Evaluation of combined cardiac positron emission tomography and coronary computed tomography angiography for the detection of coronary artery disease

Prognostic value of cardiac computed tomography angiography: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to systematically review and perform a meta-analysis of the ability of cardiac computed tomography angiography (CCTA) to predict future cardiovascular events and death.

BACKGROUND

The diagnostic accuracy of CCTA is well reported. The prognostic value of CCTA has been described in several studies, but many were underpowered. Pooling outcomes increases the power to predict rare events.

METHODS

We searched multiple databases for longitudinal studies of CCTA with at least 3 months follow-up of symptomatic patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) reporting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), consisting of death, myocardial infarction (MI), and revascularization. Annualized event rates were pooled using a bivariate mixed-effects binomial regression model to calculate summary likelihood ratios and receiver-operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

Eighteen studies evaluated 9,592 patients with a median follow-up of 20 months. The pooled annualized event rate for obstructive (any vessel with >50% luminal stenosis) versus normal CCTA was 8.8% versus 0.17% per year for MACE (p < 0.05) and 3.2% versus 0.15% for death or MI (p < 0.05). The pooled negative likelihood ratio for MACE after normal CCTA findings was 0.008 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.0004 to 0.17, p < 0.001), the positive likelihood ratio was 1.70 (95% CI: 1.42 to 2.02, p < 0.001), sensitivity was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.93 to 1.00, p < 0.001), and specificity was 0.41 (95% CI: 0.31 to 0.52, p < 0.001). Stratifying by no CAD, nonobstructive CAD (worst stenosis <50%), or obstructive CAD, there were incrementally increasing adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

Adverse cardiovascular events among patients with normal findings on CCTA are rare. There are incrementally increasing future MACE with increasing CAD by CCTA.

CT of coronary artery disease

Technical innovation is rapidly improving the clinical utility of cardiac computed tomography (CT) and will increasingly address current technical limitations, especially the association of this test with relatively high levels of radiation. Guidelines for appropriate indications are in place and are evolving, with an increasing evidence base to ensure the appropriate use of this modality. New technologies and new applications, such as myocardial perfusion imaging and dual-energy CT, are being explored and are widening the scope of coronary CT angiography from mere coronary artery assessment to the integrative analysis of cardiac morphology, function, perfusion, and viability. The scientific evaluation of coronary CT angiography has left the stage of feasibility testing and increasingly, evidence-based data are accumulating on outcomes, prognosis, and cost-effectiveness. In this review, these developments will be discussed in the context of current pivotal transitions in cardiovascular disease management and their potential influence on the current role and future fate of coronary CT angiography will be examined.