Spleen Stiffness Differentiates Between Acute and Chronic Liver Damage and Predicts Hepatic Decompensation

Spleen stiffness can predict liver decompensation and survival in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) has been predicting liver decompensation and survival in cirrhotics. The aim of our study was to investigate if spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) by 2D shear-wave elastography could predict better the probability of decompensation and mortality, compared with LSM and other parameters.

METHODS

Consecutive cirrhotic patients were recruited between 1/2017 and 12/2021. LSM and SSM were performed at baseline and epidemiological, clinical, and laboratory data were collected. Clinical events were recorded every 3 months.

RESULTS

Totally, 177 patients were followed for a mean period of 31 ± 18 months. In Cox regression analysis, only SSM was independently associated with the probability of decompensation (HR: 1.063, 95% CI: 1.009-1.120; P = 0.021), offering an AUROC of 0.710 (P = 0.003) for predicting 1-year liver decompensation (NPV: 81.1% for the cut-off point of 37 kPa). The occurrence of death/liver transplantation was independently associated only with higher SSM (HR: 1.043; 95% CI:1.003-1.084; P = 0.034). The AUROC of SSM for predicting 1-year death/liver transplantation was 0.72 (P = 0.006) (NPV: 95% for the cut-off of 38.8 kPa). The performance of SSM to predict the 1-year death/liver transplantation increased in high-risk patients (CTP: B/C plus MELD >10 plus LSM > 20 kPa), giving an AUROC of 0.80 (P < 0.001). Only 1/26 high-risk patients with SSM < 38.8 kPa died during the first year of follow-up (NPV: 96.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

SSM was the only factor independently associated with the probability of decompensation and occurrence of death, showing better diagnostic accuracy for the prediction of 1-year decompensation or death compared with LSM and MELD score.

Spleen stiffness: a predictive factor of dismal prognosis in liver cirrhosis

Portal hypertension (PH) is a major complication of liver cirrhosis, as it predisposes to the development of serious clinical manifestations such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy and variceal bleeding, aggravating the prognosis of patients. Hepatic vein pressure gradient (HVPG) is considered the reference method for the estimation of the presence and severity of PH, but this procedure is available only in specialized centers. Alternatively, many non-invasive methods have been proposed in order to substitute HVPG. Among them, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) has been widely used, as it has been shown to correlate well with HVPG, though this relationship seems to weaken in values of HVPG higher than 12 mmHg, the threshold of serious complications development. Several studies supported the use of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) instead of LSM, anticipating to a more adequate assessment of this advanced stage of PH. The aim of this paper is to critically appraise and summarize the literature about the role of SSM as a predictive tool of liver decompensation and prognosis, highlighting the strengths and the potential limitations of the studies published so far. EXPERT'S OPINION: The utility of SSM in ruling out high risk for bleeding varices in cirrhotic patients has been demonstrated, driving the Baveno VII consensus to encompass SSM in its last recommendations, though its use in patients with non-viral cirrhosis remains to be validated. We believe that in the near future, SSM alone or combined with other tests, will being used not only for sparing upper endoscopies, but also for predicting decompensation and prognosis in advanced compensated cirrhotic patients, regardless of liver disease's etiology. Herein, we present the data that support this consideration, pointing out these issues that should further be investigated in order to elucidate and intensify the value of SSM in the management of patients with liver cirrhosis.

Noninvasive assessment oesophageal varices: impact of the Baveno VI criteria

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

In 2015, as a consequence of the high development in noninvasive tests, Baveno VI consensus recommended for the first time the use of a prediction rule (liver stiffness <20kPa and platelet count > 150000) to identify patients at low risk of having varices and that could circumvent endoscopy. These became known as the Baveno VI criteria. We review here the data validating Baveno VI criteria and we discuss the attempts of expanding these criteria.

RECENT FINDINGS

We report 28 studies assessing the performance of Baveno VI criteria showing a pooled 99% negative predictive value for ruling out high-risk varices. Performance is not affected by the cause of cirrhosis. Different attempts at expanding these criteria show suboptimal performance. Nonelastography-based criteria require further validation.

SUMMARY

Baveno VI criteria can be safely used to avoid endoscopy in a substantial proportion of patients with compensated cirrhosis. The progressive change in approach to the management of compensated cirrhosis, progressively focusing on treating portal hypertension with beta-blockers independently of the presence of varices, might render these criteria less relevant.

Spleen stiffness can be employed to assess the efficacy of spontaneous portosystemic shunts in relieving portal hypertension

INTRODUCTION

Spleen stiffness (SS) has been found to mirror dynamic changes in portal pressure after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement. However, there is no data available regarding SS in patients with spontaneous portosystemic shunting (SPSS), especially in regards to prediction of hepatic decompensation.

METHODS

We retrospectively selected patients with confirmed SPSS and esophageal varices (EVs) at endoscopic examination, and recorded any decompensating event (i.e., variceal hemorrhage, overt hepatic encephalopathy, refractory ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatorenal syndrome) in the first twelve months following liver and spleen elastography.

RESULTS

The patients who presented decompensating events showed lower platelet count (94.5 vs. 121.5 g/L, p < 0.001), higher SS (44 vs. 30 kPa, p < 0.001), higher probability of EVs according to SS (77 vs. 2 %, p < 0.001), and higher spleen diameter (14 vs. 12 cm, p = 0.043). They also showed a higher prevalence of splenorenal shunts (66.7 vs. 31.2%), and a significantly wider SPSS major diameter (14.5 vs. 8 mm, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

SS could predict SPSS efficacy in relieving portal pressure, and could predict decompensating events in patients with SPSS.

Multimodal Ultrasound Model Based on the Left Gastric Vein in B-Viral Cirrhosis: Noninvasive Prediction of Esophageal Varices

OBJECTIVES:

To establish and verify a simple noninvasive model based on the left gastric vein (LGV) to predict the grade of esophageal varices (EV) and high-risk EV (HEV), to facilitate clinical follow-up and timely treatment.

METHODS:

We enrolled 320 patients with B-viral cirrhosis. All patients underwent endoscopy, laboratory tests, liver and spleen stiffness (SS), and ultrasonography. HEV were analyzed using the χ² test/t test and logistic regression in the univariate and multivariate analyses, respectively. EV grades were analyzed using the variance/rank-sum test and logistic regression. A prediction model was derived from the multivariate predictors.

RESULTS:

In the training set, multivariate analysis showed that the independent factors of different EV grades were SS, LGV diameter, and platelet count (PLT). We developed the LGV diameter-SS to PLT ratio index (LSPI) and LGV diameter/PLT models without SS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the LSPI for diagnosis of small EV, medium EV, large EV, and HEV was 0.897, 0.899, 0.853, and 0.954, respectively, and that of the LGV/PLT was 0.882, 0.890, 0.837, and 0.942, respectively. For the diagnosis of HEV, the negative predictive value was 94.07% when LSPI < 19.8 and the positive predictive value was 91.49% when LSPI > 23.0. The negative predictive value was 95.92% when LGV/PLT < 5.15, and the positive predictive value was 86.27% when LGV/PLT > 7.40. The predicted values showed similar accuracy in the validation set.

DISCUSSION:

Under appropriate conditions, the LSPI was an accurate method to detect the grade of EV and HEV. Alternatively, the LGV/PLT may also be useful in diagnosing the varices when condition limited.

Noninvasive Detection of Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension in Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

Patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease have different prognoses depending on the presence of portal hypertension. Current non-invasive diagnostic methods allow identification of clinically significant portal hypertension. Portosystemic collaterals on imaging or liver stiffness of more than 20 to 25 kPa by using transient elastography identifies patients with clinically significant portal hypertension. Patients with liver stiffness of less than 20 kPa and platelet count of greater than 150 g/L can avoid endoscopy. This rule could be expanded using spleen stiffness. Methods to risk stratify for portal hypertension in compensated advanced chronic liver disease and successfully treated chronic hepatitis C and B are subject of research.

Approaches to the Diagnosis of Portal Hypertension: Non-Invasive or Invasive Tests?

Portal hypertension is the main driver of complications in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) and is defined by values of hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement (HVPG) >5 mmHg. Values of HVPG ≥10 mmHg determine the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), the main predictor of the risk of variceal bleeding, hepatic decompensation, and mortality. However, its measurement is invasive and requires high expertise, so its routine use outside third level centers or clinical trials is limited. In the last decades, several non-invasive tests (NITs) have been developed and validated for the diagnosis of portal hypertension. Among these, liver (LSM) and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) are the most promising tools available, as they have been proven accurate to predict CSPH, high-risk esophageal varices, decompensation, and mortality in patients with ACLD. In the last Baveno VI Consensus proceedings, LSM evaluation was recommended for the first time for diagnosis of CSPH (LSM >20-25 kPa) and the screening of patients with a low probability of having high-risk varices (LSM <20 kPa and platelet count >150.000/mm³). In this review, we aimed to summarize the growing evidence supporting the use of non-invasive tests for the evaluation of portal hypertension in patients with chronic liver disease.

Low Risk of Variceal Bleeding in Patients With Cirrhosis After Variceal Screening Stratified by Liver/Spleen Stiffness

We previously demonstrated the possible noninferiority of a screening strategy for varices guided by liver and spleen stiffness measurement (LSSM) compared to universal endoscopic screening in detecting clinically significant varices in patients with cirrhosis. We now report the long-term outcome of the patients recruited in this trial for incident variceal bleeding and other hepatic events. This was a prospective follow-up study of a noninferiority, open-label, randomized controlled trial (NCT02024347) of 548 adult patients with known chronic liver diseases, radiological evidence of liver cirrhosis, and compensated liver function. The primary outcome of this prospective study was incident variceal bleeding confirmed with upper endoscopy. Between October 2013 and June 2016, 548 patients were randomized to an LSSM arm (n = 274) and a conventional arm (n = 274). Patients in both study arms were predominantly middle-aged men (mean age 59 years, male 68.9%) with viral hepatitis-related cirrhosis (85%). Upper endoscopy examination was performed in 127 (46.4%) patients in the LSSM arm and 263 (96.0%) in the conventional arm. During the follow-up period of 41.3 ± 12.6 months, 12/274 patients in the LSSM arm (4.4%) and 11/274 in the conventional arm (4.0%) developed incident variceal bleeding (log-rank test P = 0.724). The incident rates of hepatic events were also similar in both arms (P = 0.327). Conclusions: Patients with liver cirrhosis who had undergone LSSM-guided variceal screening were at similarly low risk of incident variceal bleeding in the future; patients with cirrhosis may first have LSSM measured to save up to half of the upper endoscopy examinations.