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Knappett M, Nguyen V, Chaudhry M, Trawin J, Kabakyenga J, Kumbakumba E, Jacob ST, Ansermino JM, Kissoon N, Mugisha NK, Wiens MO. Pediatric post-discharge mortality in resource-poor countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis. EClinicalMedicine 2024; 67:102380. [PMID: 38204490 PMCID: PMC10776442 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102380] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2023] [Revised: 11/29/2023] [Accepted: 11/30/2023] [Indexed: 01/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Under-five mortality remains concentrated in resource-poor countries. Post-discharge mortality is becoming increasingly recognized as a significant contributor to overall child mortality. With a substantial recent expansion of research and novel data synthesis methods, this study aims to update the current evidence base by providing a more nuanced understanding of the burden and associated risk factors of pediatric post-discharge mortality after acute illness. Methods Eligible studies published between January 1, 2017 and January 31, 2023, were retrieved using MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHL databases. Studies published before 2017 were identified in a previous review and added to the total pool of studies. Only studies from countries with low or low-middle Socio-Demographic Index with a post-discharge observation period greater than seven days were included. Risk of bias was assessed using a modified version of the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tool for prevalence studies. Studies were grouped by patient population, and 6-month post-discharge mortality rates were quantified by random-effects meta-analysis. Secondary outcomes included post-discharge mortality relative to in-hospital mortality, pooled risk factor estimates, and pooled post-discharge Kaplan-Meier survival curves. PROSPERO study registration: #CRD42022350975. Findings Of 1963 articles screened, 42 eligible articles were identified and combined with 22 articles identified in the previous review, resulting in 64 total articles. These articles represented 46 unique patient cohorts and included a total of 105,560 children. For children admitted with a general acute illness, the pooled risk of mortality six months post-discharge was 4.4% (95% CI: 3.5%-5.4%, I2 = 94.2%, n = 11 studies, 34,457 children), and the pooled in-hospital mortality rate was 5.9% (95% CI: 4.2%-7.7%, I2 = 98.7%, n = 12 studies, 63,307 children). Among disease subgroups, severe malnutrition (12.2%, 95% CI: 6.2%-19.7%, I2 = 98.2%, n = 10 studies, 7760 children) and severe anemia (6.4%, 95% CI: 4.2%-9.1%, I2 = 93.3%, n = 9 studies, 7806 children) demonstrated the highest 6-month post-discharge mortality estimates. Diarrhea demonstrated the shortest median time to death (3.3 weeks) and anemia the longest (8.9 weeks). Most significant risk factors for post-discharge mortality included unplanned discharges, severe malnutrition, and HIV seropositivity. Interpretation Pediatric post-discharge mortality rates remain high in resource-poor settings, especially among children admitted with malnutrition or anemia. Global health strategies must prioritize this health issue by dedicating resources to research and policy innovation. Funding No specific funding was received.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martina Knappett
- Institute for Global Health, BC Children’s Hospital and BC Women’s Hospital + Health Centre, 305-4088 Cambie Street, Vancouver, BC V5Z 2X8, Canada
| | - Vuong Nguyen
- Institute for Global Health, BC Children’s Hospital and BC Women’s Hospital + Health Centre, 305-4088 Cambie Street, Vancouver, BC V5Z 2X8, Canada
| | - Maryum Chaudhry
- Institute for Global Health, BC Children’s Hospital and BC Women’s Hospital + Health Centre, 305-4088 Cambie Street, Vancouver, BC V5Z 2X8, Canada
| | - Jessica Trawin
- Institute for Global Health, BC Children’s Hospital and BC Women’s Hospital + Health Centre, 305-4088 Cambie Street, Vancouver, BC V5Z 2X8, Canada
| | - Jerome Kabakyenga
- Maternal Newborn & Child Health Institute, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Mbarara, Uganda
- Faculty of Medicine, Dept of Community Health, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Mbarara, Uganda
| | - Elias Kumbakumba
- Dept of Paediatrics and Child Health, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Mbarara, Uganda
| | - Shevin T. Jacob
- Walimu, Plot 5-7, Coral Crescent, Kololo, P.O. Box 9924, Kampala, Uganda
- Dept of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - J. Mark Ansermino
- Institute for Global Health, BC Children’s Hospital and BC Women’s Hospital + Health Centre, 305-4088 Cambie Street, Vancouver, BC V5Z 2X8, Canada
- Dept of Anesthesia, Pharmacology & Therapeutics, University of British Columbia, 217-2176 Health Sciences Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z3, Canada
- BC Children’s Hospital Research Institute, 938 West 28th Ave, Vancouver, BC V5Z 4H4, Canada
| | - Niranjan Kissoon
- Institute for Global Health, BC Children’s Hospital and BC Women’s Hospital + Health Centre, 305-4088 Cambie Street, Vancouver, BC V5Z 2X8, Canada
- BC Children’s Hospital Research Institute, 938 West 28th Ave, Vancouver, BC V5Z 4H4, Canada
- Dept of Pediatrics, BC Children’s Hospital, University of British Columbia, Rm 2D19, 4480 Oak Street, Vancouver, BC V6H 3V4, Canada
| | | | - Matthew O. Wiens
- Institute for Global Health, BC Children’s Hospital and BC Women’s Hospital + Health Centre, 305-4088 Cambie Street, Vancouver, BC V5Z 2X8, Canada
- Walimu, Plot 5-7, Coral Crescent, Kololo, P.O. Box 9924, Kampala, Uganda
- Dept of Anesthesia, Pharmacology & Therapeutics, University of British Columbia, 217-2176 Health Sciences Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z3, Canada
- BC Children’s Hospital Research Institute, 938 West 28th Ave, Vancouver, BC V5Z 4H4, Canada
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Tickell KD, Denno DM, Saleem A, Kazi Z, Singa BO, Achieng C, Mutinda C, Richardson BA, Ásbjörnsdóttir KH, Hawes SE, Berkley JA, Walson JL. Plasma proteomic signatures of enteric permeability among hospitalized and community children in Kenya and Pakistan. iScience 2023; 26:107294. [PMID: 37554451 PMCID: PMC10405056 DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2023.107294] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2023] [Revised: 05/04/2023] [Accepted: 07/03/2023] [Indexed: 08/10/2023] Open
Abstract
We aimed to establish if enteric permeability was associated with similar biological processes in children recovering from hospitalization and relatively healthy children in the community. Extreme gradient boosted models predicting the lactulose-rhamnose ratio (LRR), a biomarker of enteric permeability, using 7,500 plasma proteins and 34 fecal biomarkers of enteric infection among 89 hospitalized and 60 community children aged 2-23 months were built. The R2 values were calculated in test sets. The models performed better among community children (R2: 0.27 [min-max: 0.19, 0.53]) than hospitalized children (R2: 0.07 [min-max: 0.03, 0.11]). In the community, LRR was associated with biomarkers of humoral antimicrobial and cellular lipopolysaccharide responses and inversely associated with anti-inflammatory and innate immunological responses. Among hospitalized children, the selected biomarkers had few shared functions. This suggests enteric permeability among community children was associated with a host response to pathogens, but this association was not observed among hospitalized children.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kirkby D. Tickell
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- The Childhood Acute Illness & Nutrition (CHAIN) Network, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Donna M. Denno
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- The Childhood Acute Illness & Nutrition (CHAIN) Network, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Ali Saleem
- The Childhood Acute Illness & Nutrition (CHAIN) Network, Nairobi, Kenya
- Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Zaubina Kazi
- The Childhood Acute Illness & Nutrition (CHAIN) Network, Nairobi, Kenya
- Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Benson O. Singa
- The Childhood Acute Illness & Nutrition (CHAIN) Network, Nairobi, Kenya
- Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Catherine Achieng
- The Childhood Acute Illness & Nutrition (CHAIN) Network, Nairobi, Kenya
- Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Charles Mutinda
- The Childhood Acute Illness & Nutrition (CHAIN) Network, Nairobi, Kenya
- Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya
| | | | | | - Stephen E. Hawes
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - James A. Berkley
- The Childhood Acute Illness & Nutrition (CHAIN) Network, Nairobi, Kenya
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Judd L. Walson
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- The Childhood Acute Illness & Nutrition (CHAIN) Network, Nairobi, Kenya
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