indicator in stages IB NSCLC.

Prognostic significance of postoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels in patients with completely resected pathological-stage I non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Until date, there are no clear recommendations for regular perioperative measurements of serum CEA levels for lung cancer in any guidelines. The purpose in the present study is to evaluate the prognostic significance of perioperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels in patients with pathological-stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 263 completely resected pathological-stage I NSCLC patients whose preoperative and postoperative serum CEA levels were measured. Patients were subdivided according to the perioperative change of CEA levels: continuously normal CEA levels (NN group), continuously high CEA levels (HH group), and high preoperative CEA levels that returned to normal levels post-operation (HN group). The clinicopathological factors and overall survival (OS) among these 3 groups were compared. Univariate and multivariate analyses of the correlation between clinicopathological factors and OS were performed.

RESULTS

High preoperative CEA levels significantly correlated with men aged >70 years with smoking history, high serum CYFRA 21-1 levels, greater tumor diameter, presence of visceral pleural invasion (VPI), and moderate-to-poor differentiation. Five-year OS rates in the NN and HH groups were 95.5% and 59.3%, respectively. Four-year OS rate in the HN group was 85.5%. Multivariate analyses indicated tumor diameter of more than 30 mm, presence of VPI, and the HH group were independent unfavorable prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

A high postoperative CEA level was an independent unfavorable prognostic factor in pathological-stage I NSCLC patients. Patients with high postoperative CEA levels may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Risk factors for both recurrence and survival in patients with pathological stage I non-small-cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

Even after curative resection, a significant fraction of patients with stage I non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) die primarily because of systemic relapse. The purpose of the present study was to investigate the risk factors for both recurrence and poor survival in patients with pathological (p-) stage I NSCLC.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 467 consecutive patients from a single institution with completely resected p-stage I NSCLC. Patients with multiple lung tumours or malignancies from other organs and those who had undergone preoperative therapies were excluded. The correlation between clinicopathological factors and surgical outcomes, including disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS), was analysed. The clinicopathological factors examined were age, gender, smoking history, serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, serum cytokeratin 19 fragment levels, surgical procedure, tumour histology, p-stage, angiolymphatic invasion and differentiation grade.

RESULTS

The 5-year DFS and OS rates of the total study population were 91.4 and 92.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis results indicated that high serum CEA levels (>5.0 ng/ml) and p-stage IB were independent factors for recurrence, whereas older age (>70 years), high serum CEA levels and p-stage IB were independent factors for poor survival. The risks of recurrence and death in patients with both high serum CEA levels and p-stage IB was 10.3 and 5.2 times higher than those observed in patients with both normal serum CEA levels and p-stage IA, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

High serum CEA levels and p-stage IB were independent factors for both recurrence and poor survival in p-stage I NSCLC patients.

Blood vessel invasion as a strong independent prognostic indicator in non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background and Objective

Blood vessel invasion plays a very important role in the progression and metastasis of cancer. However, blood vessel invasion as a prognostic factor for survival in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains controversial. The aim of this study is to explore the relationship between blood vessel invasion and outcome in patients with NSCLC using meta-analysis.

Methods

A meta-analysis of published studies was conducted to investigate the effects of blood vessel invasion on both relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) for patients with NSCLC. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were used to assess the strength of this association.

Results

A total of 16,535 patients from 52 eligible studies were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis. In total, blood vessel invasion was detected in 29.8% (median; range from 6.2% to 77.0%) of patients with NSCLC. The univariate and multivariate estimates for RFS were 3.28 (95% CI: 2.14–5.05; P<0.0001) and 3.98 (95% CI: 2.24–7.06; P<0.0001), respectively. For the analyses of blood vessel invasion and OS, the pooled HR estimate was 2.22 (95% CI: 1.93–2.56; P<0.0001) by univariate analysis and 1.90 (95% CI: 1.65–2.19; P<0.0001) by multivariate analysis. Furthermore, in stage I NSCLC patients, the meta-risk for recurrence (HR = 6.93, 95% CI: 4.23–11.37, P<0.0001) and death (HR = 2.15, 95% CI: 1.68–2.75; P<0.0001) remained highly significant by multivariate analysis.

Conclusions

This study shows that blood vessel invasion appears to be an independent negative prognosticator in surgically managed NSCLC. However, adequately designed large prospective studies and investigations are warranted to confirm the present findings.

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) as tumor marker in lung cancer

The use of CEA as a prognostic and predictive marker in patients with lung cancer is widely debated. The aim of this review was to evaluate the results from studies made on this subject. Using the search words "CEA", "tumor markers in lung cancer", "prognostic significance", "diagnostic significance" and "predictive significance", a search was carried out on PubMed. Exclusion criteria was articles never published in English, articles before 1981 and articles evaluating tumor markers in lung cancer not involving CEA. Initially 217 articles were found, and 34 were left after selecting those relevant for the present study. Four of these included both Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) and Small Cell Lung Cancer (SCLC) patients, and 31 dealt solely with NSCLC patients. Regarding SCLC no studies showed that serum level of CEA was a prognostic marker for overall survival (OS). The use of CEA serum level as a prognostic marker in NSCLC was investigated in 23 studies and the use of CEA plasma level in two. In 18 (17 serum, 1 plasma) of these studies CEA was found to be a useful prognostic marker for either OS, recurrence after surgery or/and progression free survival (PFS) in NSCLC patients. Interestingly, an overweight of low stage (stage I-II) disease and adenocarcinoma (AC) patients were observed in this group. The remaining 7 studies (6 serum, 1 plasma) contained an overweight of patients with squamous carcinoma (SQ). One study found evidence for that a tumor marker index (TMI), based on preoperative CEA and CYFRA21-1 serum levels, is useful as a prognostic marker for OS in NSCLC. Six studies evaluated the use of CEA as a predictive marker for risk of recurrence and risk of death in NSCLC patients. Four of these studies found, that CEA was useful as a predictive marker for risk of recurrence and risk of death measured over time. No studies found CEA levels useful as a diagnostic marker for lung cancer. With regard to NSCLC the level of CEA measured in tumor tissue in NSCLC patients, were not of prognostic, diagnostic or predictive significance for OS or recurrence after treatment. In one study CEA level was measured in Pleural Lavage Fluid (PLF) it was here found to be useful as prognostic markers for overall survival (OS) after surgery. In conclusion serum level of CEA carries prognostic and predictive information of risk of recurrence and of death in NSCLC independent of treatment or study design. The observation that TMI index could be a potential prognostic marker for OS in NSCLC is interesting. Future studies may benefit from evaluating more than one marker at a time, which may possibly create a more precise index for prognosis and recurrence in lung cancer, than is possible by the use of single biomarkers.