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Zhang H, Ren D, Cheng D, Wang W, Li Y, Wang Y, Lu D, Zhao F. Construction of a mortality risk prediction model for elderly people at risk of lobectomy for NSCLC. Front Surg 2023; 9:1055338. [PMID: 36684251 PMCID: PMC9853536 DOI: 10.3389/fsurg.2022.1055338] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2022] [Accepted: 12/13/2022] [Indexed: 01/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Background An increasing number of lung cancer patients are opting for lobectomy for oncological treatment. However, due to the unique organismal condition of elderly patients, their short-term postoperative mortality is significantly higher than that of non-elderly patients. Therefore, there is a need to develop a personalised predictive tool to assess the risk of postoperative mortality in elderly patients. Methods Information on the diagnosis and survival of 35,411 older patients with confirmed lobectomy NSCLC from 2009 to 2019 was screened from the SEER database. The surgical group was divided into a high-risk mortality population group (≤90 days) and a non-high-risk mortality population group using a 90-day criterion. Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method to compare the differences in overall survival (OS) and lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS) between the two groups. The data set was split into modelling and validation groups in a ratio of 7.5:2.5, and model risk predictors of postoperative death in elderly patients with NSCLC were screened using univariate and multifactorial logistic regression. Columnar plots were constructed for model visualisation, and the area under the subject operating characteristic curve (AUC), DCA decision curve and clinical impact curve were used to assess model predictiveness and clinical utility. Results Multi-factor logistic regression results showed that sex, age, race, histology and grade were independent predictors of the risk of postoperative death in elderly patients with NSCLC. The above factors were imported into R software to construct a line graph model for predicting the risk of postoperative death in elderly patients with NSCLC. The AUCs of the modelling and validation groups were 0.711 and 0.713 respectively, indicating that the model performed well in terms of predictive performance. The DCA decision curve and clinical impact curve showed that the model had a high net clinical benefit and was of clinical application. Conclusion The construction and validation of a predictive model for death within 90 days of lobectomy in elderly patients with lung cancer will help the clinic to identify high-risk groups and give timely intervention or adjust treatment decisions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hongzhen Zhang
- Shanghai Fengxian District Central Hospital, Affiliated to Anhui University of Science and Technology, Fengxian, China
| | - Dingfei Ren
- Occupational Control Hospital of Huai He Energy Group, Huainan, China
| | - Danqing Cheng
- Graduate School of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, China
| | - Wenping Wang
- Graduate School of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, China
| | - Yongtian Li
- Anhui University of Science and Technology College of Medicine, Huainan, China
| | - Yisong Wang
- Anhui University of Science and Technology College of Medicine, Huainan, China
| | - Dekun Lu
- The First Hospital of Anhui University of Science & Technology (Huai nan First People's Hospital), Huainan, China
| | - Feng Zhao
- The First Hospital of Anhui University of Science & Technology (Huai nan First People's Hospital), Huainan, China,Correspondence: Feng Zhao
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Kim D, Kang GW, Jang H, Cho JY, Yang B, Yang HC, Hwang J. Trend of lung cancer surgery, hospital selection, and survival between 2005 and 2016 in South Korea. Thorac Cancer 2021; 13:210-218. [PMID: 34800078 PMCID: PMC8758424 DOI: 10.1111/1759-7714.14247] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2021] [Revised: 11/07/2021] [Accepted: 11/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Studies on the clinical implication of hospital selection for patients with lung cancer are few. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze 2005–2016 data from the Korean national database to assess annual trends of lung cancer surgery and clinical outcomes according to hospital selection. Methods Data of 212 554 patients with lung cancer who underwent upfront surgery were screened. Trends according to sex, age, residence, and income were examined. Descriptive statistics were performed, and ptrend values were estimated. The association between survival and hospital selection was assessed using the log‐rank test. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was also performed. Results A total of 49 021 patients were included in this study. Surgery was prevalent among men, patients aged 61–75 years, capital area residents, and high‐income patients. However, with the increasing rate of surgery among women, patients aged ≥76 years, city residents, and middle‐income patients, the current distribution of lung cancer surgery could change. The rate of lobectomy among these groups increased. All patients, except those in capital areas, preferred a hospital outside their area of residence (HOR); the number of patients with this tendency also increased. However, this trend was not observed among low‐income patients and those aged ≥76 years. There were significant differences in survival according to hospital selection. Conclusions The trend of lung cancer surgery is changing. The current medical system is effective in providing lobectomy for patients including women, aged ≥76 years, city residents, and middle‐income. Increasing tendency to choose an HOR requires further study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dohun Kim
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, College of Medicine, Chungbuk National University, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheong-ju, South Korea
| | - Gil-Won Kang
- Department of Health Informatics and Management, College of Medicine, Chungbuk National University, Cheongju, South Korea
| | - Hoyeon Jang
- Department of Health Informatics and Management, College of Medicine, Chungbuk National University, Cheongju, South Korea
| | - Jun Yeun Cho
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheong-ju, South Korea
| | - Bumhee Yang
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheong-ju, South Korea
| | - Hee Chul Yang
- Center for lung cancer, National Cancer Center, Goyang, South Korea
| | - Jinwook Hwang
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea
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Liu L, Zheng Z, Li J, Li Y, Ni J. Supraclavicular Recurrence in Completely Resected (y)pN2 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: Implications for Postoperative Radiotherapy. Front Oncol 2020; 10:1414. [PMID: 32850456 PMCID: PMC7431951 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2020.01414] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/21/2020] [Accepted: 07/06/2020] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: The clinical value and delineation of clinical target volume (CTV) of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) in completely resected (y)pN2 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remain controversial. Investigations specifically focusing on the cumulative incidence and prognostic significance of initial disease recurrence at the supraclavicular region (SCR) in this disease population are seldom reported. Methods: Consecutive patients with curatively resected (y)pN2 NSCLC who received adjuvant chemotherapy from January 2013 to December 2018 at our cancer center were retrospectively examined. Disease recurrence at the surgical margin, ipsilateral hilum, and/or mediastinum was defined as loco-regional recurrence (LRR). Disease recurrence beyond LRR and SCR, was defined as distant metastasis (DM). Overall survival (OS1 and OS2) were calculated from surgery and disease recurrence to death of any cause, in the entire cohort and in patients with recurrent disease, respectively. Results: Among the 311 patients enrolled, PORT without elective supraclavicular nodal irradiation (ESRT) was performed in 94 patients and neoadjuvant chemotherapy was administered in 31 patients. With a median follow-up of 26 months, 203 patients developed recurrent disease, including 27 SCRs, among which 16 were without DM and 22 involved the ipsilateral supraclavicular region. The 1, 3, and 5-year cumulative incidence of SCR were 6.53, 13.0, and 24.7%, respectively. Chosen DM as a competing event, cN2, ypN2, not receiving lobectomy, and negative expression of CK7 were significantly associated with SCR using the univariate competing risk analysis, while ypN2 was identified as the only independent risk factor of SCR (p = 0.012). PORT significantly reduced LRR (p = 0.031) and prolonged OS1 (p = 0.018), but didn't impact SCR (p = 0.254). Pattern of failure analyses indicated that the majority of LRRs developed within the actuarial or virtual CTV of PORT, and 15 of the 22 ipsilateral SCRs could be covered by the virtual CTV of proposed ESRT. In terms of OS2, patients who developed SCR but without DM had intermediate prognosis, compared with those who had DM (p = 0.009) and those who had only LRR (p = 0.048). Conclusions: SCR is not uncommon and has important prognostic significance in completely resected (y)pN2 NSCLC. The clinical value of PORT and ESRT in such patients need to be further investigated.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liang Liu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai, China.,Department of Oncology, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Zhiqin Zheng
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Minhang Branch Hospital, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai, China
| | - Juan Li
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai, China.,Department of Oncology, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yuan Li
- Department of Oncology, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.,Department of Pathology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai, China
| | - Jianjiao Ni
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai, China.,Department of Oncology, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
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Ijsseldijk MA, Shoni M, Siegert C, Wiering B, van Engelenburg AKC, Tsai TC, Ten Broek RPG, Lebenthal A. Oncologic Outcomes of Surgery Versus SBRT for Non-Small-Cell Lung Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Clin Lung Cancer 2020; 22:e235-e292. [PMID: 32912754 DOI: 10.1016/j.cllc.2020.04.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/20/2020] [Revised: 04/21/2020] [Accepted: 04/25/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The optimal treatment of stage I non-small-cell lung carcinoma is subject to debate. The aim of this study was to compare overall survival and oncologic outcomes of lobar resection (LR), sublobar resection (SR), and stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT). METHODS A systematic review and meta-analysis of oncologic outcomes of propensity matched comparative and noncomparative cohort studies was performed. Outcomes of interest were overall survival and disease-free survival. The inverse variance method and the random-effects method for meta-analysis were utilized to assess the pooled estimates. RESULTS A total of 100 studies with patients treated for clinical stage I non-small-cell lung carcinoma were included. Long-term overall and disease-free survival after LR was superior over SBRT in all comparisons, and for most comparisons, SR was superior to SBRT. Noncomparative studies showed superior long-term overall and disease-free survival for both LR and SR over SBRT. Although the papers were heterogeneous and of low quality, results remained essentially the same throughout a large number of stratifications and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION Results of this systematic review and meta-analysis showed that LR has superior outcomes compared to SBRT for cI non-small-cell lung carcinoma. New trials are underway evaluating long-term results of SBRT in potentially operable patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michiel A Ijsseldijk
- Division of Surgery, Slingeland Ziekenhuis, Doetinchem, The Netherlands; Division of Surgery, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
| | - Melina Shoni
- Division of Thoracic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Charles Siegert
- Division of Thoracic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA; Division of Thoracic Surgery, West Roxbury Veterans Administration, West Roxbury, MA
| | - Bastiaan Wiering
- Division of Surgery, Slingeland Ziekenhuis, Doetinchem, The Netherlands
| | | | - Thomas C Tsai
- Division of Thoracic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Richard P G Ten Broek
- Division of Surgery, Slingeland Ziekenhuis, Doetinchem, The Netherlands; Division of Surgery, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands
| | - Abraham Lebenthal
- Division of Thoracic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA; Division of Thoracic Surgery, West Roxbury Veterans Administration, West Roxbury, MA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
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