1
|
Yaesoubi R, Cohen T, Hsu K, Gift TL, Chesson H, Salomon JA, Grad YH. Adaptive guidelines for the treatment of gonorrhea to increase the effective life span of antibiotics among men who have sex with men in the United States: A mathematical modeling study. PLoS Med 2020; 17:e1003077. [PMID: 32243443 PMCID: PMC7122693 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003077] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/25/2019] [Accepted: 03/02/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The rise of gonococcal antimicrobial resistance highlights the need for strategies that extend the clinically useful life span of antibiotics. Because there is limited evidence to support the current practice of switching empiric first-line antibiotic when resistance exceeds 5% in the population, our objective was to compare the impact of alternative strategies on the effective life spans of antibiotics and the overall burden of gonorrhea. METHODS AND FINDINGS We developed and calibrated a mathematical model of gonorrhea transmission among men who have sex with men (MSM) in the United States. We calibrated the model to the estimated prevalence of gonorrhea, the rate of gonorrhea cases, and the proportion of cases presenting symptoms among MSM in the US. We used this model to project the effective life span of antibiotics and the number of gonorrhea cases expected under current and alternative surveillance strategies over a 50-year simulation period. We demonstrate that compared to the current practice, a strategy that uses quarterly (as opposed to yearly) surveillance estimates and incorporates both the estimated prevalence of resistance and the trend in the prevalence of resistance to determine treatment guidelines could extend the effective life span of antibiotics by 0.83 years. This is equivalent to successfully treating an additional 80.1 (95% uncertainty interval: [47.7, 111.9]) gonorrhea cases per 100,000 MSM population each year with the first-line antibiotics without worsening the burden of gonorrhea. If the annual number of isolates tested for drug susceptibility is doubled, this strategy could increase the effective life span of antibiotics by 0.94 years, which is equivalent to successfully treating an additional 91.1 (54.3, 127.3) gonorrhea cases per 100,000 MSM population each year without increasing the incidence of gonorrhea. Study limitations include that our conclusions might not be generalizable to other settings because our model describes the transmission of gonorrhea among the US MSM population, and, to better capture uncertainty in the characteristics of current and future antibiotics, we chose to model hypothetical drugs with characteristics similar to the antibiotics commonly used in gonorrhea treatment. CONCLUSIONS Our results suggest that use of data from surveillance programs could be expanded to prolong the clinical effectiveness of antibiotics without increasing the burden of the disease. This highlights the importance of maintaining effective surveillance systems and the engagement of policy makers to turn surveillance findings into timely and effective decisions.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Reza Yaesoubi
- Department of Health Policy and Management, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
- * E-mail:
| | - Ted Cohen
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Katherine Hsu
- Massachusetts Department of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Thomas L. Gift
- Division of STD Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Harrell Chesson
- Division of STD Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Joshua A. Salomon
- Center for Primary Care & Outcomes Research, School of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, California, United States of America
| | - Yonatan H. Grad
- Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Chow EPF, Walker S, Hocking JS, Bradshaw CS, Chen MY, Tabrizi SN, Howden BP, Law MG, Maddaford K, Read TRH, Lewis DA, Whiley DM, Zhang L, Grulich AE, Kaldor JM, Cornelisse VJ, Phillips S, Donovan B, McNulty AM, Templeton DJ, Roth N, Moore R, Fairley CK. A multicentre double-blind randomised controlled trial evaluating the efficacy of daily use of antibacterial mouthwash against oropharyngeal gonorrhoea among men who have sex with men: the OMEGA (Oral Mouthwash use to Eradicate GonorrhoeA) study protocol. BMC Infect Dis 2017; 17:456. [PMID: 28659133 PMCID: PMC5490220 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-017-2541-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2017] [Accepted: 06/09/2017] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Gonorrhoea is one of the most common sexually transmissible infections in men who have sex with men (MSM). Gonorrhoea rates have increased substantially in recent years. There is concern that increasing gonorrhoea prevalence will increase the likelihood of worsening antibiotic resistance in Neisseria gonorrhoeae. A recent randomised controlled trial (RCT) demonstrated that a single-dose of mouthwash has an inhibitory effect against oropharyngeal gonorrhoea. We are conducting the first RCT to evaluate whether daily use of mouthwash could reduce the risk of acquiring oropharyngeal gonorrhoea. METHODS/DESIGN The OMEGA (Oral Mouthwash use to Eradicate GonorrhoeA) study is a double-blind RCT and will be conducted at several sexual health clinics and high caseload General Practice (GP) clinics in Melbourne and Sydney, Australia. A total of 504 MSM attending the participating sites will be recruited. Participants will be randomised to either using 'Study mouthwash A' or 'Study mouthwash B' for 12 weeks. Study mouthwash A was inhibitory against N. gonorrhoeae in vitro, whereas study mouthwash B was not. Participants will be instructed to rinse and gargle the study mouthwash for 60 seconds every day. The primary outcome is the proportion of participants with oropharyngeal gonorrhoea detected by nucleic acid amplification test by 12 weeks. DISCUSSION The results from this trial may provide a novel way to reduce gonorrhoea prevalence and transmission without the use of antibiotics that may be associated with development of resistance. If shown to be effective, the widespread use of mouthwash will reduce the prevalence of oropharyngeal gonorrhoea, which plays key role in driving the emergence of gonococcal antimicrobial resistance through DNA exchange with oral commensal bacteria. The anticipated net effect will be interruption of onward transmission of N. gonorrhoeae within high density sexual networks within MSM populations. TRIAL REGISTRATION Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12616000247471 , registered on 23rd February 2016.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Eric P. F. Chow
- Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, 580 Swanston Street, Carlton, VIC 3053 Australia
- Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004 Australia
| | - Sandra Walker
- Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, 580 Swanston Street, Carlton, VIC 3053 Australia
- Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004 Australia
| | - Jane S. Hocking
- Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC 3053 Australia
| | - Catriona S. Bradshaw
- Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, 580 Swanston Street, Carlton, VIC 3053 Australia
- Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004 Australia
| | - Marcus Y. Chen
- Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, 580 Swanston Street, Carlton, VIC 3053 Australia
- Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004 Australia
| | - Sepehr N. Tabrizi
- Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, The Royal Women’s Hospital, Parkville, VIC 3052 Australia
- Murdoch Childrens Research Institute, Parkville, VIC 3052 Australia
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3052 Australia
| | - Benjamin P. Howden
- Microbiological Diagnostic Unit Public Health Laboratory, Department of Microbiology and Immunology, The University of Melbourne, Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Parkville, VIC 3010 Australia
| | - Matthew G. Law
- Western Sydney Sexual Health Centre, Western Sydney Local Health District, Parramatta, NSW 2150 Australia
| | - Kate Maddaford
- Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, 580 Swanston Street, Carlton, VIC 3053 Australia
| | - Tim R. H. Read
- Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, 580 Swanston Street, Carlton, VIC 3053 Australia
- Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004 Australia
| | - David A. Lewis
- Western Sydney Sexual Health Centre, Western Sydney Local Health District, Parramatta, NSW 2150 Australia
- Marie Bashir Institute for Infectious Diseases and Biosecurity & Sydney Medical School-Westmead, The University of Sydney, Westmead, NSW 2145 Australia
| | - David M. Whiley
- Pathology Queensland Central Laboratory, QLD, Brisbane, 4029 Australia
- The University of Queensland Centre for Clinical Research, Royal Brisbane and Women’s Hospital Campus, QLD, Herston, 4029 Australia
| | - Lei Zhang
- Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, 580 Swanston Street, Carlton, VIC 3053 Australia
- Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004 Australia
| | | | | | - Vincent J. Cornelisse
- Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, 580 Swanston Street, Carlton, VIC 3053 Australia
- Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004 Australia
- Prahran Market Clinic, Prahran, VIC 3181 Australia
| | - Samuel Phillips
- Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, The Royal Women’s Hospital, Parkville, VIC 3052 Australia
- Murdoch Childrens Research Institute, Parkville, VIC 3052 Australia
| | - Basil Donovan
- The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Kensington, NSW 2052 Australia
- Sydney Sexual Health Centre, Sydney Hospital, Sydney, NSW 2000 Australia
| | - Anna M. McNulty
- Sydney Sexual Health Centre, Sydney Hospital, Sydney, NSW 2000 Australia
- School of Public Health and Community Medicine, UNSW Sydney, Kensington, NSW 2052 Australia
| | - David J. Templeton
- The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Kensington, NSW 2052 Australia
- RPA Sexual Health, Community Health, Sydney Local Health District, Camperdown, NSW 2050 Australia
- Central Clinical School, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW 2006 Australia
| | - Norman Roth
- Sydney Sexual Health Centre, Sydney Hospital, Sydney, NSW 2000 Australia
| | | | - Christopher K. Fairley
- Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, 580 Swanston Street, Carlton, VIC 3053 Australia
- Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004 Australia
| |
Collapse
|