Early death among head and neck cancer patients

Incorporation of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes into an early death prediction model significantly improves net reclassification for outcome estimation in advanced buccal cancer

We explored the impact of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) on the prognostic value of an early death model for advanced buccal cancer. We assessed 121 patients with advanced buccal cancer who underwent primary tumor resection at a medical center. Predictors of early death and 5-year overall survival (OS) were analyzed using Cox regression models. Performance of models was evaluated with the Harrell C and Akaike information criterion. The net reclassification improvement of the early death model was also calculated relative to the 5-year OS model for one-year all-cause mortality. A total of 121 patients with advanced buccal cancer were recruited. Mean age was 56.1 ± 9.8 years; 117 (96.7%) patients were male. sTILs ≤30%, clinical nodal disease, pathological nodal disease, poor differentiation, lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, WPOI 5, and no adjuvant radiotherapy were risk factors for early death in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, clinical TNM, sTILs, clinical nodal disease, poor differentiation, lymphovascular invasion, and no adjuvant RT were independent factors for early death. sTILs, pathological nodal disease, poor differentiation, lymphovascular invasion, and no adjuvant RT were independent factors for early death in the multivariate model with pathological TNM. The discriminatory ability was better for early death model for 1-year all-cause mortality. Finally, incorporation of sTILs into the early death model increased net reclassification by 21% for the clinical TNM model and 28% for the pathological TNM model. Addition of sTILs improved the early death model, which may help physicians to identify high-risk patients for more intensive treatment and follow-up.

Six-month mortality has decreased for patients with curative treatment intent for head and neck cancer in Sweden

BACKGROUND

In general, survival outcomes for patients with Head and Neck Cancer (HNC) has improved over recent decades. However, mortality within six months after diagnosis for curative patients remains at approximately 5%. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for early death among patients with curative treatment, and furthermore, to analyze whether the risk of early death changed over recent years.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

This real-world, population-based, nationwide study from the Swedish Head and Neck Cancer Register (SweHNCR) included all patients ≥18 years diagnosed with HNC with a curative treatment intent at the multidisciplinary tumor board from 2008 to 2020. A total of 16,786 patients were included.

RESULTS

During the study period a total of 618 (3.7%) patients with curative-intended treatment died within six months of diagnosis. Patients diagnosed between 2008 and 2012 had a six-month mortality rate of 4.7% compared to 2.5% for patients diagnosed between 2017 and 2020, indicating a risk reduction of 53% (p <0.001) for death within six months. The mean time to radiation therapy from diagnosis in the 2008-2012 cohort was 38 days, compared to 22 days for the 2017-2020 cohort, (p <0.001). The mean time to surgery from diagnosis was 22 days in 2008-2012, compared to 15 days for the 2017-2020 cohort, (p <0.001). Females had a 20% lower risk of dying within six months compared to males (p = 0.013). For every year older the patient was at diagnosis, a 4.8% (p <0.001) higher risk of dying within six months was observed. Patients with a WHO score of 1 had approximately 2.4-times greater risk of early death compared to WHO 0 patients (p <0.001). The risk of early death among WHO 4 patients was almost 28 times higher than for WHO 0 patients (p <0.001). Patients with a hypopharyngeal tumor site had a 2.5-fold higher risk of dying within six months from diagnosis compared to oropharyngeal tumor patients (p <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that the risk of early death decreased significantly from 2008 to 2020. During this period, the mean time to the start of treatment was significantly reduced both for surgery and oncological treatment regimes. Among patients with a curative treatment intention, increased risk of early death was associated with male sex, older age, advanced disease, increased WHO score, and a hypopharyngeal tumor site.

Pretreatment fat-free mass index correlates with early death in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

A significant proportion of patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) are malnourished at diagnosis. In this study, we investigated how pretreatment body mass index (BMI) and fat-free mass index (FFMI) correlate with early death, and whether these measurements are useful markers of prognosis for risk stratification of head and neck cancer patients.

METHODS

Patients (n = 404) with newly diagnosed, curable HNSCC and WHO performance status 0-2 were prospectively included and met with a study representative before treatment initiation, as well as up to four follow-up visits. All patients provided an estimate of body weight at 6 months prior to diagnosis. Bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) was performed for all patients before treatment initiation.

RESULTS

Most patients had oropharyngeal (46%), oral cavity (28%), or laryngeal cancer (12%). Forty-five (11%) patients met the standardized criteria for malnutrition according to the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) at diagnosis. FFMI at diagnosis was lower in patients who died within 6 and 12 months after the start of treatment than in patients who survived these time points (p = 0.035 and p = 0.005, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, pretreatment FFMI was an independent prognostic factor for death within 6 and 12 months after the start of treatment in patients with HNSCC. Pretreatment BMI was not an independent risk factor for death within 6 and 12 months after treatment termination. Thus, FFMI may be useful for risk stratification of patients with head and neck cancer.

Mortality during In-Hospital Treatment for Head and Neck Cancer in Germany: A Diagnosis-Related Group-Based Nationwide Analysis, 2005–2018

Background

Data on in-hospital MR (IHMR) of head and neck cancer (HNC) are sparse.

Methods

IHMR was determined in Germany between 2005 and 2018 using nationwide population-based diagnosis-related group (DRG) data of 1,090,596 HNC.

Results

The overall average IHMR was 0.04 ± 0.02. IHMR increased with older age to 0.04 ± 0.01 for patients of 65-79 years of age (relative risk [RR] in relation to patients of 35-49 years of age = 1.767; 95%confidence interval [CI] = 1.040 to3.001) to a maximum of 0.07 ± 0.01 for patients of 80 years and older (RR = 2.826; CI = 1.663 to 4.803). IHMR was the highest when no HNC-specific treatment, i.e., best supportive and palliative care, was applied (0.11 ± 0.01; RR in relation to tumor biopsy surgery = 7.241; CI = 3.447 to 5.211). IHMR was not different between surgery, radiotherapy, or chemotherapy/biologicals.

Conclusions

IHMR did not change over time. Efforts are needed to decrease the IHMR for HNC.

Risk factors for evaluating early mortality after microvascular reconstruction of head and neck cancers

BACKGROUND

Free tissue transfer reconstruction carries significant complication rates in surgical head and neck oncology. A registry-based approach offers a possibility to investigate the factors affecting increased morbidity and early mortality, that is, death within 6 months of treatment.

METHODS

A retrospective registry review was conducted on a series of 317 consecutive microvascular free tissue transfers in head and neck cancer patients performed during 2013-2017 at the Helsinki University Hospital (Helsinki, Finland). All surviving patients had a minimum follow-up of 2 years (range 24-84 months).

RESULTS

Overall, 36 (11.4%) early deaths occurred in this series. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, patients aged 75 years and older (p = 0.019), Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 (ACE-27) score of 3 (p = 0.048), tumor class T3 (p = 0.005), lymph node class N2 (p = 0.014), or thrombocyte count of 360 (× 10⁹ L) or more (p = 0.001) were more likely to die within 6 months of surgery. Of these 36 patients, 27 (75%) had a complication warranting hospital care and most (n = 22, 61%) had several complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Early postoperative mortality most frequently affects patients aged 75 years and above, with a high ACE-27 score, advanced tumor stage, or high thrombocyte count. Therefore, preoperative assessment and patient selection should have a crucial role in this patient population.

Early Mortality among Patients with Head and Neck Cancer Diagnosed in Thuringia, Germany, between 1996 and 2016—A Population-Based Study

Population-based studies on early mortality in head and neck cancer (HNC) are sparse. This retrospective population-based study investigated early mortality of HNC and the influence of patients’ tumor and treatment characteristics. All 8288 patients with primary HNC of the German federal state Thuringia from 1996 to 2016 were included. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to identify independent factors for 30-day, 90-day, and 180-day mortality. The 30-, 90-, and 180-day mortality risks were 1.8%, 5.1%, and 9.6%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, male sex (odds ratio (OR) 1.41; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08–1.84), increasing age (OR 1.81; CI 1.49–2.19), higher T (T4: OR 3.09; CI 1.96–4.88) and M1 classification (OR 1.97; CI 1.43–2.73), advanced stage (IV: OR 3.97; CI 1.97–8.00), tumors of the cavity of mouth (OR 3.47; CI 1.23–9.75), oropharynx (OR 3.01; CI 1.06–8.51), and hypopharynx (OR 3.27; CI 1.14–9.40) had a significantly greater 180-day mortality. Surgery (OR 0.51; CI 0.36–0.73), radiotherapy (OR 0.37; CI 0.25–0.53), and multimodal therapy (OR 0.10; CI 0.07–0.13) were associated with decreased 180-day mortality. Typical factors associated with worse overall survival had the most important impact on early mortality in a population-based setting.

Early non-cancer mortality risk prediction after curative-intent radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), curative-intent radiotherapy (RT)andchemoradiotherapy (CRT)areassociated with substantial acute morbidity and 5-10% of patients die within 180 days of treatment initiation.Mostof these early deaths occur without HNSCCrecurrence or progression andmay therefore be preventable to some extent.We developed a prediction tool to estimate the risk of non-HNSCC mortality occurring within the first 180 days followingRT/CRT initiation.

METHODS

Patients with HNSCC treated with RT/CRT, including postoperative RT/CRT, at Rigshospitalet or Herlev Hospitals between 2010-2017 were identified in the Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group (DAHANCA) database. Predictor variables included age, stage, performance status, tumor subsite including p16 status, comorbidity, postoperative status, smoking and pre-treatment albumin levels. The 180-day non-HNSCCmortality risk was estimated by combining cause-specific Cox regression models.

RESULTS

We included 2209 patients.The 180-daynon-HNSCCmortality rate was 4.4% and almostone third (31.6%) of non-HNSCCdeathswere caused by pneumonia.After internal model validation, the area under the receiver operating curve was 0.74 (95% CI: 0.66-0.81) and calibration was good for risk predictions ranging from 0-20%.

CONCLUSION

We developed a prediction tool to estimate the 180-day non-HNSCC mortality risk. This tool can be used to select high-risk patients for supportive interventions aiming to improve survival rates, and is availablefor interactive use at https://emriskpred.shinyapps.io/EMNED_App/.

Early Mortality after Radical Radiotherapy in Head and Neck Cancer - A Nationwide Analysis from the Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group (DAHANCA) Database

AIMS

Curative-intent radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiation (CRT) of squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (HNSCC) produces high survival rates, but is associated with substantial toxicity. However, there are no commonly accepted quality metrics for early mortality in radiation oncology. To assess the applicability of early mortality as a clinical quality indicator, this study investigated the temporal distribution, risk factors and trends of 90- and 180-day overall and non-cancer mortality in a nationwide cohort of HNSCC patients treated with RT/CRT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Information on all HNSCC patients treated with curative-intent RT/CRT in Denmark between 2000 and 2017 was obtained from the national Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group clinical database. Deaths in patients with residual or recurrent disease after RT/CRT were classified as cancer-related. Possible risk factors were investigated using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Data from 11 419 patients were extracted. In total, 90- and 180-day mortality risks were 3.1% and 7.1%, respectively. There was a uniform temporal distribution of 180-day mortality. In multivariable analysis, increasing age, stage, performance status, earlier treatment year and hypopharyngeal cancer were significantly associated with an increased risk (P < 0.05). Risk factor estimates were comparable for 90- versus 180-day mortality as well as for overall versus non-cancer mortality. Between 2000 and 2017 there was a significant decrease in 180-day mortality, which was driven by a reduction in cancer-related events.

CONCLUSION

The distribution of 180-day overall and non-cancer mortality did not indicate a well-defined early high-risk period. Moreover, risk factor estimates were highly similar across risk periods and groups. Taken together, our findings question the applicability of early mortality as a standard metric for treatment-associated toxicity.

Early mortality after diagnosis of cancer of the head and neck - A population-based nationwide study

Background

Cancers of the head and neck have a high mortality rate, and roughly 10% of the patients die within six months of diagnosis. To our knowledge little has been written about this group.

We wished to identify risk factors for early death, to predict and monitor patients at risk better and, if possible, avoid unjustified major treatment.

Methods and findings

This population-based nationwide study from the Swedish Head and Neck Cancer Register (SweHNCR) included data from 2008–2015 and 9733 patients at potential risk of early death.

A total of 925 (9.5%) patients died within six months. For every year older the patients became, the risk of early death increased by 2.3% (p<0.001). The relative risk of death was 3.37 times higher (237%) for patients with WHO score 1 compared with WHO score 0. A primary tumour in the hypopharynx correlated with a 24% increased risk over the oral cavity (p<0.024). Patients with stage IV disease had a 3.7 times greater risk of early death than those with stage I (p<0.001). As expected, a 12 times increased risk of early death was noted in the palliative treatment group, compared to the curative group.

Limitations to this study were that the actual cause of death was not recorded in the SweHNCR, and that socioeconomic factors, alcohol consumption, smoking habits, and HPV status, were not reported in SweHNCR until 2015. However, the fact that this is a population-based nationwide study including 9733 patients compensates for some of these limitations.

Conclusions

Identification of patients at increased risk of early death shows that older patients with advanced disease, increased WHO score, primary tumour in the hypopharynx, and those given palliative treatment, are more likely than the others to die from head and neck cancer within six months of diagnosis.