Renal impairment is associated with increased risk of mortality in patients with cirrhosis: A retrospective cohort study

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting overall survival in cirrhotic patients with acute kidney injury

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and severe complication in patients with cirrhosis, and is associated with poor prognosis. Therefore, identifying cirrhotic patients with AKI who are at high risk of mortality is very important and may be helpful for providing timely medical interventions to improve the prognosis of these patients. However, studies focused on investigating the risk factors for the mortality of cirrhotic patients with AKI were scarce.

AIM

To identify risk factors for mortality and establish a nomogram for predicting the prognosis of these patients.

METHODS

Two hundred fifty consecutive patients with cirrhosis and AKI were recruited and randomly divided into training cohort (n = 173) and validation cohort (n = 77). In the training cohort, potential risk factors for death were identified by performing a Cox regression analysis, and a nomogram was established. The predictive performance of the nomogram was internally and externally validated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), constructing a calibration curve and performing decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

The serum sodium level, international normalized ratio, peak serum creatinine level > 1.5 mg/dL, the presence of hepatic encephalopathy and diabetes were potential risk factors for mortality of cirrhotic patients with AKI in the training dataset. A prognostic nomogram incorporating these variables was established for predicting the overall survival of these patients. Compared with Child-Turcotte-Pugh, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and the MELD-Na scores, the nomogram in predicting 90- and 180-d mortality exhibited better discriminatory power with AUROCs of 0.792 and 0.801 for the training dataset and 0.817 and 0.862 for the validation dataset, respectively. With a nomogram score of 98, patients were divided into low- and high-risk groups, and high-risk patients had a higher mortality rate.

CONCLUSION

A prognostic nomogram displayed good performance for predicting the overall survival of cirrhotic patients with AKI, and will assist clinicians in evaluating the prognosis of these patients.

Nosocomial infections in female compared with male patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis

There are considerable differences between males and females regarding the etiology, progression and outcome of liver diseases. Infections are a frequent and severe complication in these patients. This study aimed to examine sex specific differences in the incidence and clinical course of nosocomial infections in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. A number of 556 consecutive hospitalized patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis and ascites were analyzed. The patients were followed up for the incidence of nosocomial infections, acute kidney injury (AKI), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) as well as liver transplantation and death (LTx-free survival). A number of 285 patients (111 women and 174 men) developed a nosocomial infection. Incidence was numerically lower in men (P = 0.076). While the frequency of a nosocomial spontaneous bacterial peritonitis was similar between males and females, the incidence of a nosocomial urinary tract infection was significantly higher in women (P < 0.001). No sex specific differences were documented regarding the outcome of an infection as indicated by a similar incidence of, AKI, ACLF as well as LTx-free survival. There seem to be no major differences in the incidence and outcome of nosocomial infections between male and female patients.

Clinical outcomes and prognostic factors of mortality in liver cirrhosis patients on continuous renal replacement therapy in two tertiary hospitals in Korea

Background

Data on liver cirrhosis (LC) patients undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) are lacking despite of the dismal prognosis. We therefore evaluated clinical characteristics and predictive factors related to mortality in LC patients undergoing CRRT.

Methods

We performed a retrospective observational study at two tertiary hospitals in Korea. A total of 229 LC patients who underwent CRRT were analyzed. Patients were classified into survivor and non-survivor groups. We used multivariable Cox regression analyses to identify predictive factors of in-hospital mortality.

Results

During a median follow-up of 5 days (interquartile range, 1-19 days), in-hospital mortality rate was 66.4%. In multivariable analysis, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score (hazard ratio [HR], 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.06; p = 0.02), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.04-1.11; p > 0.001), and delivered CRRT dose (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.98; p = 0.002) were significant risk factors for in-hospital mortality. Patients with a CRRT delivered dose < 25 mL/kg/hr had a higher mortality rate than those with a delivered dose > 35 mL/kg/hr (HR, 3.13; 95% CI, 1.62-6.05; p = 0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed that a CRRT delivered dose > 25 mL/kg/hr was a significant risk factor for in-hospital mortality among LC patients with a MELD score ≥ 30.

Conclusion

High APACHE II score, high MELD score, and low delivered CRRT dose were significant risk factors for in-hospital mortality. CRRT delivered dose impacted mortality significantly, especially in patients with a MELD score ≥ 30.

The efficacy of biomarkers in the diagnosis of acute kidney injury secondary to liver cirrhosis

ABSTRACT

This study is to investigate the role of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), cystatin C (CysC) and creatinine in the diagnosis of acute kidney injury (AKI) secondary to liver cirrhosis.A total of 825 patients (including 540 liver cirrhosis patients and 285 healthy controls) were enrolled. Liver cirrhosis patients were further subdivided into AKI secondary to liver cirrhosis group (AKI group, 210 patients) and simple liver cirrhosis group (LC group, 330 patients). Serum NGAL/urine NGAL (sNGAL/uNGAL), and serum creatinine (sCr) levels as well as estimated glomerular filtration rates were measured. The diagnostic performances of these indicators in AKI secondary to liver cirrhosis were evaluated.The levels of sNGAL, uNGAL, CysC and sCr in the AKI group were significantly higher than those of LC and healthy control groups. However, the eGFR and c-aGFR of AKI group were significantly lower. With the progression of AKI (AKI-S1→AKI-S2→AKI-S3), the levels of sNGAL, uNGAL, CysC and sCr increased gradually, while the levels of c-aGFR and eGFR decreased gradually. The sNGAL, uNGAL and CysC were positively correlated with sCr (r = 0.638, 0.635, and 0.650), but negatively correlated with c-aGFR (r = -0.617, -0.606 and -0.655). However, eGFR had a negative correlation with sCr (r = -0.711), but a positive correlation with c-aGFR (r = 0.736). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve for uNGAL was the largest (0.976), followed by sNGAL (0.967). The diagnostic efficacy of uNGAL and sNGAL in AKI group were 0.907 and 0.870, and the risk degrees were OR = 54.524 and 5.115, respectively.NGAL might perform better than sCr and CysC in the diagnosis of AKI secondary to liver cirrhosis, while uNGAL might be a better indicator than sNGAL in AKI diagnosis.

Concurrence of HBV infection and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is associated with higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease

AIMS

Coexistence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is common in clinical practice. This study was to explore the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in patients with NAFLD and/or HBV.

METHODS

Participants who received health examination in a physical examination center were included in this cross-sectional study. Binary logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) for CKD.

RESULTS

A total of 32,578 cases were included in the final analysis, with 52.3% males and an average age of 44.01±13.09 years old. The positive rate of HBV surface antigen was 14.5% and NAFLD was diagnosed in 30.2% cases. The coexistence of NAFLD and HBV-infection was found in 1,275 (3.9%) cases. In overall population, 713 (2.2%) cases were diagnosed with CKD. The CKD prevalence were 1.4%, 2.1%, 3.5% and 5.0% in those without NAFLD or HBV, HBV-infection alone, NAFLD alone and those with concomitant HBV-infection and NAFLD, respectively. After adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, diabetes and hypertension, the correlation between CKD and liver disease was still significant in HBV group (OR=1.388, 95%CI: 1.055-1.809), yet no longer existed in patients with NAFLD (OR=1.183, 95%CI: 0.986-1.420). The concomitant of NAFLD and HBV infection was associated with a higher odds ratio for CKD compared to any other group (OR=1.961, 95%CI=1.454-2.645).

CONCLUSIONS

The coexistence of NAFLD and HBV increases the risk of CKD by 2-fold. The control of multiple liver diseases will be beneficial not only to liver but also to kidney.

Impact of acute kidney injury on prognosis and the effect of tolvaptan in patients with hepatic ascites

BACKGROUND

In hepatic cirrhosis, ascites and acute kidney injury (AKI) portend poor prognosis. We examined the incidence and characteristics of AKI in patients with hepatic ascites and the impact of diuretics on AKI onset.

METHODS

This study included 337 patients with hepatic ascites treated with oral diuretics during September 2013-June 2019. Incidence of AKI, cumulative survival by AKI status, and prognostic factors were investigated. Patients were divided into those treated with tolvaptan (TLV) [TLV group (n = 244)] and those not treated with TLV [control group (n = 93)]. After propensity score matching, the incidence of AKI and changes in renal function and doses of diuretics were compared.

RESULTS

The incidence of AKI overall was 35% (n = 118). Patients with AKI had a significantly worse survival than those without AKI (P = 0.001), indicating that AKI is an independent prognostic factor for hepatic ascites (P = 0.025). After adjustment for background factors in the two groups (n = 77 each), the TLV group had a significantly lower incidence of AKI (27.6% vs. 44.7%, P = 0.028). While renal function worsened with higher natriuretic agent doses in the control group, no significant change was observed in the TLV group, suggesting that TLV is an independent prognostic factor for AKI onset.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that concomitant AKI significantly worsens survival in Japanese patients with hepatic ascites, and TLV and natriuretic agent combination therapy might lead to an excellent synergistic therapeutic effect of hepatic ascites and inhibition of AKI onset.

IMPACT OF ACUTE KIDNEY INJURY STAGING ON PROGNOSIS OF PATIENTS WITH CIRRHOSIS

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and severe complication of cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of AKI staging on 30-day mortality of patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. Acute kidney injury (AKI) was diagnosed according to the International Club of Ascites recommendations and staged according to the European Association for the Study of the Liver guidelines. Comparisons between groups were made by one-way analysis of variance and Tukey test. Chi-square was calculated for dichotomous variables. Comparisons of renal impairment status among patients were performed using Kaplan-Meier statistics and differences between groups were analyzed using the log-rank test. A P-value <0.05 was considered to be statistically significant.

RESULTS

Two hundred and thirty-two patients were included in the study. The diagnosis of AKI was performed in 98 (42.2%) of them. The overall 30-day mortality was 19.8% (46/232). Mortality increased as the degree of AKI progressed. Among patients who did not have AKI, mortality was 5.2% (7/134). When compared to patients without AKI, patients diagnosed with AKI stage 1a had mortality of 12.1% (4/33, P=0.152); patients with AKI stage 1b had mortality of 45% (18/40, P<0.001); and patients with AKI stages 2 or 3 had mortality of 68% (17/25, P<0.001). Moreover, it is noteworthy that full response to treatment was associated to a decreased mortality when compared to patients who did not show complete recovery of renal function (14.3% vs 57.9%, P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

AKI stages 1b or greater, but not AKI stage 1a, are associated to higher 30-day mortality of patients with cirrhosis.

Evolution of diagnostic criteria for acute kidney injury in patients with decompensated cirrhosis: A prospective study in a tertiary university hospital

BACKGROUND

Recently, changes in acute kidney injury (AKI) diagnostic criteria have been proposed (ICA-AKI criteria). However, in Brazil there is a paucity of data and analyses that evaluate AKI in patients with cirrhosis and determine the impact of the implemented AKI criteria changes. Therefore, this study sought to evaluate the incidence of AKI in patients with cirrhosis; to evaluate the agreement between traditional and ICA-AKI criteria; and to assess its clinical and laboratory characteristics, etiologies, risk factors and outcomes.

METHODS

This is a prospective cohort study in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and acute decompensation. The total number of hospitalizations was evaluated using the PWP statistical model for recurring events; P values<0.05 were considered significant.

RESULTS

A total of 154 admissions of 75 patients were included in the study. Among the hospitalizations, 89 (57.79%) met the ICA-AKI criteria. There was substantial agreement between both AKI classifications (Kappa 0.7293). The main etiology of AKI was pre-renal (59.55%), followed by renal (26.96%) and hepatorenal syndrome (10.11%). A multivariate analysis uncovered risk factors for ICA-AKI, including the MELD score (P=0.0162, RR:1.055, 95% CI:1.010-1.101) and the use of furosemide (P=0.001,RR:2.360, 95% CI:1.417-3.931). A univariate analysis found an association between in-hospital mortality and serum creatinine (sCr)≥1.5mg/dL(P=0.0373), MELD (P=0.0296), bilirubin (P=0.0064), and infection (P=0.0045), while in the multivariate analysis, the bilirubin levels (P=0.0030, RR:1.077, 95% CI: 1.025-1.130) and the presence of shock (P=0.0002, RR:8.511, 95% CI: 2.746-26.377) were associated with in-hospital mortality. Among the hospitalizations with AKI, death was significantly associated with non-response to treatment and dialysis. Initial stage 1A-AKI had lower in-hospital mortality than stage 1B-AKI.

CONCLUSIONS

AKI incidence was high in this cohort of patients with decompensated cirrhosis, and substantial agreement between AKI definitions was observed. In-hospital mortality was associated with worse liver function, AKI, infection and the presence of shock. Also, sCr>1,5mg/dL remained an important prognostic factor.

HEP-Net opinion on the management of ascites and its complications in the setting of decompensated cirrhosis in the resource constrained environment of Pakistan

Approximately one half of patients develop ascites within 10 years of diagnosis of compensated cirrhosis. It is a poor prognostic indicator, with only 50% surviving beyond two years. Mortality worsens significantly to 20% to 50% at one year if the ascites becomes refractory to medical therapy. Pakistan has one of the highest prevalence of viral hepatitis in the world and patients with ascites secondary to liver cirrhosis make a major percentage of both inpatient and outpatient burden. Studies indicate that over 80% of patients admitted with ascites have liver cirrhosis as the cause.

This expert opinion suggests proper assessment of patients with ascites in the presence of underlying cirrhosis. This expert opinion includes appropriate diagnosis and management of uncomplicated ascites, refractory ascites and complicated ascites (including spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) ascites, hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) and hyponatremia. The purpose behind this expert opinion is to help consultants, postgraduate trainees, medical officers and primary care physicians optimally manage their patients with cirrhosis and ascites in a resource constrained setting as is often encountered in a developing country like Pakistan.