Low Risk of Progression of Barrett's Esophagus to Neoplasia in Women

Gender disparities and woman-specific trends in Barrett’s esophagus in the United States: An 11-year nationwide population-based study

BACKGROUND

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is a known premalignant precursor to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). The prevalence rates continue to rise in the United States, but many patients who are at risk of EAC are not screened. Current practice guidelines include male gender as a predisposing factor for BE and EAC. The population-based clinical evidence regarding female gender remains limited.

AIM

To study comparative trends of gender disparities in patients with BE in the United States.

METHODS

A nationwide retrospective study was conducted using the 2009-2019 National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database. Patients with a primary or secondary diagnosis code of BE were identified. The major outcome of interest was determining the gender disparities in patients with BE. Trend analysis for respective outcomes for females was also reported to ascertain any time-based shifts.

RESULTS

We identified 1204190 patients with BE for the study period. Among the included patients, 717439 (59.6%) were men and 486751 (40.4%) were women. The mean age was higher in women than in men (67.1 ± 0.4 vs 66.6 ± 0.3 years, P < 0.001). The rate of BE per 100000 total NIS hospitalizations for males increased from 144.6 in 2009 to 213.4 in 2019 (P < 0.001). The rate for females increased from 96.8 in 2009 to 148.7 in 2019 (P < 0.001). There was a higher frequency of obesity among women compared to men (17.4% vs 12.6%, P < 0.001). Obesity prevalence among females increased from 12.3% in 2009 to 21.9% in 2019 (P < 0.001). A lower prevalence of smoking was noted in women than in men (20.8% vs 35.7%, P < 0.001). However, trend analysis showed an increasing prevalence of smoking among women, from 12.9% in 2009 to 30.7% in 2019 (P < 0.001). Additionally, there was a lower prevalence of alcohol abuse, Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori), and diabetes mellitus among females than males (P < 0.001). Trend analysis showed an increasing prevalence of alcohol use disorder and a decreasing prevalence of H. pylori and diabetes mellitus among women (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of BE among women has steadily increased from 2009 to 2019. The existing knowledge concerning BE development has historically focused on men, but our findings show that the risk in women is not insignificant.

Neoplastic Progression Risk in Females With Barrett's Esophagus: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Individual Patient Data

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Females with Barrett's esophagus (BE) have a lower risk of neoplastic progression than males, but sufficiently powered risk analyses are lacking. This systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data (IPD) aimed to provide more robust evidence on neoplastic progression risk in females.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature search of 3 electronic databases (Medline, Embase, Google Scholar) from inception until August 2023. Eligible studies (1) reported original data on progression from nondysplastic BE, indefinite for dysplasia, or low-grade dysplasia to high-grade dysplasia or esophageal adenocarcinoma; and (2) included female and male patients. IPD were quality controlled by 2 independent reviewers. The primary outcome was the association between sex and neoplastic progression risk, adjusted for risk factors using multivariable Cox regression analysis. Secondary outcomes were sex differences in time to progression and annual progression rate.

RESULTS

IPD were obtained from 11 of 66 eligible studies, including 2196 (31%) females. Neoplastic progression risk was lower in females (hazard ratio for males vs females, 1.44; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.82) after adjusting for age, smoking, medication use, hiatal hernia, BE length, and baseline pathology. The annual progression rate was 0.88% in females vs 1.29% in males. Time to progression was similar in both sexes: 3.7 years (interquartile range, 2.1-7.7 years) in females and 4.2 years (interquartile range, 2.0-8.1 years) in males.

CONCLUSION

Although females had a lower neoplastic progression risk, sex differences were smaller than previously reported, and time to progression was similar for both sexes. Future research should focus on other factors than sex to identify low- and high-risk BE patients.

The Association Between Obesity and Malignant Progression of Barrett's Esophagus: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Obesity is a risk factor for both Barrett's esophagus (BE) and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). However, it is unclear whether obesity drives the malignant progression of BE. We aimed to assess whether obesity is associated with high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or cancer in patients with BE.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE from inception through April 2024 for studies reporting the effect of body mass index (BMI) on the progression of nondysplastic BE or low-grade dysplasia (LGD) to HGD or EAC. A 2-stage dose-response meta-analysis was performed to estimate the dose-response relationship between BMI with malignant progression. Study quality was appraised using a modified Newcastle-Ottawa scale.

RESULTS

Twenty studies reported data on 38,565 patients (74.4% male) in total, of whom 1684 patients were diagnosed with HGD/cancer. Nineteen studies were considered moderate to high quality. Eight cohort studies reported data on 6647 male patients with baseline nondysplastic BE/LGD, of whom 555 progressed to HGD/EAC (pooled annual rate of progression, 0.02%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.01%-0.03%), and 1992 female patients with baseline nondysplastic BE/LGD, with 110 progressors (pooled annual rate of progression, 0.01%; 95% CI, 0.01%-0.02%). There was no significant difference in pooled annual rate of progression between males and females (P = .15). Each 5-kg/m2 increase in BMI was associated with a 6% increase in the risk of malignant progression (adjusted odds ratio, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.10; P < .001; I2= 0%).

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis provides some evidence that obesity as measured by BMI is associated with malignant progression of BE with a dose-response relationship. This finding requires confirmation in future high-quality cohort studies. Future risk prediction models could incorporate measures of obesity to potentially improve risk stratification in patients with BE. PROSPERO, Number: CRD42017051046.

Categorizing Risks within Barrett's Esophagus To Guide Surveillance and Interception; Suggesting a New Framework

Barrett's esophagus is a precancerous condition that can progress in a stepwise manner to dysplasia and eventually esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Once diagnosed, patients with Barrett's esophagus are kept on surveillance to detect progression so that timely intervention can occur with endoscopic therapy. Several demographic and clinical risk factors are known to increase progression toward EAC, such as longer Barrett's segments, and these patients are kept on tighter surveillance. While p53 IHC has been advocated as an adjunct to histopathologic diagnosis, use of this biomarker is variable, and no other molecular factors are currently applied. Given the new evidence available, it is time to consider whether other risk factors or tools could be applied in clinical practice to decide on closer or attenuated surveillance. In this commentary, we summarize the most relevant risk factors for Barrett's esophagus progression, highlight the most promising novel risk stratification tools-including nonendoscopic triage and commercial biomarker panels, and propose a new framework suggesting how to incorporate risk stratification into clinical practice.

Geographical Disparities in Esophageal Cancer Incidence and Mortality in the United States

BACKGROUND

Our previous research on neuroendocrine and gastric cancers has shown that patients living in rural areas have worse outcomes than urban patients. This study aimed to investigate the geographic and sociodemographic disparities in esophageal cancer patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study on esophageal cancer patients between 1975 and 2016 using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Both univariate and multivariable analyses were performed to evaluate overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) between patients residing in rural (RA) and urban (MA) areas. Further, we used the National Cancer Database to understand differences in various quality of care metrics based on residence.

RESULTS

N = 49,421 (RA [12%]; MA [88%]). The incidence and mortality rates were consistently higher during the study period in RA. Patients living in RA were more commonly males (p < 0.001), Caucasian (p < 0.001), and had adenocarcinoma (p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis showed that RA had worse OS (HR = 1.08; p < 0.01) and DSS (HR = 1.07; p < 0.01). Quality of care was similar, except RA patients were more likely to be treated at a community hospital (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified geographic disparities in esophageal cancer incidence and outcomes despite the similar quality of care. Future research is needed to understand and attenuate such disparities.

[Current status in Barrett's esophagus]

Barrett's esophagus has been an important issue in clinical medicine for many years. In the 70 s of the last century, the association between gastroesophageal reflux disease and BE was detected. Only ten years later, the association between BE and adenocarcinoma of the esophagus was reported. Starting in the 90s in Europe, endoscopic resection and ablation have seen an expanding role in the management of BE. In analogy with other diseases, patients are undergoing individualized surveillance and treatment strategies. In non-neoplastic Barrett's esophagus, surveillance intervals are clearly defined by national and European guidelines. Only in case of malignant transformation of BE which may range from low-grade dysplasia to high-grade dysplasia and early Barrett's cancer, endoscopic therapy is indicated. At present, there are emerging techniques of artificial intelligence. Due to these rapid developments in BE management, it is important to keep an eye on the current status of BE management.

Barrett Esophagus: A Review

IMPORTANCE

Barrett esophagus is characterized by the replacement of normal esophageal squamous cell epithelium with columnar metaplasia and affects approximately 5% of people in the US and approximately 1% worldwide. Approximately 3% to 5% of patients with Barrett esophagus will be diagnosed with esophageal adenocarcinoma in their lifetime.

OBSERVATIONS

Barrett esophagus affects approximately 2.3% to 8.3% of people with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and approximately 1.2% to 5.6% of people without GERD. Characteristics associated with Barrett esophagus include older age (prevalence of approximately 1.1% in individuals older than 50 years compared with 0.3% in those 50 years or younger), male sex, and smoking (prevalence of approximately 12% in people who smoke cigarettes compared with 1.1% in those who do not smoke cigarettes). The histopathology of Barrett esophagus progresses from metaplasia to dysplasia and, without treatment, can progress to adenocarcinoma. People with Barrett esophagus have approximately a 0.2% to 0.5% annual rate of developing esophageal adenocarcinoma. Management of Barrett esophagus primarily consists of acid-suppressive medications to reduce underlying GERD symptoms and surveillance endoscopy every 3 to 5 years. In patients with Barrett esophagus and dysplasia or early cancer, endoscopic therapy consisting of resection and ablation successfully treats 80% to 90% of patients.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Barrett esophagus affects approximately 5% of people in the US and approximately 1% worldwide and is associated with an increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma. First-line therapy for Barrett esophagus consists of proton-pump inhibitors for control of reflux symptoms, but their role in chemoprevention is unclear. Surveillance with upper endoscopy is recommended by practice guidelines to monitor for progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma, but randomized clinical trials are lacking.

Sex Differences in Neoplastic Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study

Simple Summary

Barrett’s esophagus (BE) is the only known precursor lesion of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Endoscopic surveillance plays an important role in the timely detection of neoplastic progression. However, the cost-effectiveness of current surveillance strategies is debatable. Previous studies have shown that male Barrett’s patients have lower neoplastic progression risk than females. However, these studies do not provide a more practical translation of these sex disparities into different surveillance intervals. The current multicenter prospective cohort study aimed to evaluate sex differences in 868 BE patients; not only with respect to neoplastic progression risk, but also concerning the difference in time to detection of high-grade dysplasia (HGD)/EAC: time to neoplastic progression was estimated to be almost twice as low in males than in females. In contrast, the stage of neoplasia appeared to be higher in females. Our results can guide future discussions for sex-specific guidelines, supporting the implementation of neoplastic risk stratification per individual patient in BE surveillance.

Abstract

Recommendations in Barrett’s esophagus (BE) guidelines are mainly based on male patients. We aimed to evaluate sex differences in BE patients in (1) probability of and (2) time to neoplastic progression, and (3) differences in the stage distribution of neoplasia. We conducted a multicenter prospective cohort study including 868 BE patients. Cox regression modeling and accelerated failure time modeling were used to estimate the sex differences. Neoplastic progression was defined as high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and/or esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Among the 639 (74%) males and 229 females that were included (median follow-up 7.1 years), 61 (7.0%) developed HGD/EAC. Neoplastic progression risk was estimated to be twice as high among males (HR 2.26, 95% CI 1.11–4.62) than females. The risk of HGD was found to be higher in males (HR 3.76, 95% CI 1.33–10.6). Time to HGD/EAC (AR 0.52, 95% CI 0.29–0.95) and HGD (AR 0.40, 95% CI 0.19–0.86) was shorter in males. Females had proportionally more EAC than HGD and tended to have higher stages of neoplasia at diagnosis. In conclusion, both the risk of and time to neoplastic progression were higher in males. However, females were proportionally more often diagnosed with (advanced) EAC. We should strive for improved neoplastic risk stratification per individual BE patient, incorporating sex disparities into new prediction models.