The Prognosis of Severe Acute Pancreatitis Varies According to the Segment Presenting With Low Enhanced Pancreatic Parenchyma on Early Contrast-Enhanced Computed Tomography: A Multicenter Cohort Study

Early detection of necrosis in low-enhanced pancreatic parenchyma using contrast-enhanced computed tomography was a better predictor of clinical outcomes than pancreatic inflammation: A multicentric cohort study of severe acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

We aim to assess the early use of contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) of patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) using the computed tomography severity index (CTSI) in prognosis prediction. The CTSI combines quantification of pancreatic and extrapancreatic inflammation with the extent of pancreatic necrosis.

METHODS

Post-hoc retrospective analysis of a large, multicentric database (44 institutions) of SAP patients in Japan. The area under the curve (AUC) of the CTSI for predicting mortality and the odds ratio (OR) of the extent of pancreatic inflammation and necrosis were calculated using multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 1097 patients were included. The AUC of the CTSI for mortality was 0.65 (95 % confidence interval [CI:] [0.59-0.70]; p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, necrosis 30-50 % and >50 % in low-enhanced pancreatic parenchyma (LEPP) was independently associated with a significant increase in mortality, with OR 2.04 and 95 % CI 1.01-4.12 (P < 0.05) and OR 3.88 and 95 % CI 2.04-7.40 (P < 0.001), respectively. However, the extent of pancreatic inflammation was not associated with mortality, regardless of severity.

CONCLUSIONS

The degree of necrosis in LEPP assessed using early CECT of SAP was a better predictor of mortality than the extent of pancreatic inflammation.

Normal saline versus Ringer's solution and critical-illness mortality in acute pancreatitis: a nationwide inpatient database study

BACKGROUND

Fluid resuscitation is fundamental in acute pancreatitis (AP) treatment. However, the optimal choice between normal saline (NS) and Ringer's solution (RS), and its impact on mortality in critically ill patients, remains controversial. This retrospective cohort study, utilizing a national Japanese inpatient database, investigates this question.

METHODS

Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database between July 2010 and March 2021, we identified adult patients hospitalized in intensive care units (ICU) or high-dependency care units (HDU) for AP who survived at least three days and received sufficient fluid resuscitation (≥ [10 ml/kg/hr*1 h + 1 ml/kg/hr*71 h] ml) within three days of admission including emergency room infusions. Patients were classified into groups based on the predominant fluid type received: the NS group (> 80% normal saline) and the RS group (> 80% Ringer's solution). Propensity score matching was employed to reduce potential confounding factors and facilitate a balanced comparison of in-hospital mortality between the two groups.

RESULTS

Our analysis included 8710 patients with AP. Of these, 657 (7.5%) received predominantly NS, and 8053 (92.5%) received predominantly RS. Propensity score matching yielded 578 well-balanced pairs for comparison. The NS group demonstrated significantly higher in-hospital mortality than the RS group (12.8% [474/578] vs. 8.5% [49/578]; risk difference, 4.3%; 95% confidence interval, 0.3% to 8.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients admitted to ICU or HDU with AP receiving adequate fluid resuscitation, RS can be a preferred infusion treatment compared to NS.

Differential expression of plasma exosomal microRNA in severe acute pancreatitis

The incidence rate of acute pancreatitis is increasing, and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is associated with a high mortality rate, which may be reduced by a deeper understanding of its pathogenesis. In addition, an early determination of the severity of acute pancreatitis remains challenging. The aim of this study was to match potential biomarkers for early identification and monitoring of acute pancreatitis and to shed light on the underlying pathogenic mechanisms of SAP. The expression levels of plasma exosomal microRNA (miRNA) in patients with pancreatitis have been associated with the disease. Thus, this study compared the expression levels of exosomal miRNA in plasma collected from four patients with SAP and from four healthy participants. Analyses of the miRNA expression profiles indicated that three previously unreported miRNAs were differentially expressed in the patient group: Novel1, which was downregulated, and Novel2 and Novel3, which were upregulated. The miRNA target genes for those novel miRNAs were predicted using Metascape. Of these miRNA target genes, those that were also differentially expressed at different time points after disease induction in a mouse model of acute pancreatitis were determined. The gene for complement component 3 (C3), a target gene of Novel3, was the only gene matched in both the patient group and the mouse model. C3 appeared at most of the time points assessed after induction of acute pancreatitis in mice. These findings are foundational evidence that C3 warrants further study as an early biomarker of SAP, for investigating underlying pathogenic mechanisms of SAP, and as a therapeutic target for ameliorating the occurrence or development of SAP.

Extrapancreatic necrosis volume: A new tool in acute pancreatitis severity assessment?

BACKGROUND

Many scores have been suggested to assess the severity of acute pancreatitis upon onset. The extrapancreatic necrosis volume is a novel, promising score that appears to be superior to other scores investigated so far.

AIM

To evaluate the discriminatory power of extrapancreatic necrosis volume to identify severe cases of acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

A total of 123 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis at Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, St Spiridon Hospital between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2019 were analyzed retrospectively. Pancreatitis was classified according to the revised Atlanta classification (rAC) as mild, moderate, or severe. Severity was also evaluated by computed tomography and classified according to the computed tomography severity index (CTSI) and the modified CTSI (mCTSI). The results were compared with the extrapancreatic volume necrosis to establish the sensitivity and specificity of each method.

RESULTS

The CTSI and mCTSI imaging scores and the extrapancreatic necrosis volume were highly correlated with the severity of pancreatitis estimated by the rAC (r = 0.926, P < 0.001 and r = 0.950, P < 0.001; r = 0.784, P < 0.001, respectively). The correlation of C-reactive protein with severity was positive but not as strong, and was not significant (r = 0.133, P = 0.154). The best predictor for the assessment of severe pancreatitis was the extrapancreatic necrosis volume [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.993; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.981-1.005], with a 99.5% sensitivity and 99.0% specificity at a cutoff value of 167 mL, followed by the mCTSI 2007 score (AUC = 0.972; 95%CI: 0.946-0.999), with a 98.0% sensitivity and 96.5% specificity, and the CTSI 1990 score (AUC = 0.969; 95%CI: 0.941-0.998), with a 97.0% sensitivity and 95.0% specificity.

CONCLUSION

Radiological severity scores correlate strongly and positively with disease activity. Extrapancreatic necrosis volume shows the best diagnostic accuracy for severe cases.

Prediction of the progression of walled-off necrosis in patients with acute pancreatitis on whole pancreatic perfusion CT

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

This study investigated whether measuring pancreatic blood volume (PBV) on whole pancreatic perfusion computed tomography (P-CT) can predict the progression of walled-off necrosis (WON) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

A single-center, retrospective cohort study was conducted between December 2015 and December 2016. The participants were divided into two groups: 14 patients with WON and 15 patients without WON. PBV was measured within 72 hours after the diagnosis of AP, and the final diagnosis of WON was made by contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) or endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) 4 weeks after the onset of AP.

RESULTS

The minimum CT value did not differ significantly between the two groups. On the other hand, the minimum PBV was significantly lower in the WON group than in the without WON group (1.4 (0.9-9.9) vs 19.8 (8.2-21.7) mL/100 mL, respectively; P = .02). The cutoff value of the minimum PBV for WON was 16.5 mL/100 mL (sensitivity 100%, specificity 67%, AUC 0.85; P = .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Whole pancreatic P-CT can evaluate pancreatic ischemia visually and quantitatively. The minimum PBV measurement on whole pancreatic P-CT within 72 hours after the diagnosis of AP contributes to the prediction of progression of WON.

Etiology and mortality in severe acute pancreatitis: A multicenter study in Japan

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has a high mortality rate despite ongoing attempts to improve prognosis through a various therapeutic modalities. This study aimed to delineate etiology-based routes that may guide clinical decisions for the treatment of SAP.

METHODS

Using data from a recent retrospective multicenter study in Japan, we analyzed the association between clinical outcomes, mainly in-hospital mortality and pancreatic infection, and various etiologies while considering confounding factors. We performed additional multivariate analyses and built decision tree models.

RESULTS

The 1097 participating patients were classified into the following groups by etiology: alcohol (n = 436, 39.7%); cholelithiasis (n = 230, 21.0%); idiopathic (n = 227, 20.7%); and others (n = 204, 18.6%). Mortality at hospital discharge was 8.4%, 12.2%, 16.7%, and 16.2% in the alcohol, cholelithiasis, idiopathic, and others groups, respectively. According to multivariable analysis, early enteral nutrition (EN) was significantly associated with reduced in-hospital mortality only in the cholelithiasis group. However, there was a consistent association between age and the need for mechanical ventilation and increased mortality, regardless of etiology. Our decision tree models presented different contributing factors depending on the etiology and patient background. Interaction analysis showed that EN and the use of prophylactic antibiotics may influence these results differently according to etiology.

CONCLUSIONS

No study has yet used comprehensive models to investigate etiology-related prognostic factors for SAP; our results can, therefore, be used as a reference for improving clinical decisions.

Continuous regional arterial infusion versus intravenous administration of the protease inhibitor nafamostat mesilate for predicted severe acute pancreatitis: a multicenter, randomized, open-label, phase 2 trial

BACKGROUND

Continuous regional arterial infusion (CRAI) of protease inhibitor nafamostat mesilate (NM) is used in the context of predicted severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) to prevent the development of pancreatic necrosis. Although this therapy is well known in Japan, its efficacy and safety remain unclear.

METHODS

This investigator-initiated and -driven, multicenter, open-label, randomized, controlled trial (UMIN000020868) enrolled 39 patients with predicted SAP and low enhancement of the pancreatic parenchyma on computed tomography (CT). Twenty patients were assigned to the CRAI group, while 19 served as controls and were administered NM at the same dose intravenously (IV group). The primary endpoint was the development of pancreatic necrosis as determined by CT on Day 14, judged by blinded central review.

RESULTS

There was no difference between the CRAI and IV groups regarding the percentages of participants who developed pancreatic necrosis (more than 1/3 of the pancreas: 25.0%, range 8.7-49.1% vs. 15.8%, range 3.4-39.6%, respectively, P = 0.694; more than 2/3 of the pancreas: 20%, range 5.7-43.7% vs. 5.3%, range 0.1-26.0%, respectively, P = 0.341). The early analgesic effect was evaluated based on 24-h cumulative fentanyl consumption and additional administration by intravenous patient-controlled analgesia. The results showed that the CRAI group used significantly less analgesic. There were two adverse events related to CRAI, namely bleeding and splenic infarction.

CONCLUSIONS

CRAI with NM did not inhibit the development of pancreatic necrosis although early analgesic effect of CRAI was superior to that of IV. Less-invasive IV therapy can be considered a viable alternative to CRAI therapy.