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Wang L, Levinson R, Mezzacappa C, Katona BW. Review of the cost-effectiveness of surveillance for hereditary pancreatic cancer. Fam Cancer 2024; 23:351-360. [PMID: 38795221 PMCID: PMC11255025 DOI: 10.1007/s10689-024-00392-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2023] [Accepted: 04/16/2024] [Indexed: 05/27/2024]
Abstract
Individuals with hereditary pancreatic cancer risk include high risk individuals (HRIs) with germline genetic susceptibility to pancreatic cancer (PC) and/or a strong family history of PC. Previously, studies have shown that PC surveillance in HRIs can downstage PC diagnosis and extend survival leading to pancreatic surveillance being recommended for certain HRIs. However, the optimal surveillance strategy remains uncertain, including which modalities should be used for surveillance, how frequently should surveillance be performed, and which sub-groups of HRIs should undergo surveillance. Additionally, in the ideal world PC surveillance should also be cost-effective. Cost-effectiveness analysis is a valuable tool that can consider the costs, potential health benefits, and risks among various PC surveillance strategies. In this review, we summarize the cost-effectiveness of various PC surveillance strategies for HRIs for hereditary pancreatic cancer and provide potential avenues for future work in this field. Additionally, we include cost-effectiveness studies among individuals with new-onset diabetes (NoD), a high-risk group for sporadic PC, as a comparison.
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Affiliation(s)
- Louise Wang
- Section of Digestive Diseases, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA
- VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, USA
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, 3400 Civic Center Blvd. 751 South Pavilion, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA
| | - Rachel Levinson
- Section of Digestive Diseases, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA
| | | | - Bryson W Katona
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, 3400 Civic Center Blvd. 751 South Pavilion, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.
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2
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Blackford AL, Canto MI, Dbouk M, Hruban RH, Katona BW, Chak A, Brand RE, Syngal S, Farrell J, Kastrinos F, Stoffel EM, Rustgi A, Klein AP, Kamel I, Fishman E, He J, Burkhart R, Shin EJ, Lennon AM, Goggins M. Pancreatic Cancer Surveillance and Survival of High-Risk Individuals. JAMA Oncol 2024; 10:1087-1096. [PMID: 38959011 PMCID: PMC11223057 DOI: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2024.1930] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2023] [Accepted: 02/05/2024] [Indexed: 07/04/2024]
Abstract
Importance Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a deadly disease with increasing incidence. The majority of PDACs are incurable at presentation, but population-based screening is not recommended. Surveillance of high-risk individuals for PDAC may lead to early detection, but the survival benefit is unproven. Objective To compare the survival of patients with surveillance-detected PDAC with US national data. Design, Setting, and Participants This comparative cohort study was conducted in multiple US academic medical centers participating in the Cancer of the Pancreas Screening program, which screens high-risk individuals with a familial or genetic predisposition for PDAC. The comparison cohort comprised patients with PDAC matched for age, sex, and year of diagnosis from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program. The Cancer of the Pancreas Screening program originated in 1998, and data collection was done through 2021. The data analysis was performed from April 29, 2022, through April 10, 2023. Exposures Endoscopic ultrasonography or magnetic resonance imaging performed annually and standard-of-care surgical and/or oncologic treatment. Main Outcomes and Measures Stage of PDAC at diagnosis, overall survival (OS), and PDAC mortality were compared using descriptive statistics and conditional logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and competing risk regression models. Sensitivity analyses and adjustment for lead-time bias were also conducted. Results A total of 26 high-risk individuals (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 65.8 [9.5] years; 15 female [57.7%]) with PDAC were compared with 1504 SEER control patients with PDAC (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 66.8 [7.9] years; 771 female [51.3%]). The median primary tumor diameter of the 26 high-risk individuals was smaller than in the control patients (2.5 [range, 0.6-5.0] vs 3.6 [range, 0.2-8.0] cm, respectively; P < .001). The high-risk individuals were more likely to be diagnosed with a lower stage (stage I, 10 [38.5%]; stage II, 8 [30.8%]) than matched control patients (stage I, 155 [10.3%]; stage II, 377 [25.1%]; P < .001). The PDAC mortality rate at 5 years was lower for high-risk individuals than control patients (43% vs 86%; hazard ratio, 3.58; 95% CI, 2.01-6.39; P < .001), and high-risk individuals lived longer than matched control patients (median OS, 61.7 [range, 1.9-147.3] vs 8.0 [range, 1.0-131.0] months; 5-year OS rate, 50% [95% CI, 32%-80%] vs 9% [95% CI, 7%-11%]). Conclusions and Relevance These findings suggest that surveillance of high-risk individuals may lead to detection of smaller, lower-stage PDACs and improved survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amanda L. Blackford
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Marcia Irene Canto
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
- Department of Medicine (Gastroenterology), The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Mohamad Dbouk
- Department of Pathology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Ralph H. Hruban
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
- Department of Pathology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Bryson W. Katona
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Abramson Cancer Center, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia
| | - Amitabh Chak
- Division of Gastroenterology and Liver Disease, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio
| | - Randall E. Brand
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pennsylvania
| | - Sapna Syngal
- Cancer Genetics and Prevention, Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts
- Division of Gastroenterology, Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - James Farrell
- Yale Center for Pancreatic Disease, Section of Digestive Disease, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Fay Kastrinos
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Herbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York
| | - Elena M. Stoffel
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
| | - Anil Rustgi
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Herbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York
| | - Alison P. Klein
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Ihab Kamel
- Department of Radiology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Elliot Fishman
- Department of Radiology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Jin He
- Department of Surgery, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Richard Burkhart
- Department of Surgery, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Eun Ji Shin
- Department of Medicine (Gastroenterology), The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Anne Marie Lennon
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
- Department of Medicine (Gastroenterology), The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
- Department of Radiology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
- Department of Surgery, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Michael Goggins
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
- Department of Pathology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
- Department of Medicine (Gastroenterology), The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland
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3
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Karloski E, Dudley B, Diergaarde B, Blanco A, Everett JN, Levinson E, Rangarajan T, Stanich PP, Childers K, Brown S, Drogan C, Cavestro GM, Gordon K, Singh A, Simeone DM, Reich H, Kastrinos F, Zakalik D, Hampel H, Pearlman R, Gordon OK, Kupfer SS, Puzzono M, Zuppardo RA, Brand RE. The role of family history in predicting germline pathogenic variant carriers who develop pancreatic cancer: Results of a multicenter collaboration. Cancer 2024. [PMID: 38809542 DOI: 10.1002/cncr.35383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2024] [Revised: 04/19/2024] [Accepted: 04/23/2024] [Indexed: 05/30/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) surveillance is recommended for some individuals with a pathogenic or likely pathogenic variant (PV/LPV) in a PDAC susceptibility gene; the recommendation is often dependent on family history of PDAC. This study aimed to describe PDAC family history in individuals with PDAC who underwent genetic testing to determine the appropriateness of including a family history requirement in these recommendations. METHODS Individuals with PDAC with a germline heterozygous PV/LPV in ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, EPCAM, MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, PALB2, or PMS2 (PV/LPV carriers) were assessed for family history of PDAC in first-degree relatives (FDRs) or second-degree relatives (SDRs) from nine institutions. A control group of individuals with PDAC without a germline PV/LPV was also assessed. RESULTS The study included 196 PV/LPV carriers and 1184 controls. In the PV/LPV carriers, 25.5% had an affected FDR and/or SDR compared to 16.9% in the control group (p = .004). PV/LPV carriers were more likely to have an affected FDR compared to the controls (p = .003) but there was no statistical difference when assessing only affected SDRs (p = .344). CONCLUSIONS Most PV/LPV carriers who developed PDAC did not have a close family history of PDAC and would not have met most current professional societies' recommendations for consideration of PDAC surveillance before diagnosis. However, PV/LPV carriers were significantly more likely to have a family history of PDAC, particularly an affected FDR. These findings support family history as a risk modifier in PV/LPV carriers, and highlight the need to identify other risk factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eve Karloski
- Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Beth Dudley
- Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Brenda Diergaarde
- Department of Human Genetics, University of Pittsburgh and Hillman Cancer Center, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Amie Blanco
- Cancer Genetics and Prevention Program, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Jessica N Everett
- Department of Medicine, New York University Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Elana Levinson
- Department of Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Tara Rangarajan
- Nancy and James Grosfeld Cancer Genetics Center, Corewell Health William Beaumont University Hospital, Royal Oak, Michigan, USA
| | - Peter P Stanich
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Kimberly Childers
- Center for Clinical Genetics and Genomics, Providence, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Sandra Brown
- Center for Clinical Genetics and Genomics, Providence, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Christine Drogan
- Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Giulia Martina Cavestro
- Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Unit, Division of Experimental Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy
| | - Kelly Gordon
- Center for Clinical Genetics and Genomics, Providence, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Aparajita Singh
- Department of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Diane M Simeone
- Department of Surgery and Pathology, New York University Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Hannah Reich
- Department of Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Fay Kastrinos
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Dana Zakalik
- Nancy and James Grosfeld Cancer Genetics Center, Corewell Health William Beaumont University Hospital, Royal Oak, Michigan, USA
| | - Heather Hampel
- Department of Internal Medicine, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Rachel Pearlman
- Department of Internal Medicine, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Ora K Gordon
- Center for Clinical Genetics and Genomics, Providence, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Sonia S Kupfer
- Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Marta Puzzono
- Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Unit, Division of Experimental Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy
| | - Raffaella Alessia Zuppardo
- Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Unit, Division of Experimental Oncology, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy
| | - Randall E Brand
- Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
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4
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Hamada T, Oyama H, Igarashi A, Kawaguchi Y, Lee M, Matsui H, Michihata N, Nakai Y, Fushimi K, Yasunaga H, Fujishiro M. Optimal age to discontinue long-term surveillance of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: comparative cost-effectiveness of surveillance by age. Gut 2024; 73:955-965. [PMID: 38286589 DOI: 10.1136/gutjnl-2023-330329] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2023] [Accepted: 01/18/2024] [Indexed: 01/31/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Current guidelines recommend long-term image-based surveillance for patients with low-risk intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). This simulation study aimed to examine the comparative cost-effectiveness of continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages and define the optimal age to stop surveillance. DESIGN We constructed a Markov model with a lifetime horizon to simulate the clinical course of patients with IPMNs receiving imaging-based surveillance. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages to stop surveillance, stratified by sex and IPMN types (branch-duct vs mixed-type). We determined the optimal age to stop surveillance as the lowest age at which the ICER exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold of US$100 000 per quality-adjusted life year. To estimate model parameters, we used a clinical cohort of 3000 patients with IPMNs and a national database including 40 166 patients with pancreatic cancer receiving pancreatectomy as well as published data. RESULTS In male patients, the optimal age to stop surveillance was 76-78 years irrespective of the IPMN types, compared with 70, 73, 81, and 84 years for female patients with branch-duct IPMNs <20 mm, =20-29 mm, ≥30 mm and mixed-type IPMNs, respectively. The suggested ages became younger according to an increasing level of comorbidities. In cases with high comorbidity burden, the ICERs were above the willingness-to-pay threshold irrespective of sex and the size of branch-duct IPMNs. CONCLUSIONS The cost-effectiveness of long-term IPMN surveillance depended on sex, IPMN types, and comorbidity levels, suggesting the potential to personalise patient management from the health economic perspective.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tsuyoshi Hamada
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Medicine, The Cancer Institute Hospital of Japanese Foundation for Cancer Research, Tokyo, Japan
- Graduate School of Public Health, St Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hiroki Oyama
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Ataru Igarashi
- Graduate School of Public Health, St Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan
- Unit of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Kanagawa, Japan
- Department of Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Graduate School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yoshikuni Kawaguchi
- Graduate School of Public Health, St Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan
- Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division, Department of Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Mihye Lee
- Graduate School of Public Health, St Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hiroki Matsui
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nobuaki Michihata
- Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yousuke Nakai
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Endoscopy and Endoscopic Surgery, The University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kiyohide Fushimi
- Department of Health Policy and Informatics, Graduate School of Medicine, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hideo Yasunaga
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Mitsuhiro Fujishiro
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
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5
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Dahiya DS, Shah YR, Ali H, Chandan S, Gangwani MK, Canakis A, Ramai D, Hayat U, Pinnam BSM, Iqbal A, Malik S, Singh S, Jaber F, Alsakarneh S, Mohamed I, Ali MA, Al-Haddad M, Inamdar S. Basic Principles and Role of Endoscopic Ultrasound in Diagnosis and Differentiation of Pancreatic Cancer from Other Pancreatic Lesions: A Comprehensive Review of Endoscopic Ultrasound for Pancreatic Cancer. J Clin Med 2024; 13:2599. [PMID: 38731128 PMCID: PMC11084399 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13092599] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2024] [Revised: 04/17/2024] [Accepted: 04/21/2024] [Indexed: 05/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Pancreatic cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Pancreatic lesions consist of both neoplastic and non-neoplastic lesions and often pose a diagnostic and therapeutic challenge due to similar clinical and radiological features. In recent years, pancreatic lesions have been discovered more frequently as incidental findings due to the increased utilization and widespread availability of abdominal cross-sectional imaging. Therefore, it becomes imperative to establish an early and appropriate diagnosis with meticulous differentiation in an attempt to balance unnecessary treatment of benign pancreatic lesions and missing the opportunity for early intervention in malignant lesions. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) has become an important diagnostic modality for the identification and risk stratification of pancreatic lesions due to its ability to provide detailed imaging and acquisition of tissue samples for analysis with the help of fine-needle aspiration/biopsy. The recent development of EUS-based technology, including contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasound, real-time elastography-endoscopic ultrasound, miniature probe ultrasound, confocal laser endomicroscopy, and the application of artificial intelligence has significantly augmented the diagnostic accuracy of EUS as it enables better evaluation of the number, location, dimension, wall thickness, and contents of these lesions. This article provides a comprehensive overview of the role of the different types of EUS available for the diagnosis and differentiation of pancreatic cancer from other pancreatic lesions while discussing their key strengths and important limitations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dushyant Singh Dahiya
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Motility, The University of Kansas School of Medicine, Kansas City, KS 66160, USA
| | - Yash R. Shah
- Department of Internal Medicine, Trinity Health Oakland/Wayne State University, Pontiac, MI 48341, USA
| | - Hassam Ali
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology & Nutrition, East Carolina University/Brody School of Medicine, Greenville, NC 27858, USA
| | - Saurabh Chandan
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Creighton University School of Medicine, Omaha, NE 68178, USA
| | - Manesh Kumar Gangwani
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, AR 72205, USA
| | - Andrew Canakis
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21201, USA
| | - Daryl Ramai
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, UT 84132, USA
| | - Umar Hayat
- Department of Internal Medicine, Geisinger Wyoming Valley Medical Center, Wilkes Barre, PA 18711, USA
| | - Bhanu Siva Mohan Pinnam
- Department of Internal Medicine, John H. Stroger Hospital of Cook County, Chicago, IL 60612, USA
| | - Amna Iqbal
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Toledo Medical Center, Toledo, OH 43614, USA
| | - Sheza Malik
- Department of Internal Medicine, Rochester General Hospital, Rochester, NY 14621, USA
| | - Sahib Singh
- Department of Internal Medicine, Sinai Hospital, Baltimore, MD 21215, USA
| | - Fouad Jaber
- Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA
| | - Saqr Alsakarneh
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Missouri-Kansas City, Kansas City, MO 64110, USA
| | - Islam Mohamed
- Division of Hepatology, University of Missouri School of Medicine, Columbia, MO 64108, USA
| | - Meer Akbar Ali
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, AR 72205, USA
| | - Mohammad Al-Haddad
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Jordan, 11942 Amman, Jordan
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USA
| | - Sumant Inamdar
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, AR 72205, USA
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6
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Katona BW, Worthington C, Clay D, Cincotta H, Ahmad NA, Ginsberg GG, Kochman ML, Brand RE. Outcomes of the IMMray PanCan-d Test in High-Risk Individuals Undergoing Pancreatic Surveillance: Pragmatic Data and Lessons Learned. JCO Precis Oncol 2023; 7:e2300445. [PMID: 37883920 DOI: 10.1200/po.23.00445] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2023] [Revised: 08/30/2023] [Accepted: 09/05/2023] [Indexed: 10/28/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE An effective blood-based test for pancreatic cancer (PC) screening has remained elusive. The IMMray PanCan-d is the first commercially available blood-based test specifically designed for early detection of PC; however, outcomes from its use in clinical practice have not been reported. METHODS We performed a blinded spike-in study of 100 individuals who had an IMMray PanCan-d test, including 94 high-risk individuals (HRIs) undergoing PC surveillance and six individuals with known PC. Specimens were processed blindly following the commercial laboratory's standardized operating procedure. Positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated. RESULTS Cohort characteristics included a median age of 63 (IQR, 55-70) years, 57% female, 96% non-Hispanic White, 57% with a pathogenic variant in a PC risk gene (BRCA2 most commonly-18%), and 83% with a family history of PC. Among IMMray PanCan-d results from 94 HRIs undergoing PC surveillance, there was one positive (1%), seven borderlines (7%), 73 negatives (78%), and 13 tests not performed because of low CA19-9 expression (14%). No PC was diagnosed among these HRIs; however, there were two sub-cm pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors, seven clinically diagnosed side branch intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms ≥1 cm, and a sub-cm solid mass with indeterminate cytology requiring close follow-up; all these individuals had negative IMMray PanCan-d tests. Of the six spiked-in PCs, four (67%) yielded a positive and two (33%) yielded a negative. With an estimated disease prevalence of 2%, the PPV and NPV are 52% and 99%, respectively, if borderline results are considered negative and 12% and 99%, respectively, if borderline tests are considered positive. CONCLUSION In clinical practice, IMMray PanCan-d has a robust NPV; however, PPV is dramatically influenced by whether borderline results are characterized as a positive or negative result.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bryson W Katona
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA
| | - Christine Worthington
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA
| | - Daniel Clay
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA
| | | | - Nuzhat A Ahmad
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA
| | - Gregory G Ginsberg
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA
| | - Michael L Kochman
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA
| | - Randall E Brand
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA
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7
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Archibugi L, Capurso G, Canto MI. Cost-effectiveness of pancreatic cancer screening: Time for a more tailored approach. United European Gastroenterol J 2023; 11:264-266. [PMID: 36938945 PMCID: PMC10083457 DOI: 10.1002/ueg2.12380] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/21/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Livia Archibugi
- Pancreato-Biliary Endoscopy and Endosonography Division, Pancreas Translational & Clinical Research Center, San Raffaele Scientific Institute IRCCS, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Gabriele Capurso
- Pancreato-Biliary Endoscopy and Endosonography Division, Pancreas Translational & Clinical Research Center, San Raffaele Scientific Institute IRCCS, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Marcia Irene Canto
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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8
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Stoffel EM, Brand RE, Goggins M. Pancreatic Cancer: Changing Epidemiology and New Approaches to Risk Assessment, Early Detection, and Prevention. Gastroenterology 2023; 164:752-765. [PMID: 36804602 DOI: 10.1053/j.gastro.2023.02.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 27.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2023] [Revised: 02/10/2023] [Accepted: 02/11/2023] [Indexed: 02/23/2023]
Abstract
Pancreatic cancer usually results in poor survival with limited options for treatment, as most affected individuals present with advanced disease. Early detection of preinvasive pancreatic neoplasia and identifying molecular therapeutic targets provide opportunities for extending survival. Although screening for pancreatic cancer is currently not recommended for the general population, emerging evidence indicates that pancreatic surveillance can improve outcomes for individuals in certain high-risk groups. Changes in the epidemiology of pancreatic cancer, experience from pancreatic surveillance, and discovery of novel biomarkers provide a roadmap for new strategies for pancreatic cancer risk assessment, early detection, and prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elena M Stoffel
- Division of Gastroenterology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
| | - Randall E Brand
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
| | - Michael Goggins
- Departments of Medicine and Pathology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
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Dbouk M, Katona BW, Brand RE, Chak A, Syngal S, Farrell JJ, Kastrinos F, Stoffel EM, Blackford AL, Rustgi AK, Dudley B, Lee LS, Chhoda A, Kwon R, Ginsberg GG, Klein AP, Kamel I, Hruban RH, He J, Shin EJ, Lennon AM, Canto MI, Goggins M. The Multicenter Cancer of Pancreas Screening Study: Impact on Stage and Survival. J Clin Oncol 2022; 40:3257-3266. [PMID: 35704792 PMCID: PMC9553376 DOI: 10.1200/jco.22.00298] [Citation(s) in RCA: 73] [Impact Index Per Article: 36.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2022] [Revised: 03/29/2022] [Accepted: 05/11/2022] [Indexed: 01/21/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE To report pancreas surveillance outcomes of high-risk individuals within the multicenter Cancer of Pancreas Screening-5 (CAPS5) study and to update outcomes of patients enrolled in prior CAPS studies. METHODS Individuals recommended for pancreas surveillance were prospectively enrolled into one of eight CAPS5 study centers between 2014 and 2021. The primary end point was the stage distribution of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) detected (stage I v higher-stage). Overall survival was determined using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS Of 1,461 high-risk individuals enrolled into CAPS5, 48.5% had a pathogenic variant in a PDAC-susceptibility gene. Ten patients were diagnosed with PDAC, one of whom was diagnosed with metastatic PDAC 4 years after dropping out of surveillance. Of the remaining nine, seven (77.8%) had a stage I PDAC (by surgical pathology) detected during surveillance; one had stage II, and one had stage III disease. Seven of these nine patients with PDAC were alive after a median follow-up of 2.6 years. Eight additional patients underwent surgical resection for worrisome lesions; three had high-grade and five had low-grade dysplasia in their resected specimens. In the entire CAPS cohort (CAPS1-5 studies, 1,731 patients), 26 PDAC cases have been diagnosed, 19 within surveillance, 57.9% of whom had stage I and 5.2% had stage IV disease. By contrast, six of the seven PDACs (85.7%) detected outside surveillance were stage IV. Five-year survival to date of the patients with a screen-detected PDAC is 73.3%, and median overall survival is 9.8 years, compared with 1.5 years for patients diagnosed with PDAC outside surveillance (hazard ratio [95% CI]; 0.13 [0.03 to 0.50], P = .003). CONCLUSION Most pancreatic cancers diagnosed within the CAPS high-risk cohort in the recent years have had stage I disease with long-term survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohamad Dbouk
- Department of Pathology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
| | - Bryson W. Katona
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Abramson Cancer Center, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA
| | - Randall E. Brand
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA
| | - Amitabh Chak
- Division of Gastroenterology and Liver Disease, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH
| | - Sapna Syngal
- Cancer Genetics and Prevention Division, Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA
- Division of Gastroenterology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - James J. Farrell
- Yale Center for Pancreatic Disease, Section of Digestive Disease, Yale University, New Haven, CT
| | - Fay Kastrinos
- Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Herbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY
| | - Elena M. Stoffel
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Amanda L. Blackford
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
| | - Anil K. Rustgi
- Yale Center for Pancreatic Disease, Section of Digestive Disease, Yale University, New Haven, CT
| | - Beth Dudley
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA
| | - Linda S. Lee
- Cancer Genetics and Prevention Division, Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA
- Division of Gastroenterology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Ankit Chhoda
- Yale Center for Pancreatic Disease, Section of Digestive Disease, Yale University, New Haven, CT
| | - Richard Kwon
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Gregory G. Ginsberg
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Abramson Cancer Center, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA
| | - Alison P. Klein
- Department of Pathology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Medicine, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Surgery, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
| | - Ihab Kamel
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Bloomberg School of Public Health, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
| | - Ralph H. Hruban
- Department of Pathology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
| | - Jin He
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Radiology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
| | - Eun Ji Shin
- Department of Medicine, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
| | - Anne Marie Lennon
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Medicine, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Bloomberg School of Public Health, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Radiology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
| | - Marcia Irene Canto
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Medicine, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
| | - Michael Goggins
- Department of Pathology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Oncology, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
- Department of Medicine, The Sol Goldman Pancreatic Cancer Research Center, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, MD
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Cost-effectiveness of MicroRNA for Pancreatic Cancer Screening in Patients With Diabetes. Pancreas 2022; 51:1019-1028. [PMID: 36607949 DOI: 10.1097/mpa.0000000000002130] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/07/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of microRNA compared with carbohydrate antigen 19-9, abdominal ultrasound, magnetic resonance imaging, endoscopic ultrasound, computed tomography, positron emission tomography, and no screening for pancreatic cancer (PC) screening in patients with diabetes. METHODS We developed a state-transition model from a health care payer perspective and a lifetime horizon. We targeted 3 hypothetical cohorts of patients with long-standing type 2 diabetes (LSD), new-onset diabetes (NOD), and LSD having intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), aged 40, 50, 60, and 70 years. The main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years, life expectancy life-years, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, and deaths from PC. RESULTS In the base-case analysis, abdominal ultrasound in patients with LSD and microRNA in patients with NOD and LSD having IPMN were the most cost-effective for all age groups. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to PC incidence and the cost of microRNA. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that microRNA was 42% to 54% cost-effective for NOD and 76% to 78% cost-effective for LSD having IPMN at a willingness-to-pay level of US $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. MicroRNA prevented 30,641 PC deaths in diabetic patients compared with no screening. CONCLUSIONS In patients with NOD and LSD having IPMN, microRNA-based PC screening is cost-effective and recommended for early PC detection.
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Khalaf N, Ali B. New-onset Diabetes as a Signpost of Early Pancreatic Cancer: The Role of Screening. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 20:1927-1930. [PMID: 35181568 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2022.02.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2021] [Revised: 02/03/2022] [Accepted: 02/09/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Natalia Khalaf
- Center for Innovations in Quality, Effectiveness, and Safety (IQuESt), Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, Texas; Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
| | - Basim Ali
- Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas
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12
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Wang L, Domchek SM, Kochman ML, Katona BW. Reaching beyond family history as inclusion criteria for pancreatic cancer surveillance in high-risk populations. Genes Cancer 2022; 13:49-51. [PMID: 36051752 PMCID: PMC9423661 DOI: 10.18632/genesandcancer.223] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Bryson W. Katona
- Correspondence to:Bryson W. Katona, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA email:
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Wu BU, Lustigova E, Chen Q, Dong EY, Maitra A, Chari ST, Feng Z, Rinaudo JA, Matrisian LM, Parker RA. Imaging of the Pancreas in New-Onset Diabetes: A Prospective Pilot Study. Clin Transl Gastroenterol 2022; 13:e00478. [PMID: 35333778 PMCID: PMC9236602 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000478] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/14/2021] [Accepted: 02/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of cross-sectional imaging for detection of pancreatic cancer (PDAC) in patients with new-onset hyperglycemia and diabetes (NOD). METHODS We conducted a prospective pilot study from November 2018 to March 2020 within an integrated health system. Patients aged 50-85 years with newly elevated glycemic parameters without a history of diabetes were invited to complete a 3-phase contrast-enhanced computed tomography pancreas protocol scan while participating in the Prospective Study to Establish a NOD Cohort. Abnormal pancreatic findings, incidental extrapancreatic findings, and subsequent clinical evaluation were identified. Variability in clinical reporting between medical centers based on descriptors of pancreatic duct and parenchyma was assessed. RESULTS A total of 130 of 147 participants (88.4%) consented to imaging; 93 scans were completed (before COVID-19 stay-at-home order). The median age was 62.4 years (interquartile range 56.3-68.8), 37.6% women; Hispanic (39.8%), White (29.0%), Black (14.0%), and Asian (13.3%). One (1.1%) case of PDAC (stage IV) was diagnosed, 12 of 93 participants (12.9%) had additional pancreatic findings: 5 fatty infiltration, 3 cysts, 2 atrophy, 1 divisum, and 1 calcification. There were 57 extrapancreatic findings among 52 of 93 (56%) unique patients; 12 of 57 (21.1%) prompted clinical evaluation with 2 additional malignancies diagnosed (nonsmall cell lung and renal oncocytoma). Reports from 1 participating medical center more frequently provided description of pancreatic parenchyma and ducts (92.9% vs 18.4%), P < 0.0001. DISCUSSION High proportion of incidental findings and variability in clinical reports are challenges to be addressed for a successful NOD-based early detection strategy for PDAC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bechien U. Wu
- Center for Pancreatic Care, Kaiser Permanente Los Angeles Medical Center, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Eva Lustigova
- Department of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA
| | - Qiaoling Chen
- Department of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA
| | - Elizabeth Y. Dong
- Center for Pancreatic Care, Kaiser Permanente Los Angeles Medical Center, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Anirban Maitra
- University of Texas, MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Suresh T. Chari
- University of Texas, MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Ziding Feng
- Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Jo Ann Rinaudo
- National Cancer Institute, Division of Cancer Prevention, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | | | - Rex A. Parker
- Department of Radiology, Kaiser Permanente Los Angeles Medical Center, Los Angeles, California, USA
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Dudley B, Brand RE. Pancreatic Cancer Surveillance and Novel Strategies for Screening. Gastrointest Endosc Clin N Am 2022; 32:13-25. [PMID: 34798981 DOI: 10.1016/j.giec.2021.08.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
Individuals with a genetic susceptibility to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) may benefit from surveillance to increase the likelihood of early detection. Currently, candidates for surveillance are identified based on genetic test results and family history of PDAC, and surveillance is accomplished through imaging of the pancreas (endoscopic ultrasound or MRI). Novel methods that incorporate personalized risk, biomarkers, and radiomics are being investigated in an attempt to improve identification of at-risk individuals and to increase detection of precursor and early-stage lesions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Beth Dudley
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, 5200 Centre Avenue, Suite 409, Pittsburgh, PA 15232, USA
| | - Randall E Brand
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, 5200 Centre Avenue, Suite 409, Pittsburgh, PA 15232, USA.
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