Modified Glasgow coma scale for predicting outcome after subarachnoid hemorrhage surgery

Clinical prediction models for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a systematic review update

BACKGROUND

A systematic review of clinical prediction models for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) reported in 2011 noted that clinical prediction models for aSAH were developed using poor methods and were not externally validated. This study aimed to update the above review to guide the future development of predictive models in aSAH.

METHODS

We systematically searched Embase and MEDLINE databases (January 2010 to February 2022) for articles that reported the development of a clinical prediction model to predict functional outcomes in aSAH. Our reviews are based on the items included in the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses statement (PRISMA) checklist, and on data abstracted from each study in accord with the Checklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS) 2014 checklist. Bias and applicability were assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST).

RESULTS

We reviewed data on 30 466 patients contributing to 29 prediction models abstracted from 22 studies identified from an initial search of 7858 studies. Most models were developed using logistic regression (n=20) or machine learning (n=9) with prognostic variables selected through a range of methods. Age (n=13), World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) grade (n=11), hypertension (n=6), aneurysm size (n=5), Fisher grade (n=12), Hunt and Hess score (n=5), and Glasgow Coma Scale (n=8) were the variables most frequently included in the reported models. External validation was performed in only four studies. All but one model had a high or unclear risk of bias due to poor performance or lack of validation.

CONCLUSION

Externally validated models for the prediction of functional outcome in aSAH patients have now become available. However, most of them still have a high risk of bias.

A dynamic online nomogram for predicting death in hospital after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to validate the efficacy the multiplication of neutrophils and monocytes (MNM) and a novel dynamic nomogram for predicting in-hospital death in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

METHODS

Retrospective study was done on 986 patients with endovascular coiling for aSAH. Independent risk factors associated with in-hospital death were identified using both univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. In the development cohort, a dynamic nomogram of in-hospital deaths was introduced and made available online as a straightforward calculator. To predict the in-hospital death from the external validation cohort by nomogram, calibration analysis, decision curve analysis, and receiver operating characteristic analysis were carried out.

RESULTS

72/687 patients (10.5%) in the development cohort and 31/299 patients (10.4%) in the validation cohort died. MNM was linked to in-hospital death in univariate and multivariate regression studies. In the development cohort, a unique nomogram demonstrated a high prediction ability for in-hospital death. According to the calibration curves, the nomogram has a reliable degree of consistency and calibration. With threshold probabilities between 10% and 90%, the nomogram's net benefit was superior to the basic model. The MNM and nomogram also exhibited good predictive values for in-hospital death in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

MNM is a novel predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with aSAH. For aSAH patients, a dynamic nomogram is a useful technique for predicting in-hospital death.

Significance of Pupillary Findings in Decision Making and Outcomes of World Federation of Neurological Societies Grade V Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

There is considerable debate regarding the definition of grade V subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Recently, the Glasgow Coma Scale-Pupil (GCS-P) score was advocated for assessing traumatic brain injury.

OBJECTIVE

To study the significance of pupillary findings and GCS-P in the management and outcomes of the World Federation of Neurological Societies (WFNS) grade V SAH.

METHODS

We analyzed data obtained from a Japanese nationwide prospective registration study on the modified WFNS SAH grading system. Bilateral pupillary dilatation without reactivity was defined as pupil score 2, unilateral pupil dilation without reactivity as score 1, and no pupil dilatation with reactivity as score 0. The GCS-P score was calculated by subtracting the pupil score from the total GCS score. The characteristics and pupillary findings were examined in patients with each GCS score in WFNS grade V.

RESULTS

Among 1638 patients, 472 (men/women = 161/311, age 67.0 ± 14.0 years) had a GCS score of ≤6 after initial resuscitation on arrival. Overall, lower GCS scores were associated with poorer neurological outcomes and higher mortality. Aneurysms were treated in 20.5%, 53.9%, and 67.5% of patients with pupil scores of 2, 1, and 0, respectively. Favorable outcomes (modified Rankin Scale 0-2) at 3 months occurred in 4.5%, 10.8%, and 21.4% in patients with pupil scores 2, 1, and 0, respectively ( P < .0001), and in 0%, 0%, 13.6%, 28.6%, 16.7%, and 18.8% of patients with GCS-P scores 1 to 6 ( P < .0001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our study confirmed the significance of pupillary findings in decision making and outcomes of WFNS grade V SAH.

Efficacy of nimodipine in the treatment of subarachnoid hemorrhage: a meta-analysis

Background Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is an uncommon and serious subtype of stroke, which leads to the loss of the patient's ability to produce and live for many years.

Objective To investigate the clinical effect of nimodipine in the treatment of SAH.

Methods Electronic databases including China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), VIP, SinoMed, China Master's Theses Full-text Database (CMFD), China Doctoral Dissertations Full-text Database (CDFD), Cochrane Library, PubMed and Embase were searched from 2010 and 2021. All randomized controlled trials evaluating the efficacy of nimodipine in the treatment of SAH were included in our meta-analysis. The patients were divided into control group and treatment group. Meta-analysis was performed with Stata16.0 software.

Results A total of 10 studies were included. Compared with the control group, the treatment group had higher effective rate (OR = 3.21, 95% CI: 2.25, 4.58; p < 0.001), and lower incidence of adverse reactions (OR = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.19, 0.67; p = 0.001). Before treatment, no significant differences were identified in middle cerebral artery blood flow velocity and Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score between the two groups. However, after treatment, the middle cerebral artery blood flow velocity (SMD = −1.36, 95% CI: −2.28, −0.49; p = 0.002) and GCS score (SMD = 1.24, 95% CI: 0.58, 1.89; p < 0.001) in the treatment group were significantly better than those in the control group.

Conclusions Nimodipine is effective in the treatment of SAH, lowering incidence of adverse reactions and therefore improving the prognosis of patients.

Related Factors and a Threshold of the Maximum Neuron-Specific Enolase Value Affecting the Prognosis of Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Background

The prognosis of patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage is influenced by many factors. Neuron-specific enolase (NSE) is a biological marker of neurological damage. This study aimed to determine the related prognostic factors and whether or not the maximum NSE value (NSEmax) has a threshold between good and poor prognosis in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

Methods

A total of 259 patients admitted following aSAH were treated by appropriate methods. Initial neurological severity was evaluated by using the initial Glasgow coma scale and Hunt-Hess grades. NSE plasma concentration was measured during the patient's stay in the neurosurgical intensive care unit, and NSEmax was selected for further study. The primary endpoint of the study was Glasgow outcome score (GOS), which was dichotomized as poor outcome (GOS 1-3) or good outcome (GOS 4-5) at discharge.

Results

A poor outcome of patients with aSAH at discharge was associated with mild hypothermia treatment, Hunt-Hess grade, rehemorrhagia, neurogenic pulmonary edema, and pneumonia, which were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients. The best threshold of the maximum value of NSE for poor or good prognosis was 26.255 μg/L (specificity 0.908).

Conclusions

Poor neurological score, pulmonary complications, aneurysm rerupture, and mild hypothermia indicate a poor prognosis. NSEmax>26.255 μg/L is an independent predicting factor of poor neurological outcome at discharge after aSAH. This threshold value could help clinicians make the appropriate decision and prognosis.

The management of delayed cerebral ischemia after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a rare event affecting relatively young patients therefore leading to a high social impact. The management of SAH follows a biphasic course with early brain injuries in the first 72 hours followed by a phase at risk of secondary deterioration due to delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) in 20 to 30% patients. Cerebral infarction from DCI is the most preventable cause of mortality and morbidity after SAH. DCI prevention, early detection and treatment is therefore advocated. Formerly limited to the occurrence of vasospasm, DCI is now associated with multiple pathophysiological processes involving for instance the macrocirculation, the microcirculation, neurovascular units, and inflammation. Therefore, the therapeutic targets and management strategies are also evolving and are not only focused on proximal vasospasm. In this review, we describe the current knowledge of DCI pathophysiology. We then discuss the diagnosis strategies that may guide physicians at the bedside with a multimodal approach in the unconscious patient. We will present the prevention strategies that have proven efficient as well as future targets and present the therapeutic approach that is currently being developed when a DCI occurs.