Postcolposcopy Management of Women With Histologically Proven CIN 1: Results From TOMBOLA

A Prospective Study on the Progression, Recurrence, and Regression of Cervical Lesions: Assessing Various Screening Approaches

(1) Background: The prediction of cervical lesion evolution is a challenge for clinicians. This prospective study aimed to determine and compare the predictive accuracy of cytology, HPV genotyping, and p16/Ki67 dual staining alone or in combination with personal risk factors in the prediction of progression, regression, or persistence of cervical lesions in human papillomavirus (HPV)-infected patients; (2) Methods: This prospective study included HPV-positive patients with or without cervical lesions who underwent follow-up in a private clinic. We calculated the predictive performance of individual tests (cervical cytology, HPV genotyping, CINtecPlus results, and clinical risk factors) or their combination in the prediction of cervical lesion progression, regression, and persistence; (3) Results: The highest predictive performance for the progression of cervical lesions was achieved by a model comprising a Pap smear suggestive of high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL), the presence of 16/18 HPV strains, a positive p16/Ki67 dual staining result along with the presence of at least three clinical risk factors, which had a sensitivity (Se) of 74.42%, a specificity of 97.92%, an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.961, and an accuracy of 90.65%. The prediction of cervical lesion regression or persistence was modest when using individual or combined tests; (4) Conclusions: Multiple testing or new biomarkers should be used to improve HPV-positive patient surveillance, especially for cervical lesion regression or persistence prediction.

The effect of 5-Aminolaevulinic Acid Photodynamic Therapy versus CO2 laser in the Treatment of Cervical Low-grade Squamous Intraepithelial Lesions with High-Risk HPV Infection: A non-randomized, controlled pilot study

BACKGROUND

There are insufficient studies comparing the efficacy of 5-aminolaevulinic acid (ALA) photodynamic therapy (PDT) against CO₂ laser therapy in the treatment of cervical low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) with high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV), especially for long-term efficacy.

METHODS

Patients with cervical LSIL and HR-HPV infection were divided into two treatment groups based on their own choice. All patients had a follow-up test including HPV testing, cytology and colposcopy at 4-6 months and 12 months after the treatment.

RESULTS

(1) Among 277 patients, 176 patients received 5-ALA PDT and 101 patients received CO₂ laser therapy. (2) 4-6 months after treatment, there was no significant difference between two groups in the complete remission (CR) rates of cervical LSIL and the clearance rate of HR-HPV infection. (3) 12 months after treatment, compared with the CO₂ laser group, the CR rates of cervical LSIL in the 5-ALA PDT group was significantly higher than the CO₂ laser group. There was no statistical difference in the clearance rate of HR-HPV infection between the two groups. (4) 12 months after treatment, the recurrence rate of cervical lesions and the reinfection rate of HR-HPV infection in 5-ALA PDT group were significantly lower than those in CO₂ laser group.

CONCLUSION

The effect of 5-ALA PDT is similar to CO₂ laser at 4-6 months. The long-term efficacy of 5-ALA PDT appears better than CO₂ laser. As a non-invasive treatment, 5-ALA PDT is a highly effective therapeutic procedure for cervical LSIL with HR-HPV infection.

The Natural History of Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grades 1, 2, and 3: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to obtain an updated overview of regression, persistence, and progression rates of conservatively managed cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1 (CIN 1)/CIN 2/CIN 3.

METHODS

Data sources were MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane (January 1, 1973-April 14, 2020). Two reviewers extracted data and assessed risk of bias. To estimate outcome rates, we pooled proportions of the individual study results using random-effects meta-analysis, resulting in point estimates and corresponding 95% CIs. Heterogeneity was quantified by the I2 and τ2 measures.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine studies were included, 63 studies on CIN 1 (n = 6,080-8,767), 42 on CIN 2 (n = 2,909-3,830), and 7 on CIN 3 (n = 245-351). The overall regression, persistence, and progression to CIN 2 or worse and CIN 3 or worse rates for women with conservatively managed CIN 1 were 60% (95% CI = 55-65, I2 = 92%), 25% (95% CI = 20-30, I2 = 94%), 11% (95% CI = 8-13, I2 = 89%), and 2% (95% CI = 1-3, I2 = 82%), respectively. The overall regression, persistence, and progression rates for CIN 2 were 55% (95% CI = 50-60, I2 = 85%), 23% (95% CI = 19-28, I2 = 83%), and 19% (95% CI = 15-23, I2 = 88%), respectively. Finally, for CIN 3, these were 28% (95% CI = 17-41, I2 = 68%), 67% (95% CI = 36-91, I2 = 84%), and 2% (95% CI = 0-25, I2 = 95%), respectively. Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 regression was significantly higher in women 30 years or younger and high-risk human papillomavirus-negative women (66%, 95% CI = 62-70, I2 = 76%; 94%, 95% CI = 84-99, I2 = 60%). Only 2/7,180 (0.03%) and 10/3,037 (0.3%) of the CIN 1 and CIN 2 cases progressed to cervical cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Most CIN 1/CIN 2 will regress spontaneously in less than 24 months, with the highest rates in high-risk human papillomavirus-negative and young women, whereas progression to cancer is less than 0.5%. Conservative management should be considered, especially in fertile women and with expected high compliance. Given the heterogeneity in regression rates of high-grade histology, this should be classified as CIN 2 or CIN 3 to guide management.

Reporting and Assessing the Quality of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies for Cervical Cancer Screening and Management

Supplemental digital content is available in the text.

Objective

We adapted the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) tool for studies of cervical cancer screening and management and used the adapted tool to evaluate the quality of studies included in a systematic review supporting the 2019 Risk-Based Management Consensus Guidelines.

Methods

We evaluated the quality of all studies included in our systematic review for postcolposcopy (n = 5) and posttreatment (n = 23) surveillance using QUADAS-2 criteria. Subsequently, we adapted signaling questions to indications of cervical cancer screening and management. An iterative process was carried out to evaluate interrater agreement between 2 study authors (M.A.C. and N.W.). Discrepant ratings were discussed, and criteria were adapted accordingly. We also evaluated the influence of study quality on risk estimates and between study variation using stratified subgroup meta-analyses.

Results

Twelve signaling questions for bias assessment that were adapted to or newly developed for cervical cancer screening and management are described here. Interrater agreement on bias assessment increased from 70% to 83% during the adaptation process. Detailed assessment of bias and applicability showed that all studies on postcolposcopy management and 90% of studies on posttreatment management had high risk of bias in at least 1 domain. Most commonly, high risk of bias was observed for the patient selection domain, indicating the heterogeneity of study designs and clinical practice in reported studies.

Conclusions

The adapted QUADAS-2 will have broad application for researchers, evidence evaluators, and journals who are interested in designing, conducting, evaluating, and publishing studies for cervical cancer screening and management.

A Systematic Review of Tests for Postcolposcopy and Posttreatment Surveillance

OBJECTIVE

For the 2019 ASCCP Risk-Based Management Consensus Guidelines, we conducted a systematic review of diagnostic assays for postcolposcopy and posttreatment management.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A literature search was conducted to identify articles reporting on tests/assays for cervical cancer screening, triage, postcolposcopy surveillance, and posttreatment surveillance published between 2012 and 2019 in PubMed and Embase. Titles and abstracts were evaluated by co-authors for inclusion. Included articles underwent full-text review, data abstraction, and quality assessment. Pooled absolute pretest and posttest risk estimates were calculated for studies evaluating management of patients after treatment.

RESULTS

A total of 2,862 articles were identified through the search. Of 50 articles on postcolposcopy, 5 were included for data abstraction. Of 66 articles on posttreatment, 23 were included for data abstraction and were summarized in the meta-analysis. The pooled posttreatment risk of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 2+ in all studies was 4.8% (95% CI = 3.4%-6.8%), ranging from 0.4%-19.5% (τ = 0.57) in individual studies. Among individuals testing negative for human papillomavirus (HPV) posttreatment, the risk of CIN 2+ was 0.69% (95% CI = 0.3%-1.5%); among individuals testing positive for HPV posttreatment, the risk of CIN 2+ was 18.3% (95% CI = 12.1%-26.6%) in all studies. All risk estimates were substantially higher for liquid-based cytology. The HPV-cytology co-testing provided slightly better reassurance compared with HPV alone at the cost of much higher positivity.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a large number of published studies on postcolposcopy and posttreatment surveillance, only few met criteria for abstraction and were included in the meta-analysis. More high-quality studies are needed to evaluate assays and approaches that can improve management of patients with abnormal screening.

Risk of Cervical Dysplasia After Colposcopy Care and Risk-Informed Return to Population-Based Screening: A Systematic Review

This systematic review examined the risk of cervical dysplasia among women who have undergone a colposcopy episode of care to inform their return to population-based cervical screening. PubMed, Embase, and grey literature were searched between January 2000 and 2018. One reviewer screened citations against pre-defined eligibility criteria. A second reviewer verified 10% and 100% of exclusions at title and abstract and at full-text screening, respectively. One reviewer extracted data and assessed methodological quality of included articles; a second reviewer verified these in full. The primary outcome was incidence of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or greater (CIN2+) subsequent to initial colposcopy evaluation. Secondary outcomes included incidence of CIN2+ after negative follow-up test results and performance of follow-up strategies. Results were synthesized narratively. A total of 48 studies were included. The 1- to 5-year CIN2+ risks after colposcopy evaluation ranged from 2.4% to 16.5% among women treated for CIN2+ and from 0.7% to 16.8% among women untreated for CIN grade 1 or less (≤CIN1). Follow-up strategies included single or repeat cytology, human papillomavirus (HPV) testing, or combined HPV/cytology co-testing at various intervals. After negative follow-up test results, risk varied by follow-up strategy for both groups and by referral cytology severity for untreated women. Performance of follow-up strategies varied among treated women. Among untreated women, co-testing demonstrated greater sensitivity than cytology alone. In conclusion, women treated during colposcopy for CIN2+ and women with ≤CIN1 who were referred to colposcopy for low-grade cytology and who did not receive treatment may be able to return to population-based screening after negative co-testing results. Current evidence does not suggest that women untreated for ≤CIN1 who are referred for high-grade cytology be returned to screening at an average risk interval. The optimal strategy for colposcopy discharge needs ongoing evaluation as implementation of HPV testing evolves.

Post-colposcopy Management of ASC-US and LSIL Pap Tests (PALS Trial): Pilot RCT

OBJECTIVE

Evidence supporting optimal follow-up of women with atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US) or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion cytology found to have low-grade disease or normal findings at initial colposcopy is weak. Surveillance options include continued colposcopy, discharge with Pap testing, or HPV testing at 12 months. This study was a pilot RCT comparing these three follow-up policies. The objectives were to determine the feasibility of an RCT and to compare the incidence of greater than or equal to high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (≥HSIL) in each of the follow-up policies.

METHODS

A total of 133 women referred with ASC-US or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion cytology between June and August 2012 underwent initial colposcopy where incident ≥HSIL histology was ruled out. Of these women, 125 were randomly assigned to colposcopic surveillance, Pap testing, or HPV testing. Patients with high-risk results at any point were treated according to standard of care. Patient recruitment and adherence to follow-up were calculated using descriptive statistics. Accuracy of the three follow-up arms was calculated (Canadian Task Force Classification: IC).

RESULTS

Recruitment rates were 80%, and adherence to protocol was 85% to 100%. Nine of 125 (7.2%) patients overall were found to have ≥HSIL histology at exit: one of 43 in the reference colposcopy group, and six of 41 and three of 41 in Pap and HPV arms, respectively. One early cancer was detected in the HPV arm. Sensitivity and specificity (CI) for each arm, respectively, were as follows: colposcopy N/A, 100% (88.1%-100%); Pap, 100% (47.8%-100%) and 85.7% (63.7%-97%); and HPV, 66.7% (9.4%-99.2%) and 68% (46.5%-85.1%).

CONCLUSION

This pilot study demonstrated the operational and safety feasibility of an RCT in this patient population. Validation of clinical findings is necessary.

Post-Colposcopy Management and Progression Predictors of Biopsy-Proven CIN1 in Women Under 25 Years

OBJECTIVE

The post-colposcopy management and outcome of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1 (CIN1) in women under 25 years of age was reviewed, and potential predictors for progression were identified.

METHODS

Women under 25 with biopsy-proven CIN1 between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2012 who were seen in the colposcopy clinic at the Queen Elizabeth II Hospital in Halifax, Nova Scotia were retrospectively reviewed. The regression, persistence, and progression rates of CIN1 were evaluated, and the relevant behavioural and biologic factors were reviewed.

RESULTS

Of the 326 women with a biopsy-proven CIN1, 234 (71.8%) women returned to the regular screening program, and 92 women remained in the colposcopy clinic during follow-up, with a median follow-up time of 26 months. Sixty-two percent of the women had no cervical abnormality, 23.6% of the women had persistent CIN1, and 14.4% of the women showed progression. Eight percent showed progression to CIN2 with a median time of 13 months, whereas 6.4% showed progression to CIN3+ within a median time of 17.5 months. The extent of the lesion (hazard ratio 2.33; 95% CI 1.17-4.64, P = 0.02) and the Pap test result at the initial visit (hazard ratio 2.16; 95% CI 1.22-3.82, P = 0.008) were significantly associated with progression to CIN2+.

CONCLUSION

On the basis of the 6% risk of CIN3+ and the median time to progression of 17.5 months, follow-up with cytology at 12 months seems acceptable. The extent of the lesion and the Pap test result at the initial visit were identified as risk factors for progression of CIN1.

Risk for Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grade 3 or Higher in Follow-Up of Women With a Negative Cervical Biopsy

OBJECTIVE

The Norwegian Cervical Cancer Screening Programme recommends follow-up of histologically confirmed normal/cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1 with combined cytology and human papillomavirus testing within 6 to 12 months. This study examines adherence to guidelines and subsequent risk for CIN 3+ within this subset of women.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Women aged 25 to 69 years attending the Norwegian Cervical Cancer Screening Programme in Norway's 2 northernmost counties were included. An exposed cohort with histologically confirmed normal/CIN 1 after an atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance/low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion or atypical squamous cells - cannot exclude high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion/high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion enrolment cytology (n = 374) was compared with a nonexposed cohort with a normal enrolment cytology attending primary screening (N = 25,948). Risk calculations were stratified by outcomes of the first follow-up cytology. The study end point was CIN 3+ or censored at 78 months of follow-up.

RESULTS

In the exposed cohort, the 42-month cumulative incidence of CIN 3+ was 9.4% (95% CI = 4.1-14.7) for women with an abnormal first follow-up cytology and 1.6% (95% CI = 0.0-3.4) for women with a normal first follow-up cytology versus 0.21% (95% CI = 0.15-0.27) in the nonexposed cohort (p < .01). The CIN 3+ risk was higher in the exposed cohort when the first follow-up cytology was abnormal (hazard ratio = 20.4, 95% CI = 11.2-37.1) compared with normal (hazard ratio = 4.7, 95% CI = 1.9-11.6) with the nonexposed cohort as reference.

CONCLUSIONS

After a negative cervical biopsy, a normal first follow-up cytology provided a CIN 3+ risk considered acceptable to recommend return to routine screening in 3 years. Cytology and human papillomavirus co-testing in post-colposcopy follow-up of negative biopsies may improve risk stratification.

Immediate referral to colposcopy versus cytological surveillance for minor cervical cytological abnormalities in the absence of HPV test

BACKGROUND

A significant number of women are diagnosed with minor cytological abnormalities on cervical screening. Many authorities recommend surveillance as spontaneous regression might occur. However, attendance for cytological follow-up decreases with time and might put some women at risk of developing invasive disease.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the optimum management strategy for women with minor cervical cytological abnormalities (atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance - ASCUS or low-grade squamous intra-epithelial lesions - LSIL) at primary screening in the absence of HPV (human papillomavirus) DNA test.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the following electronic databases: Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL Issue 4, 2016), MEDLINE (1946 to April week 2 2016) and Embase (1980 to 2016 week 16).

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing immediate colposcopy to cytological surveillance in women with atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASCUS/borderline) or low-grade squamous intra-epithelial lesions (LSIL/mild dyskaryosis).

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

The primary outcome measure studied was the occurrence of cervical intra-epithelial neoplasia (CIN). The secondary outcome measures studied included default rate, clinically significant anxiety and depression, and other self-reported adverse effects.We classified studies according to period of surveillance, at 6, 12, 24 or 36 months, as well as at 18 months, excluding a possible exit-examination. We calculated pooled risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using a random-effects model with inverse variance weighting. Inter-study heterogeneity was assessed with I² statistics.

MAIN RESULTS

We identified five RCTs with 11,466 participants that fulfilled the inclusion criteria. There were 18 cases of invasive cervical cancer, seven in the immediate colposcopy and 11 in the cytological surveillance groups, respectively. Although immediate colposcopy detects CIN2+ and CIN3+ earlier than cytology, the differences were no longer observed at 24 months (CIN2+: 3 studies, 4331 women; 17.9% versus 18.3%, RR 1.14, CI 0.66 to 1.97; CIN3+: 3 studies, 4331 women; 10.3% versus 11.9%, RR 1.02, CI 0.53 to 1.97). The inter-study heterogeneity was considerable (I² greater than 90%). Furthermore, the inclusion of the results of the exit examinations at 24 months, which could inflate the CIN detection rate of cytological surveillance, may have led to study design-derived bias; we therefore considered the evidence to be of low quality.When we excluded the exit examination, the detection rate of high-grade lesions at the 18-month follow-up was higher after immediate colposcopy (CIN2+: 2 studies, 4028 women; 14.3% versus 10.1%, RR 1.50, CI 1.12 to 2.01; CIN3+: 2 studies, 4028 women, 7.8% versus 6.9%, RR 1.24, CI 0.77 to 1.98) both had substantial inter-study heterogeneity (I² greater than 60%) and we considered the evidence to be of moderate quality).The meta-analysis revealed that immediate referral to colposcopy significantly increased the detection of clinically insignificant cervical abnormalities, as opposed to repeat cytology after 24 months of surveillance (occurrence of koilocytosis: 2 studies, 656 women; 32% versus 21%, RR 1.49, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.90; moderate-quality evidence) incidence of any CIN: 2 studies, 656 women; 64% versus 32%, RR 2.02, 95% CI 1.33 to 3.08, low-quality evidence; incidence of CIN1: 2 studies, 656 women; 21% versus 8%, RR 2.58, 95% CI 1.69 to 3.94, moderate-quality evidence).Due to differences in trial designs and settings, there was large variation in default rates between the included studies. The risk for default was higher for the repeat cytology group, with a four-fold increase at 6 months, a six-fold at 12 and a 19-fold at 24 months (6 months: 3 studies, 5117 women; 6.3% versus 13.3%, RR 3.85, 95% CI 1.27 to 11.63, moderate-quality evidence; 12 months: 3 studies, 5115 women; 6.3% versus 14.8%, RR 6.39, 95% CI 1.49 to 29.29, moderate-quality evidence; 24 months: 3 studies, 4331 women; 0.9% versus 16.1%, RR 19.1, 95% CI 9.02 to 40.43, moderate-quality evidence).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Based on low- or moderate-quality evidence using the GRADE approach and generally low risk of bias, the detection rate of CIN2+ or CIN3+ after two years does not appear to differ between immediate colposcopy and cytological surveillance in the absence of HPV testing, although women may default from follow-up. Immediate colposcopy probably leads to earlier detection of high-grade lesions, but also detects more clinically insignificant low-grade lesions. Colposcopy may therefore be the first choice when good compliance is not assured. These results emphasize the need for an accurate reflex HPV triage test to distinguish women who need diagnostic follow-up from those who can return safely to routine recall.

Outcome of Persistent Low-Grade Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Treated With Loop Electrosurgical Excision Procedure

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to evaluate the outcome of persistent (≥2 years) low-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN 1) treated with loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A study of 252 subjects with persistent biopsy-confirmed CIN 1 diagnosed after low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions or atypical squamous lesions of undetermined significance on Papanicolaou test and treated with LEEP. Post-LEEP follow-up cytological, colposcopic, and molecular diagnostic examinations were scheduled at 6 months, 1 year, and yearly thereafter.

RESULTS

The 252 subjects enrolled had a total number of 1,008 visits per colposcopies (median = 3, range = 1-7) during a median post-LEEP follow-up of 25 months (range = 12-121). The cumulative incidence of CIN 2+ at 2 years and at 3 years of follow-up was 2.3% (4/176) and 5.5% (7/128), respectively, or 1.7 cases (95% CI = 1-2.8) per 100 woman-years. Low-grade cervical lesions during post-LEEP follow-up were diagnosed in 70 subjects (27.8%) or 10 cases (95% CI = 7.9-12.6) per 100 woman-years. Overall, persistent and multiple high-risk HPV infections during follow-up were associated with increased rates of CIN persistence or progression.

CONCLUSIONS

Women with persistent CIN 1 after atypical squamous lesions of undetermined significance/low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion treated with LEEP had a low rate of progression to CIN 2+ but remained at a high risk of low-grade cervical abnormalities during follow-up. This information should be taken into account when deciding on the treatment strategy and counseling women with persistent CIN 1.