Long-term survival prediction for transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in severe cirrhotic ascites: assessment of ten prognostic models

Predicting disease progression in cirrhotic patients after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt implantation: A sex-stratified analysis

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) has been extensively used to treat portal hypertension-associated complications, including cirrhosis. The prediction of post-TIPS prognosis is important for cirrhotic patients, as more aggressive liver transplantation is needed when the post-TIPS prognosis is poor.

AIM

To construct a nutrition-based model that could predict the disease progression of cirrhotic patients after TIPS implantation in a sex-dependent manner.

METHODS

This study retrospectively recruited cirrhotic patients undergoing TIPS implantation for analysis. Muscle quality was assessed by measuring the skeletal muscle index (SMI) by computed tomography. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to determine the association between SMI and disease progression in cirrhotic patients after TIPS implantation.

RESULTS

This study eventually included 186 cirrhotic patients receiving TIPS who were followed up for 30.5 ± 18.8 mo. For male patients, the 30-mo survival rate was significantly lower and the probability of progressive events was higher (3.257-fold) in the low-level SMI group than in the high-level SMI group. According to the multivariate Cox analysis of male patients, SMI < 32.8 was an independent risk factor for long-term adverse outcomes after TIPS implantation. A model was constructed, which involved creatinine, plasma ammonia, SMI, and acute-on-chronic liver failure and hepatic encephalopathy occurring within half a year after surgery. This model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.852, sensitivity of 0.926, and specificity of 0.652. According to the results of the DeLong test, this model outperformed other models (Child-Turcotte-Pugh, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, and Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival) (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

SMI is strongly associated with poor long-term outcomes in male patients with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS implantation.

New Indications for TIPSs: What Do We Know So Far?

Since 1988, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) has been an effective therapy for portal hypertension in many settings. Thanks to continuous technical improvements and a wiser selection of patients, excellent results have been achieved with this therapeutic strategy. The historical indications for TIPS placement, in the context of liver cirrhosis, such as refractory ascites and variceal bleeding are now well established and known. However, in recent years, new indications are emerging. These have been investigated and approved in some studies but are not yet included in guidelines and clinical practice. This review aims to highlight what is new for the role of TIPS in portal vein thrombosis (especially in patients awaiting liver transplantation), in recurrent ascites and not only refractory ascites, as a neoadjuvant therapy before abdominal surgery and, finally, in the setting of noncirrhotic portal hypertension. All these new aspects are addressed in this review with a critical approach based on the literature revision and clinical practice. Future research is needed to explore and validate the new role of TIPS in these scenarios.

Innovative approaches to the management of ascites in cirrhosis

Standard of care for the treatment of ascites in cirrhosis is to administer a sodium-restricted diet and diuretic therapy. The progression of cirrhosis will eventually lead to the development of refractory ascites, at which point diuretics will no longer be able to control the ascites. Second-line therapies such as a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement or repeat large volume paracentesis are then required. There is some evidence that regular infusions of albumin may delay the onset of refractoriness and improve survival, especially if given at an early stage in the natural history of ascites and for a long enough duration. The use of TIPS can eliminate ascites, but its insertion is associated with complications, especially cardiac decompensation and worsening of hepatic encephalopathy. New information is now available regarding how to best select patients for TIPS, what type of cardiac investigations are needed and how under-dilating the TIPS at the time of insertion may help. The use of a non-absorbable antibiotics, such as rifaximin, starting in the pre-TIPS period may also reduce the likelihood of post-TIPS hepatic encephalopathy. In patients who are not suitable for TIPS, the use of an alfapump to remove the ascites via the bladder can improve quality of life without significantly altering survival. In the future it may be possible to use metabolomics to help refine the management of patients with ascites, e.g. to assess their response to non-selective beta-blockers or to predict the development of other complications such as acute kidney injury.

The role of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in patients with cirrhosis and ascites: Recent evolution and open questions

In selected patients with cirrhosis and ascites, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement improves control of ascites and may reduce mortality. In this review, we summarize the current knowledge concerning the use of TIPS for the treatment of ascites in patients with cirrhosis, from pathophysiology of ascites formation to hemodynamic consequences, patient selection, and technical issues of TIPS insertion. The combination of these factors is important to guide clinical decision-making and identify the best strategy for each individual patient. There is still a need to identify the best timing for TIPS placement in the natural history of ascites (recurrent vs. refractory) as well as which type and level of renal dysfunction is acceptable when TIPS is proposed for the treatment of ascites in cirrhosis. Future studies are needed to define the optimal stent diameter according to patient characteristics and individual risk of shunt-related side effects, particularly hepatic encephalopathy and insufficient cardiac response to hemodynamic consequences of TIPS insertion.