The Effect of False-positive Mammograms on Antidepressant and Anxiolytic Initiation

Effect of Out-of-Pocket Costs on Subsequent Mammography Screening

OBJECTIVE

Although the Affordable Care Act eliminated cost sharing for screening mammography, a concern is that grandfathered plans, diagnostic mammograms, and follow-up testing may still lead to out-of-pocket (OOP) spending. Our study examines how OOP spending among women at their baseline screening mammogram may impact the decision to receive subsequent screening.

METHODS

The study included commercially insured women aged 40 to 41 years with a screening mammogram between 2011 and 2014. We estimated multivariate linear probability models of the effect of OOP spending at the baseline mammogram on subsequent screening 12 to 36 months later.

RESULTS

Having any OOP payments for the baseline screening mammogram significantly reduced the probability of screening in the subsequent 12 to 24 months by 3.0 percentage points (pp) (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1-4.8 pp decrease). For every $100 increase in the OOP expenses for the baseline mammogram, the likelihood of subsequent screening within 12 to 24 months decreased by 1.9 pp (95% CI: 0.8-3.1 pp decrease). Similarly, any OOP spending for follow-up tests resulting from the baseline screening led to a 2.7 pp lower probability of screening 12 to 24 months later (95% CI: 0.9-4.1 pp decrease). Higher OOP expenses were associated with significantly lower screening 24 to 36 months later (coefficient = -0.014, 95% CI: -0.025 to -0.003).

DISCUSSION

Although cost sharing has been eliminated for screening mammograms, OOP costs may still arise, particularly for diagnostic and follow-up testing services, both of which may reduce rates of subsequent screening. For preventive services, reducing or eliminating cost sharing through policy and legislation may be important to ensuring continued adherence to screening guidelines.

The cost, survival, and quality-of-life implications of guideline-discordant imaging for prostate cancer

Background

National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines for incident prostate cancer staging imaging have been widely circulated and accepted as best practice since 1996. Despite these clear guidelines, wasteful and potentially harmful inappropriate imaging of men with prostate cancer remains prevalent.

Aim

To understand changing population‐level patterns of imaging among men with incident prostate cancer, we created a state‐transition microsimulation model based on existing literature and incident prostate cancer cases.

Methods

To create a cohort of patients, we identified incident prostate cancer cases from 2004 to 2009 that were diagnosed in men ages 65 and older from SEER. A microsimulation model allowed us to explore how this cohort's survival, quality of life, and Medicare costs would be impacted by making imaging consistent with guidelines. We conducted a probabilistic analysis as well as one‐way sensitivity analysis.

Results

When only imaging high‐risk men compared to the status quo, we found that the population rate of imaging dropped from 53 to 38% and average per‐person spending on imaging dropped from $236 to $157. The discounted and undiscounted incremental cost‐effectiveness ratios indicated that ideal upfront imaging reduced costs and slightly improved health outcomes compared with current practice patterns, that is, guideline‐concordant imaging was less costly and slightly more effective.

Conclusion

This study demonstrates the potential reduction in cost through the correction of inappropriate imaging practices. These findings highlight an opportunity within the healthcare system to reduce unnecessary costs and overtreatment through guideline adherence.

Screening and Selection: The Case of Mammograms

We analyze selection into screening in the context of recommendations that breast cancer screening start at age 40. Combining medical claims with a clinical oncology model, we document that compliers with the recommendation are less likely to have cancer than younger women who select into screening or women who never screen. We show this selection is quantitatively important: shifting the recommendation from age 40 to 45 results in three times as many deaths if compliers were randomly selected than under the estimated patterns of selection. The results highlight the importance of considering characteristics of compliers when making and designing recommendations.

Can Digital Breast Tomosynthesis Replace Full-Field Digital Mammography? A Multireader, Multicase Study of Wide-Angle Tomosynthesis

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to test the hypothesis whether two-view wide-angle digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) can replace full-field digital mammography (FFDM) for breast cancer detection. SUBJECTS AND METHODS. In a multireader multicase study, bilateral two-view FFDM and bilateral two-view wide-angle DBT images were independently viewed for breast cancer detection in two reading sessions separated by more than 1 month. From a pool of 764 patients undergoing screening and diagnostic mammography, 330 patient-cases were selected. The endpoints were the mean ROC AUC for the reader per breast (breast level), ROC AUC per patient (subject level), noncancer recall rates, sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS. Twenty-nine of 31 readers performed better with DBT than FFDM regardless of breast density. There was a statistically significant improvement in readers' mean diagnostic accuracy with DBT. The subject-level AUC increased from 0.765 (standard error [SE], 0.027) for FFDM to 0.835 (SE, 0.027) for DBT (p = 0.002). Breast-level AUC increased from 0.818 (SE, 0.019) for FFDM to 0.861 (SE, 0.019) for DBT (p = 0.011). The noncancer recall rate per patient was reduced by 19% with DBT (p < 0.001). Masses and architectural distortions were detected more with DBT (p < 0.001); calcifications trended lower (p = 0.136). Accuracy for detection of invasive cancers was significantly greater with DBT (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION. Reader performance in breast cancer detection is significantly higher with wide-angle two-view DBT independent of FFDM, verifying the robustness of DBT as a sole view. However, results of perception studies in the vision sciences support the inclusion of an overview image.

Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Recurrence: Low Yield of Neck Ultrasound With an Undetectable Serum Thyroglobulin Level

OBJECTIVES

To assess the yield of neck ultrasound (US) when serum thyroglobulin (Tg) is undetectable (<0.1 ng/mL) compared to elevated serum Tg in patients with differentiated papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) treated with thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine 131 (RAI) ablation.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was conducted from 2010 through 2015 at an academic institution evaluating US results in patients with serum Tg levels obtained within 6 months of a neck US examination after thyroidectomy and RAI. The reference standard for recurrence was pathologic results from US-guided fine-needle aspiration (FNA) or follow-up for at least 1 year.

RESULTS

Among 76 patients with undetectable serum Tg levels, there were 19 examinations in 18 patients in which US raised the possibility of recurrence. None of these 18 patients had recurrence by FNA (n = 8) or clinical follow-up of at least 1 year (n = 10). Among 65 patients with elevated serum Tg levels, there were 24 examinations in 22 patients in which US raised the possibility of recurrence. Twelve patients underwent FNA, with 9 patients (34.6%) showing PTC; 7 patients had follow-up neck US examinations showing stability of findings; and 3 patients were lost to follow up. The yield of neck US was significantly lower when serum Tg was undetectable compared to when levels were elevated (P = .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Neck US did not identify recurrent PTC when the serum Tg level was undetectable in patients who underwent total thyroidectomy and RAI therapy. Eliminating neck US when serum TG levels are undetectable could decrease unnecessary imaging examinations without negatively affecting the ability to detect recurrent disease.