Suspected infection in afebrile patients: Are they septic?

Personalizing Care for Critically Ill Adults Using Omics: A Concise Review of Potential Clinical Applications

Current guidelines for critically ill patients use broad recommendations to promote uniform protocols for the management of conditions such as acute kidney injury, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and sepsis. Although these guidelines have enabled the substantial improvement of care, mortality for critical illness remains high. Further outcome improvement may require personalizing care for critically ill patients, which involves tailoring management strategies for different patients. However, the current understanding of disease heterogeneity is limited. For critically ill patients, genomics, transcriptomics, proteomics, and metabolomics have illuminated such heterogeneity and unveiled novel biomarkers, giving clinicians new means of diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring. With further engineering and economic development, omics would then be more accessible and affordable for frontline clinicians. As the knowledge of pathophysiological pathways mature, targeted treatments can then be developed, validated, replicated, and translated into clinical practice.

Prevalence and Prognosis of Fever Symptoms, Hypo-, and Hyperthermia in Unselected Emergency Patients

Assessments of history and body temperature are cornerstones of the diagnostic workup in all patients presenting to emergency departments (ED). Yet, the objective measurement of temperature and the subjective perception of fever can differ. This is a secondary exploratory analysis of a consecutive all-comer study, performed at an adult ED in Switzerland. Trained medical students interviewed all patients if fever was present. Altered temperature (>38.0 °C/<36.0 °C) measured at triage using an ear thermometer was used as the reference standard for diagnostic performance. In case of a disagreement between fever symptoms and altered temperature, discordance was noted. Outcome measures for case severity (acute morbidity, hospitalization, intensive care, and in-hospital mortality) were extracted from the electronic health records. Odds ratios (OR) for discordance between signs and symptoms and outcomes were calculated. Among 2183 patients, 325 patients reported fever symptoms. The sensitivity of fever symptoms as a test for altered temperature was 36.3%. Specificity was 91.5%. The negative predictive value was 84.1%, positive likelihood ratio was 4.2 and negative likelihood ratio was 0.7. The adjusted OR for discordance between fever symptoms and altered temperature was 1.71 (95% CI: 1.2–2.44) for acute morbidity, 1.56 (95% CI: 1.13–2.15) for hospitalization, and 1.12 (95% CI: 0.64–1.59) for intensive care. Unadjusted OR for mortality was 1.5 (95% CI: 0.69–3.25). Fever symptoms and altered temperature broadly overlap, but presentations can be stratified according to concordance between signs and symptoms. In case of discordance, the odds for acute morbidity and hospitalization are increased. Discordance may therefore be further investigated as a red flag for a serious outcome.

Risk stratification model for post-stroke pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Post-stroke pneumonia (PSP) has been implicated in the morbidity, mortality, and increased medical costs after acute ischemic stroke.

AIM

The aim of this study was to develop a prediction model for PSP in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

A retrospective, case-control, secondary analysis study was conducted using data for 10,034 patients with ischemic stroke who presented to the hospital within 24 hours of onset of stroke symptoms. The predictive factors for PSP were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression and classification and regression tree (CART) analyses.

RESULTS

Among the study population, 546 patients (5.4%) had PSP. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that age, atrial fibrillation, smoking habit, body temperature at admission, pulse rate at admission, National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score upon admission, white blood cell count, and blood urea nitrogen level were major predictive factors of PSP. CART analysis identified NIHSS score at admission, pulse rate at admission, and percentage of lymphocyte as important factors for PSP to stratify the patients into subgroups. The subgroup of patients with an NIHSS score >14 at admission and pulse rate >111 beats per minute at admission and those with an NIHSS score >14, pulse rate ⩽111 beats per minute at admission, and percentage of lymphocyte ⩽9.2% had a relatively high risk of PSP (39.6% and 35.5%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, CART analysis has a similar predictive value of PSP as compared with a logistic regression model. In addition, decision rules generated by CART can easily be interpreted and applied in clinical practice.

Rate and Predictors of Bacteremia in Afebrile Community-Acquired Pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Although blood cultures (BCs) are the "gold standard" for detecting bacteremia, the utility of BCs in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is controversial. This study describes the proportion of patients with CAP and afebrile bacteremia and identifies the clinical characteristics predicting the necessity for BCs in patients who are afebrile.

METHODS

Bacteremia rates were determined in 4,349 patients with CAP enrolled in the multinational cohort study The Competence Network of Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAPNETZ) and stratified by presence of fever at first patient contact. Independent predictors of bacteremia in patients who were afebrile were determined using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Bacteremic pneumonia was present in 190 of 2,116 patients who were febrile (8.9%), 101 of 2,149 patients who were afebrile (4.7%), and one of 23 patients with hypothermia (4.3%). Bacteremia rates increased with the CURB-65 score from 3.5% in patients with CURB-65 score of 0 to 17.1% in patients with CURB-65 score of 4. Patients with afebrile bacteremia exhibited the highest 28-day mortality rate (9.9%). Positive pneumococcal urinary antigen test (adjusted OR [AOR], 4.6; 95% CI, 2.6-8.2), C-reactive protein level > 200 mg/L (AOR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.9-5.2), and BUN level ≥ 30 mg/dL (AOR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.9-5.3) were independent positive predictors, and antibiotic pretreatment (AOR, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.1-0.6) was an independent negative predictor of bacteremia in patients who were afebrile.

CONCLUSIONS

A relevant proportion of patients with bacteremic CAP was afebrile. These patients had an increased mortality rate compared with patients with febrile bacteremia or nonbacteremic pneumonia. Therefore, the relevance of fever as an indicator for BC necessity merits reconsideration.

Patient reported symptoms, body temperature and hospital mortality: an observational study in a low resource healthcare environment

BACKGROUND

Fever is a common presenting complaint of patients, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. Although most medical authorities consider fever to be synonymous with an elevated body temperature the relationship of the complaint of fever made by patients to temperature has not been well defined.

AIM

This study examined the relationship of the complaint of fever to temperature on and after admission and in-hospital mortality.

METHOD

Observational study in a low-resource Ugandan mission hospital.

RESULTS

Out of 2122 alert patients admitted between 9 August 2016 and 5 January 2018, 349 (16.4%) complained of fever: these patients were no more likely to have an abnormal temperature or die in-hospital than those not complaining of fever. Of the 707 alert patients admitted after 1 July 2017, 422 were interviewed in detail about their symptoms: only rigors, feeling intermittently hot and cold, and anorexia were statistically related to the complaint of fever, and only rigors to an admission temperature >38°C. No symptom or sign was associated with a temperature ≤36°C: cold and clammy skin was the only finding associated with in-hospital death. On logistic regression the only independent predictors of mortality were: the National Early Warning Score, impaired mobility on presentation and cold and clammy skin.

CONCLUSION

In this study, the term fever used by patients and raised body temperature were not synonymous. Although fever and related symptoms reported by patients are common presenting complaints only the finding of cold and clammy skin was associated with in-hospital mortality.