Prognostic value of postdiagnostic inflammation-based scores in short-term overall survival of advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients

High hand grip strength is a significant risk factor and a useful predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is one of the most critical complications of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Studies on predictive factors for POPF that can be identified preoperatively are limited. Recent reports have highlighted the association between the preoperative nutritional status, including sarcopenia, and postoperative complications. We examined preoperative risk factors for POPF after PD, focusing on nutritional indicators.

METHODS

A total of 153 consecutive patients who underwent PD at our institution were enrolled in this study. Preoperative nutritional parameters, including hand grip strength (HGS) and skeletal muscle mass as components of sarcopenia, were incorporated into the analysis. POPFs were categorized according to the International Study Group of Pancreatic Fistula (ISGPF) definition as biochemical (grade A) or clinically relevant (CR-POPF; grades B and C).

RESULTS

Thirty-seven of the 153 patients (24.1%) fulfilled the ISGPF definition of CR-POPF postoperatively. In the univariate analysis, the incidence of CR-POPF was associated with male sex, non-pancreatic tumor diseases, a high body mass index, a high HGS and a high skeletal muscle mass index. In the multivariate analysis, non-pancreatic tumor diseases and an HGS ≥23.0 kg were selected as independent risk factors for CR-POPF (P <0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

A high HGS, a screening tool for sarcopenia, was a risk factor for CR-POPF. It can accurately serve as a useful predictor of POPF risk in patients undergoing PD. These results highlight the potential of sarcopenia to reduce the incidence of POPF and highlight the need to clarify the mechanism of POPF occurrence.

Prognostic factors in conversion surgery following nab-paclitaxel with gemcitabine and subsequent chemoradiotherapy for unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer: Results of a dual-center study

Background

In pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), only radical surgery improves long-term survival. We focused on surgical outcome after induction gemcitabine along with nab-paclitaxel (GnP) and subsequent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) with S-1 administration for unresectable locally advanced (UR-LA) PDAC.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 144 patients with UR-LA PDAC between 2014 and 2020. The first-line regimen of induction chemotherapy was GnP for 125 of the 144 patients. Of the 125 patients who received GnP, 41 who underwent radical resection after additional preoperative CRT were enrolled. We evaluated the prognostic factors for this treatment strategy.

Results

The median length of preoperative GnP was 8.8 months, and 30 (73%) patients had normalized CA19-9 levels. R0 resection was achieved in 36 (88%) patients. Postoperative major complications of ≥Clavien-Dindo grade IIIa developed in 16 (39%) patients. With a median follow-up of 35.2 months, 14 (34%) patients developed distant metastasis postoperatively. Using the Kaplan-Meier method, prognostic analysis of the 41 cases revealed the 3-y overall survival rate (OS) was 77.4% and the 5-y OS was 58.6%. In univariate analysis, length of preoperative GnP (≥8 months), CA19-9 normalization, and good nutritional status at operation (prognostic nutritional index ≥41.7) were significantly associated with favorable prognosis. Multivariate analysis revealed CA19-9 normalization (hazard ratio [HR] 0.23; P = .032) and prognostic nutritional index ≥41.7 (HR 0.05; P = .021) were independent prognostic factors.

Conclusion

For surgical outcome after induction GnP and subsequent CRT for UR-LA PDAC, CA19-9 normalization and maintenance of good nutritional status during treatment until surgery were important for prolonged prognosis.

Application and progress of medical imaging in total mesopancreas excision for pancreatic head carcinoma

Pancreatic head carcinoma (PHC) is one of the common gastrointestinal malignancies with a high morbidity and poor prognosis. At present, radical surgery is still the curative treatment for PHC. However, in clinical practice, the actual R0 resection rate, the local recurrence rate, and the prognosis of PHC are unsatisfactory. Therefore, the concept of total mesopancreas excision (TMpE) is proposed to achieve R0 resection. Although there have various controversies and discussions on the definition, the range of excision, and clinical prognosis of TMpE, the concept of TMpE can effectively increase the R0 resection rate, reduce the local recurrence rate, and improve the prognosis of PHC. Imaging is of importance in preoperative examination for PHC; however, traditional imaging assessment of PHC does not focus on mesopancreas. This review discusses the application of medical imaging in TMpE for PHC, to provide more accurate preoperative evaluation, range of excision, and more valuable postoperative follow-up evaluation for TMpE through imaging. It is believed that with further extensive research and exploratory application of TMpE for PHC, large-sample and multicenter studies will be realized, thus providing reliable evidence for imaging evaluation.

The Prognostic Significance of Novel Pancreas Cancer Prognostic Index in Unresectable Locally Advanced Pancreas Cancers Treated with Definitive Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

Purpose

We evaluated the prognostic quality of the novel pancreas cancer prognostic index (PCPI), a combination of CA 19-9 and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), on the outcomes of locally advanced pancreas adenocarcinoma (LAPAC) patients who received concurrent chemoradiotherapy (C-CRT).

Methods

This retrospective analysis covered 152 unresectable LAPAC patients treated from 2007 to 2019. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to define ideal cutoff thresholds for the pretreatment CA 19-9 and SIRI measurements, individually. The associations between the PCPI groups and progression-free- (PFS) and overall survival (OS) comprised the respective primary and secondary endpoints.

Results

The ROC curve analysis distinguished the respective rounded optimal cutoffs at 91 U/m/L (< versus ≥90) and 1.8 (< versus ≥1.8) for CA 19-9 and SIRI, arranging the study cohort into two significantly different survival groups for each, with resultant four likely groups: Group-1: CA 19-9<90 U/m/L and SIRI<1.8, Group-2: CA 19-9<90 U/m/L but SIRI≥1.8, Group-3: CA 19-9≥90 U/m/L but SIRI<1.8, and Group-4: CA 19-9≥90 U/m/L and SIRI≥1.8. Since the PFS (P=0.79) and OS (P=0.86) estimates of the groups 2 and 3 were statistically indistinct, we merged them as one group and created the novel three-tiered PCPI: PCPI-1: CA 19-9<90 U/m/L and SIRI<1.8, PCPI-2: CA 19-9<90 U/m/L but SIRI≥1.8 or CA 19-9≥90 U/m/L but SIRI<1.8, and PCPI-3: CA 19-9≥90 U/m/L and SIRI≥1.8, respectively. Comparative analyses unveiled that the PCPI-1 and PCPI-3 groups had the respective best and worst PFS (17.0 versus 7.5 versus 4.4 months; P<0.001) and OS (26.1 versus 15.1 versus 7.4 months; P<0.001) outcomes, while the PCPI-2 group posed in between. The multivariate analysis outcomes confirmed the novel three tired PCPI’s independent prognostic significance on either of the PFS [HR: 5.38 (95% confidence interval (CI): 4.96-5.80); P<0.001)] and OS [HR: 5.67 (95% CI: 5.19-6.15); P<0.001] endpoints, separately.

Conclusion

The new PCPI introduced here can be used as an independent and reliable prognostic indicator to divide LAPAC patients into three subgroups with discrete survival results.

Prognostic role of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients with metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer treated with Abiraterone or Enzalutamide

BACKGROUND

Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are markers of systemic inflammation associated with poor outcome in several solid tumours. We retrospectively investigated the prognostic role of PLR and, secondly, NLR in mCRPC patients treated with Abiraterone Acetate (AA) or Enzalutamide (E), both in pre- and post-docetaxel setting.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

225 mCRPC patients treated with AA or E with basal blood count were divided in three groups according to PLR (PLR1 <128; PLR2 128-190; PLR >190) and in two groups according to NLR (<3 vs ≥3). Outcome measures were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall-survival (OS). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed.

RESULTS

110 patients were in PLR1, 58 in PLR2 and 57 in PLR3. Median OS was 22.0, 20.6 and 21.2 months in PLR1, PLR2 and PLR3 (PLR2 vs PLR1: HR 0.97, 95%CI 0.62-1.52, p=0.90; PLR3 vs PLR1: HR 1.37, 95%CI 0.90-2.08, p=0.14). Median PFS was 9.2, 12.7 and 8.5 months in PLR1, PLR2 and PLR3 (PLR2 vs PLR1: HR 0.87, 95%CI 0.59-1.27, p=0.47; PLR3 vs PLR1: HR 1.15, 95%CI 0.80-1.66, p=0.45). 142 patients were in NLR<3 and 83 in NLR≥3. Median OS was 26.5 months in NLR<3 and 17.0 months in NLR≥3 (HR 1.75, 95%CI 1.22-2.51, p=0.02). Median PFS was 10.1 months in NLR<3 and 7.6 months in NLR≥3 (HR 1.37, 95%CI 1.00-1.88, p=0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In this retrospective analysis of mCRPC patients treated with AA or E we did not identify a prognostic role of baseline PLR, while we found a significant prognostic role of baseline NLR.

Preoperative Utility of the Glasgow Prognostic Score on Outcomes of Patients with Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer

PURPOSE

To assess the utility of the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) obtained before curative resection for predicting outcomes in patients with advanced gastric cancer (GC).

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed the outcomes of 337 consecutive patients with GC who underwent curative surgery for locally advanced gastric cancer between January 2003 and June 2014. GPS was assessed within 4 days prior to surgery.

RESULTS

The number of patients with GPS scores of 0, 1, and 2 was 302, 26, and 9, respectively. There was significantly more blood loss during surgery and more postoperative complications in the GPS 1/2 group than in the GPS 0 group. Patients in the GPS 1/2 group had significantly poorer overall survival than those in the GPS 0 group (p = 0.001). On multivariate analysis, GPS 1/2 was identified as an independent factor for poor survival (p = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

GPS before curative resection might be a useful predictive factor for perioperative complications and survival in locally advanced GC.

Prognostic and clinical significance of modified glasgow prognostic score in pancreatic cancer: a meta-analysis of 4,629 patients

In this study, we evaluated the association of modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) with prognosis in pancreatic cancer (PC) by performing a meta-analysis. Potentially eligible studies were shortlisted by searching PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library. A total of 4,629 patients with PC from 25 studies were finally included in this meta-analysis. Meta-analyses were performed using a random-effects model or fixed-effect model according to heterogeneity. We pooled the hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to estimate the association between mGPS and overall survival (OS). The results showed that elevated mGPS correlated with poor OS in patients with PC (HR=1.92, 95% CI=1.60–2.30, p<0.002). In addition, subgroup analysis indicated that increased mGPS remained a significant prognostic factor irrespective of the study design, region, disease status, treatment, survival analysis, cancer type, study center, or the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) score (all p<0.05). There was a significant correlation between higher mGPS and male gender (Odds ratio [OR]=1.30, 95% CI=1.01–1.67, p=0.038). Elevated pretreatment mGPS is a marker of poor prognosis in patients with PC. As an easily available and cost-effective inflammatory parameter, mGPS can serve as a promising tool for prognostication in PC.

Optimal Preoperative Multidisciplinary Treatment in Borderline Resectable Pancreatic Cancer

Simple Summary

For borderline pancreatic cancer, upfront surgery was standard in the past, and the usefulness of neoadjuvant treatment has been reported in recent years. However, few studies have been conducted to date on whether there is a difference in optimal treatment between borderline resectable pancreatic cancer invading the portal vein (BR-PV) or abutting major arteries (BR-A). The objective of this study was to investigate the optimal neoadjuvant therapy for BR-PV or BR-A. We retrospectively analyzed 88 patients with BR-PV and 111 patients with BR-A. In this study, we found that neoadjuvant treatment using new chemotherapy (FOLFIRINOX or gemcitabine along with nab-paclitaxel) is essential for improving the prognosis of BR pancreatic cancer. These findings suggest that prognosis may be prolonged by maintaining good nutritional status during preoperative treatment.

Abstract

Background: The objective of this study was to investigate the optimal neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) for borderline resectable pancreatic cancer invading the portal vein (BR-PV) or abutting major arteries (BR-A). Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 88 patients with BR-PV and 111 patients with BR-A. Results: In BR-PV patients who underwent upfront surgery (n = 46)/NAT (n = 42), survival was significantly better in the NAT group (3-year overall survival (OS): 5.8%/35.5%, p = 0.004). In BR-A patients who underwent upfront surgery (n = 48)/NAT (n = 63), survival was also significantly better in the NAT group (3-year OS:15.5%/41.7%, p < 0.001). The prognosis tended to be better in patients who received newer chemotherapeutic regimens, such as FOLFIRINOX and gemcitabine with nab-paclitaxel. In 36 BR-PV patients who underwent surgery after NAT, univariate analysis revealed that normalization of tumor marker (TM) levels (p = 0.028) and preoperative high prognostic nutritional index (PNI) (p = 0.022) were significantly associated with a favorable prognosis. In 39 BR-A patients who underwent surgery after NAT, multivariate analysis revealed that preoperative PNI > 42.5 was an independent prognostic factor (HR: 0.15, p = 0.014). Conclusions: NAT using newer chemotherapy is essential for improving the prognosis of BR pancreatic cancer. These findings suggest that prognosis may be prolonged by maintaining good nutritional status during preoperative treatment.

The prognostic value of modified Glasgow Prognostic Score in pancreatic cancer: a meta-analysis

Background

Several studies were conducted to explore the prognostic value of modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) in pancreatic cancer, which reported contradictory results. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to summarize and further investigate the correlation between mGPS and overall survival (OS) in pancreatic cancer.

Methods

A systematic literature search was performed in PubMed, EMBASE, ISI Web of Science, Cochrane library databases and OVID to identify eligible studies published from Jan 1, 2011 to June 20, 2020. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to detect the prognostic significance of mGPS in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Results

A total of 222 non-repetitive studies were identified, and 20 related studies that explored the association between survival outcomes and mGPS in pancreatic cancer patients were finally enrolled in this meta-analysis. The results showed a significant correlation between high level of mGPS and poor OS (HR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.20-1.89, P < 0.0001). Similar results were observed in the subgroup analyses based on the treatment regimen and research region.

Conclusions

Our study suggested the close association between poor prognosis and high level of mGPS, which will be helpful for future clinical applications in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Low Systemic Inflammation Response Index Predicts Good Prognosis in Locally Advanced Pancreatic Carcinoma Patients Treated with Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

Background

We investigated the prognostic significance of pretreatment systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) in locally advanced pancreatic carcinoma (LAPC) patients treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

Methods

Present retrospective cohort analysis investigated consecutive 154 LAPC patients who received radical CRT. The SIRI was defined as: SIRI = neutrophil × monocyte/lymphocyte counts. Ideal SIRI cutoff(s) influencing overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) results were sought by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The primary endpoint was the interaction between the SIRI and OS results.

Results

The median follow-up, PFS, and OS durations were 14.3 (range: 2.9-74.6), 7.9 [%95 confidence interval (CI): 5.7-10.1), and 14.7 months (%95 CI: 11.4-18.0) for the entire cohort, respectively. ROC curve analyses determined the ideal SIRI cutoff that exhibiting a significant link with OS and PFS outcomes at the rounded 1.6 point (AUC: 74.3%; sensitivity: 73.8%; specificity: 70.1%).The SIRI <1.6 patients (N = 58) had significantly superior median PFS (13.8 versus 6.7 months; P < 0.001) and OS (28.6 versus 12.6 months; P < 0.001) lengths than SIRI ≥1.6 patients (N = 96), respectively. Although the N0 (versus N1; P < 0.05) and CA 19-9 ≤90 U/mL (versus >90 U/mL) appeared as the other significant associates of better OS and PFS in univariate analyses, yet the results of multivariate analyses confirmed the SIRI <1.6 as the independent indicator of superior OS and PFS (P < 0.001 for each).

Conclusion

Pretreatment SIRI is a novel independent prognosticator that may further enhance the conventional tumor-node-metastases staging system in a more precise prediction of the OS and PFS outcomes of LAPC patients after radical CRT.

Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia as a prognostic factor in patients with pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia (CIN) is a common adverse event of chemotherapy. Several reports have suggested that CIN could be an important prognostic factor in chemotherapy of various cancers. However, whether CIN is a prognostic factor in unresectable pancreatic cancer (PC) treated with gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (GnP) is unknown. The primary endpoint of this study was to compare overall survival (OS) between patients with severe CIN (grade ≥ 3) and those with absent/mild CIN (grade ≤ 2) in unresectable PC cases treated with GnP as first-line chemotherapy.

METHODS

A retrospective, cohort study was conducted using data from a computerized database. A total of 290 patients with pathologically confirmed PC treated with GnP as first-line chemotherapy were analyzed (severe CIN: ≥ grade 3, n = 174; absent/mild CIN: ≤ grade 2, n = 116).

RESULTS

The median OS was longer in the severe CIN group than in the absent/mild CIN group (19.2 months vs 11.3 months, respectively; P < 0.001). After adjustment, severe CIN was an independent predictive factor for OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.38-0.74; P < 0.001). After adjustment by time-varying covariates, severe CIN was still a significant prognostic factor for OS (HR, 0.79; 95% CI 0.69-0.91, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The present results show that severe CIN is an independent and useful prognostic factor in PC patients treated with GnP.

Prognostic Significance of the Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score in Patients With Pancreatic Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) in patients with pancreatic cancer is controversial, based on previous studies. Therefore, this meta-analysis aimed to explore the relationship between mGPS and prognosis in pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

The databases PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched to identify eligible studies. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to estimate the associations between mGPS score and survival outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 26 studies with 5198 patients were included in this meta-analysis. In a pooled analysis, elevated mGPS predicted poorer overall survival (OS; HR = 1.98, 95% CI, 1.65-2.37, P < .001). In addition, elevated mGPS was also significantly associated with worse progression-free survival (PFS), disease-free survival (DFS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS; HR = 1.95, 95% CI, 1.36-2.80, P < .001). Subgroup analyses confirmed a significant association between mGPS and survival outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis demonstrated that high mGPS was correlated to worse OS, PFS, DFS, and CSS in patients with pancreatic cancer. Therefore, mGPS could be employed as an effective prognostic factor for pancreatic cancer in clinical practice.

A systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) correlates with survival and predicts oncological outcome for mFOLFIRINOX therapy in metastatic pancreatic cancer

OBJECTIVES

Systemic inflammatory response and survival has not been evaluated as a predictive factor of chemotherapy in metastatic pancreatic cancer. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of a baseline Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) in metastatic pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Retrospective study of 164 metastatic pancreatic cancer patients. Associations between overall survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS), chemotherapy and SIRI were analyzed. SIRI is defined by neutrophil x monocyte/lymphocyte 10⁹/L.

RESULTS

Median age 66 years. 22 (13%) received mFOLFIRINOX, 59 (36%) gemcitabine + nab-paclitaxel, 40 (24%) gemcitabine, 13 (8%) other regimens and 30 (18%) had not received treatment. Patients with SIRI<2.3 × 10⁹/L showed a statistically significant improvement in OS compared to SIRI≥2.3 × 10⁹/L [16 months versus 4.8 months, Hazard Ratio (HR) 2.87, Confidence Interval (CI) 95% 2.02-4.07, p < 0.0001] that was confirmed in multivariate analysis. In addition, patients with SIRI<2.3 × 10⁹ showed a longer PFS (12 versus 6 months, HR 1.92, IC 95% 1.314-2.800, P = 0.001). Furthermore, we observed that patients with SIRI ≥2.3 × 10⁹/L were more likely to benefit from mFOLFIRINOX therapy. Patients with an elevated SIRI treated with mFOLFIRINOX versus gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine showed a clinically and statistically significant difference in median OS of 17 months compared to 6 and 4 months respectively (p < 0.001). Conversely, the difference was not clinically significant in the SIRI<2.3 × 10⁹/L subgroup: 15.9 months versus 16.5 and 16, respectively.

CONCLUSION

An elevated SIRI (≥2.3 × 10⁹/L) was an independent prognostic factor for patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer, warranting prospective evaluation.

An Increasing Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Trajectory Predicts Organ Failure in Critically-Ill Male Trauma Patients. An Exploratory Study

Background: Although the association of neutrophil proportions with mortality in trauma patients has recently been shown, there is a paucity of research on the association with other outcomes. We sought to investigate the association of neutrophil proportions with organ failure in critically-ill trauma patients. Methods: We reviewed a randomly-selected group of trauma patients admitted to our level-1 trauma intensive care unit between July 2007 and December 2016. Data collected included demographics, injury mechanism and severity (ISS), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at admission and at 24 and 48 hours and organ failure data. NLR patterns during the first 48 hours were divided into two trajectories identified by applying factor and cluster analysis to longitudinal measures. Logistic regression was performed for the association between NLR trajectories and any organ failure; negative binomial regression was used to model the number of organ failures and stage of kidney failure measured by KDIGO classification. Results: 207 patients had NLR data at all three time points. The average age was 44.9 years with mean ISS of 20.6. Patients were 72% male and 23% had penetrating trauma. The 74 patients (36%) with Trajectory 1 had a mean NLR at admission of 3.6, which increased to 14.7 at 48 hours. The 133 (64%) patients in Trajectory 2 had a mean NLR at admission of 8.5 which decreased to 6.6 at 48 hours. Mean NLR was different between the two groups at all three time points (all p < 0.01). There was no significant difference in ISS, age or gender between the two trajectory groups. Models adjusted for age, gender and ISS showed that relative to those with trajectory 2, patients with the trajectory 1 were more likely to have organ failure OR 2.96 (1.42⁻6.18; p < 0.01), higher number of organ failures IRR 1.50 (1.13⁻2.00, p < 0.01), and degree of AKI IRR 2.06 (1.04⁻4.06, p = 0.04). In all cases, the estimated associations were higher among men vs. women, and all were significant among men, but not women. Conclusions: Trauma patients with an increasing NLR trajectory over the first 48 hours had increased risk, number and severity of organ failures. Further research should focus on the mechanisms behind this difference in outcome.